In this paper, the Automated Actuarial Loss Reserving Model is developed and extended using machine learning. The traditional actuarial reserving techniques are no longer compatible with the increase in technological ...In this paper, the Automated Actuarial Loss Reserving Model is developed and extended using machine learning. The traditional actuarial reserving techniques are no longer compatible with the increase in technological advancement currently at hand. As a result, the development of the alternative Artificial Intelligence Based Automated Actuarial Loss Reserving Methodology which captures diverse risk profiles for various policyholders through augmenting the Micro Finance services, Auto Insurance Services and Both Services lines of business on the same platform through the computation of the Comprehensive Automated Actuarial Loss Reserves (CAALR) has been implemented in this paper. The introduction of the four further types of actuarial loss reserves to those existing in the actuarial literature seems to significantly reduce lapse rates, reduce the reinsurance costs as well as expenses and outgo. As a matter of consequence, this helps to bring together a combination of new and existing policyholders in the insurance company. The frequency severity models have been extended in this paper using ten machine learning algorithms which ultimately leads to the derivation of the proposed machine learning-based actuarial loss reserving model which remarkably performed well when compared to the traditional chain ladder actuarial reserving method using simulated data.展开更多
BIG models or foundation models are rapidly emerging as a key force in advancing intelligent societies[1]–[3]Their significance stems not only from their exceptional ability to process complex data and simulate advan...BIG models or foundation models are rapidly emerging as a key force in advancing intelligent societies[1]–[3]Their significance stems not only from their exceptional ability to process complex data and simulate advanced cognitive functions,but also from their potential to drive innovation across various industries.展开更多
Autonomic software recovery enables software to automatically detect and recover software faults. This feature makes the software to run more efficiently, actively, and reduces the maintenance time and cost. This pape...Autonomic software recovery enables software to automatically detect and recover software faults. This feature makes the software to run more efficiently, actively, and reduces the maintenance time and cost. This paper proposes an automated approach for Software Fault Detection and Recovery (SFDR). The SFDR detects the cases if a fault occurs with software components such as component deletion, replacement or modification, and recovers the component to enable the software to continue its intended operation. The SFDR is analyzed and implemented in parallel as a standalone software at the design phase of the target software. The practical applicability of the proposed approach has been tested by implementing an application demonstrating the performance and effectiveness of the SFDR. The experimental results and the comparisons with other works show the effectiveness of the proposed approach.展开更多
Experiments were conducted in this study to examine the thermal performance of a thermosyphon,made from Inconel alloy 625,could recover waste heat from automobile exhaust using a limited amount of fluid.The thermosyph...Experiments were conducted in this study to examine the thermal performance of a thermosyphon,made from Inconel alloy 625,could recover waste heat from automobile exhaust using a limited amount of fluid.The thermosyphon has an outer diameter of 27 mm,a thickness of 2.6 mm,and an overall length of 483 mm.The study involved directing exhaust gas onto the evaporator.This length includes a 180-mm evaporator,a 70-mm adiabatic section,a 223-mm condenser,and a 97-mm finned exchanger.The study examined the thermal performance of the thermosyphon under exhaust flow rates ranging from 0–10 g/sec and temperatures varying from 300℃–900℃.The influence of three parameters—inclination angle(5°–45°),water mass(2–5.3 g),and the quantity of non-condensable gas Argon(0–0.6 g)—was investigated to assess their impacts on the thermosyphon’s thermal efficiency.The experimental findings revealed that with 3 g of water and 0.0564 g of argon in the thermosyphon,the condenser reached its highest temperature at around 200℃.The ideal fuel loading rate for the thermosyphon falls between 0.2 and 0.7 g/s.Moreover,as inclination angles rise,outer wall temperatures of the thermosyphon increase.This is attributed to the explicit expansion of the effective heating area within the evaporation section,coupled with an amplified gravitational component of the water flux.Additionally,an upsurge in the quantity of non-condensable gas(NCG)can mitigate temperature gradients on the outer wall,resulting in a decline in the thermosyphon’s performance.The insulation applied to the adiabatic section demonstrated efficacy in augmenting temperature gradients on the outer wall,thereby improving the overall performance of the thermosyphon.As the water charge within the thermosyphon increases,there is a corresponding rise in heat transfer rates both from the exhaust to the thermosyphon and from the thermosyphon to the fuel.展开更多
On 14th September 2023,we were gathered in a Beijing conference hall to exchange views with the leaders of the Chinese Association for International Understanding.We had been introduced about the Association by resear...On 14th September 2023,we were gathered in a Beijing conference hall to exchange views with the leaders of the Chinese Association for International Understanding.We had been introduced about the Association by researcher Zhang Yaowu during our field trips.However,when we met Ai Ping,I had no idea that we were talking with the author of"A Tale of Two Continents:An Autobiography".In receiving his signed book,I realized that the speaker was the current Vice-President of the Chinese Association for International Understanding and a Deputy Minister and an Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of China to Ethiopia.展开更多
Purpose: The aim of this study was to determine the incidence and pattern of injuries resulting from auto-tricycle crashes among patients in a tertiary referral centre in Ghana. Methods: Data were retrospectively extr...Purpose: The aim of this study was to determine the incidence and pattern of injuries resulting from auto-tricycle crashes among patients in a tertiary referral centre in Ghana. Methods: Data were retrospectively extracted from hospital records of patients who got involved in auto-tricycle crashes and presented to the Accident and Emergency Centre of the Komfo Anokye Teaching Hospital (KATH), over a one-year period using a structured questionnaire. The gathered data were then entered into an electronic database and then analysed with SPSS version 20.0. Results: The incidence of injury following auto-tricycle crashes over the one-year period was 5.9% (95% CI: 4.9% - 7.0%) with a case fatality rate (FR) of 3.8% (95% CI: 1.3% - 8.7%). All the mortalities resulted from head and neck injuries and none of the patients involved wore a crash helmet. Only 5% of those studied wore crash helmets and were all drivers. Closed fractures accounted for 58% of the injuries, followed by open fractures, 28%. The most commonly fractured bones were the tibia/fibula, followed by the femur and then radius/ulna. The most common mechanism of injury was auto-tricycle toppling over (29%). Passengers were the most injured (48%), followed by drivers (37%) and pedestrians (15%). Most (72%) injuries among participants involved a single body part. On the injury severity scale, most (61%) of patients had minor trauma and 38% had major trauma. Conclusion: Auto-tricycle crashes account for 5.9% of injuries at the study site with a case fatality rate of 3.8%. Passengers had a higher injury rate (48%) than drivers (37%). Fractures of the tibia/fibula were most commonly associated with auto-tricycle crashes. Injuries to the head and neck were responsible for the deaths in the study participants and non-use of a crash helmet was associated with mortalities.展开更多
Background: Condyloma acuminatum (CA), also known as a genital wart (GW), is a sexually transmitted disease caused by human papillomavirus (HPV). HPV lesions, recurrence tendency, and risk of malignant formation are p...Background: Condyloma acuminatum (CA), also known as a genital wart (GW), is a sexually transmitted disease caused by human papillomavirus (HPV). HPV lesions, recurrence tendency, and risk of malignant formation are primarily dependent on the person’s immunity level. GW recurrence is a major challenge in CA treatment. The aim of this study was to explore how lesional auto-transplantation (LT) can be used to treat CA and decrease its recurrence. Methods: We treated CA through the preparation and implantation of tissue from nine CA patients in our dermatology clinic. Transplantation of small pieces of HPV lesions to the subcutaneous fat of the inguinal region was carried out with the help of a simple surgical method under local anesthesia. Patients were followed up for six to eight months. We searched PubMed and the Web of Science for treatment options for CA to compare our treatment method recurrence rate with existing treatment options. Results: During three months of follow-up, seven patients experienced no recurrence of condyloma lesions, while two patients experienced recurrence of small lesions of condyloma acuminatum. The recurrence rate of CA once treated by auto-transplantation was relatively low compared to other CA treatment options. Conclusions: Transplantation of HPV lesions to the inguinal area reduces the recurrence rate in sexually active individuals. The 2/9 recurrence after implantation could be due to poor hygiene, sexual relationships or immune factors.展开更多
文摘In this paper, the Automated Actuarial Loss Reserving Model is developed and extended using machine learning. The traditional actuarial reserving techniques are no longer compatible with the increase in technological advancement currently at hand. As a result, the development of the alternative Artificial Intelligence Based Automated Actuarial Loss Reserving Methodology which captures diverse risk profiles for various policyholders through augmenting the Micro Finance services, Auto Insurance Services and Both Services lines of business on the same platform through the computation of the Comprehensive Automated Actuarial Loss Reserves (CAALR) has been implemented in this paper. The introduction of the four further types of actuarial loss reserves to those existing in the actuarial literature seems to significantly reduce lapse rates, reduce the reinsurance costs as well as expenses and outgo. As a matter of consequence, this helps to bring together a combination of new and existing policyholders in the insurance company. The frequency severity models have been extended in this paper using ten machine learning algorithms which ultimately leads to the derivation of the proposed machine learning-based actuarial loss reserving model which remarkably performed well when compared to the traditional chain ladder actuarial reserving method using simulated data.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(62103411)the Science and Technology Development Fund of Macao SAR(0093/2023/RIA2,0050/2020/A1)。
文摘BIG models or foundation models are rapidly emerging as a key force in advancing intelligent societies[1]–[3]Their significance stems not only from their exceptional ability to process complex data and simulate advanced cognitive functions,but also from their potential to drive innovation across various industries.
文摘Autonomic software recovery enables software to automatically detect and recover software faults. This feature makes the software to run more efficiently, actively, and reduces the maintenance time and cost. This paper proposes an automated approach for Software Fault Detection and Recovery (SFDR). The SFDR detects the cases if a fault occurs with software components such as component deletion, replacement or modification, and recovers the component to enable the software to continue its intended operation. The SFDR is analyzed and implemented in parallel as a standalone software at the design phase of the target software. The practical applicability of the proposed approach has been tested by implementing an application demonstrating the performance and effectiveness of the SFDR. The experimental results and the comparisons with other works show the effectiveness of the proposed approach.
文摘Experiments were conducted in this study to examine the thermal performance of a thermosyphon,made from Inconel alloy 625,could recover waste heat from automobile exhaust using a limited amount of fluid.The thermosyphon has an outer diameter of 27 mm,a thickness of 2.6 mm,and an overall length of 483 mm.The study involved directing exhaust gas onto the evaporator.This length includes a 180-mm evaporator,a 70-mm adiabatic section,a 223-mm condenser,and a 97-mm finned exchanger.The study examined the thermal performance of the thermosyphon under exhaust flow rates ranging from 0–10 g/sec and temperatures varying from 300℃–900℃.The influence of three parameters—inclination angle(5°–45°),water mass(2–5.3 g),and the quantity of non-condensable gas Argon(0–0.6 g)—was investigated to assess their impacts on the thermosyphon’s thermal efficiency.The experimental findings revealed that with 3 g of water and 0.0564 g of argon in the thermosyphon,the condenser reached its highest temperature at around 200℃.The ideal fuel loading rate for the thermosyphon falls between 0.2 and 0.7 g/s.Moreover,as inclination angles rise,outer wall temperatures of the thermosyphon increase.This is attributed to the explicit expansion of the effective heating area within the evaporation section,coupled with an amplified gravitational component of the water flux.Additionally,an upsurge in the quantity of non-condensable gas(NCG)can mitigate temperature gradients on the outer wall,resulting in a decline in the thermosyphon’s performance.The insulation applied to the adiabatic section demonstrated efficacy in augmenting temperature gradients on the outer wall,thereby improving the overall performance of the thermosyphon.As the water charge within the thermosyphon increases,there is a corresponding rise in heat transfer rates both from the exhaust to the thermosyphon and from the thermosyphon to the fuel.
文摘On 14th September 2023,we were gathered in a Beijing conference hall to exchange views with the leaders of the Chinese Association for International Understanding.We had been introduced about the Association by researcher Zhang Yaowu during our field trips.However,when we met Ai Ping,I had no idea that we were talking with the author of"A Tale of Two Continents:An Autobiography".In receiving his signed book,I realized that the speaker was the current Vice-President of the Chinese Association for International Understanding and a Deputy Minister and an Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of China to Ethiopia.
文摘Purpose: The aim of this study was to determine the incidence and pattern of injuries resulting from auto-tricycle crashes among patients in a tertiary referral centre in Ghana. Methods: Data were retrospectively extracted from hospital records of patients who got involved in auto-tricycle crashes and presented to the Accident and Emergency Centre of the Komfo Anokye Teaching Hospital (KATH), over a one-year period using a structured questionnaire. The gathered data were then entered into an electronic database and then analysed with SPSS version 20.0. Results: The incidence of injury following auto-tricycle crashes over the one-year period was 5.9% (95% CI: 4.9% - 7.0%) with a case fatality rate (FR) of 3.8% (95% CI: 1.3% - 8.7%). All the mortalities resulted from head and neck injuries and none of the patients involved wore a crash helmet. Only 5% of those studied wore crash helmets and were all drivers. Closed fractures accounted for 58% of the injuries, followed by open fractures, 28%. The most commonly fractured bones were the tibia/fibula, followed by the femur and then radius/ulna. The most common mechanism of injury was auto-tricycle toppling over (29%). Passengers were the most injured (48%), followed by drivers (37%) and pedestrians (15%). Most (72%) injuries among participants involved a single body part. On the injury severity scale, most (61%) of patients had minor trauma and 38% had major trauma. Conclusion: Auto-tricycle crashes account for 5.9% of injuries at the study site with a case fatality rate of 3.8%. Passengers had a higher injury rate (48%) than drivers (37%). Fractures of the tibia/fibula were most commonly associated with auto-tricycle crashes. Injuries to the head and neck were responsible for the deaths in the study participants and non-use of a crash helmet was associated with mortalities.
文摘Background: Condyloma acuminatum (CA), also known as a genital wart (GW), is a sexually transmitted disease caused by human papillomavirus (HPV). HPV lesions, recurrence tendency, and risk of malignant formation are primarily dependent on the person’s immunity level. GW recurrence is a major challenge in CA treatment. The aim of this study was to explore how lesional auto-transplantation (LT) can be used to treat CA and decrease its recurrence. Methods: We treated CA through the preparation and implantation of tissue from nine CA patients in our dermatology clinic. Transplantation of small pieces of HPV lesions to the subcutaneous fat of the inguinal region was carried out with the help of a simple surgical method under local anesthesia. Patients were followed up for six to eight months. We searched PubMed and the Web of Science for treatment options for CA to compare our treatment method recurrence rate with existing treatment options. Results: During three months of follow-up, seven patients experienced no recurrence of condyloma lesions, while two patients experienced recurrence of small lesions of condyloma acuminatum. The recurrence rate of CA once treated by auto-transplantation was relatively low compared to other CA treatment options. Conclusions: Transplantation of HPV lesions to the inguinal area reduces the recurrence rate in sexually active individuals. The 2/9 recurrence after implantation could be due to poor hygiene, sexual relationships or immune factors.
