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On-line Recognition of Abnormal Patterns in Bivariate Autocorrelated Process Using Random Forest
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作者 Miao Xu Bo Zhu +1 位作者 Chunmei Chen Yuwei Wan 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2022年第10期1707-1722,共16页
It is not uncommon that two or more related process quality characteristics are needed to be monitored simultaneously in production process for most of time.Meanwhile,the observations obtained online are often seriall... It is not uncommon that two or more related process quality characteristics are needed to be monitored simultaneously in production process for most of time.Meanwhile,the observations obtained online are often serially autocorrelated due to high sampling frequency and process dynamics.This goes against the statistical I.I.D assumption in using the multivariate control charts,which may lead to the performance of multivariate control charts collapse soon.Meanwhile,the process control method based on pattern recognition as a non-statistical approach is not confined by this limitation,and further provide more useful information for quality practitioners to locate the assignable causes led to process abnormalities.This study proposed a pattern recognition model using Random Forest(RF)as pattern model to detect and identify the abnormalities in bivariate autocorrelated process.The simulation experiment results demonstrate that the model is superior on recognition accuracy(RA)(97.96%)to back propagation neural networks(BPNN)(95.69%),probability neural networks(PNN)(94.31%),and support vector machine(SVM)(97.16%).When experimenting with simulated dynamic process data flow,the model also achieved better average running length(ARL)and standard deviation of ARL(SRL)than those of the four comparative approaches in most cases of mean shift magnitude.Therefore,we get the conclusion that the RF model is a promising approach for detecting abnormalities in the bivariate autocorrelated process.Although bivariate autocorrelated process is focused in this study,the proposed model can be extended to multivariate autocorrelated process control. 展开更多
关键词 Random Forest bivariate autocorrelated process pattern recognition average run length
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A Simulation Study on the Performances of Classical Var and Sims-Zha Bayesian Var Models in the Presence of Autocorrelated Errors
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作者 M. O. Adenomon V. A. Michael O. P. Evans 《Open Journal of Modelling and Simulation》 2015年第4期146-158,共13页
It is well known that a high degree of positive dependency among the errors generally leads to 1) serious underestimation of standard errors for regression coefficients;2) prediction intervals that are excessively wid... It is well known that a high degree of positive dependency among the errors generally leads to 1) serious underestimation of standard errors for regression coefficients;2) prediction intervals that are excessively wide. This paper set out to study the performances of classical VAR and Sims-Zha Bayesian VAR models in the presence of autocorrelated errors. Autocorrelation levels of (-0.99, -0.95, -0.9, -0.85, -0.8, 0.8, 0.85, 0.9, 0.95, 0.99) were considered for short term (T = 8, 16);medium term (T = 32, 64) and long term (T = 128, 256). The results from 10,000 simulation revealed that BVAR model with loose prior is suitable for negative autocorrelations and BVAR model with tight prior is suitable for positive autocorrelations in the short term. While for medium term, the BVAR model with loose prior is suitable for the autocorrelation levels considered except in few cases. Lastly, for long term, the classical VAR is suitable for all the autocorrelation levels considered except in some cases where the BVAR models are preferred. This work therefore concludes that the performance of the classical VAR and Sims-Zha Bayesian VAR varies in terms of the autocorrelation levels and the time series lengths. 展开更多
关键词 Simulation PERFORMANCES Vector Autoregression (VAR) CLASSICAL VAR Sims-Zha Prior BAYESIAN VAR (BVAR) autocorrelated Errors
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On the Performances of Classical VAR and Sims-Zha Bayesian VAR Models in the Presence of Collinearity and Autocorrelated Error Terms
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作者 M. O. Adenomon V. A. Michael O. P. Evans 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2016年第1期96-132,共37页
In time series literature, many authors have found out that multicollinearity and autocorrelation usually afflict time series data. In this paper, we compare the performances of classical VAR and Sims-Zha Bayesian VAR... In time series literature, many authors have found out that multicollinearity and autocorrelation usually afflict time series data. In this paper, we compare the performances of classical VAR and Sims-Zha Bayesian VAR models with quadratic decay on bivariate time series data jointly influenced by collinearity and autocorrelation. We simulate bivariate time series data for different collinearity levels (﹣0.99, ﹣0.95, ﹣0.9, ﹣0.85, ﹣0.8, 0.8, 0.85, 0.9, 0.95, 0.99) and autocorrelation levels (﹣0.99, ﹣0.95, ﹣0.9, ﹣0.85, ﹣0.8, 0.8, 0.85, 0.9, 0.95, 0.99) for time series length of 8, 16, 32, 64, 128, 256 respectively. The results from 10,000 simulations reveal that the models performance varies with the collinearity and autocorrelation levels, and with the time series lengths. In addition, the results reveal that the BVAR4 model is a viable model for forecasting. Therefore, we recommend that the levels of collinearity and autocorrelation, and the time series length should be considered in using an appropriate model for forecasting. 展开更多
关键词 Vector Autoregression (VAR) Classical VAR Bayesian VAR (BVAR) Sims-Zha Prior COLLINEARITY Autocorrelation
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A global model of intensity autocorrelation to determine laser pulse duration
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作者 彭雨菲 刘励强 +1 位作者 洪丽红 李志远 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第5期446-451,共6页
We present a new global model of collinear autocorrelation based on second harmonic generation nonlinearity.The model is rigorously derived from the nonlinear coupled wave equation specific to the autocorrelation meas... We present a new global model of collinear autocorrelation based on second harmonic generation nonlinearity.The model is rigorously derived from the nonlinear coupled wave equation specific to the autocorrelation measurement configuration,without requiring a specific form of the incident pulse function.A rigorous solution of the nonlinear coupled wave equation is obtained in the time domain and expressed in a general analytical form.The global model fully accounts for the nonlinear interaction and propagation effects within nonlinear crystals,which are not captured by the classical local model.To assess the performance of the global model compared to the classic local model,we investigate the autocorrelation signals obtained from both models for different incident pulse waveforms and different full-widthes at half-maximum(FWHMs).When the incident pulse waveform is Lorentzian with an FWHM of 200 fs,the global model predicts an autocorrelation signal FWHM of 399.9 fs,while the classic local model predicts an FWHM of 331.4 fs.The difference between the two models is 68.6 fs,corresponding to an error of 17.2%.Similarly,for a sech-type incident pulse with an FWHM of 200 fs,the global model predicts an autocorrelation signal FWHM of 343.9 fs,while the local model predicts an FWHM of 308.8 fs.The difference between the two models is 35.1 fs,with an error of 10.2%.We further examine the behavior of the models for Lorentzian pulses with FWHMs of 100 fs,200 fs and 500 fs.The differences between the global and local models are 17.1 fs,68.6 fs and 86.0 fs,respectively,with errors approximately around 17%.These comparative analyses clearly demonstrate the superior accuracy of the global model in intensity autocorrelation modeling. 展开更多
关键词 intensity autocorrelation global model ultrashort pulses pulse-width measurement
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Enhancing transboundary natural tourism resources governance:unveiling the spatial pattern and its influencing factors
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作者 ZHANG Shengrui ZHANG Tongyan +1 位作者 JU Hongrun WANG Yingjie 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第3期973-986,共14页
Tourism resources that span provincial boundaries in China play a pivotal role in regional development,yet effective governance poses persistent challenges.This study addresses this issue by constructing a comprehensi... Tourism resources that span provincial boundaries in China play a pivotal role in regional development,yet effective governance poses persistent challenges.This study addresses this issue by constructing a comprehensive database of transboundary natural tourism resources(TNTR)through amalgamation of diverse data sources.Utilizing the Getis-Ord Gi^(*),kernel density estimation,and geographical detectors,we scrutinize the spatial patterns of TNTR,focusing on both named and unnamed entities,while exploring the influencing factors.Our findings reveal 7883 identified TNTR in China,with mountain tourism resources emerging as the predominant type.Among provinces,Hunan boasts the highest count,while Shanghai exhibits the lowest.Southern China demonstrates a pronounced clustering trend in TNTR distribution,with the spatial arrangement of biological landscapes appearing more random compared to geological and water landscapes.Western China,characterized by intricate terrain,exhibits fewer TNTR,concurrently unveiling a significant presence of unnamed natural tourism resources.Crucially,administrative segmentation influences TNTR development,generating disparities in regional goals,developmental stages and intensities,and management approaches.In response to these variations,we advocate for strengthening the naming of the unnamed transboundary tourism resources,constructing a geographic database of TNTR for government and establishing a collaborative management mechanism based on TNTR database.Our research contributes to elucidating the intricate landscape of TNTR,offering insights for tailored governance strategies in the realm of cross-provincial tourism resource management. 展开更多
关键词 Transboundary natural tourism resources(TNTR) Spatial difference Spatial autocorrelation Governance optimization China
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A Probing Model of Secret Key Generation Based on Channel Autocorrelation Function
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作者 Xia Enjun Hu Binjie Shen Qiaoqiao 《China Communications》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第6期163-175,共13页
Secret key generation(SKG)is a promising solution to the problem of wireless communications security.As the first step of SKG,channel probing affects it significantly.Although there have been some probing schemes,ther... Secret key generation(SKG)is a promising solution to the problem of wireless communications security.As the first step of SKG,channel probing affects it significantly.Although there have been some probing schemes,there is a lack of research on the optimization of the probing process.This study investigates how to optimize correlated parameters to maximize the SKG rate(SKGR)in the time-division duplex(TDD)mode.First,we build a probing model which includes the effects of transmitting power,the probing period,and the dimension of sample vectors.Based on the model,the analytical expression of the SKGR is given.Next,we formulate an optimization problem for maximizing the SKGR and give an algorithm to solve it.We conclude the SKGR monotonically increases as the transmitting power increases.Relevant mathematical proofs are given in this study.From the simulation results,increasing appropriately the probing period and the dimension of the sample vector could increase the SKGR dramatically compared to a yardstick,which indicates the importance of optimizing the parameters related to the channel probing phase. 展开更多
关键词 channel autocorrelation function channel probing optimization problem physical layer security secret key generation
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Influence of Human Activity Intensity on Habitat Quality in Hainan Tropical Rainforest National Park,China
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作者 HAN Nianlong YU Miao +2 位作者 JIA Peihong ZHANG Yucheng HU Ke 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第3期519-532,共14页
Due to long-term human activity interference,the Hainan Tropical Rainforest National Park(HTRNP)of China has experienced ecological problems such as habitat fragmentation and biodiversity loss,and with the expanding s... Due to long-term human activity interference,the Hainan Tropical Rainforest National Park(HTRNP)of China has experienced ecological problems such as habitat fragmentation and biodiversity loss,and with the expanding scope and intensity of human activity impact,the regional ecological security is facing serious challenges.A scientific assessment of the interrelationship between human activity intensity and habitat quality in the HTRNP is a prerequisite for achieving effective management of ecological disturbances caused by human activities and can also provide scientific strategies for the sustainable development of the region.Based on the land use change data in 2000,2010,and 2020,the spatial and temporal variations and the relationship between habitat quality(HQ)and human activity intensity(HAI)in the HTRNP were explored using the integrated valuation of ecosystem services and trade-offs(InVEST)model.System dynamics and land use simulation models were also combined to conduct multi-scenario simulations of their relationships.The results showed that during 2000–2020,the habitat quality of the HTRNP improved,the intensity of human activities decreased each year,and there was a negative correlation between the two.Second,the system dynamic model could be well coupled with the land use simulation model by combining socio-economic and natural factors.The simulation scenarios of the coupling model showed that the harmonious development(HD)scenario is effective in curbing the increasing trend of human activity intensity and decreasing trend of habitat quality,with a weaker trade-off between the two compared with the baseline development(BD)and investment priority oriented(IPO)scenarios.To maintain the authenticity and integrity of the HTRNP,effective measures such as ecological corridor construction,ecological restoration,and the implementation of ecological compensation policies need to be strengthened. 展开更多
关键词 human activity intensity(HAI) habitat quality(HQ) bivariate spatial autocorrelation system dynamics model integrated valuation of ecosystem services and trade-offs(InVEST)model Hainan Tropical Rainforest National Park(HTRNP)of China
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Evaluation of COVID-19 Cases and Vaccinations in the State of Georgia, United States: A Spatial Perspective
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作者 Oluwaseun Ibukun Olawale Oluwafemi +3 位作者 Oluwaseun Babatunde Fahmina Binte Ibrahim Yahaya Danjuma Samson Lamela Mela 《Journal of Geographic Information System》 2024年第3期167-182,共16页
This study evaluates the distribution of COVID-19 cases and mass vaccination campaigns from January 2020 to April 2023. There are over 235,000 COVID-19 cases and over 733,000 vaccinations across the 159 counties in th... This study evaluates the distribution of COVID-19 cases and mass vaccination campaigns from January 2020 to April 2023. There are over 235,000 COVID-19 cases and over 733,000 vaccinations across the 159 counties in the state of Georgia. Data on COVID-19 was acquired from usafact.org while the vaccination records were obtained from COVID-19 vaccination tracker. The spatial patterns across the counties were analyzed using spatial statistical techniques which include both global and local spatial autocorrelation. The study further evaluates the effect of vaccination and selected socio-economic predictors on COVID-19 cases across the study area. The result of hotspot analysis reveals that the epicenters of COVID-19 are distributed across Cobb, Fulton, Gwinnett, and DeKalb counties. It was also affirmed that the vaccination records followed the same pattern as COVID-19 cases’ epicenters. The result of the spatial error model performed well and accounted for a considerable percentage of the regression with an adjusted R squared of 0.68, Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) 387.682 and Breusch-Pagan of 9.8091. ESDA was employed to select the main explanatory variables. The selected variables include vaccination, population density, percentage of people that do not have health insurance, black race, Hispanic and these variables accounted for 68% of the number of COVID-19 cases in the state of Georgia during the study period. The study concludes that both COVID-19 cases and vaccinated individuals have spatial peculiarities across counties in Georgia state. Lastly, socio-economic variables and vaccination are very important to reduce the vulnerability of individuals to COVID-19 disease. 展开更多
关键词 COVID-19 VACCINATION Spatial Autocorrelation Georgia Spatial Pattern Spatial Regression
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Spatial Morphology Evolution Characteristics Analysis of the Resident Population Distribution in Henan, China
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作者 Kaiguang Zhang Hongling Meng +1 位作者 Mingting Ba Danhuan Wen 《Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection》 2024年第3期163-180,共18页
The population spatial distribution pattern and its evolving pattern play an important role in regional allocation of social resources and production factors, formulation of regional development plans, construction of... The population spatial distribution pattern and its evolving pattern play an important role in regional allocation of social resources and production factors, formulation of regional development plans, construction of a better life society, and promotion of regional economic development. Based on the resident population statistics data of Henan province from 2006 to 2021, with county as the basic study unit, the paper studies the spatial morphology characteristics and its evolution patterns of resident population distribution, by using spatial analysis methods such as population distribution center, standard deviation ellipse, and spatial auto correlation analysis. The results show that: the resident population spatial distribution shows unbalanced state, the population agglomeration areas mainly distribute in the northeast part and north part, where the resident population growth rate is significantly higher than other regions, over time, this trend is gradually becoming significant. The resident population distribution has a trend of centripetal concentration, with the degree and trend of centripetal gradually strengthening. The resident population distribution has obvious directional characteristics, but the significance is not high, the weighted resident population average center is approximately located at (4.13740˚N, 113.8935˚E), and the azimuth of the distribution axis is approximately 11.19˚. The population distribution has obvious agglomeration characteristics, with the built-up areas of Zhengzhou and Luoyang as their centers, where have a significant siphon effect on the surrounding population. The southern and southwestern regions in the province form a relatively stable belt area of Low-Low agglomeration areas. 展开更多
关键词 Resident Population Spatial Distribution Spatial Morphology Temporal and Spatial Evolution Center Migration Standard Deviation Ellipse Spatial Autocorrelation
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PROCESS CAPABILITY ANALYSIS AND ESTIMATION SCHEME FOR AUTOCORRELATED DATA 被引量:2
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作者 Jing SUN Shengxian WANG Zhihui FU Research Center for Contemporary Management,Key Research Institute of Humanities and Social Sciences at Universities,School of Economics and Management,Tsinghua University,Beijing 100084,P.R.China 《Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering》 SCIE EI CSCD 2010年第1期105-127,共23页
Autocorrelation is prevalent in continuous production processes, such as the processes in the chemical and pharmaceutical industries. With the development of measurement technology and data acquisition technology, sam... Autocorrelation is prevalent in continuous production processes, such as the processes in the chemical and pharmaceutical industries. With the development of measurement technology and data acquisition technology, sampling frequency is getting higher and the existence of autocorrelation cannot be ignored. This paper analyzes five estimation schemes of process capability for autocorrelated data. Comparisons among these schemes are discussed for small sample and large sample. In conclusion, this paper gives a procedure of process capability analysis for autocorrelated data. 展开更多
关键词 AUTOCORRELATION ESTIMATION process capability analysis statistical process control
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Is there regional convergence between Morocco and its OECD partner countries in terms of well-being?
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作者 Ilyes BOUMAHDI Nouzha ZAOUJAL 《Regional Sustainability》 2023年第1期81-95,共15页
Morocco wants its 12 regions to play the role as the main lever of its public policies to initiate harmonized spatial multidimensional development. In the context of this goal and Morocco’s openness over the past two... Morocco wants its 12 regions to play the role as the main lever of its public policies to initiate harmonized spatial multidimensional development. In the context of this goal and Morocco’s openness over the past two decades to bilateral and multilateral cooperation in an effort toward regional integration, this article studies the convergence of 389 regions in 36 countries(Morocco and 35 of its partner member countries in the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development(OECD)) between 2000 and 2019 in terms of well-being. To this end, we considered the territorial dimension of β-convergence models for well-being and its four domains(economic, social, environmental, and governance). Then, we adapted the absolute β-convergence model by taking into account the existence of spatial heterogeneity according to five specifications of spatial models. Thus, apart from environmental domain, we found that β-convergence of regions is significant for well-being and three of its domains(economic, social, and governance). These convergences are made by a spatially autocorrelated error model(SEM). However, the speed and period of convergence are relatively low for social domain, partly explaining the very exacerbated tensions at the territorial level. The fastest convergence was achieved in governance domain, followed by economic domain. This suggests that emerging countries must pay particular attention to national public action in favor of social cohesion at the territorial level. The lack of convergence in environmental domain calls for common actions for all countries at the supranational level to protect the commons at the territorial level. 展开更多
关键词 WELL-BEING Regional convergence Spatial econometrics Β-CONVERGENCE Spatially autocorrelated error model Morocco Organization for Economic Co-operation and development(OECD)
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2011-2020年我国医学生分布的区域差异及动态演进
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作者 陈洁婷 朱燕 +2 位作者 杨凯 王佳怡 李思源 《中国卫生资源》 CSCD 北大核心 2023年第4期397-403,共7页
目的研究我国医学生分布的集聚水平、空间分布特征和时空演变趋势,为宏观调控医学高等院校区域均衡发展提供依据。方法运用集聚度、空间自相关模型和核密度估计法分析医学生空间分布情况和发展趋势。结果2011—2020年,我国医学生集聚水... 目的研究我国医学生分布的集聚水平、空间分布特征和时空演变趋势,为宏观调控医学高等院校区域均衡发展提供依据。方法运用集聚度、空间自相关模型和核密度估计法分析医学生空间分布情况和发展趋势。结果2011—2020年,我国医学生集聚水平在观察末期升至7.478,涨幅15.43%,呈现“东高西低、南高北低”的空间分布格局。各省份间呈空间正相关性,形成稳定的“高高集聚、低低集聚”的空间分布特征。医学生分布的绝对差异在中部地区趋于缓和,在东、西部地区持续扩大,总体呈多极化演化特征。结论我国医学生分布的集聚水平稳步上升且存在不均衡现象,已形成稳定的聚集区域并存在低流动性。建议构建区域医学高等教育协同发展机制,以促进医学院校资源的优质均衡发展。 展开更多
关键词 医学生medical student 区域差异regional differences 集聚度concentration degree 空间自相关spatial autocorrelation 核密度估计kernel density estimation
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Assessment of China’s forest fi re occurrence with deep learning, geographic information and multisource data
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作者 Yakui Shao Zhichao Wang +4 位作者 Zhongke Feng Linhao Sun Xuanhan Yang Jun Zheng Tiantian Ma 《Journal of Forestry Research》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2023年第4期963-976,共14页
Considerable economic losses and ecological damage can be caused by forest fi res,and compared to suppression,prevention is a much smarter strategy.Accordingly,this study focuses on developing a novel framework to ass... Considerable economic losses and ecological damage can be caused by forest fi res,and compared to suppression,prevention is a much smarter strategy.Accordingly,this study focuses on developing a novel framework to assess forest fi re risks and policy decisions on forest fi re management in China.This framework integrated deep learning algorithms,geographic information,and multisource data.Compared to conventional approaches,our framework featured timesaving,easy implementation,and importantly,the use of deep learning that vividly integrates various factors from the environment and human activities.Information on 96,594 forest fi re points from 2001 to 2019 was collected on Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer(MODIS)fi re hotspots from 2001 to 2019 from NASA’s Fire Information Resource Management System.The information was classifi ed into factors such as topography,climate,vegetation,and society.The prediction of forest fi re risk was generated using a fully connected network model,and spatial autocorrelation used to analyze the spatial aggregation correlation of active fi re hotspots in the whole area of China.The results show that high accuracy prediction of fi re risks was achieved(accuracy 87.4%,positive predictive value 87.1%,sensitivity 88.9%,area under curve(AUC)94.1%).Based on this,it was found that Chinese forest fi re risk shows signifi cant autocorrelation and agglomeration both in seasons and regions.For example,forest fi re risk usually raises dramatically in spring and winter,and decreases in autumn and summer.Compared to the national average,Yunnan Province,Guangdong Province,and the Greater Hinggan Mountains region of Heilongjiang Province have higher fi re risks.In contrast,a large region in central China has been recognized as having a long-term,low risk of forest fi res.All forest risks in each region were recorded into the database and could contribute to the forest fi re prevention.The successful assessment of forest fi re risks in this study provides a comprehensive knowledge of fi re risks in China over the last 20 years.Deep learning showed its advantage in integrating multiple factors in predicting forest fi re risks.This technical framework is expected to be a feasible evaluation tool for the occurrence of forest fi res in China. 展开更多
关键词 Forest fi res Deep learning Spatial autocorrelation Risk zoning Management strategies
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Observation 20-s periodic signals on Mars from InSight,Sols 800-1,000
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作者 HuiXing Bi DaoYuan Sun MingWei Dai 《Earth and Planetary Physics》 EI CSCD 2023年第2期193-215,共23页
Seismometers of the InSight probe(Interior Exploration using Seismic Investigation,Geodesy and Heat Transport)currently operating on Mars have recorded not only seismic events but also high-frequency non-seismic perio... Seismometers of the InSight probe(Interior Exploration using Seismic Investigation,Geodesy and Heat Transport)currently operating on Mars have recorded not only seismic events but also high-frequency non-seismic periodic signals that appear to have been induced by variations in the Martian environment and the hardware.Here,we report an observation of a long-period signal with a dominant period of~20 s from Martian solar days(Sol)800 to Sol 1,000.This 20-s signal is detected mostly at quiet nighttime—from22:00 to 04:00 LMST(Local Mean Solar Time)—at the InSight landing site.The measurement of the particle motion suggests that this linearly polarized signal focuses on the horizontal plane with an angle of~30°from the north.By examining the temporal variation of the signal’s amplitude and polarization angle and its times of occurrence in relation to the planet’s atmospheric data,we suggest that this20-s signal may be relevant to wind and temperature variations on Mars.Furthermore,we study the possible influence of this 20-s signal on the noise autocorrelation and find that the stacked autocorrelograms can be quite different when the 20-s signal is present. 展开更多
关键词 MARS periodic signal particle motion AUTOCORRELATION
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Temporal and spatial responses of ecological resilience to climate change and human activities in the economic belt on the northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains, China
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作者 ZHANG Shubao LEI Jun +4 位作者 TONG Yanjun ZHANG Xiaolei LU Danni FAN Liqin DUAN Zuliang 《Journal of Arid Land》 SCIE CSCD 2023年第10期1245-1268,共24页
In the Anthropocene era,human activities have become increasingly complex and diversified.The natural ecosystems need higher ecological resilience to ensure regional sustainable development due to rapid urbanization a... In the Anthropocene era,human activities have become increasingly complex and diversified.The natural ecosystems need higher ecological resilience to ensure regional sustainable development due to rapid urbanization and industrialization as well as other intensified human activities,especially in arid and semi-arid areas.In the study,we chose the economic belt on the northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains(EBNSTM)in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region of China as a case study.By collecting geographic data and statistical data from 2010 and 2020,we constructed an ecological resilience assessment model based on the ecosystem habitat quality(EHQ),ecosystem landscape stability(ELS),and ecosystem service value(ESV).Further,we analyzed the temporal and spatial variation characteristics of ecological resilience in the EBNSTM from 2010 to 2020 by spatial autocorrelation analysis,and explored its responses to climate change and human activities using the geographically weighted regression(GWR)model.The results showed that the ecological resilience of the EBNSTM was at a low level and increased from 0.2732 to 0.2773 during 2010–2020.The spatial autocorrelation analysis of ecological resilience exhibited a spatial heterogeneity characteristic of"high in the western region and low in the eastern region",and the spatial clustering trend was enhanced during the study period.Desert,Gobi and rapidly urbanized areas showed low level of ecological resilience,and oasis and mountain areas exhibited high level of ecological resilience.Climate factors had an important impact on ecological resilience.Specifically,average annual temperature and annual precipitation were the key climate factors that improved ecological resilience,while average annual evapotranspiration was the main factor that blocked ecological resilience.Among the human activity factors,the distance from the main road showed a negative correlation with ecological resilience.Both night light index and PM2.5 concentration were negatively correlated with ecological resilience in the areas with better ecological conditions,whereas in the areas with poorer ecological conditions,the correlations were positive.The research findings could provide a scientific reference for protecting the ecological environment and promoting the harmony and stability of the human-land relationship in arid and semi-arid areas. 展开更多
关键词 ecological resilience ecosystem habitat quality ecosystem landscape stability ecosystem service value spatial autocorrelation analysis geographically weighted regression model economic belt on the northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains
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Image-Based Ultrasound Speed Estimation: Phantom and Human Liver Studies
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作者 Jianfeng Chen Junguo Bian +2 位作者 Zuhaib Khokhar Mohamed Belal Emad Allam 《Open Journal of Radiology》 2023年第2期101-112,共12页
Purpose: A novel image-based method for speed of sound (SoS) estimation is proposed and experimentally validated on a tissue-mimicking ultrasound phantom and normal human liver in vivo using linear and curved array tr... Purpose: A novel image-based method for speed of sound (SoS) estimation is proposed and experimentally validated on a tissue-mimicking ultrasound phantom and normal human liver in vivo using linear and curved array transducers. Methods: When the beamforming SoS settings are adjusted to match the real tissue’s SoS, the ultrasound image at regions of interest will be in focus and the image quality will be optimal. Based on this principle, both a tissue-mimicking ultrasound phantom and normal human liver in vivo were used in this study. Ultrasound image was acquired using different SoS settings in beamforming channels ranging from 1420 m/sec to 1600 m/sec. Two regions of interest (ROIs) were selected. One was in a fully developed speckle region, while the other contained specular reflectors. We evaluated the image quality of these two ROIs in images acquired at different SoS settings in beamforming channels by using the normalized autocorrelation function (ACF) of the image data. The values of the normalized ACF at a specific lag as a function of the SoS setting were computed. Subsequently, the soft tissue’s SoS was determined from the SoS setting at the minimum value of the normalized ACF. Results: The value of the ACF as a function of the SoS setting can be computed for phantom and human liver images. SoS in soft tissue can be determined from the SoS setting at the minimum value of the normalized ACF. The estimation results show that the SoS of the tissue-mimicking phantom is 1460 m/sec, which is consistent with the phantom manufacturer’s specification, and the SoS of the normal human liver is 1540 m/sec, which is within the range of the SoS in a healthy human liver in vivo. Conclusion: Soft tissue’s SoS can be determined by analyzing the normalized ACF of ultrasound images. The method is based on searching for a minimum of the normalized ACF of ultrasound image data with a specific lag among different SoS settings in beamforming channels. 展开更多
关键词 Ultrasound Image Normalized Autocorrelation Function (ACF) Speed of Sound (SoS)
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The Classification to Stationary Process of Tidal Motion Observed at the Time of Kuroshio’s Meandering
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作者 Kenta Kirimoto 《International Journal of Modern Nonlinear Theory and Application》 2023年第1期30-54,共25页
The tide level displays information about the state of the sea current and the tidal motion. The tide level of the southern coast of Japan Island is affected strongly by Kuroshio Current flowing in the western part of... The tide level displays information about the state of the sea current and the tidal motion. The tide level of the southern coast of Japan Island is affected strongly by Kuroshio Current flowing in the western part of North Pacific Ocean. When Kuroshio takes the straight path and flow along the Japan Islands, the tide level increases, and it is calculated from two tide level data observed at Kushimoto and Uragami in the southern part of Kii Peninsula. In contrast, the tide level decreases at the time when Kuroshio leaves from the Japan Islands. In this paper, the hourly tidal data are analyzed using the Autocorrelation Function (ACF) and the Mutual Information (MI) and the phase trajectories at first. We classify the results into 5 types of tidal motion. Each categorized type is investigated and characterized precisely using the mean tide level and the unit root test (ADF test) next. The frequency of the type having unstable tidal motion increases when the Kuroshio Current is non-meandering or in a transition state or the tide level is high, and the type shows a non-stationary process. On the other hand, when the Kuroshio Current meanders, the tidal motion tends to take a periodical and stable state and the motion is a stationary process. Though it is not frequent, we also discover a type of stationary and irregular tidal motion. 展开更多
关键词 Kuroshio Current Tide Level Autocorrelation Function Mutual Information Unit Root Test Phase Trajectories Stationary Process
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Application of Artificial Neural Networks for the Prediction of Water Quality Variables in the Nile Delta 被引量:4
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作者 Bahaa Mohamed Khalil Ayman Georges Awadallah +1 位作者 Hussein Karaman Ashraf El-Sayed 《Journal of Water Resource and Protection》 2012年第6期388-394,共7页
The quality of a water body is usually characterized by sets of physical, chemical, and biological parameters, which are mutually interrelated. Since August 1997, monthly records of 33 parameters, monitored at 102 loc... The quality of a water body is usually characterized by sets of physical, chemical, and biological parameters, which are mutually interrelated. Since August 1997, monthly records of 33 parameters, monitored at 102 locations on the Nile Delta drainage system, are stored in a National Database operated by the Drainage Research Institute (DRI). Correlation patterns may be found between water quantity and water quality parameters at the same location, or among water quality parameters within a monitoring location or among locations. Serial correlation is also detected in water quality variables. Through the investigation of the level of information redundancy, assessment and redesign of water quality monitoring network aim to improve the overall network efficiency and cost effectiveness. In this study, the potential of the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) on simulating interrelation between water quality parameters is examined. Several ANN inputs, structures and training possibilities are assessed and the best ANN model and modeling procedure is selected. The prediction capabilities of the ANN are compared with the linear regression models with autocorrelated residuals, usually used for this purpose. It is concluded that the ANN models are more accurate than the linear regression models having the same inputs and output. 展开更多
关键词 Artificial Neural Networks Regression with autocorrelated ERRORS Water Quality PREDICTION NILE DELTA
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Estimators of Linear Regression Model and Prediction under Some Assumptions Violation
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作者 Kayode Ayinde Emmanuel O. Apata Oluwayemisi O. Alaba 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2012年第5期534-546,共13页
The development of many estimators of parameters of linear regression model is traceable to non-validity of the assumptions under which the model is formulated, especially when applied to real life situation. This not... The development of many estimators of parameters of linear regression model is traceable to non-validity of the assumptions under which the model is formulated, especially when applied to real life situation. This notwithstanding, regression analysis may aim at prediction. Consequently, this paper examines the performances of the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) estimator, Cochrane-Orcutt (COR) estimator, Maximum Likelihood (ML) estimator and the estimators based on Principal Component (PC) analysis in prediction of linear regression model under the joint violations of the assumption of non-stochastic regressors, independent regressors and error terms. With correlated stochastic normal variables as regressors and autocorrelated error terms, Monte-Carlo experiments were conducted and the study further identifies the best estimator that can be used for prediction purpose by adopting the goodness of fit statistics of the estimators. From the results, it is observed that the performances of COR at each level of correlation (multicollinearity) and that of ML, especially when the sample size is large, over the levels of autocorrelation have a convex-like pattern while that of OLS and PC are concave-like. Also, as the levels of multicollinearity increase, the estimators, except the PC estimators when multicollinearity is negative, rapidly perform better over the levels autocorrelation. The COR and ML estimators are generally best for prediction in the presence of multicollinearity and autocorrelated error terms. However, at low levels of autocorrelation, the OLS estimator is either best or competes consistently with the best estimator, while the PC estimator is either best or competes with the best when multicollinearity level is high(λ>0.8 or λ-0.49). 展开更多
关键词 PREDICTION ESTIMATORS Linear Regression Model autocorrelated Error TERMS CORRELATED Stochastic NORMAL Regressors
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Design of a spatial sampling scheme considering the spatial autocorrelation of crop acreage included in the sampling units 被引量:9
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作者 WANG Di ZHOU Qing-bo +1 位作者 YANG Peng CHEN Zhong-xin 《Journal of Integrative Agriculture》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2018年第9期2096-2106,共11页
Information on crop acreage is important for formulating national food polices and economic planning. Spatial sampling, a combination of traditional sampling methods and remote sensing and geographic information syst... Information on crop acreage is important for formulating national food polices and economic planning. Spatial sampling, a combination of traditional sampling methods and remote sensing and geographic information system (GIS) technology, provides an efficient way to estimate crop acreage at the regional scale. Traditional sampling methods require that the sampling units should be independent of each other, but in practice there is often spatial autocorrelation among crop acreage contained in the sampling units. In this study, using Dehui County in Jilin Province, China, as the study area, we used a thematic crop map derived from Systeme Probatoire d'Observation de la Terre (SPOT-5) imagery, cultivated land plots and digital elevation model data to explore the spatial autocorrelation characteristics among maize and rice acreage included in sampling units of different sizes, and analyzed the effects of different stratification criteria on the level of spatial autocorrelation of the two crop acreages within the sampling units. Moran's/, a global spatial autocorrelation index, was used to evaluate the spatial autocorrelation among the two crop acreages in this study. The results showed that although the spatial autocorrelation level among maize and rice acreages within the sampling units generally decreased with increasing sampling unit size, there was still a significant spatial autocorrelation among the two crop acreages included in the sampling units (Moran's / varied from 0.49 to 0.89), irrespective of the sampling unit size. When the sampling unit size was less than 3000 m, the stratification design that used crop planting intensity (CPI) as the stratification criterion, with a stratum number of 5 and a stratum interval of 20% decreased the spatial autocorrelation level to almost zero for the maize and rice area included in sampling units within each stratum. Therefore, the traditional sampling methods can be used to estimate the two crop acreages. Compared with CPI, there was still a strong spatial correlation among the two crop acreages included in the sampling units belonging to each stratum when cultivated land fragmentation and ground slope were used as stratification criterion. As far as the selection of stratification criteria and sampling unit size is concerned, this study provides a basis for formulating a reasonable spatial sampling scheme to estimate crop acreage. 展开更多
关键词 crop acreage spatial autocorrelation sampling unit planting intensity cultivated land fragmentation ground slope
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