Binary interaction of typhoons Soulik and Cimaron in 2018—Part Ⅰ:Observational characteristics and forecast error

To understand structural changes and forecast error,a case study of binary typhoons in the western North Pacific(WNP)of 2018 was investigated using best track and reanalysis data.Soulik was generated on August 16 and Cimaron was generated on August 18,respectively.The 19 th typhoon Soulik and 20 th typhoon Cimaron co-existed from August 18 to 24 and approached each other.Soulik was located on the western side and Cimaron was located on the eastern side of the WNP.They were located approximately 1300 km from each other at 00 UTC August 22.The Soulik structure began changing around August 22 and became weak and slow,while Cimaron maintained its intensity,size,and moving speed.This observational evidence is likely caused by the binary interaction between two typhoons within a certain distance and environmental steering flow,such as the location of the North Pacific high and strong jet stream of the northern flank of the North Pacific high.Soulik was initially forecasted to make landfall and reach Seoul;however,its track changed from northward to northeastward from August 21 to 23 according to both official guidance and unified model(UM).Four global numerical weather prediction models forecasted different tracks of Soulik.UM and JGSM forecasted a northward track whereas ECMWF and GFS showed a northeastward track for 12 UTC August 21 through 12 UTC August 24.The latter models were similar to the best track.The track forecast error and spread of Soulik were larger than those of Cimaron.The mean absolute error of the maximum wind speed of Soulik was similar to the average of total typhoons in 2018.

Vapor-liquid equilibrium modeling for binary system of R152a/R1234ze(E)

At present,the environment impact of refrigerants has been given attention.The binary mixture R152a/R1234ze(E)is an environmentally friendly refrigerant,which solves problems of poor cooling performance of the R1234ze(E)cycle and flammability of R152a.In order to obtain its basic thermal and physical parameters,it is necessary to carry out vapor-liquid equilibrium(VLE)research,and the cubic equation of states(EOS)is often used in the calculation of the thermodynamic properties of mixtures.In this paper,the VLE predicted models for R152a/R1234ze(E)in the temperature range of 298.15-328.15 K were constructed using Soave-Redlich-Kwong(SRK),Peng-Robinson(PR)equations of state(EOS)combined with van der Waals(vd W),Huron-Vidal(HV)mixing rules,respectively.The equilibrium pressures and vapor-phase mole fractions of the models were obtained by calculation,and all four models presented an extreme correlation with the experimental data.And it can be concluded that the calculated results of the PR+HV model are closer to the experimental data than those of the other three models,with the average absolute deviation of 0.0027 for vapor-phase mole fraction(AAD(ycal))and the average absolute relative deviation of 0.243%for equilibrium pressure(AARD(pcal)),which provides a basis for accurately calculating the thermophysical properties of the mixture R152a/R1234ze(E).

NUMERICAL ANALYSIS ON THE ROLE OF TROPICAL STORM NAMTHEUN IN THE UNUSUAL TRACKS OF THREE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN 2010

Tropical cyclones(TCs) Lionrock,Kompasu,and Namtheun were formed successively within 40 hours in 2010.Over the next several days afterwards,these TCs exhibited unusual movements which made operational prediction difficult.Verifications are performed on the forecasts of the tracks of these TCs with six operational models,including three global and three regional models.Results showed that the trends of TC tracks could be reproduced by these models,whereas trajectory turning points and landfall locations were not simulated effectively.The special track of Lionrock should be associated with its direct interaction with Namtheun,according to a conceptual model of binary TC interaction.By contrast,the relation between Kompasu and Namtheun satisfied the criteria for a semi-direct interaction.Numerical experiments based on the Global and Regional Assimilation and Prediction System-Tropical Cyclone forecast Model(GRAPES-TCM) further confirmed the effect of Namtheun on the unusual tracks of Lionrock and Kompasu.Finally,the physical mechanism of binary TC interaction was preliminarily proposed.

Forming different planetary systems

With the increasing number of detected exoplanet samples, the statistical properties of planetary systems have become much clearer. In this review, we sum- marize the major statistical results that have been revealed mainly by radial velocity and transiting observations, and try to interpret them within the scope of the classical core-accretion scenario of planet formation, especially in the formation of different orbital architectures for planetary systems around main sequence stars. Based on the different possible formation routes for different planet systems, we tentatively classify them into three major catalogs： hot Jupiter systems, standard systems and distant giant planet systems. The standard systems can be further categorized into three sub-types under different circumstances： solar-like systems, hot Super-Earth systems, and sub- giant planet systems. We also review the theory of planet detection and formation in binary systems as well as planets in star clusters.

The Dynamics of Barotropic Vortex Merging

The merging of multiple vortices is a fundamental process of the dynamics of Earth＇s atmosphere and oceans. In this study, the interaction of like-signed vortices is analytically and numerically examined in a framework of two-dimensional inviscid barotropic flows. It is shown that barotropic vortex interaction turns out to be more intricate than simple merging scenarios often assumed in previous studies. Some particular configurations exist in which the vortex merging process is never complete despite strong interaction of like-signed vortices, regardless of the strengths or distances between the vortices.While the conditions for a complete vortex merging process introduced in this study appear to be too strict for most practical applications, this study suggests that careful criteria for vortex mergers should be properly defined when simulating the interaction of vortices, because the merging may not always result in a final enhanced circulation at the end of the interaction,as usually assumed in the literature.