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用步进法与升降法感度试验进行火工品安全性与可靠性验证的比较 被引量:3
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作者 李勤华 周彬 +3 位作者 陈西武 秦志春 田桂蓉 徐振相 《火工品》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2004年第2期39-42,共4页
本文对某型针刺雷管的两个批次分别进行了完全步进法及升降法感度试验。根据试验数据,计算同一刺激量下采用步进法与升降法得到的产品发火率,由Boltzmann模型拟合得到p——x曲线。根据曲线可知,在评价火工品安全性与可靠性时,升降法估... 本文对某型针刺雷管的两个批次分别进行了完全步进法及升降法感度试验。根据试验数据,计算同一刺激量下采用步进法与升降法得到的产品发火率,由Boltzmann模型拟合得到p——x曲线。根据曲线可知,在评价火工品安全性与可靠性时,升降法估计值比步进法偏乐观;当评估0.999响应点时,升降法较步进法对应的刺激量平均低约20%。 展开更多
关键词 步进法 升降法 感度试验 火工品 安全性 可靠性
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感度试验的Monte Carlo法计算机模拟与分析 被引量:4
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作者 严楠 蔡瑞娇 田玉斌 《火工品》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 1995年第4期1-6,33,共7页
介绍了MonteCarlo模拟方法在感度试验中的应用,给出了建模方法以及模拟升降法试验的结果,分析了感度分布参数估计精度与步长、样本量的关系。
关键词 感度试验 MONTECARLO模拟 火工品 升降法
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变压器油在电弧作用下的点燃特性 被引量:5
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作者 朱思宇 汪书苹 +2 位作者 杨娴 程旭东 周勇 《火灾科学》 CAS 北大核心 2021年第3期142-150,共9页
变压器的充油设备在长期使用过程中,由于超负荷运行时间长、运行维护不当等原因,劣化的变压器油存在更高被电弧点燃的火灾风险。对电弧作用下变压器油的点燃特性进行了实验研究,考虑了电弧能量、变压器油老化程度等参量的影响,利用Bruce... 变压器的充油设备在长期使用过程中,由于超负荷运行时间长、运行维护不当等原因,劣化的变压器油存在更高被电弧点燃的火灾风险。对电弧作用下变压器油的点燃特性进行了实验研究,考虑了电弧能量、变压器油老化程度等参量的影响,利用Bruceton法统计和计算了临界点燃温度和本质安全温度。研究表明:电弧可以加速变压器油的分解,促进易燃油气混合物的形成;变压器油最低临界点燃温度的电弧能量极值为13.8 J,对应电弧电压约为8.1 kV,在该能量及以上,平均本质安全温度约为124℃。研究结果可为制订变电站火灾爆炸事故防护措施提供依据。 展开更多
关键词 变电站 充油设备 变压器油 电弧 bruceton 点燃特性
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Experimental study of rotating wind turbine breakdown characteristics in large scale air gaps 被引量:1
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作者 Yu WANG Lu OU +3 位作者 Tianjun SI Yang NI Jianwei XU Xishan WEN 《Plasma Science and Technology》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2017年第6期108-115,共8页
When a wind turbine is struck by lightning,its blades are usually rotating.The effect of blade rotation on a turbine's ability to trigger a lightning strike is unclear.Therefore,an arching electrode was used in a win... When a wind turbine is struck by lightning,its blades are usually rotating.The effect of blade rotation on a turbine's ability to trigger a lightning strike is unclear.Therefore,an arching electrode was used in a wind turbine lightning discharge test to investigate the difference in lightning triggering ability when blades are rotating and stationary.A negative polarity switching waveform of 250/2500 μs was applied to the arching electrode and the up-and-down method was used to calculate the 50%discharge voltage.Lightning discharge tests of a 1:30 scale wind turbine model with 2,4,and 6 m air gaps were performed and the discharge process was observed.The experimental results demonstrated that when a 2 m air gap was used,the breakdown voltage increased as the blade speed was increased,but when the gap length was 4 m or longer,the trend was reversed and the breakdown voltage decreased.The analysis revealed that the rotation of the blades changes the charge distribution in the blade-tip region,promotes upward leader development on the blade tip,and decreases the breakdown voltage.Thus,the blade rotation of a wind turbine increases its ability to trigger lightning strikes. 展开更多
关键词 wind turbine ROTATION up-and-down method breakdown characteristic large-scale air gap
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Confidence limit calculation for antidotal potency ratio derived from lethal dose 50
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作者 Ananda Manage Ilona Petrikovics 《World Journal of Methodology》 2013年第1期7-10,共4页
AIM:To describe confidence interval calculation for antidotal potency ratios using bootstrap method.METHODS:We can easily adapt the nonparametric bootstrap method which was invented by Efron to construct confidence in... AIM:To describe confidence interval calculation for antidotal potency ratios using bootstrap method.METHODS:We can easily adapt the nonparametric bootstrap method which was invented by Efron to construct confidence intervals in such situations like this.The bootstrap method is a resampling method in which the bootstrap samples are obtained by resampling from the original sample.RESULTS:The described confidence interval calculation using bootstrap method does not require the sampling distribution antidotal potency ratio.This can serve as a substantial help for toxicologists,who are directed to employ the Dixon up-and-down method with the application of lower number of animals to determine lethal dose 50 values for characterizing the investigated toxic molecules and eventually for characterizing the antidotal protections by the test antidotal systems.CONCLUSION:The described method can serve as a useful tool in various other applications.Simplicity ofthe method makes it easier to do the calculation using most of the programming software packages. 展开更多
关键词 up-and-down method Confidence limit Potency ratio Bootstrapping
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A three-parameter logistic regression model
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作者 Xiaoli Yu Shaoting Li Jiahua Chen 《Statistical Theory and Related Fields》 2021年第3期265-274,共10页
Dose–response experiments and data analyses are often carried out according to an optimal design under a model assumption.A two-parameter logistic model is often used because of its nice mathematical properties and p... Dose–response experiments and data analyses are often carried out according to an optimal design under a model assumption.A two-parameter logistic model is often used because of its nice mathematical properties and plausible stochastic response mechanisms.There is an extensive literature on its optimal designs and data analysis strategies.However,a model is at best a good approximation in a real-world application,and researchers must be aware of the risk of model mis-specification.In this paper,we investigate the effectiveness of the sequential EDdesign,the D-optimal design,and the up-and-down design under the three-parameter logistic regression model,and we develop a numerical method for the parameter estimation.Simulations show that the combination of the proposed model and the data analysis strategy performs well.When the logistic model is correct,this more complex model has hardly any efficiency loss.The three-parameter logistic model works better than the two-parameter logistic model in the presence of model mis-specification. 展开更多
关键词 effective dose level optimal design sequential ED-design up-and-down design vertex direction method
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