The Los Alamos sea ice model(CICE) is used to simulate the Arctic sea ice variability from 1948 to 2009. Two versions of CICE are validated through comparison with Hadley Centre Global Sea Ice and Sea Surface Temperat...The Los Alamos sea ice model(CICE) is used to simulate the Arctic sea ice variability from 1948 to 2009. Two versions of CICE are validated through comparison with Hadley Centre Global Sea Ice and Sea Surface Temperature(Had ISST) observations. Version 5.0 of CICE with elastic-viscous-plastic(EVP) dynamics simulates a September Arctic sea ice concentration(SASIC) trend of –0.619 × 1012 m2 per decade from 1969 to 2009, which is very close to the observed trend(-0.585 × 1012 m2 per decade). Version 4.0 of CICE with EVP dynamics underestimates the SASIC trend(-0.470 × 1012 m2 per decade). Version 5.0 has a higher correlation(0.742) with observation than version 4.0(0.653). Both versions of CICE simulate the seasonal cycle of the Arctic sea ice, but version 5.0 outperforms version 4.0 in both phase and amplitude. The timing of the minimum and maximum sea ice coverage occurs a little earlier(phase advancing) in both versions. Simulations also show that the September Arctic sea ice volume(SASIV) has a faster decreasing trend than SASIC.展开更多
The Los Alamos Sea-Ice Model(CICE)is one of the most popular sea-ice models.All versions of it have been the main sea-ice module coupled to climate system models.Therefore,evaluating their simulation capability is an ...The Los Alamos Sea-Ice Model(CICE)is one of the most popular sea-ice models.All versions of it have been the main sea-ice module coupled to climate system models.Therefore,evaluating their simulation capability is an important step in developing climate system models.Compared with observations and previous versions(CICE4.0 and CICE5.0),the advantages of CICE6.0(the latest version)are analyzed in this paper.It is found that CICE6.0 has the minimum interannual errors,and the seasonal cycle it simulates is the most consistent with observations.CICE4.0 overestimates winter sea-ice and underestimates summer sea-ice severely.Meanwhile,the errors of CICE5.0 in winter are larger than for the other versions.The main attention is paid to the perennial ice and the seasonal ice.The spatial distribution of root-mean-square errors indicates that the simulated errors are distributed in the Atlantic sector and the outer Arctic.Both CICE4.0 and CICE5.0 underestimate the concentration of the perennial ice and overestimate that of the seasonal ice in these areas.Meanwhile,CICE6.0 solves this problem commendably.Moreover,the decadal trends it simulates are comparatively the best,especially in the central Arctic sea.The other versions underestimate the decadal trend of the perennial ice and overestimate that of the seasonal ice.In addition,an index used to objectively describe the difference in the spatial distribution between the simulation and observation shows that CICE6.0 produces the best simulated spatial distribution.展开更多
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China(Grant No.2010CB951804)the China Meteorological Administration Special Fund for Scientific Research in the Public Interest(Grant No.GYHY201206008)
文摘The Los Alamos sea ice model(CICE) is used to simulate the Arctic sea ice variability from 1948 to 2009. Two versions of CICE are validated through comparison with Hadley Centre Global Sea Ice and Sea Surface Temperature(Had ISST) observations. Version 5.0 of CICE with elastic-viscous-plastic(EVP) dynamics simulates a September Arctic sea ice concentration(SASIC) trend of –0.619 × 1012 m2 per decade from 1969 to 2009, which is very close to the observed trend(-0.585 × 1012 m2 per decade). Version 4.0 of CICE with EVP dynamics underestimates the SASIC trend(-0.470 × 1012 m2 per decade). Version 5.0 has a higher correlation(0.742) with observation than version 4.0(0.653). Both versions of CICE simulate the seasonal cycle of the Arctic sea ice, but version 5.0 outperforms version 4.0 in both phase and amplitude. The timing of the minimum and maximum sea ice coverage occurs a little earlier(phase advancing) in both versions. Simulations also show that the September Arctic sea ice volume(SASIV) has a faster decreasing trend than SASIC.
基金This research is supported jointly by the National Key R&D Program of China[grant numbers 2016YFA0602100 and 2018YFC1407104]the china Special Fund for Meteorological Research in the Public Interest[grant number GYHY201506011]the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant number 41975134].
文摘The Los Alamos Sea-Ice Model(CICE)is one of the most popular sea-ice models.All versions of it have been the main sea-ice module coupled to climate system models.Therefore,evaluating their simulation capability is an important step in developing climate system models.Compared with observations and previous versions(CICE4.0 and CICE5.0),the advantages of CICE6.0(the latest version)are analyzed in this paper.It is found that CICE6.0 has the minimum interannual errors,and the seasonal cycle it simulates is the most consistent with observations.CICE4.0 overestimates winter sea-ice and underestimates summer sea-ice severely.Meanwhile,the errors of CICE5.0 in winter are larger than for the other versions.The main attention is paid to the perennial ice and the seasonal ice.The spatial distribution of root-mean-square errors indicates that the simulated errors are distributed in the Atlantic sector and the outer Arctic.Both CICE4.0 and CICE5.0 underestimate the concentration of the perennial ice and overestimate that of the seasonal ice in these areas.Meanwhile,CICE6.0 solves this problem commendably.Moreover,the decadal trends it simulates are comparatively the best,especially in the central Arctic sea.The other versions underestimate the decadal trend of the perennial ice and overestimate that of the seasonal ice.In addition,an index used to objectively describe the difference in the spatial distribution between the simulation and observation shows that CICE6.0 produces the best simulated spatial distribution.