Establishing positive and urgent targets for CO_2 reduction and emission peak,and promoting energy conservation and energy structure adjustment are among the strategies to address global climate change and CO_2 emissi...Establishing positive and urgent targets for CO_2 reduction and emission peak,and promoting energy conservation and energy structure adjustment are among the strategies to address global climate change and CO_2 emissions reduction.They are also means to break through the constraints of domestic resources and environment,and internal needs,to achieve sustainable development.Generally speaking,a country's CO_2 emission peak appears after achieving urbanization and industrialization.By then,connotative economic growth will appear,GDP will grow slowly,energy consumption elasticity will decrease,and energy consumption growth will slow down-dependent mainly on new and renewable energies.Fossil fuel consumption will not increase further.When CO_2 emission reaches its peak,the annual reduction rate of CO_2 intensity of GDP is greater than GDP annual growth rate;and the annual reduction rate of CO_2 intensity of energy use is greater than the annual growth rate of energy consumption.Therefore,three important approaches to promotion of CO_2 emission peak can be concluded:maintaining reasonable control of GDP growth,strengthening energy conservation to significantly reduce the GDP energy intensity,and optimizing the energy mix to reduce the CO_2 intensity of energy use.By around 2030,China will basically have completed its rapid development phase of industrialization and urbanization.Connotative economic growth will appear with the acceleration of industrial structure adjustment The target of GDP energy intensity will still be to maintain an average annual reduction of 3%or higher.The proportion of non-fossil fuels will reach 20-25%,and the aim will be to maintain an average annual growth rate of 6-8%.The total annual energy demand growth of 1.5%will be satisfied by the newly increased supply of non-fossil fuels.The annual decline in CO_2 intensity of GDP will reach 4.5%or higher,which is compatible with an average annual GDP growth rate of approximately 4.5%in order to reach CO_2 emission peak.This corresponds to the level of China's potential economic growth.Achieving CO_2 emission peak will not impose a rigid constraint on economic development,but rather promote economic development and accelerate the transformation of green,low-carbon development.The CO_2 emission peak can be controlled with a cap of 11 billion tons,which means that CO_2 emission will increase by less than 50%compared with 2010.The per capita emission peak will be controlled at a level of less than 8 tons,which is lower than the 9.5 tons in the EU and Japan and much lower than the 20 tons in the US,future economic and social development faces many uncertainties in achieving the CO_2 emission peak discussed above.It depends on current and future strategies and policies,as well as the pace and strength of economic transformation,innovation,and new energy technologies.If the economic transformation pattern fails to meet expectations,the time required to reach CO_2emission peak would be delayed and the peak level would be higher than expected.Therefore,we need to coordinate thoughts and ideas and deploy these in advance;to highlight the strategic position of low-carbon development and its priorities;to enact mid-to long-term energy development strategies;and to establish and improve a system of laws,regulations,and policies as well as an implementation mechanism for green,low-carbon development Oriented by positive and urgent CO_2 reduction and peak targets,the government would form a reversed mechanism to promote economic transformation and embark on the path of green,low-carbon development as soon as possible.展开更多
To study effect of C2H2 and change of headspace gas on N2O emission, denitrification, as well as CO2emission, slumes of an agricultural soil were anaerobically incubated for 7 da3’s at 25 ℃. Both N2O reduction and C...To study effect of C2H2 and change of headspace gas on N2O emission, denitrification, as well as CO2emission, slumes of an agricultural soil were anaerobically incubated for 7 da3’s at 25 ℃. Both N2O reduction and CO2 emissions were inhibited by the addition of 100 mL L-1 of C2H2. However, the inhibition to CO2 emission was alleviated by the replacement of headspace gas, and the N2O emission was enhanced by the replacement. Acetylene disappeared evidently from the soil slumes during the incubation. Consequently results obtained from the traditional C2H2 blocking technique for determination of denitrification rate, especially in a long-time incubation, should be explained with care because of its side effect existing in the incubation environments without change of headspace gas. To reduce the possible side effect on the processes other than denitrification, it is suggested that headspace gas should be replaced several times during a long-time incubation.展开更多
Global climate change is one of the major environmental issues faced by humans.Existing evidence indicates that the anthropogenic push for a rise in the atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gases(GHGs)(particularly...Global climate change is one of the major environmental issues faced by humans.Existing evidence indicates that the anthropogenic push for a rise in the atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gases(GHGs)(particularly CO_2) has been a primary cause for global warming.Aside from economic and teclinological factors,demographic dynamics(including human consumption in a broad demographic sense) has been a major driver for CO_2 emissions.In this paper,we performed both nonlinear regression analysis(based on the STIRPAT model) and gray correlation degree analysis(based on gray system theory) on the impact of demographic dynamics on CO_2 emissions.Our results reveal that CO_2 emissions are positively correlated with population size and GDP per capita and negatively correlated with energy intensity.We also show that gray con-elation degree with CO_2 emissions for five variables(i.e.,household consumption,urbanization rate,household size,population aging rate,population size) varies substantially:household consumption > urbanization rate >household size > population aging rate > population size,with household consumption being the highest,and population size the lowest.To mitigate the impact of demographic dynamics on CO_2 emissions,it is of vital significance to nurture people's awareness of sustainable consumption and to adhere to current population control policies.展开更多
Coal-fired power plants are a major carbon source in China. In order to assess the evaluation of China's carbon reduction progress with the promise made on the Paris Agreement, it is crucial to monitor the carbon ...Coal-fired power plants are a major carbon source in China. In order to assess the evaluation of China's carbon reduction progress with the promise made on the Paris Agreement, it is crucial to monitor the carbon flux intensity from coal-fired power plants. Previous studies have calculated CO_(2) emissions from point sources based on Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 and-3(OCO-2 and OCO-3) satellite measurements, but the factors affecting CO_(2) flux estimations are uncertain. In this study, we employ a Gaussian Plume Model to estimate CO_(2) emissions from three power plants in China based on OCO-3 XCO_(2) measurements. Moreover, flux uncertainties resulting from wind information, background values,satellite CO_(2) measurements, and atmospheric stability are discussed. This study highlights the CO_(2) flux uncertainty derived from the satellite measurements. Finally, satellite-based CO_(2) emission estimates are compared to bottom-up inventories.The satellite-based CO_(2) emission estimates at the Tuoketuo and Nongliushi power plants are ~30 and ~10 kt d^(-1) smaller than the Open-Data Inventory for Anthropogenic Carbon dioxide(ODIAC) respectively, but ~10 kt d^(-1) larger than the ODIAC at Baotou.展开更多
Investing in projects that support environmental benefits,such as tree harvesting,has the potential to reduce air pollution levels in the atmosphere in the future.However,this kind of investment may increase the curre...Investing in projects that support environmental benefits,such as tree harvesting,has the potential to reduce air pollution levels in the atmosphere in the future.However,this kind of investment may increase the current level of emissions.Therefore,it is necessary to estimate how much the policy affects the current level of CO_(2) emissions.This makes sure the policy doesn’t increase the level of CO_(2) emis-sions.This study aims to analyze the effect of the One Bil-lion Trees program on CO_(2) emissions in New Zealand by employing the 2020 input–output table analysis.This inves-tigation examines the direct and indirect effects of policy on both the demand and supply sides across six regions of New Zealand.The results of this study for the first year of plantation suggest that the policy increases the level of CO_(2) emissions in all regions,especially in the Waikato region.The direct and indirect impact of the policy leads to 64 kt of CO_(2) emissions on the demand side and 270 kt of CO_(2) emis-sions on the supply side.These lead to 0.19 and 0.74%of total CO_(2) emissions being attributed to investment shocks.Continuing the policy is recommended,as it has a low effect on CO_(2) emissions.However,it is crucial to prioritize the use of low-carbon machinery that uses fossil fuels during the plantation process.展开更多
One of the impacts of the Fukushima disaster was the shutdown of all nuclear power plants in Japan,reaching zero production in 2015.In response,the country started importing more fossil energy including coal,oil,and n...One of the impacts of the Fukushima disaster was the shutdown of all nuclear power plants in Japan,reaching zero production in 2015.In response,the country started importing more fossil energy including coal,oil,and natural gas to fill the energy gap.However,this led to a significant increase in carbon emissions,hindering the efforts to reduce its carbon footprint.In the current situation,Japan is actively working to balance its energy requirements with environmental considerations,including the utilization of hydrogen fuel.Therefore,this paper aims to explore the feasibility and implications of using hydrogen power plants as a means to reduce emissions,and this analysis will be conducted using the energy modeling of the MARKAL-TIMES Japan framework.The hydrogen scenario(HS)is assumed with the extensive integration of hydrogen into the power generation sector,supported by a hydrogen import scheme.Additionally,this scenario will be compared with the Business as Usual(BAU)scenario.The results showed that the generation capacities of the BAU and HS scenarios have significantly different primary energy supplies.The BAU scenario is highly dependent on fossil fuels,while the HS scenario integrates hydrogen contribution along with an increase in renewable energy,reaching a peak contribution of 2,160 PJ in 2050.In the HS scenario,the target of reducing CO_(2) emissions by 80%is achieved through significant hydrogen penetration.By 2050,the total CO_(2) emissions are estimated to be 939 million tons for the BAU scenario and 261 million tons for the Hydrogen scenario.In addition,the contribution of hydrogen to electricity generation is expected to be 153 TWh,smaller than PV and wind power.展开更多
Carbon emissions have become a critical concern in the global effort to combat climate change,with each country or region contributing differently based on its economic structures,energy sources,and industrial activit...Carbon emissions have become a critical concern in the global effort to combat climate change,with each country or region contributing differently based on its economic structures,energy sources,and industrial activities.The factors influencing carbon emissions vary across countries and sectors.This study examined the factors influencing CO_(2)emissions in the 7 South American countries including Argentina,Brazil,Chile,Colombia,Ecuador,Peru,and Venezuela.We used the Seemingly Unrelated Regression(SUR)model to analyse the relationship of CO_(2)emissions with gross domestic product(GDP),renewable energy use,urbanization,industrialization,international tourism,agricultural productivity,and forest area based on data from 2000 to 2022.According to the SUR model,we found that GDP and industrialization had a moderate positive effect on CO_(2)emissions,whereas renewable energy use had a moderate negative effect on CO_(2)emissions.International tourism generally had a positive impact on CO_(2)emissions,while forest area tended to decrease CO_(2)emissions.Different variables had different effects on CO_(2)emissions in the 7 South American countries.In Argentina and Venezuela,GDP,international tourism,and agricultural productivity significantly affected CO_(2)emissions.In Colombia,GDP and international tourism had a negative impact on CO_(2)emissions.In Brazil,CO_(2)emissions were primarily driven by GDP,while in Chile,Ecuador,and Peru,international tourism had a negative effect on CO_(2)emissions.Overall,this study highlights the importance of country-specific strategies for reducing CO_(2)emissions and emphasizes the varying roles of these driving factors in shaping environmental quality in the 7 South American countries.展开更多
本文利用笔者推算的我国 CO2 排出量的数据对我国 CO2 排出量的要因进行了分析 .分析结果表明 ,导致我国 CO2 排出量增加的最大原因是由于经济的发展 ,另外还有人口的增加。与此同时 ,能源消费效率的改善起到了抑制 CO2 排出的作用 .而...本文利用笔者推算的我国 CO2 排出量的数据对我国 CO2 排出量的要因进行了分析 .分析结果表明 ,导致我国 CO2 排出量增加的最大原因是由于经济的发展 ,另外还有人口的增加。与此同时 ,能源消费效率的改善起到了抑制 CO2 排出的作用 .而能源消费结构的因素对CO2 排出量的变化几乎没有什么作用 .从工业部门来看 ,对我国 CO2 排出量影响作用比较大的是建材 ,金属冶炼 ,化学 ,煤炭采掘 ,机械等重化学工业部门 .因此 ,在考虑削减 CO2 排出量的对策时 ,应把重工业部门作为主要对象 .展开更多
Stabilizing global climate change to within 1.5℃requires a reduction in greenhouse gas emissions,with a primary focus on carbon dioxide(CO_(2))emissions.CO_(2)flooding in oilfields has recently been recognized as an ...Stabilizing global climate change to within 1.5℃requires a reduction in greenhouse gas emissions,with a primary focus on carbon dioxide(CO_(2))emissions.CO_(2)flooding in oilfields has recently been recognized as an important way to reduce CO_(2)emissions by storing CO_(2)in oil reservoirs.This work proposes an advanced CO_(2)enhanced oil recovery(EOR)method-namely,storage-driven CO_(2)EOR-whose main target is to realize net-zero or even negative CO_(2)emissions by sequestrating the maximum possible amount of CO_(2)in oil reservoirs while accomplishing the maximum possible oil recovery.Here,dimethyl ether(DME)is employed as an efficient agent in assisting conventional CO_(2)EOR for oil recovery while enhancing CO_(2)sequestration in reservoirs.The results show that DME improves the solubility of CO_(2)in in situ oil,which is beneficial for the solubility trapping of CO_(2)storage;furthermore,the presence of DME inhibits the"escape"of lighter hydrocarbons from crude oil due to the CO_(2)extraction effect,which is critical for sustainable oil recovery.Sto rage-driven CO_(2)EOR is superior to conventional CO_(2)EOR in improving sweeping efficiency,especially during the late oil production period.This work demonstrates that storage-driven CO_(2)EOR exhibits higher oil-in-place(OIP)recovery than conventional CO_(2)EOR.Moreover,the amount of sequestrated CO_(2)in storage-driven CO_(2)EOR exceeds the amount of emissions from burning the produced oil;that is,the sequestrated CO_(2)offsets not only current emissions but also past CO_(2)emissions.By altering developing scenarios,such as water alternating storage-driven CO_(2)EOR,more CO_(2)sequestration and higher oil recovery can be achieved.This work demonstrates the potential utilization of DME as an efficient additive to CO_(2)for enhancing oil recovery while improving CO_(2)storage in oil reservoirs.展开更多
China’s first carbon dioxide(CO_(2))measurement satellite mission,TanSat,was launched in December 2016.This paper introduces the first attempt to detect anthropogenic CO_(2) emission signatures using CO_(2) observati...China’s first carbon dioxide(CO_(2))measurement satellite mission,TanSat,was launched in December 2016.This paper introduces the first attempt to detect anthropogenic CO_(2) emission signatures using CO_(2) observations from TanSat and NO_(2) measurements from the TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument(TROPOMI)onboard the Copernicus Sentinel-5 Precursor(S5P)satellite.We focus our analysis on two selected cases in Tangshan,China and Tokyo,Japan.We found that the TanSat XCO_(2) measurements have the capability to capture the anthropogenic variations in the plume and have spatial patterns similar to that of the TROPOMI NO_(2) observations.The linear fit between TanSat XCO_(2) and TROPOMI NO_(2) indicates the CO_(2)-to-NO_(2) ratio of 0.8×10^(-16) ppm(molec cm^(-2))^(-1) in Tangshan and 2.3×10^(-16) ppm(molec cm^(-2))^(-1) in Tokyo.Our results align with the CO_(2)-to-NOx emission ratios obtained from the EDGAR v6 emission inventory.展开更多
Detailed research on China's CO_(2) emission pathway of the 2030 peak and 2060 carbon neutrality goals is fundamental to promote China's climate change action.Previous studies on emission pathways have been ba...Detailed research on China's CO_(2) emission pathway of the 2030 peak and 2060 carbon neutrality goals is fundamental to promote China's climate change action.Previous studies on emission pathways have been based on long-term emission data or model analyses.However,few studies have achieved synergy and pathway optimization at both the micro and macro levels or focused on China's 2060 carbon neutrality goal,making it difficult to support the systematic management of national and regional emission pathways.In this study,we developed an integrated CO_(2) emission pathway model,the Chinese Academy of Environmental Planning Carbon Pathways 1.2 model,under China's climate change goals.Our pathway coupled the top-down and bottom-up approaches and conducted optimization analysis under social fairness and optimal cost conditions.The results provide a clear CO_(2) emission pathway and offer insights for implementing fine management of CO_(2) emissions at the national,regional,sectoral,and spatial gridded levels.展开更多
Elevated levels of atmospheric CO_(2)(eCO_(2))promote rice growth and increase methane(CH_(4))emissions from rice paddies,because increased input of plant photosynthate to soil stimulates methanogenic archae.However,t...Elevated levels of atmospheric CO_(2)(eCO_(2))promote rice growth and increase methane(CH_(4))emissions from rice paddies,because increased input of plant photosynthate to soil stimulates methanogenic archae.However,temporal trends in the effects of eCO_(2)on rice growth and CH_(4)emissions are still unclear.To investigate changes in the effects of eCO_(2)over time,we conducted a two-season pot experiment in a walk-in growth chamber.Positive effects of eCO_(2)on rice leaf photosynthetic rate,biomass,and grain yield were similar between growing seasons.However,the effects of eCO_(2)on CH_(4) emissions decreased over time.Elevated CO_(2)increased CH_(4)emissions by 48%-101%in the first growing season,but only by 28%-30%in the second growing season.We also identified the microbial process underlying the acclimation of CH4 emissions to atmospheric CO_(2)enrichment:eCO_(2)stimulated the abundance of methanotrophs more strongly in soils that had been previously exposed to eCO_(2)than in soils that had not been.These results emphasize the need for long-term eCO_(2)experiments for accurate predictions of terrestrial feedbacks.展开更多
Developing countries are facing the problem of environmental degradation.Environmental degradation is caused by the use of non-renewable energy consumptions for economic growth but the consequences of environmental de...Developing countries are facing the problem of environmental degradation.Environmental degradation is caused by the use of non-renewable energy consumptions for economic growth but the consequences of environmental degradation cannot be ignored.This primary purpose of this study is to investigate the nexus between energy consumption,economic growth and CO_(2) emission in Pakistan by using annual time series data from 1965 to 2015.The estimated results of ARDL indicate that energy consumption and economic growth increase the CO_(2) emissions in Pakistan both in short run and long run.Based on the estimated results it is recommended that policy maker in Pakistan should adopt and promote such renewable energy sources that will help to meet the increased demand for energy by replacing old traditional energy sources such as coal,gas,and oil.Renewable energy sources are reusable that can reduce the CO_(2) emissions and also ensure sustainable economic development of Pakistan.展开更多
A systematic strategy for retrofit of the multi-period heat exchanger network (HEN) on the basis of the multi- objective optimization is developed. In this three-stage procedure, a simplified multi-objective optimiz...A systematic strategy for retrofit of the multi-period heat exchanger network (HEN) on the basis of the multi- objective optimization is developed. In this three-stage procedure, a simplified multi-objective optimization model of the multi-period lIEN is first established and then solved to target the retrofit, aiming to minimizing the total annual cost and total annual CO2 emissions. The obtained Pareto front represents series of retrofit targets under different emission limitations, from which the most desirable one can be selected. The matching of the existing and the required heat exchangers is further implemented to finalize the retrofit, which will meet the practical retrofit requirements and matching restrictions. The application of the proposed procedure is illustrated through a case study of a HEN in a vacuum gas oil hydro-treating unit.展开更多
Green development has become an increasingly important global initiative.Therefore,this study focuses on the impact of green product exports on carbon emissions in China.Firm-level datasets are used to estimate provin...Green development has become an increasingly important global initiative.Therefore,this study focuses on the impact of green product exports on carbon emissions in China.Firm-level datasets are used to estimate provincial green product exports between 2001-2016.This study estimates the impact of green exports on carbon emissions using the system generalized method of moments methodology.In addition,heterogeneity and asymmetry of the nexus are explored.The following findings are highlighted:(1)China’s green product exports show a significant upward trend during the study period;(2)increased green product exports,especially those of high-technology manufacturers,can effectively mitigate CO_(2) emissions;(3)the influence of green product exports on carbon emissions is regional heterogeneous but consistent across quantiles;and(4)technique and scale effects are significant mediators,whereas the composition effect is not.These findings provide new evidence supporting methods to mitigate China’s CO_(2) emissions by adjusting green product export structures.展开更多
The argument over fiscal decentralization and carbon dioxide emission(CO_(2))reduction has received much attention.However,evidence to back this claim is limited.Economic theory predicts that fiscal decentralization a...The argument over fiscal decentralization and carbon dioxide emission(CO_(2))reduction has received much attention.However,evidence to back this claim is limited.Economic theory predicts that fiscal decentralization affects environmental quality,but the specifics of this relationship are still up for debate.Some scholars noted that fiscal decentralization might lead to a race to the top,whereas others contended that it would result in a race to the bottom.In light of the current debates in environmental and development economics,this study aims to provide insight into how this relationship may function in South Africa from 1960 to 2020.In contrast to the existing research,the present study uses a novel dynamic autoregressive distributed lag simulation approach to assess the positive and negative changes in fiscal decentralization,scale effect,technique effect,technological innovation,foreign direct investment,energy consumption,industrial growth,and trade openness on CO_(2)emissions.The following are the main findings:(i)Fiscal decentralization had a CO_(2)emission reduction impact in the short and long run,highlighting the presence of the race to the top approach.(ii)Economic growth(as represented by the scale effect)eroded ecological integrity.However,its square(as expressed by technique effect)aided in strengthening ecological protection,validating the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis.(iii)CO_(2)emissions were driven by energy utilization,trade openness,industrial value-added,and foreign direct investment,whereas technological innovation boosted ecological integrity.Findings suggest that further fiscal decentralization should be undertaken through further devolution of power to local entities,particularly regarding environmental policy issues,to maintain South Africa’s ecological sustainability.South Africa should also establish policies to improve environmental sustainability by strengthening a lower layer of government and clarifying responsibilities at the national and local levels to fulfill the energy-saving functions of fiscal expenditures.展开更多
Electroreduction of CO_(2)shows great potential for global CO_(2)utilization and uptake when collaborated with renewable electricity.Recent advances have been achieved in fundamental understanding and electrocatalyst ...Electroreduction of CO_(2)shows great potential for global CO_(2)utilization and uptake when collaborated with renewable electricity.Recent advances have been achieved in fundamental understanding and electrocatalyst development for CO_(2)electroreduction.We think this research area has progressed to the stage where significant efforts can focus on translating the obtained knowledge to the development of largescale electrolyzers,which have the potential to accelerate the transition of the current energy system into a sustainable and zero-carbon emission energy structure.In this perspective paper,we first critically evaluate the advancement of vapor-feed devices that use CO_(2)as reactants,from the point of view of industry applications.Then,by carefully comparing their performance to the state-of-the-art water electrolyzers which are well-established technology providing realistic performance targets,we looped back and discussed the remaining challenges including electrode catalysts,reaction conditions,mass transporting,membrane,device durability,operation mode,and so on.Finally,we provide perspectives on the challenges and suggest opportunities for generating fundamental knowledge and achieving technological progress toward the development of practical CO_(2)electrolyzers for the goal of building lowcarbon or/and net carbon-free economies.展开更多
Residential sector is one of the energy-consuming districts of countries that causes CO_(2)emission in large extent.In this regard,this sector must be considered in energy policy making related to the reduction of emi...Residential sector is one of the energy-consuming districts of countries that causes CO_(2)emission in large extent.In this regard,this sector must be considered in energy policy making related to the reduction of emission of CO_(2)and other greenhouse gases.In the present work,CO_(2)emission related to the residential sector of three countries,including Indonesia,Thailand,and Vietnam in Southeast Asia,are discussed and modeled by employing Group Method of Data Handling(GMDH)and Multilayer Perceptron(MLP)neural networks as powerful intelligent methods.Prior to modeling,data related to the energy consumption of these countries are represented,discussed,and analyzed.Subsequently,to propose a model,electricity,natural gas,coal,and oil products consumptions are applied as inputs,and CO_(2)emission is considered as the model’s output.The obtained R^(2) values for the generated models based on MLP and GMDH are 0.9987 and 0.9985,respectively.Furthermore,values of the Average Absolute Relative Deviation(AARD)of the regressions using the mentioned techniques are around 4.56%and 5.53%,respectively.These values reveal significant exactness of the models proposed in this article;however,making use of MLP with the optimal architecture would lead to higher accuracy.展开更多
Steel making is energy and material intensive.That is why steel is always demonized and confronted with incriminations and requirements for reduction of its environmental impact.Those pure demands-like for emission tr...Steel making is energy and material intensive.That is why steel is always demonized and confronted with incriminations and requirements for reduction of its environmental impact.Those pure demands-like for emission trading are short-sighted as they do not base on an integrated approach.Instead they merely consider CO_2 emissions during the production process.A forward-looking,global climate and environmental policy needs a sustainable life cycle approach.Therefore it must for example also take into account the contribution of steel towards cutting emissions in its application-in the energy.automotive and household sectors.Steel will play a key role in climate protection. One-third of the remaining CO_2 reduction target planned in Germany by 2020 can only be achieved with the help of innovative steel products and their applications.This is the conclusion of an independent study by The Boston Consulting Group(BCG) on behalf of Steel Institute VDEh,and German Steel Federation.The study compares CO_2 savings from important innovative steel applications(such as more efficient power stations,wind turbines,or lighter vehicles) with CO_2 emissions caused by steel production. By adopting this comprehensive perspective,the study for the first time provides a CO_2 balance for the material steel by comparing the CO_2 reductions made possible through innovative steel applications with the CO_2 emissions resulting from steel production.The balance was calculated on the basis of eight selected innovative steel applications in Germany for the period 2007 to 2020,whereby the CO_2 emissions caused by steel production were considered throughout the entire life cycle of the particular steel use.For the selected examples,the use of innovative steels resulted in a total savings potential of 74 Mt of CO_2 in 2020.The calculations are based on conservative assumptions;for example without counting of potentials by exported steel or by comparison with competitive materials. The production of steel in Germany,including the extraction of raw materials,transports and further processing, causes annual emissions of approx.67 Mt CO_2 This can be more than compensated by the above mentioned CO_2 savings.The balance is even more positive if one only considers the emissions of about 12 Mt/a CO_2 caused by the selected eight steel applications.Innovative steel use thus saves six times as much CO_2 as is generated by its production. Steel is part of the story and helps to achieve CO_2 reduction targets.On this basis the steel industry should start up with a new global approach to be accepted as a CO_2 killer,too,instead of being the devil.This needs a political discussion on an integrated approach taking into account the whole life cycle,which finally can lead away from stringent emission caps or incompatible emissions trading systems for the different regions.展开更多
This study is motivated by the interesting relationship between the income Kuznets curve and the carbon Kuznets curve.This paper focuses on the interaction effects of income distribution and income per capita on CO_2 ...This study is motivated by the interesting relationship between the income Kuznets curve and the carbon Kuznets curve.This paper focuses on the interaction effects of income distribution and income per capita on CO_2 emissions using country group panel data over the period of 1980 to 2006 by employing fixed effects(FE),random effects(RE)and feasible generalized least squares(FGLS)estimation methods.The main findings are as follows.(1)There exists an inverted-U relationship between CO_2 emissions per capita and income per capita in all sample countries and high-income groups.(2)The cross-country income disparity has a negative effect on the average level of CO_2 emissions but a positive effect on the aggregate income elasticity of CO_2 emissions.(3)This negative effect of income disparity on the average level of CO_2emissions decreases along with the growth of per capita income.Thus,economic growth contributes to the reduction of this negative impact.展开更多
基金supported by Major programs of humanities and social science base,Ministry of Education[grant number10JJD630011]
文摘Establishing positive and urgent targets for CO_2 reduction and emission peak,and promoting energy conservation and energy structure adjustment are among the strategies to address global climate change and CO_2 emissions reduction.They are also means to break through the constraints of domestic resources and environment,and internal needs,to achieve sustainable development.Generally speaking,a country's CO_2 emission peak appears after achieving urbanization and industrialization.By then,connotative economic growth will appear,GDP will grow slowly,energy consumption elasticity will decrease,and energy consumption growth will slow down-dependent mainly on new and renewable energies.Fossil fuel consumption will not increase further.When CO_2 emission reaches its peak,the annual reduction rate of CO_2 intensity of GDP is greater than GDP annual growth rate;and the annual reduction rate of CO_2 intensity of energy use is greater than the annual growth rate of energy consumption.Therefore,three important approaches to promotion of CO_2 emission peak can be concluded:maintaining reasonable control of GDP growth,strengthening energy conservation to significantly reduce the GDP energy intensity,and optimizing the energy mix to reduce the CO_2 intensity of energy use.By around 2030,China will basically have completed its rapid development phase of industrialization and urbanization.Connotative economic growth will appear with the acceleration of industrial structure adjustment The target of GDP energy intensity will still be to maintain an average annual reduction of 3%or higher.The proportion of non-fossil fuels will reach 20-25%,and the aim will be to maintain an average annual growth rate of 6-8%.The total annual energy demand growth of 1.5%will be satisfied by the newly increased supply of non-fossil fuels.The annual decline in CO_2 intensity of GDP will reach 4.5%or higher,which is compatible with an average annual GDP growth rate of approximately 4.5%in order to reach CO_2 emission peak.This corresponds to the level of China's potential economic growth.Achieving CO_2 emission peak will not impose a rigid constraint on economic development,but rather promote economic development and accelerate the transformation of green,low-carbon development.The CO_2 emission peak can be controlled with a cap of 11 billion tons,which means that CO_2 emission will increase by less than 50%compared with 2010.The per capita emission peak will be controlled at a level of less than 8 tons,which is lower than the 9.5 tons in the EU and Japan and much lower than the 20 tons in the US,future economic and social development faces many uncertainties in achieving the CO_2 emission peak discussed above.It depends on current and future strategies and policies,as well as the pace and strength of economic transformation,innovation,and new energy technologies.If the economic transformation pattern fails to meet expectations,the time required to reach CO_2emission peak would be delayed and the peak level would be higher than expected.Therefore,we need to coordinate thoughts and ideas and deploy these in advance;to highlight the strategic position of low-carbon development and its priorities;to enact mid-to long-term energy development strategies;and to establish and improve a system of laws,regulations,and policies as well as an implementation mechanism for green,low-carbon development Oriented by positive and urgent CO_2 reduction and peak targets,the government would form a reversed mechanism to promote economic transformation and embark on the path of green,low-carbon development as soon as possible.
文摘To study effect of C2H2 and change of headspace gas on N2O emission, denitrification, as well as CO2emission, slumes of an agricultural soil were anaerobically incubated for 7 da3’s at 25 ℃. Both N2O reduction and CO2 emissions were inhibited by the addition of 100 mL L-1 of C2H2. However, the inhibition to CO2 emission was alleviated by the replacement of headspace gas, and the N2O emission was enhanced by the replacement. Acetylene disappeared evidently from the soil slumes during the incubation. Consequently results obtained from the traditional C2H2 blocking technique for determination of denitrification rate, especially in a long-time incubation, should be explained with care because of its side effect existing in the incubation environments without change of headspace gas. To reduce the possible side effect on the processes other than denitrification, it is suggested that headspace gas should be replaced several times during a long-time incubation.
基金supported by the China National Fund for Social Sciences[grant number 11 BRK001]the Sichuan University National Special Fund for Researches in Institutions of Higher Learning[grant number SKX201031]
文摘Global climate change is one of the major environmental issues faced by humans.Existing evidence indicates that the anthropogenic push for a rise in the atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gases(GHGs)(particularly CO_2) has been a primary cause for global warming.Aside from economic and teclinological factors,demographic dynamics(including human consumption in a broad demographic sense) has been a major driver for CO_2 emissions.In this paper,we performed both nonlinear regression analysis(based on the STIRPAT model) and gray correlation degree analysis(based on gray system theory) on the impact of demographic dynamics on CO_2 emissions.Our results reveal that CO_2 emissions are positively correlated with population size and GDP per capita and negatively correlated with energy intensity.We also show that gray con-elation degree with CO_2 emissions for five variables(i.e.,household consumption,urbanization rate,household size,population aging rate,population size) varies substantially:household consumption > urbanization rate >household size > population aging rate > population size,with household consumption being the highest,and population size the lowest.To mitigate the impact of demographic dynamics on CO_2 emissions,it is of vital significance to nurture people's awareness of sustainable consumption and to adhere to current population control policies.
基金supported by the Shanghai Sailing Program (Grant No. 22YF1442000)the Key Laboratory of Middle Atmosphere and Global Environment Observation(Grant No. LAGEO-2021-07)+1 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 41975035)Jiaxing University (Grant Nos. 00323027AL and CD70522035)。
文摘Coal-fired power plants are a major carbon source in China. In order to assess the evaluation of China's carbon reduction progress with the promise made on the Paris Agreement, it is crucial to monitor the carbon flux intensity from coal-fired power plants. Previous studies have calculated CO_(2) emissions from point sources based on Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 and-3(OCO-2 and OCO-3) satellite measurements, but the factors affecting CO_(2) flux estimations are uncertain. In this study, we employ a Gaussian Plume Model to estimate CO_(2) emissions from three power plants in China based on OCO-3 XCO_(2) measurements. Moreover, flux uncertainties resulting from wind information, background values,satellite CO_(2) measurements, and atmospheric stability are discussed. This study highlights the CO_(2) flux uncertainty derived from the satellite measurements. Finally, satellite-based CO_(2) emission estimates are compared to bottom-up inventories.The satellite-based CO_(2) emission estimates at the Tuoketuo and Nongliushi power plants are ~30 and ~10 kt d^(-1) smaller than the Open-Data Inventory for Anthropogenic Carbon dioxide(ODIAC) respectively, but ~10 kt d^(-1) larger than the ODIAC at Baotou.
基金Open Access funding enabled and organized by CAUL and its Member Institutions
文摘Investing in projects that support environmental benefits,such as tree harvesting,has the potential to reduce air pollution levels in the atmosphere in the future.However,this kind of investment may increase the current level of emissions.Therefore,it is necessary to estimate how much the policy affects the current level of CO_(2) emissions.This makes sure the policy doesn’t increase the level of CO_(2) emis-sions.This study aims to analyze the effect of the One Bil-lion Trees program on CO_(2) emissions in New Zealand by employing the 2020 input–output table analysis.This inves-tigation examines the direct and indirect effects of policy on both the demand and supply sides across six regions of New Zealand.The results of this study for the first year of plantation suggest that the policy increases the level of CO_(2) emissions in all regions,especially in the Waikato region.The direct and indirect impact of the policy leads to 64 kt of CO_(2) emissions on the demand side and 270 kt of CO_(2) emis-sions on the supply side.These lead to 0.19 and 0.74%of total CO_(2) emissions being attributed to investment shocks.Continuing the policy is recommended,as it has a low effect on CO_(2) emissions.However,it is crucial to prioritize the use of low-carbon machinery that uses fossil fuels during the plantation process.
文摘One of the impacts of the Fukushima disaster was the shutdown of all nuclear power plants in Japan,reaching zero production in 2015.In response,the country started importing more fossil energy including coal,oil,and natural gas to fill the energy gap.However,this led to a significant increase in carbon emissions,hindering the efforts to reduce its carbon footprint.In the current situation,Japan is actively working to balance its energy requirements with environmental considerations,including the utilization of hydrogen fuel.Therefore,this paper aims to explore the feasibility and implications of using hydrogen power plants as a means to reduce emissions,and this analysis will be conducted using the energy modeling of the MARKAL-TIMES Japan framework.The hydrogen scenario(HS)is assumed with the extensive integration of hydrogen into the power generation sector,supported by a hydrogen import scheme.Additionally,this scenario will be compared with the Business as Usual(BAU)scenario.The results showed that the generation capacities of the BAU and HS scenarios have significantly different primary energy supplies.The BAU scenario is highly dependent on fossil fuels,while the HS scenario integrates hydrogen contribution along with an increase in renewable energy,reaching a peak contribution of 2,160 PJ in 2050.In the HS scenario,the target of reducing CO_(2) emissions by 80%is achieved through significant hydrogen penetration.By 2050,the total CO_(2) emissions are estimated to be 939 million tons for the BAU scenario and 261 million tons for the Hydrogen scenario.In addition,the contribution of hydrogen to electricity generation is expected to be 153 TWh,smaller than PV and wind power.
文摘Carbon emissions have become a critical concern in the global effort to combat climate change,with each country or region contributing differently based on its economic structures,energy sources,and industrial activities.The factors influencing carbon emissions vary across countries and sectors.This study examined the factors influencing CO_(2)emissions in the 7 South American countries including Argentina,Brazil,Chile,Colombia,Ecuador,Peru,and Venezuela.We used the Seemingly Unrelated Regression(SUR)model to analyse the relationship of CO_(2)emissions with gross domestic product(GDP),renewable energy use,urbanization,industrialization,international tourism,agricultural productivity,and forest area based on data from 2000 to 2022.According to the SUR model,we found that GDP and industrialization had a moderate positive effect on CO_(2)emissions,whereas renewable energy use had a moderate negative effect on CO_(2)emissions.International tourism generally had a positive impact on CO_(2)emissions,while forest area tended to decrease CO_(2)emissions.Different variables had different effects on CO_(2)emissions in the 7 South American countries.In Argentina and Venezuela,GDP,international tourism,and agricultural productivity significantly affected CO_(2)emissions.In Colombia,GDP and international tourism had a negative impact on CO_(2)emissions.In Brazil,CO_(2)emissions were primarily driven by GDP,while in Chile,Ecuador,and Peru,international tourism had a negative effect on CO_(2)emissions.Overall,this study highlights the importance of country-specific strategies for reducing CO_(2)emissions and emphasizes the varying roles of these driving factors in shaping environmental quality in the 7 South American countries.
文摘本文利用笔者推算的我国 CO2 排出量的数据对我国 CO2 排出量的要因进行了分析 .分析结果表明 ,导致我国 CO2 排出量增加的最大原因是由于经济的发展 ,另外还有人口的增加。与此同时 ,能源消费效率的改善起到了抑制 CO2 排出的作用 .而能源消费结构的因素对CO2 排出量的变化几乎没有什么作用 .从工业部门来看 ,对我国 CO2 排出量影响作用比较大的是建材 ,金属冶炼 ,化学 ,煤炭采掘 ,机械等重化学工业部门 .因此 ,在考虑削减 CO2 排出量的对策时 ,应把重工业部门作为主要对象 .
基金financial support from the Science Foundation of China University of Petroleum,Beijing(2462021QNXZ012 and 2462021YJRC012)supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities。
文摘Stabilizing global climate change to within 1.5℃requires a reduction in greenhouse gas emissions,with a primary focus on carbon dioxide(CO_(2))emissions.CO_(2)flooding in oilfields has recently been recognized as an important way to reduce CO_(2)emissions by storing CO_(2)in oil reservoirs.This work proposes an advanced CO_(2)enhanced oil recovery(EOR)method-namely,storage-driven CO_(2)EOR-whose main target is to realize net-zero or even negative CO_(2)emissions by sequestrating the maximum possible amount of CO_(2)in oil reservoirs while accomplishing the maximum possible oil recovery.Here,dimethyl ether(DME)is employed as an efficient agent in assisting conventional CO_(2)EOR for oil recovery while enhancing CO_(2)sequestration in reservoirs.The results show that DME improves the solubility of CO_(2)in in situ oil,which is beneficial for the solubility trapping of CO_(2)storage;furthermore,the presence of DME inhibits the"escape"of lighter hydrocarbons from crude oil due to the CO_(2)extraction effect,which is critical for sustainable oil recovery.Sto rage-driven CO_(2)EOR is superior to conventional CO_(2)EOR in improving sweeping efficiency,especially during the late oil production period.This work demonstrates that storage-driven CO_(2)EOR exhibits higher oil-in-place(OIP)recovery than conventional CO_(2)EOR.Moreover,the amount of sequestrated CO_(2)in storage-driven CO_(2)EOR exceeds the amount of emissions from burning the produced oil;that is,the sequestrated CO_(2)offsets not only current emissions but also past CO_(2)emissions.By altering developing scenarios,such as water alternating storage-driven CO_(2)EOR,more CO_(2)sequestration and higher oil recovery can be achieved.This work demonstrates the potential utilization of DME as an efficient additive to CO_(2)for enhancing oil recovery while improving CO_(2)storage in oil reservoirs.
基金supported by the National Key Research And Development Plan (2019YFE0127500)International Partnership Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (060GJHZ2022070MI)+2 种基金the Key Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (ZDRWZS-2019-1)the Finland-China mobility cooperation project funded by the Academy of Finland (No. 348596)Financial support for the Academy of Finland (No. 336798)
文摘China’s first carbon dioxide(CO_(2))measurement satellite mission,TanSat,was launched in December 2016.This paper introduces the first attempt to detect anthropogenic CO_(2) emission signatures using CO_(2) observations from TanSat and NO_(2) measurements from the TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument(TROPOMI)onboard the Copernicus Sentinel-5 Precursor(S5P)satellite.We focus our analysis on two selected cases in Tangshan,China and Tokyo,Japan.We found that the TanSat XCO_(2) measurements have the capability to capture the anthropogenic variations in the plume and have spatial patterns similar to that of the TROPOMI NO_(2) observations.The linear fit between TanSat XCO_(2) and TROPOMI NO_(2) indicates the CO_(2)-to-NO_(2) ratio of 0.8×10^(-16) ppm(molec cm^(-2))^(-1) in Tangshan and 2.3×10^(-16) ppm(molec cm^(-2))^(-1) in Tokyo.Our results align with the CO_(2)-to-NOx emission ratios obtained from the EDGAR v6 emission inventory.
基金The research was funded by the project“An Emission Scenario Air Quality Model Based Study on the Evaluation of‘Dual Attainments’of Chinese City”[Grant number.72074154],supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China.
文摘Detailed research on China's CO_(2) emission pathway of the 2030 peak and 2060 carbon neutrality goals is fundamental to promote China's climate change action.Previous studies on emission pathways have been based on long-term emission data or model analyses.However,few studies have achieved synergy and pathway optimization at both the micro and macro levels or focused on China's 2060 carbon neutrality goal,making it difficult to support the systematic management of national and regional emission pathways.In this study,we developed an integrated CO_(2) emission pathway model,the Chinese Academy of Environmental Planning Carbon Pathways 1.2 model,under China's climate change goals.Our pathway coupled the top-down and bottom-up approaches and conducted optimization analysis under social fairness and optimal cost conditions.The results provide a clear CO_(2) emission pathway and offer insights for implementing fine management of CO_(2) emissions at the national,regional,sectoral,and spatial gridded levels.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2017YFD0300104,2016YFD0300903,2015BAC02B02)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(32022061)+3 种基金the Special Fund for Agroscientific Research in the Public Interest(201503118,201503122)the Agricultural Science and Technology Innovation Program of CAAS(Y2016PT12,Y2016XT01)the Modern Agricultural Development of Jiangsu Province(2019-SJ-039-07)the GEF Project of Climate Smart Staple Crop Production in China(P144531)。
文摘Elevated levels of atmospheric CO_(2)(eCO_(2))promote rice growth and increase methane(CH_(4))emissions from rice paddies,because increased input of plant photosynthate to soil stimulates methanogenic archae.However,temporal trends in the effects of eCO_(2)on rice growth and CH_(4)emissions are still unclear.To investigate changes in the effects of eCO_(2)over time,we conducted a two-season pot experiment in a walk-in growth chamber.Positive effects of eCO_(2)on rice leaf photosynthetic rate,biomass,and grain yield were similar between growing seasons.However,the effects of eCO_(2)on CH_(4) emissions decreased over time.Elevated CO_(2)increased CH_(4)emissions by 48%-101%in the first growing season,but only by 28%-30%in the second growing season.We also identified the microbial process underlying the acclimation of CH4 emissions to atmospheric CO_(2)enrichment:eCO_(2)stimulated the abundance of methanotrophs more strongly in soils that had been previously exposed to eCO_(2)than in soils that had not been.These results emphasize the need for long-term eCO_(2)experiments for accurate predictions of terrestrial feedbacks.
文摘Developing countries are facing the problem of environmental degradation.Environmental degradation is caused by the use of non-renewable energy consumptions for economic growth but the consequences of environmental degradation cannot be ignored.This primary purpose of this study is to investigate the nexus between energy consumption,economic growth and CO_(2) emission in Pakistan by using annual time series data from 1965 to 2015.The estimated results of ARDL indicate that energy consumption and economic growth increase the CO_(2) emissions in Pakistan both in short run and long run.Based on the estimated results it is recommended that policy maker in Pakistan should adopt and promote such renewable energy sources that will help to meet the increased demand for energy by replacing old traditional energy sources such as coal,gas,and oil.Renewable energy sources are reusable that can reduce the CO_(2) emissions and also ensure sustainable economic development of Pakistan.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(21376188,21676211)
文摘A systematic strategy for retrofit of the multi-period heat exchanger network (HEN) on the basis of the multi- objective optimization is developed. In this three-stage procedure, a simplified multi-objective optimization model of the multi-period lIEN is first established and then solved to target the retrofit, aiming to minimizing the total annual cost and total annual CO2 emissions. The obtained Pareto front represents series of retrofit targets under different emission limitations, from which the most desirable one can be selected. The matching of the existing and the required heat exchangers is further implemented to finalize the retrofit, which will meet the practical retrofit requirements and matching restrictions. The application of the proposed procedure is illustrated through a case study of a HEN in a vacuum gas oil hydro-treating unit.
基金This study was supported by the National Social Science Foundation of China[Grant number.20VGQ003].
文摘Green development has become an increasingly important global initiative.Therefore,this study focuses on the impact of green product exports on carbon emissions in China.Firm-level datasets are used to estimate provincial green product exports between 2001-2016.This study estimates the impact of green exports on carbon emissions using the system generalized method of moments methodology.In addition,heterogeneity and asymmetry of the nexus are explored.The following findings are highlighted:(1)China’s green product exports show a significant upward trend during the study period;(2)increased green product exports,especially those of high-technology manufacturers,can effectively mitigate CO_(2) emissions;(3)the influence of green product exports on carbon emissions is regional heterogeneous but consistent across quantiles;and(4)technique and scale effects are significant mediators,whereas the composition effect is not.These findings provide new evidence supporting methods to mitigate China’s CO_(2) emissions by adjusting green product export structures.
文摘The argument over fiscal decentralization and carbon dioxide emission(CO_(2))reduction has received much attention.However,evidence to back this claim is limited.Economic theory predicts that fiscal decentralization affects environmental quality,but the specifics of this relationship are still up for debate.Some scholars noted that fiscal decentralization might lead to a race to the top,whereas others contended that it would result in a race to the bottom.In light of the current debates in environmental and development economics,this study aims to provide insight into how this relationship may function in South Africa from 1960 to 2020.In contrast to the existing research,the present study uses a novel dynamic autoregressive distributed lag simulation approach to assess the positive and negative changes in fiscal decentralization,scale effect,technique effect,technological innovation,foreign direct investment,energy consumption,industrial growth,and trade openness on CO_(2)emissions.The following are the main findings:(i)Fiscal decentralization had a CO_(2)emission reduction impact in the short and long run,highlighting the presence of the race to the top approach.(ii)Economic growth(as represented by the scale effect)eroded ecological integrity.However,its square(as expressed by technique effect)aided in strengthening ecological protection,validating the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis.(iii)CO_(2)emissions were driven by energy utilization,trade openness,industrial value-added,and foreign direct investment,whereas technological innovation boosted ecological integrity.Findings suggest that further fiscal decentralization should be undertaken through further devolution of power to local entities,particularly regarding environmental policy issues,to maintain South Africa’s ecological sustainability.South Africa should also establish policies to improve environmental sustainability by strengthening a lower layer of government and clarifying responsibilities at the national and local levels to fulfill the energy-saving functions of fiscal expenditures.
基金financially supported by the Zhejiang Energy Group Co.,Ltd.(ZNKJ-2021-111)Zhejiang Province key research and development program(2022C03040)。
文摘Electroreduction of CO_(2)shows great potential for global CO_(2)utilization and uptake when collaborated with renewable electricity.Recent advances have been achieved in fundamental understanding and electrocatalyst development for CO_(2)electroreduction.We think this research area has progressed to the stage where significant efforts can focus on translating the obtained knowledge to the development of largescale electrolyzers,which have the potential to accelerate the transition of the current energy system into a sustainable and zero-carbon emission energy structure.In this perspective paper,we first critically evaluate the advancement of vapor-feed devices that use CO_(2)as reactants,from the point of view of industry applications.Then,by carefully comparing their performance to the state-of-the-art water electrolyzers which are well-established technology providing realistic performance targets,we looped back and discussed the remaining challenges including electrode catalysts,reaction conditions,mass transporting,membrane,device durability,operation mode,and so on.Finally,we provide perspectives on the challenges and suggest opportunities for generating fundamental knowledge and achieving technological progress toward the development of practical CO_(2)electrolyzers for the goal of building lowcarbon or/and net carbon-free economies.
基金This work was funded by the Ministry of Higher Education Malaysia under the Fundamental Research Grant Scheme No.FRGS/1/2020/TK0/UNIMAS/03/4.
文摘Residential sector is one of the energy-consuming districts of countries that causes CO_(2)emission in large extent.In this regard,this sector must be considered in energy policy making related to the reduction of emission of CO_(2)and other greenhouse gases.In the present work,CO_(2)emission related to the residential sector of three countries,including Indonesia,Thailand,and Vietnam in Southeast Asia,are discussed and modeled by employing Group Method of Data Handling(GMDH)and Multilayer Perceptron(MLP)neural networks as powerful intelligent methods.Prior to modeling,data related to the energy consumption of these countries are represented,discussed,and analyzed.Subsequently,to propose a model,electricity,natural gas,coal,and oil products consumptions are applied as inputs,and CO_(2)emission is considered as the model’s output.The obtained R^(2) values for the generated models based on MLP and GMDH are 0.9987 and 0.9985,respectively.Furthermore,values of the Average Absolute Relative Deviation(AARD)of the regressions using the mentioned techniques are around 4.56%and 5.53%,respectively.These values reveal significant exactness of the models proposed in this article;however,making use of MLP with the optimal architecture would lead to higher accuracy.
文摘Steel making is energy and material intensive.That is why steel is always demonized and confronted with incriminations and requirements for reduction of its environmental impact.Those pure demands-like for emission trading are short-sighted as they do not base on an integrated approach.Instead they merely consider CO_2 emissions during the production process.A forward-looking,global climate and environmental policy needs a sustainable life cycle approach.Therefore it must for example also take into account the contribution of steel towards cutting emissions in its application-in the energy.automotive and household sectors.Steel will play a key role in climate protection. One-third of the remaining CO_2 reduction target planned in Germany by 2020 can only be achieved with the help of innovative steel products and their applications.This is the conclusion of an independent study by The Boston Consulting Group(BCG) on behalf of Steel Institute VDEh,and German Steel Federation.The study compares CO_2 savings from important innovative steel applications(such as more efficient power stations,wind turbines,or lighter vehicles) with CO_2 emissions caused by steel production. By adopting this comprehensive perspective,the study for the first time provides a CO_2 balance for the material steel by comparing the CO_2 reductions made possible through innovative steel applications with the CO_2 emissions resulting from steel production.The balance was calculated on the basis of eight selected innovative steel applications in Germany for the period 2007 to 2020,whereby the CO_2 emissions caused by steel production were considered throughout the entire life cycle of the particular steel use.For the selected examples,the use of innovative steels resulted in a total savings potential of 74 Mt of CO_2 in 2020.The calculations are based on conservative assumptions;for example without counting of potentials by exported steel or by comparison with competitive materials. The production of steel in Germany,including the extraction of raw materials,transports and further processing, causes annual emissions of approx.67 Mt CO_2 This can be more than compensated by the above mentioned CO_2 savings.The balance is even more positive if one only considers the emissions of about 12 Mt/a CO_2 caused by the selected eight steel applications.Innovative steel use thus saves six times as much CO_2 as is generated by its production. Steel is part of the story and helps to achieve CO_2 reduction targets.On this basis the steel industry should start up with a new global approach to be accepted as a CO_2 killer,too,instead of being the devil.This needs a political discussion on an integrated approach taking into account the whole life cycle,which finally can lead away from stringent emission caps or incompatible emissions trading systems for the different regions.
基金supported by Grant-in-Aid for Asian CORE Program"Manufacturing and Environmental Management in East Asia" of Japan Society for the Promotion of Science(JSPS)
文摘This study is motivated by the interesting relationship between the income Kuznets curve and the carbon Kuznets curve.This paper focuses on the interaction effects of income distribution and income per capita on CO_2 emissions using country group panel data over the period of 1980 to 2006 by employing fixed effects(FE),random effects(RE)and feasible generalized least squares(FGLS)estimation methods.The main findings are as follows.(1)There exists an inverted-U relationship between CO_2 emissions per capita and income per capita in all sample countries and high-income groups.(2)The cross-country income disparity has a negative effect on the average level of CO_2 emissions but a positive effect on the aggregate income elasticity of CO_2 emissions.(3)This negative effect of income disparity on the average level of CO_2emissions decreases along with the growth of per capita income.Thus,economic growth contributes to the reduction of this negative impact.