CAS-ESM2.0 Dataset for the Carbon Dioxide Removal Model Intercomparison Project(CDRMIP)

Understanding the response of the Earth system to varying concentrations of carbon dioxide(CO_(2))is critical for projecting possible future climate change and for providing insight into mitigation and adaptation strategies in the near future.In this study,we generate a dataset by conducting an experiment involving carbon dioxide removal(CDR)—a potential way to suppress global warming—using the Chinese Academy of Sciences Earth System Model version 2.0(CASESM2.0).A preliminary evaluation is provided.The model is integrated from 200–340 years as a 1%yr^(−1) CO_(2) concentration increase experiment,and then to~478 years as a carbon dioxide removal experiment until CO_(2) returns to its original value.Finally,another 80 years is integrated in which CO_(2) is kept constant.Changes in the 2-m temperature,precipitation,sea surface temperature,ocean temperature,Atlantic meridional overturning circulation(AMOC),and sea surface height are all analyzed.In the ramp-up period,the global mean 2-m temperature and precipitation both increase while the AMOC weakens.Values of all the above variables change in the opposite direction in the ramp-down period,with a delayed peak relative to the CO_(2) peak.After CO_(2) returns to its original value,the global mean 2-m temperature is still~1 K higher than in the original state,and precipitation is~0.07 mm d^(–1) higher.At the end of the simulation,there is a~0.5°C increase in ocean temperature and a 1 Sv weakening of the AMOC.Our model simulation produces similar results to those of comparable experiments previously reported in the literature.

Response of ocean acidification to atmospheric carbon dioxide removal

Artificial CO_(2)removal from the atmosphere(also referred to as negative CO_(2)emissions)has been proposed as a potential means to counteract anthropogenic climate change.Here we use an Earth system model to examine the response of ocean acidification to idealized atmospheric CO_(2)removal scenarios.In our simulations,atmospheric CO_(2)is assumed to increase at a rate of 1%per year to four times its pre-industrial value and then decreases to the pre-industrial level at a rate of 0.5%,1%,2%per year,respectively.Our results show that the annual mean state of surface ocean carbonate chemistry fields including hydrogen ion concentration([H^(+)]),pH and aragonite saturation state respond quickly to removal of atmospheric CO_(2).However,the change of seasonal cycle in carbonate chemistry lags behind the decline in atmospheric CO_(2).When CO_(2)returns to the pre-industrial level,over some parts of the ocean,relative to the pre-industrial state,the seasonal amplitude of carbonate chemistry fields is substantially larger.Simulation results also show that changes in deep ocean carbonate chemistry substantially lag behind atmospheric CO_(2)change.When CO_(2)returns to its pre-industrial value,the whole-ocean acidity measured by[H^(+)]is 15%-18%larger than the pre-industrial level,depending on the rate of CO_(2)decrease.Our study demonstrates that even if atmospheric CO_(2)can be lowered in the future as a result of net negative CO_(2)emissions,the recovery of some aspects of ocean acidification would take decades to centuries,which would have important implications for the resilience of marine ecosystems.

The carbon dioxide removal potential of Liquid Air Energy Storage: A high-level technical and economic appraisal

Liquid Air Energy Storage(LAES)is at pilot scale.Air cooling and liquefaction stores energy;reheating revaporises the air at pressure,powering a turbine or engine(Ameel et al.,2013).Liquefaction requires water&CO2 removal,preventing ice fouling.This paper proposes subsequent geological storage of this CO2–offering a novel Carbon Dioxide Removal(CDR)by-product,for the energy storage industry.It additionally assesses the scale constraint and economic opportunity offered by implementing this CDR approach.Similarly,established Compressed Air Energy Storage(CAES)uses air compression and subsequent expansion.CAES could also add CO2 scrubbing and subsequent storage,at extra cost.CAES stores fewer joules per kilogram of air than LAES–potentially scrubbing more CO2 per joule stored.Operational LAES/CAES technologies cannot offer full-scale CDR this century(Stocker et al.,2014),yet they could offer around 4%of projected CO2 disposals for LAES and<25%for current-technology CAES.LAES CDR could reach trillion-dollar scale this century(20 billion USD/year,to first order).A larger,less certain commercial CDR opportunity exists for modified conventional CAES,due to additional equipment requirements.CDR may be commercially critical for LAES/CAES usage growth,and the necessary infrastructure may influence plant scaling and placement.A suggested design for low-pressure CAES theoretically offers global-scale CDR potential within a century(ignoring siting constraints)–but this must be costed against competing CDR and energy storage technologies.

Galerkin-based extended Kalman filter with application to CO2 removal system

The carbon dioxide removal system is the most critical system for controlling CO2 mass concentration in long-term manned spacecraft.In order to ensure the controlling CO2 mass concentration in the cabin within the allowable range,the state of CO2 removal system needs to be estimated in real time.In this paper,the mathematical model is firstly established that describes the actual system conditions and then the Galerkin-based extended Kalman filter algorithm is proposed for the estimation of the state of CO2.This method transforms partial differential equation to ordinary differential equation by using Galerkin approaching method,and then carries out the state estimation by using extended Kalman filter.Simulation experiments were performed with the qualification of the actual manned space mission.The simulation results show that the proposed method can effectively estimate the system state while avoiding the problem of dimensional explosion,and has strong robustness regarding measurement noise.Thus,this method can establish a basis for system fault diagnosis and fault positioning.

Geoengineering: Basic science and ongoing research efforts in China

Geoengineering （also called climate engineering）, which refers to large-scale intervention in the Earth＇s climate system to counteract greenhouse gas-induced warming, has been one of the most rapidly growing areas of climate research as a potential option for tackling global warming. Here, we provide an overview of the scientific background and research progress of proposed geoengineering schemes. Geo- engineering can be broadly divided into two categories： solar geoengineering （also called solar radiation management, or SRM）, which aims to reflect more sunlight to space, and carbon dioxide removal （CDR）, which aims to reduce the CO2 content in the atmosphere. First, we review different proposed geoengineering methods involved in the solar radiation management and carbon dioxide removal schemes. Then, we discuss the fundamental science underlying the climate response to the carbon dioxide removal and solar radiation management schemes. We focus on two basic issues： 1） climate response to the reduction in solar irradiance and 2） climate response to the reduction in atmospheric COe. Next, we introduce an ongoing geoengineering research project in China that is supported by National Key Basic Research Program. This research project, being the first coordinated geoengineering research program in China, will systematically investigate the physical mechanisms, climate impacts, and risk and governance of a few targeted geoengineering schemes. It is expected that this research program will help us gain a deep understanding of the physical science underlying geoengineering schemes and the impacts of geoengineering on global climate, in particular, on the Asia monsoon region.

Comparison of the carbon cycle and climate response to artificial ocean alkalinization and solar radiation modification

Carbon dioxide removal and solar radiation modification(SRM)are two classes of proposed climate intervention methods.A thorough understanding of climate system response to these methods calls for a good understanding of the carbon cycle response.In this study,we used an Earth system model to examine the response of global climate and carbon cycle to artificial ocean alkalinization(AOA),a method of CO_(2)removal,and reduction in solar irradiance that represents the overall effect of solar radiation modification.In our simulations,AOA is applied uniformly over the global ice-free ocean under the RCP8.5 scenario to bring down atmospheric CO_(2)to the level of RCP4.5,and SRM is applied uniformly over the globe under the RCP8.5 scenario to bring down global mean surface temperature to the level of RCP4.5.Our simulations show that with the same goal of temperature stabilization,AOA and SRM cause fundamentally different perturbations of the ocean and land carbon cycle.By the end of the 21st century,relative to the simulation of RCP8.5,AOA-induced changes in ocean carbonate chemistry enhances global oceanic CO_(2)uptake by 983 PgC and increases global mean surface ocean pH by 0.42.Meanwhile,AOA reduces land CO_(2)uptake by 79 PgC and reduces atmospheric CO_(2)concentration by 426×10^(−6).By contrast,relative to the simulation of RCP8.5,SRM has a minor effect on the oceanic CO_(2)uptake and ocean acidification.SRM-induced cooling enhances land CO_(2)uptake by 140 PgC and reduces atmospheric CO_(2)concentration by 63×10^(−6).A sudden termination of SRM causes a rate of temperature change that is much larger than that of RCP8.5.A sudden termination of AOA causes a rate of temperature change that is comparable to that of RCP8.5 and a rate of ocean acidification that is much larger than that of RCP8.5.

A Plan to Extract Gigatons of Atmospheric CO2 through Agroforestry

The UN International Panel Environment Programme (“UNEP”), 2023 Emissions Gap Report urgently presses the global community to adopt a two-pronged approach to reduce atmospheric concentration of CO2—expedite efforts to reduce annual CO2 emissions;and increase investment in large-scale carbon dioxide removal (“CDR”) projects. The Gap Report sets a 2050 target of six-gigatons annual land-based CDR. Our proposed agroforestry project will convert thirty-five-million acres of rangeland in the American Great Plains to silvopasture, combining growing trees and raising livestock. Employing agroforestry interests 61% of Great Plaints farmers/ranchers recently surveyed. The Project plans to annually collect + six-gigatons CO2 equiv. of fallen leaves and store the stable carbon-rich biomass underground for centuries. The purpose of this paper is to describe the framework for formation of a global partnership at the local, regional, and international levels to coordinate public and private financing mechanisms, implement, and operate a large-scale CDR Project that will meaningfully impact the global effort to mitigate climate change.

Cost-benefit comparison of carbon capture,utilization,and storage retrofitted to different thermal power plants in China based on real options approach

A trinomial tree model based on a real options approach was developed to evaluate the investment decisions on carbon capture,utilization,and storage(CCUS)retrofitted to the three main types of thermal power plants in China under the same power generation and CO2 emissions levels.The plant types included pulverized coal(PC),integrated gasification combined cycle(IGCC),and natural gas combined cycle(NGCC)plants.We take into account a subsidy policy consistent with the 45Q tax credit of the U.S.,as well as uncertainty factors,such as carbon price,technological progress,CO_(2) geological storage paths,oil price,and electricity price.The results showed that the investment benefit of ordinary NGCC power plants is 93.04 million USD.This provides greater economic advantages than the other two plant types as their investment benefit is negative if the captured CO_(2) was used for enhanced water recovery(EWR),even if 45Q subsidies are provided.Compared with NGCC+CCUS power plants,PC+CCUS and IGCC+CCUS power plants have more advantages in terms of economic benefits and emission reduction.The 45Q subsidy policy reduced the critical carbon price,which determines the decision to invest or not,by 30.14 USDt^(-1) for the PC and IGCC power plants and by 15.24 USDt^(-1) for the NGCC power plants.Nevertheless,only when the subsidy reaches at least 71.84 USDt^(-1) and the period limit is canceled can all three types of power plants be motivated to invest in CCUS and used the capture CO_(2) for EWR.Overall,the government should focus on the application of CCUS in coal-fired power plants(in addition to developing gas power generation),especially when CO_(2) is used for enhanced oil recovery(EOR).The government could introduce fiscal policies,such as 45Q or stronger,to stimulate CCUS technology development in China.

Life cycle assessment of urban uses of biochar and case study in Uppsala,Sweden

Biochar is a material derived from biomass pyrolysis that is used in urban applications.The environmental impacts of new biochar products have however not been assessed.Here,the life cycle assessments of 5 biochar products(tree planting,green roofs,landscaping soil,charcrete,and biofilm carrier)were performed for 7 biochar supply-chains in 2 energy contexts.The biochar products were benchmarked against reference products and oxidative use of biochar for steel production.Biochar demand was then estimated,using dynamic material flow analysis,for a new city district in Uppsala,Sweden.In a decarbonised energy system and with high biochar stability,all biochar products showed better climate performance than the reference products,and most applications outperformed biomass use for decarbonising steel production.The climate benefits of using biochar ranged from−1.4 to−0.11 tonne CO_(2)-eq tonne−1 biochar in a decarbonised energy system.In other environmental impact categories,biochar products had either higher or lower impacts than the reference products,depending on biochar supply chain and material substituted,with trade-offs between sectors and impact categories.However,several use-phase effects of biochar were not included in the assessment due to knowledge limitations.In Uppsala’s new district,estimated biochar demand was around 1700 m^(3)year^(−1)during the 25 years of construction.By 2100,23%of this biochar accumulated in landfill,raising questions about end-of-life management of biochar-containing products.Overall,in a post-fossil economy,biochar can be a carbon dioxide removal technology with benefits,but biochar applications must be designed to maximise co-benefits.

Reactivity improvement of ilmenite by calcium nitrate melt infiltration for Chemical Looping Combustion of biomass

Chemical Looping Combustion is a novel process that generates sequestration-ready CO_(2) from the combustion of woody biomass without requiring a gas separation step and without diluting the CO_(2) with N_(2) from air.This is achieved by oxidizing the fuel with lattice oxygen of a metal oxide oxygen carrier.When using cheap and abundant ilmenite ore(FeTiO3)as the oxygen carrier,the rather low reactivity towards volatiles released from the biomass upon devolatilization,as well as detrimental structural changes due to a segregation of Fe and Ti in the material,are of concern.These issues can be addressed by modifying ilmenite with Ca via melt infiltration.In this work,we demonstrate that this modification results in a good distribution of Ca throughout the ilmenite particles that a)prevents detrimental Fe/Ti segregation,b)improves the mechanical stability of the particle compared to materials prepared by solution impregnation and c)improves the reactivity of this material towards hydrogen and wet methane.Moreover,fixed bed experiments showed that the Ca modification not only resulted in increased methane conversion,but also in an increased degree of oxidation of gaseous intermediates CO and H2.We thus conclude that the performance of ilmenite in Chemical Looping processes can be significantly enhanced by Ca modification of ilmenite either prior to use or in-situ during operation of this bed material with Ca-rich fuels such as woody biomass.