ANALYSIS OF LONG TERM CHARACTERISTICS OF INTERANNUAL CHANGE OF TEMPERATURE IN DONGGUAN OVER THE RECENT 50 YEARS

With the series of annual and seasonal temperature during 1957 – 2001 in Dongguan, Guangdong, the statistical characteristic and power spectrum and secular trend and sudden change phenomena are computed in this paper. From the results it is known that (1) the temperatures have obvious characteristics of monsoon climate but do not have normal distribution, showing biased distribution of high or low kurtosis; (2) over the recent half- century, the temperatures tend to rise, specially in the last 10 years, in which mean temperature have quickly ascended by about 1.5°C, and except for the spring, there were sudden change of seasonal temperature rising from the 1980’s to 1990’s, which really reflected the influence of developing and opening and urbanization on Dongguan temperature; (3) except for the spring, the temperature of other seasons show some oscillatory periods in Dongguan and some of them also include long-term variation trends.

Spatial-temporal Variation of Air Temperature for the Recent 40 Years in Lhasa

It was all known that Lhasa went through a high temperature of 30.8℃in late June 2019,which hit record highs.To better understand the reasons,based on observations recorded at automatic weather stations in Lhasa,the characteristics of temperature variation at multiple time scales were studied using the linear trend method,Mann-Kendall mutation test,Morlet wavelet analysis,R/S analysis and so on.The results showed that:(a)the annual mean temperature(AMT)is rising at a rate of 0.5℃/10 a,and the average temperature for different seasons also increased significantly,especially in winter.(b)Although there was an intersection in 1995,it was found that AMT,did not pass the reliability test of significance levelα=0.05,this means there are no abrupt changes for AMT,the values are 7.97 and 9.15℃respectively before and after the intersection point.(c)AMT has a periodic oscillation for 18-25 and 25-32 a based on a mass of data and the wavelet variance diagrams in Lhasa.AMT has a main cycle of 28 a,cyclic patterns of temperature changes in spring,summer and autumn is similar to AMT,but it is relatively complex in winter.(d)The Hurst index of AMT and different seasons demonstrates that the temperature is likely to continue to rise in the future in Lhasa.

Effects of Urban Heat Island Effect on Temperature Variation in Yibin Station

Based on the observation data of temperature from Yibin station and other five surrounding meteorological stations in 1961-2009,temperature variation in Yibin station affected by urbanization was studied.The results showed that urban heat island effect in Yibin became more and more strong,and it had great influence on minimum temperature and little influence on maximum temperature,with obvious daily variation.In addition,heat island effect was more obvious at night than daytime,while temperature went up most greatly in summer,and next came spring,but it was weakest in winter.Compared with 1960s,the average warming rate of temperature at 02:00,08:00,14:00 and 20:00,daily average temperature,maximum temperature and minimum temperature reached 0.483 2,0.168 0,0.001 4,0.209 8,0.215 4,-0.013 4 and 0.333 2 ℃ in 40 years,respectively.Moreover,regional background had certain effect on urban climate,and the influence of urban heat island effect on various meteorological stations was distinct in different stages of urbanization process.

Rates of temperature change in China during the past 2000 years

Using 24 proxy temperature series, the rates of temperature change in China are analyzed at the 30- to 100-year scales for the past 2000 years and at the 10-year scale for the past 500 years. The results show that, at the 100-year scale, the warming rate for the whole of China in the 20th century was only 0.6±1.6℃/100 a （interval at the 95% confidence level, which is used here- after）, while the peak warming rate for the period from the Little Ice Age （LIA） to the 20th century reached 1.1_＋1.2~C/100 a, which was the greatest in the past 500 years and probably the past 2000 years. At the 30-year scale, warming in the 20th century was quite notable, but the peak rate was still less than rates for previous periods, such as the rapid warming from the LIA to the 20th century and from the 270s-290s to 300s-320s. At the 10-year scale, the warming in the late 20th century was very evident, but it might not be unusual in the context of warming over the past 500 years. The exact timing, duration and magnitude of the warming peaks varied from region to region at all scales. The peak rates of the 100-year scale warming in the AD 180s-350s in northeastern China as well as those in the 260s-410s and 500s-660s in Tibet were all greater than those from the mid-19th to 20th century. Meanwhile, the rates of the most rapid cooling at scales of 30 to 100 years in the LIA were promi-nent, but they were also not unprecedented in the last 2000 years. At the 10-year scale, for the whole of China, the most rapid decadal cooling in the 20th century was from the 1940s to 1950s with a rate of -0.3±0.6℃/10 a, which was similar to rates for periods before the 20th century. For all regions, the rates of most rapid cooling in the 20th century were all less than those for previous periods.