A model for dependent default with hyperbolic attenuation effect and valuation of credit default swap

A hyperbolic function is introduced to reflect the attenuation effect of one firm＇s default to its partner. If two firms are competitors （copartners）, the default intensity of one firm will decrease （increase） abruptly when the other firm defaults. As time goes on, the impact will decrease gradually until extinct. In this model, the joint distribution and marginal distributions of default times are derived by employing the change of measure, and the fair swap premium of a credit default swap （CDS） can be valued.

Model of counterparty risk with geometric attenuation and valuation of CDS

To investigate the impact of microstructure interdependency of a counterparty explicitly, a geometric function is introduced in one firm's default intensity to reflect the attenuation behavior of the impact of its counterparty firm's default. The general joint distribution and marginal distributions of default times are derived by employing the change of measure. The fair premium of a vanilla CDS (credit default swap) is obtained in continuous and discrete contexts, respectively. The swap premium in a discrete context is similar to the accumulated interest during the period between two payment days, and the short rate is the swap rate in a continuous context.

The Spread Speed of Multiple Catalytic Branching Random Walks

In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of the maximal position of a supercritical multiple catalytic branching random walk(X_(n))on Z.If M_(n) is its maximal position at time n,we prove that there is a constantα>0 such that M_(n)/n converges toαalmost surely on the set of infinite number of visits to the set of catalysts.We also derive the asymptotic law of the centered process M_(n)-αn as n→∞.Our results are similar to those in[13].However,our results are proved under the assumption of finite L log L moment instead of finite second moment.We also study the limit of(X_(n))as a measure-valued Markov process.For any function f with compact support,we prove a strong law of large numbers for the process X_(n)(f).

Some Results behind Dividend Problems

We consider the basic dividend problem of the compound Poisson model with constant barrier strategy. Some results concealed behind the dividend problem are made explicit in the present work. Different methods and some of which are firstly given in this paper. All these results presented certain direct relationship between some important actuary variables in classical risk theory is also revealed.

A contagion model with Markov regime-switching intensities

We consider a two-dimensional reduced form contagion model with regime-switching interacting default intensities. The model assumes the intensities of the default times are driven by macro-economy described by a homogeneous Markov chain as well as the other default. By using the idea of ＇change of measure＇ and some closed-form formulas for the Laplace transforms of the integrated intensity processes, we derive the two-dimensional conditional and unconditional joint distributions of the default times. Based on these results, we give the explicit formulas for the fair spreads of the first-to-default and second-to-default credit default swaps （CDSs） on two underlyings.

On Optimal Proportional Reinsurance and Investment in a Hidden Markov Financial Market

This paper investigates the optimal reinsurance and investment in a hidden Markov financial market consisting of non-risky （bond） and risky （stock） asset. We assume that only the price of the risky asset can be observed from the financial market. Suppose that the insurance company can adopt proportional reinsurance and investment in the hidden Markov financial market to reduce risk or increase profit. Our objective is to maximize the expected exponential utility of the terminal wealth of the surplus of the insurance company. By using the filtering theory, we establish the separation principle and reduce the problem to the complete information case. With the help of Girsanov change of measure and the dynamic programming approach, we characterize the value function as the unique solution of a linear parabolic partial differential equation and obtain the Feynman-Kac representation of the value function.