In this paper, the summer climate of 1991 in North China is simulated by using the high-resolution regional climate model (RegCM2) and the effects of the grassland desertification on summer drought in the central and ...In this paper, the summer climate of 1991 in North China is simulated by using the high-resolution regional climate model (RegCM2) and the effects of the grassland desertification on summer drought in the central and the northern parts of North China as well as Mongolia are studied. It shows that the regional climate model essentially catches the characteristics on distribution and seasonal variation of the precipitation that keep good agreement with the observation. The desertification makes precipitation in the central part of North China during its flood period decrease obviously in July. The border of the precipitation or the soil moisture reduction in the desertification region extends about one latitude southeastward and beyond the southeast edge of the desertification. Thus, vegetation in the border region approaches desertification further. However, there appears evident difference of variation of precipitation over the whole desertification region. The grassland desertification greatly changes the transfers of fluxes between land and atmosphere. The secondary circulation or secondary circulation cells in the desertification region are excited and as a result moisture transport is changed. The variation of flux transfers between land and atmosphere as well as the vertical motion of atmosphere is closely related to that of precipitation.展开更多
This research classified vegetation types and evaluated net primary productivity (NPP) of southern China's grasslands based on the improved comprehensive and sequential classification system (CSCS), and proposed ...This research classified vegetation types and evaluated net primary productivity (NPP) of southern China's grasslands based on the improved comprehensive and sequential classification system (CSCS), and proposed 5 thermal grades and 6 humidity grades. Four classes of grasslands vegetation were recognized by improved CSCS, namely, tundra grassland class, typical grassland class, mixed grassland class and alpine grassland class. At the type level, 14 types of vegetations (9 grasslands and 5 forests) were classified. The NPP had a trend to decrease from east to west and south to north, and the annual mean NPP was estimated to be 656.3 g C m-2 yr-1. The NPP value of alpine grassland class was relatively high, generally more than 1200 g C m2 yr-1. The NPP value of mixed grassland class was in a range from 1 000 to 1200 g C m-2 yr-1. Tundra grassland class was located in southeastern Tibet with high elevation, and its NPP value was the lowest (〈600 g C m'2yrl). The typical grassland class distributed in most of the area, and its NPP value was generally from 600 to 1000 g C m-2 yr-1. The total NPP value in the study area was 68.46 Tg C. The NPP value of typical grassland class was the highest (48.44 Tg C), and mixed grassland class was the second (16.54 Tg C), followed by alpine grassland class (3.22 Tg C), with tundra grassland class being the lowest (0.25 Tg C). For all the grasslands types, the total NPP of forest meadow was the highest (34.81 Tg C), followed by sparse forest brush (16.54 Tg C), and montane meadow was the lowest (0.01 Tg C).展开更多
In this study,we identified ecological pressures on grassland ecosystems and adaptive countermeasures in Northern China.Our research revealed that the main sources of these pressures included population growth,economi...In this study,we identified ecological pressures on grassland ecosystems and adaptive countermeasures in Northern China.Our research revealed that the main sources of these pressures included population growth,economic development,resources exploitation,and global climate change,with human-related activities being overriding factors.Overgrazing was an important reason for grassland imbalance,causing soil erosion and desertification,especially during the sensitive spring greening phase.In steppe zones,commercial coal mining was destructive to the ecological environment.Regarding long-term strategies,we recommend that policy-makers devote more consideration to a new conceptual approach for transforming grasslands through shifting the focus from die grassland's traditional production functions to meir ecological functions.Applying this concept,adaptive countermeasures should be developed to reduce human impacts based on the environmental capacities of grasslands.Moreover,we recommend the development of environment-friendly industries and reduction of pressures from human activities as effective measures for maintaining the balance between sustainable economic development and grassland conservation.Lastly,we suggest that restoration of degraded grasslands should conform to the principle of natural vegetation to further improve the ecological adaptability of plants and ecosystem stability.This study is expected to provide scientific support for policy-makers engaged in grassland protection.展开更多
China’s food security has always been the top priority in China. As the huge increase of animal food consumption, the current agriculture system in China namely “grain farming”, whose major animal feed are grains, ...China’s food security has always been the top priority in China. As the huge increase of animal food consumption, the current agriculture system in China namely “grain farming”, whose major animal feed are grains, seems to meet a great challenge to ensure China’s food security in the future. Not only the current situation, but also the production capacity as developing grassland agriculture is analyzed in this paper. The results show that half of provinces don’t have enough grain to meet their various needs for grain, and the whole country’s potential of grain yield is reaching a limited position. On the other hand, implementing cereal-forage rotation on 20% of the total arable land and developing high productivity sown pastures on 3% of the total rangeland areas could create approximately 1.2 times Arable Land Equivalent Unit (ALEU) than ever. So changing the traditional agriculture system into Grassland Agro-Ecosystems is an effective way to insure China’s food security. It includes utilization of rangeland rationally, establishment of more sown pasture and implementation of cereal-pasture rotation system, increase livestock production, and use of arable land more efficiently.展开更多
The total area of grassland in the world is about 50 million km^2, accounting for 33.5% of the total land area (Lieth, 1975). The permanent grassland used by mankind is 33.04 million km^2, accounting for 25.3% of the ...The total area of grassland in the world is about 50 million km^2, accounting for 33.5% of the total land area (Lieth, 1975). The permanent grassland used by mankind is 33.04 million km^2, accounting for 25.3% of the total land area (FAO,1990). Grassland can provide feed for herbivore and produce high-quality food,clothing,medicines and industrial materials for man.On the other hand,it also plays an important role in the fertility of the soil,the conservation of water, the improvement of the environment and maintaining the ecological balance of the Earth’s surface.展开更多
Based on the current studies,a reasonable evaluation index system was established by the development coordination of analysis systems.Furthermore,taking grassland resources in Nagchu Tibet as an example and according ...Based on the current studies,a reasonable evaluation index system was established by the development coordination of analysis systems.Furthermore,taking grassland resources in Nagchu Tibet as an example and according to the coordination degree evaluation model of the environmental economy system,a coordination degree evaluation index system of environmental economy was set up,and the coordination conditions of 11 counties in Nagchu district were analyzed by coordination function.展开更多
Firstly, the status quo of Hulunbuir Grassland degradation was introduced, and then the main reasons for the degradation were discussed, such as overgrazing, excessively mining mineral resources and so forth. Finally ...Firstly, the status quo of Hulunbuir Grassland degradation was introduced, and then the main reasons for the degradation were discussed, such as overgrazing, excessively mining mineral resources and so forth. Finally some targeted countermeasures, like improving grassland legislation and policy as well as grassland ecological compensation system, actively implementing ecological animal husbandry and reasonably exploiting mineral resources, were put forward to restore the ecological environment of Hulunbuir Grassland.展开更多
Overgrazing has been considered one of the maj or causes that trigger shrub encroachment of grassland. Proliferation of shrubs in grassland is recognized as an important indicator of grassland degradation and desertif...Overgrazing has been considered one of the maj or causes that trigger shrub encroachment of grassland. Proliferation of shrubs in grassland is recognized as an important indicator of grassland degradation and desertification. In China, various conservation measures, including enclosures to reduce livestock grazing, have been taken to reverse the trend of grassland desertification, yet shrubs have been reported to increase in the grasslands over the past decades. In late 2007, we set up a 400-m-by-50-m exclosure in a long-term overgrazed temperate grassland in Inner Mongolia, with the ob- jective to quantify the spatiotemporal relationship between vegetation dynamics, soil variables, and grazing exclusion. Soil moisture was continuously monitored within the exclosure, and cover and aboveground biomass of the shrubs were measured inside the exclosure in 2007, 2009, 2010, 2012, and 2013, and outside the exclosure in 2012 and 2013. We found the average shrub cover and biomass significantly increased in the six years by 103 % and 120%, respectively. The result supported the hypothesis that releasing grazing pressure following long-term overgrazing tends to trigger shrub invasion into grassland. Our results, limited to a single gradient, suggest that any conservation measures with quick release of overgrazing pressure by enclosure or other similar means might do just the opposite to accelerate shrub en- croachment in grassland. The changes in vegetation cover and biomass were regressed on the temporal average of the soil moisture content by means of the generalized least square technique to quantify the effect of the spatial autocor- relation. The result indicates that the grass cover and biomass significantly increased with the top, but decreased with the bottom layer soil moisture. The shrub cover and biomass, on the other hand, decreased with the top, but increased with bottom soil moisture, although the regression coefficients for the shrubs were not statistically significant. Hence this study supports the two-layered soil model which assumes grasses and shrubs use belowground resources in dif- ferent depths.展开更多
[Objective]The aim was to study the simulation test of hydrodynamics process of erosion.[Method]Through the runoff scouring experiment,the property of soil erosion in Damaoqi grassland in Inner Mongolia was studied.Th...[Objective]The aim was to study the simulation test of hydrodynamics process of erosion.[Method]Through the runoff scouring experiment,the property of soil erosion in Damaoqi grassland in Inner Mongolia was studied.The process and mechanism of soil erosion were studied.[Result]The results of runoff scouring experiment on inner Damaoqi steppe showed that the mean flow velocity of change slope increased with the discharge of flow and slope gradient.The mean silt content rate,the mean sediment transport rate and the mean sheer stress all increased when the discharge of flow increased,which changed in parabolic form with the increase of slope gradient and the critical gradient is 25°.The relationship between the mean sediment transport rate and the mean sheer stress was linear.[Conclusion]The study provided theoretic basis for the report of soil erosion in grassland in China.展开更多
With the development of economy, meat gradually plays an important role in Chinese people’s dietary pattern. As the most direct reflection of agricultural system, food system has always been the main output of agricu...With the development of economy, meat gradually plays an important role in Chinese people’s dietary pattern. As the most direct reflection of agricultural system, food system has always been the main output of agricultural system, and pork has occupied an important position in Chinese food system. We attempts to find the systematical disorder of current agricultural system by analyzing the meat output of the agricultural system. H-P Filter and Grey Prediction GM(1,1) Model was adopted to explore the inner rules between pork production and agricultural system in China. The results indicated that pork consumption ratio in Chinese urban residents’ dietary pattern constantly kept about 6%, the growth potential of grain yield is limited while the growth potential of pork yield is increased in China. By Grey Prediction GM(1,1) Model, we predicted the pork yield would reach 59.07 Mt in 2020, 110.25 Mt in 2060, 205.78 Mt in 2100, the demand of feed would reach 177.22 Mt in 2020, 330.75 Mt in 2060, 617.34 Mt in 2100. In China, agricultural system is traditional “pork-grain” mode, feed has been one of the biggest section that consumed grain. The present “pork-grain” agricultural system cannot meet the huge demand of grain from feed, adjusting the agricultural structure is imperative. Reforming the current agricultural system into grassland agricultural system which takes the beef and mutton as predominates would be a good choice for China in the future.展开更多
[Objective] The aim was to study the relevance of grassland temperature and ground net radiation in Guilin.[Method] By dint of ground observation data and net radiation of national benchmark climate station in Guilin ...[Objective] The aim was to study the relevance of grassland temperature and ground net radiation in Guilin.[Method] By dint of ground observation data and net radiation of national benchmark climate station in Guilin from 2007 to 2009,the changes of grassland temperature and ground net radiation were expounded and their relations were pointed out.[Result] The annual changes trends of grassland temperature and ground net radiation in Guilin were basically the same.Monthly average maximum value all appeared in summer(July to August).Monthly average lowest value appeared in winter(December to next January);monthly average grassland temperature and monthly average ground net radiation had positive relation.Grassland temperature and ground net radiation had basically same distribution in four seasons.The average largest value of ground net radiation in summer was the largest and average smallest value was the smallest;the average largest value of ground net radiation in cloudy days was the smallest and average minimum value was the largest;the daily difference was the largest in sunny day and daily difference was the smallest in cloudy day.The daily changes trend of grassland temperature and ground net radiation in different weather state were basically the same;when it was sunny or cloudy,the daily largest value of grassland temperature and ground net radiation occurred between 15:00 and 19:00;when it was overcast,there was no distinct peak and daily changes.The largest value of the daily extreme value of grassland temperature and ground net radiation took place from 12:00 to 15:00.The daily lowest value took place from 20:00 to 07:00 on the next day.[Conclusion] The study provided reference for the analysis of temperature changes in Guilin.展开更多
[目的]揭示我国北方草地年总初级生产力未来时空变化规律,为草地恢复及保护的政策制定提供重要依据。[方法]基于CMIP6中9个地球系统模式总初级生产力(Gross Primary Productivity,GPP)模拟数据,采用多模式集合平均(MME)的方法,在SSP1-2....[目的]揭示我国北方草地年总初级生产力未来时空变化规律,为草地恢复及保护的政策制定提供重要依据。[方法]基于CMIP6中9个地球系统模式总初级生产力(Gross Primary Productivity,GPP)模拟数据,采用多模式集合平均(MME)的方法,在SSP1-2.6,SSP2-4.5,SSP3-7.0和SSP5-8.5未来情景下预估了21世纪我国北方草地生态系统AGPP的时空变化。[结果](1)多模式集合(MME)模拟的准确性和年度趋势相关系数达到0.83,较其他单个模式更准确。(2)1982—2100年,4个情景均得出我国北方草地AGPP整体呈现上升趋势,温室气体高排放情景下的上升趋势大于温室气体低排放情景下的上升趋势。(3)空间上,我国北方草地平均AGPP在历史及未来情景下均呈西北到东南递增的趋势,SSP1-2.6情景下AGPP年均值最低〔308.03 g C/(m^(2)·a)〕,SSP5-8.5情景下最高〔389.63 g C/(m^(2)·a)〕。(4)在4个未来情景下的不同草地类型中,温性草原AGPP年均值最高〔SSP1-2.6情景下为445.44 g C/(m^(2)·a),SSP2-4.5情景下为474.53 g C/(m^(2)·a),SSP3-7.0情景下为532.42 g C/(m^(2)·a),SSP5-8.5情景下为558.14 g C/(m^(2)·a)〕,稀疏灌丛最低〔SSP1-2.6情景下为128.51 g C/(m^(2)·a),SSP2-4.5情景下为141.31 g C/(m^(2)·a),SSP3-7.0情景下为155.38 g C/(m^(2)·a),SSP5-8.5情景下为167.29 g C/(m^(2)·a)〕。[结论]我国北方草地AGPP未来呈显著增长趋势,不同情景下AGPP的增长趋势各不相同,排放情景越高增长越显著,未来应加强对我国北方草地AGPP变化的研究。展开更多
文摘In this paper, the summer climate of 1991 in North China is simulated by using the high-resolution regional climate model (RegCM2) and the effects of the grassland desertification on summer drought in the central and the northern parts of North China as well as Mongolia are studied. It shows that the regional climate model essentially catches the characteristics on distribution and seasonal variation of the precipitation that keep good agreement with the observation. The desertification makes precipitation in the central part of North China during its flood period decrease obviously in July. The border of the precipitation or the soil moisture reduction in the desertification region extends about one latitude southeastward and beyond the southeast edge of the desertification. Thus, vegetation in the border region approaches desertification further. However, there appears evident difference of variation of precipitation over the whole desertification region. The grassland desertification greatly changes the transfers of fluxes between land and atmosphere. The secondary circulation or secondary circulation cells in the desertification region are excited and as a result moisture transport is changed. The variation of flux transfers between land and atmosphere as well as the vertical motion of atmosphere is closely related to that of precipitation.
基金the National Basic Research Program of China(2010CB950702)the National High-Technology Reaearch and Development Program of China(2007AA10Z231)the Asia-Pacific Network for Global Change Research Project(ARCP201106CMY-Li)
文摘This research classified vegetation types and evaluated net primary productivity (NPP) of southern China's grasslands based on the improved comprehensive and sequential classification system (CSCS), and proposed 5 thermal grades and 6 humidity grades. Four classes of grasslands vegetation were recognized by improved CSCS, namely, tundra grassland class, typical grassland class, mixed grassland class and alpine grassland class. At the type level, 14 types of vegetations (9 grasslands and 5 forests) were classified. The NPP had a trend to decrease from east to west and south to north, and the annual mean NPP was estimated to be 656.3 g C m-2 yr-1. The NPP value of alpine grassland class was relatively high, generally more than 1200 g C m2 yr-1. The NPP value of mixed grassland class was in a range from 1 000 to 1200 g C m-2 yr-1. Tundra grassland class was located in southeastern Tibet with high elevation, and its NPP value was the lowest (〈600 g C m'2yrl). The typical grassland class distributed in most of the area, and its NPP value was generally from 600 to 1000 g C m-2 yr-1. The total NPP value in the study area was 68.46 Tg C. The NPP value of typical grassland class was the highest (48.44 Tg C), and mixed grassland class was the second (16.54 Tg C), followed by alpine grassland class (3.22 Tg C), with tundra grassland class being the lowest (0.25 Tg C). For all the grasslands types, the total NPP of forest meadow was the highest (34.81 Tg C), followed by sparse forest brush (16.54 Tg C), and montane meadow was the lowest (0.01 Tg C).
基金supported by the Reform initial projects of the Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences[grant number 2012-YSGQ-06],and[grant number 2013-YSGQ-06]
文摘In this study,we identified ecological pressures on grassland ecosystems and adaptive countermeasures in Northern China.Our research revealed that the main sources of these pressures included population growth,economic development,resources exploitation,and global climate change,with human-related activities being overriding factors.Overgrazing was an important reason for grassland imbalance,causing soil erosion and desertification,especially during the sensitive spring greening phase.In steppe zones,commercial coal mining was destructive to the ecological environment.Regarding long-term strategies,we recommend that policy-makers devote more consideration to a new conceptual approach for transforming grasslands through shifting the focus from die grassland's traditional production functions to meir ecological functions.Applying this concept,adaptive countermeasures should be developed to reduce human impacts based on the environmental capacities of grasslands.Moreover,we recommend the development of environment-friendly industries and reduction of pressures from human activities as effective measures for maintaining the balance between sustainable economic development and grassland conservation.Lastly,we suggest that restoration of degraded grasslands should conform to the principle of natural vegetation to further improve the ecological adaptability of plants and ecosystem stability.This study is expected to provide scientific support for policy-makers engaged in grassland protection.
文摘China’s food security has always been the top priority in China. As the huge increase of animal food consumption, the current agriculture system in China namely “grain farming”, whose major animal feed are grains, seems to meet a great challenge to ensure China’s food security in the future. Not only the current situation, but also the production capacity as developing grassland agriculture is analyzed in this paper. The results show that half of provinces don’t have enough grain to meet their various needs for grain, and the whole country’s potential of grain yield is reaching a limited position. On the other hand, implementing cereal-forage rotation on 20% of the total arable land and developing high productivity sown pastures on 3% of the total rangeland areas could create approximately 1.2 times Arable Land Equivalent Unit (ALEU) than ever. So changing the traditional agriculture system into Grassland Agro-Ecosystems is an effective way to insure China’s food security. It includes utilization of rangeland rationally, establishment of more sown pasture and implementation of cereal-pasture rotation system, increase livestock production, and use of arable land more efficiently.
文摘The total area of grassland in the world is about 50 million km^2, accounting for 33.5% of the total land area (Lieth, 1975). The permanent grassland used by mankind is 33.04 million km^2, accounting for 25.3% of the total land area (FAO,1990). Grassland can provide feed for herbivore and produce high-quality food,clothing,medicines and industrial materials for man.On the other hand,it also plays an important role in the fertility of the soil,the conservation of water, the improvement of the environment and maintaining the ecological balance of the Earth’s surface.
基金Supported by National Soft Science Program (2006GXS2B029)
文摘Based on the current studies,a reasonable evaluation index system was established by the development coordination of analysis systems.Furthermore,taking grassland resources in Nagchu Tibet as an example and according to the coordination degree evaluation model of the environmental economy system,a coordination degree evaluation index system of environmental economy was set up,and the coordination conditions of 11 counties in Nagchu district were analyzed by coordination function.
基金Supported by Bid Project for Key Study Base of Humanities and Social Sciences of Jiangxi Higher Education (No.[2008]5)
文摘Firstly, the status quo of Hulunbuir Grassland degradation was introduced, and then the main reasons for the degradation were discussed, such as overgrazing, excessively mining mineral resources and so forth. Finally some targeted countermeasures, like improving grassland legislation and policy as well as grassland ecological compensation system, actively implementing ecological animal husbandry and reasonably exploiting mineral resources, were put forward to restore the ecological environment of Hulunbuir Grassland.
基金supported by the National Science Foundations of China with Grant No.41171445
文摘Overgrazing has been considered one of the maj or causes that trigger shrub encroachment of grassland. Proliferation of shrubs in grassland is recognized as an important indicator of grassland degradation and desertification. In China, various conservation measures, including enclosures to reduce livestock grazing, have been taken to reverse the trend of grassland desertification, yet shrubs have been reported to increase in the grasslands over the past decades. In late 2007, we set up a 400-m-by-50-m exclosure in a long-term overgrazed temperate grassland in Inner Mongolia, with the ob- jective to quantify the spatiotemporal relationship between vegetation dynamics, soil variables, and grazing exclusion. Soil moisture was continuously monitored within the exclosure, and cover and aboveground biomass of the shrubs were measured inside the exclosure in 2007, 2009, 2010, 2012, and 2013, and outside the exclosure in 2012 and 2013. We found the average shrub cover and biomass significantly increased in the six years by 103 % and 120%, respectively. The result supported the hypothesis that releasing grazing pressure following long-term overgrazing tends to trigger shrub invasion into grassland. Our results, limited to a single gradient, suggest that any conservation measures with quick release of overgrazing pressure by enclosure or other similar means might do just the opposite to accelerate shrub en- croachment in grassland. The changes in vegetation cover and biomass were regressed on the temporal average of the soil moisture content by means of the generalized least square technique to quantify the effect of the spatial autocor- relation. The result indicates that the grass cover and biomass significantly increased with the top, but decreased with the bottom layer soil moisture. The shrub cover and biomass, on the other hand, decreased with the top, but increased with bottom soil moisture, although the regression coefficients for the shrubs were not statistically significant. Hence this study supports the two-layered soil model which assumes grasses and shrubs use belowground resources in dif- ferent depths.
基金Supported by the Scientific Research Program of China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research (MKS2010001)
文摘[Objective]The aim was to study the simulation test of hydrodynamics process of erosion.[Method]Through the runoff scouring experiment,the property of soil erosion in Damaoqi grassland in Inner Mongolia was studied.The process and mechanism of soil erosion were studied.[Result]The results of runoff scouring experiment on inner Damaoqi steppe showed that the mean flow velocity of change slope increased with the discharge of flow and slope gradient.The mean silt content rate,the mean sediment transport rate and the mean sheer stress all increased when the discharge of flow increased,which changed in parabolic form with the increase of slope gradient and the critical gradient is 25°.The relationship between the mean sediment transport rate and the mean sheer stress was linear.[Conclusion]The study provided theoretic basis for the report of soil erosion in grassland in China.
文摘With the development of economy, meat gradually plays an important role in Chinese people’s dietary pattern. As the most direct reflection of agricultural system, food system has always been the main output of agricultural system, and pork has occupied an important position in Chinese food system. We attempts to find the systematical disorder of current agricultural system by analyzing the meat output of the agricultural system. H-P Filter and Grey Prediction GM(1,1) Model was adopted to explore the inner rules between pork production and agricultural system in China. The results indicated that pork consumption ratio in Chinese urban residents’ dietary pattern constantly kept about 6%, the growth potential of grain yield is limited while the growth potential of pork yield is increased in China. By Grey Prediction GM(1,1) Model, we predicted the pork yield would reach 59.07 Mt in 2020, 110.25 Mt in 2060, 205.78 Mt in 2100, the demand of feed would reach 177.22 Mt in 2020, 330.75 Mt in 2060, 617.34 Mt in 2100. In China, agricultural system is traditional “pork-grain” mode, feed has been one of the biggest section that consumed grain. The present “pork-grain” agricultural system cannot meet the huge demand of grain from feed, adjusting the agricultural structure is imperative. Reforming the current agricultural system into grassland agricultural system which takes the beef and mutton as predominates would be a good choice for China in the future.
文摘[Objective] The aim was to study the relevance of grassland temperature and ground net radiation in Guilin.[Method] By dint of ground observation data and net radiation of national benchmark climate station in Guilin from 2007 to 2009,the changes of grassland temperature and ground net radiation were expounded and their relations were pointed out.[Result] The annual changes trends of grassland temperature and ground net radiation in Guilin were basically the same.Monthly average maximum value all appeared in summer(July to August).Monthly average lowest value appeared in winter(December to next January);monthly average grassland temperature and monthly average ground net radiation had positive relation.Grassland temperature and ground net radiation had basically same distribution in four seasons.The average largest value of ground net radiation in summer was the largest and average smallest value was the smallest;the average largest value of ground net radiation in cloudy days was the smallest and average minimum value was the largest;the daily difference was the largest in sunny day and daily difference was the smallest in cloudy day.The daily changes trend of grassland temperature and ground net radiation in different weather state were basically the same;when it was sunny or cloudy,the daily largest value of grassland temperature and ground net radiation occurred between 15:00 and 19:00;when it was overcast,there was no distinct peak and daily changes.The largest value of the daily extreme value of grassland temperature and ground net radiation took place from 12:00 to 15:00.The daily lowest value took place from 20:00 to 07:00 on the next day.[Conclusion] The study provided reference for the analysis of temperature changes in Guilin.
文摘[目的]揭示我国北方草地年总初级生产力未来时空变化规律,为草地恢复及保护的政策制定提供重要依据。[方法]基于CMIP6中9个地球系统模式总初级生产力(Gross Primary Productivity,GPP)模拟数据,采用多模式集合平均(MME)的方法,在SSP1-2.6,SSP2-4.5,SSP3-7.0和SSP5-8.5未来情景下预估了21世纪我国北方草地生态系统AGPP的时空变化。[结果](1)多模式集合(MME)模拟的准确性和年度趋势相关系数达到0.83,较其他单个模式更准确。(2)1982—2100年,4个情景均得出我国北方草地AGPP整体呈现上升趋势,温室气体高排放情景下的上升趋势大于温室气体低排放情景下的上升趋势。(3)空间上,我国北方草地平均AGPP在历史及未来情景下均呈西北到东南递增的趋势,SSP1-2.6情景下AGPP年均值最低〔308.03 g C/(m^(2)·a)〕,SSP5-8.5情景下最高〔389.63 g C/(m^(2)·a)〕。(4)在4个未来情景下的不同草地类型中,温性草原AGPP年均值最高〔SSP1-2.6情景下为445.44 g C/(m^(2)·a),SSP2-4.5情景下为474.53 g C/(m^(2)·a),SSP3-7.0情景下为532.42 g C/(m^(2)·a),SSP5-8.5情景下为558.14 g C/(m^(2)·a)〕,稀疏灌丛最低〔SSP1-2.6情景下为128.51 g C/(m^(2)·a),SSP2-4.5情景下为141.31 g C/(m^(2)·a),SSP3-7.0情景下为155.38 g C/(m^(2)·a),SSP5-8.5情景下为167.29 g C/(m^(2)·a)〕。[结论]我国北方草地AGPP未来呈显著增长趋势,不同情景下AGPP的增长趋势各不相同,排放情景越高增长越显著,未来应加强对我国北方草地AGPP变化的研究。