China-US Trade Relations:Win-Win Picture Distorted

At present China-U.S.trade relations are in a state of confusion.Although both countries have gained tremendous benefits from the bilateral trade relationship,some Americans have intentionally distorted some basic facts regarding China-U.S.trade relations. Based on an analysis of some official and nonofficial research reports published in the United States,this article holds that the China-U.S.trade imbalance is the symptom of a bigger issue stemming from the contradiction between the United States as the world's sole superpower and China as an emerging power.Economic globalisation came about due to the needs of western developed countries represented by the United States to boost economic development.Only by seizing the opportunities of economic globalisation, has China gained strong economic growth. Such a development is changing the world political,economic,military and cultural landscape that have been shaped since the post-cold-war era,and has to some extent raised doubt or suspicion on the part of the United States and its western allies.This is a manifestation of how unprepared some people in the United States and other western countries are in the face of China's rapid development and rising status.So,their immediate reaction has been to seek protection for themselves,and try their utmost to prevent China's rapid growth from impacting on the international framework and their vested interests.

The dynamics of price discovery between the U.S.and Chinese soybean market:a wavelet approach to understanding the effects of Sino-US trade conflict and COVID-19 pandemic

During geopolitical crises,the price stability of agricultural commodities is critical for national security.Understanding the dynamics of pricing power between the U.S.and China and how it varies over time can help smaller nations navigate unpredictable moments.This study uses a unified framework and wavelet approach to examine soybean price discovery in the U.S.and China from the standpoints of price interdependence and information flows.We begin by illustrating the integrated link between the soybean futures markets in the U.S.and China,which includes multiple structural breaks.The pricing difference between the two nations acts as the primary information spillover route for their integrated relationship.Furthermore,we show that the direction and degree of information spillover change dramatically in proportion to the strength of the U.S.–Chinese soybean interaction.Finally,we find that China’s recent retaliatory tax on the U.S.soybeans gave the Chinese market a more powerful position in soybean futures price discovery.After the first-stage trade deal was reached,and during the epidemic phase of the coronavirus pandemic,the pricing power of the U.S.soybean market showed no signs of full recovery.

Trumponomics and China-US Economic and Trade Relations

Since he took office, the new US president, Donald Trump, has unveiled his broad economic policy--now called Trumponomics. It emphasizes neoliberalism at home, less government regulations, more growth and weakening the welfare state. Intemationally, Trumponomics embraces protectionism and nativism with a focus on US economic interests. Trumponomics caters to the lower-middle classes, a reflection of the country＇s current economic and diplomatic challenges. Trumponomics will bring uncertainty to China-US economic and trade relations. China should carefully study the policies of the Trump administration and prepare contingency plans.

A Review of China-US Economic and Trade Relations (2007-2015)

In order to find indications for future bilateral relations, it is worth reviewing the development of China-US economic and trade relations in recent history. Generally speaking, the nine years between 2007 and 2015 saw non-stop progress in China and US trade and economic ties. The China-US interdependent and complementary economic and trade connections ensure that bilateral relations are constantly developing and merging following their interdependent paths;the global challenges, such as the financial crisis and recent extreme weather events, have allowed China and the US to be in the same boat,weathering these different forms of turbulence. Decisions on important domestic policies and disputes can now be discussed earlier and effectively following on from the construction of multi-dimensional crisis management mechanisms. But undeniably there are unsettled and conflicting points in their relations, such as the fact that the US strategically excludes China from its free trade agenda, not willing to accept many everyday items manufactured by China. This is a major obstacle preventing their relationships deepening. History tells us, in future, if both sides could have a bigger vision, relations would better develop, for the new type of major power relations and the subsequent road would be less rocky and bring more benefits for the peoples of both countries.

CO_2 Emissions Embodied in China-U.S.Trade

After the Kyoto Protocol was implemented,carbon leakage exerts great influences on international trade and economy.Trade creates a mechanism for consumers to shift environmental pollution associated with their consumption to other countries.China has overtaken the U.S.as the world's biggest CO2 emitter since 2006.As China's second largest trade partner,the U.S.has the biggest trade deficit with China which has aroused a lot of disputes between the two parties.But so far the assessments of the trade imbalance of China-U.S.have paid little attention to environmental impacts associated with the trade imbalance.Applied an input-output approach,the article estimates the amount of CO2 embodied in China-U.S.trade during 1997-2007.It was found that through trade with China,the U.S.reduced its CO2 emissions compared with a non-trade scenario.Due to the greater carbon-intensity and relatively less efficient production processes of Chinese industry,China-U.S.trade resulted in more CO2 emissions in China and the world.In the end,the article gives some suggestions:it is equal and sustainable that the international accounting methodologies should be improved,for CO2 emissions responsibility must be designed to account for the dynamic nature of international trade.

China-U.S. Trade Balance from the National Income Perspective

This paper calculates the China-U.S. trade balance from the national income perspective based on an input-output model that differentiates domestic and foreign-invested companies. The result shows that due to different degrees of dependence of both countries on foreign production factors such as foreign capital for the manufacturing of export goods,only 87.7% of the domestic value-added created by China's exports to the U.S. in 2012 was China's national income, whereas 96.2% of value-added in U.S. exports to China was U.S.national income. In the comparison of total export volume and export value-added, the home country's national income created by exports can more realistically reflect a country's gains from trade. In 2012, China's trade surplus with the U.S. stood at 102.8 billion US dollars in national income terms, which is 61% and 22% smaller than the results in gross and value-added terms, respectively. The implication is that the traditional trade balance accounting method seriously exaggerates the China-U.S. trade imbalance.

Research on the Protection of Vulnerable Groups in Water Pollution Conflicts Based on Binomial Tree Pricing Model

The interests of vulnerable groups can’t be guaranteed due to their weaker capacity and the limited interests demand channels during the water pollution conflicts. The interest protection for the vulnerable people in the water pollution conflicts has attracted attentions of the international scholars. The paper tries to construct the market mechanism which can make the vulnerable people to involve in the emission trading. The vulnerable people can buy American put option in the emission trading market. When the price of the emission runs below the contract price, the vulnerable people can get the benefit through executing the option. When the price of the emission runs above the contract price, the vulnerable people can give up the right. The binomial tree option pricing model can help the vulnerable people to make a decision through the analysis of the worth of the American put option.

Embodied Pollution in China-U.S.Trade——An Empirical Study Based on Estimation of Input-Output Technology Matrix

Using input-output tables of China and the U.S., this paper has calculated the pollution embodied in trade and structure of pollution, the balance of emissions embodied in trade （BEET） and the pollution terms of trade （PTT） for 18 manufacturing sectors of China and the US. between 2001 and 2010. The calculation aims to verify whether China has become a ＂pollution haven＂ in bilateral trade with developed countries represented by the U.S., and whether Chinese exports are ＂dirtier＂ compared with imports from the U.S., and further conducting an industry structure analysis and effect decomposition study on pollution embodied in trade in industrial goods between China and U.S.. Result of our research indicates that according to our calculation of the BEET, China remains a country with environmental deficits in bilateral trade with the U.S. while the gaps between pollution embodied in China＇s export and import are narrowing. Pollution embodied in China＇s export has the tendency of increase before decline while pollution embodied in import demonstrates no significant tendency of decline. Through effect decomposition, we further found that the effect of technology arising from the substantial decline of pollution intensity effectively lowered pollution embodied in export and narrowed the environmental deficits of China in its bilateral trade. The effect of scale arising from growing export volumes significantly increased China＇s environmental deficits while the structural effect arising from changes in the structure of import and export is insignificant in reducing environmental deficits. Our calculation of the PTT led to the finding that China＇s export goods are more pollution intensive compared with import goods and that the structure of US exports to China is cleaner than the structure of Chinese exports to the US., which requires further improvements of China＇s import and export structure.

PROSPECTS OF CHINA-U.S. AGRICULTURAL TRADE

The China—U.S.Agricultural CooperationAgreement is a prelude to China’s accessionto the World Trade Organization(WTO).The basic framework is built,though someDarts are still to be discussed.From a macro prospective,the exportVolume of U.S.agricultural products to Chinawill increase,and vise versa.But the sharein the total trade Volume is dropping.Firstly,no matter how flexible

Progress Made on China-U.S.Trade Relationship at the 22nd JCCT Session

China and the United States concluded the 22nd session of the U.S.-China Joint Commission on Commerce and Trade (JCCT) on November 21 in Chengdu, China. Chinese Vice Premier Wang Qishan cochaired the two-day meeting with U.S. Secretary of Commerce John Bryson and U.

China-U.S. Relations and International Trade

Dr.Elliot Feldman on April 15,2010 presented the following speech at AmCham-China's Conference of the Asia-Pacific Council of American Chambers of Commerce(APCAC).With his kind approval,China Textile publishes his study and views focused on the title as captioned above.The article expresses the author's own stance.

Marketization the Key to Solving China-U.S. Trade Imbalance

China-U.S.trade has expanded rapidly over the past three decades,during which China’s trade deficit has turned into atrade surplus.China’s exports to the United States account for 20 percent of China’s total export trade,but the United States’exports to China make up less than 10 percent of its export trade.The trade dependence ratio of the two countries has adifference of up to 27 percentage points.While China’s economy and foreign trade become increasingly market-oriented,the U.S.implements long-term export restriction policies against it.Raising the degree of marketization of trade betweenChina and the U.S.is the key to redressing the China-U.S.trade imbalance.

Current Statistics System Fails to Reflect New Changes in International Trade Activities

Today developed countries mainly participate in international trade via their foreign affiliates and intermediate goods are more frequently traded as a result of increasingly deepening international divisions of labour.Against this background,the current trade statistical system that is characterized by the statistical principle of cross-border trade and production,and the custom’s registration data collection method,greatly exaggerate the trade imbalance between China and America. Consequently,it is necessary for the Chinese nation to overcome the shortcomings of the current statistical system so as to evaluate more fairly the trade imbalance between China and America by referring to the Ownership-Based Framework of the complimentary statistical system under the US Current Account.This article, on the basis of the statistical principle of oumership,attempts to regulate the distorted trade imbalance resulting from the current trade statistical system,and aims for an increased understanding of the trade imbalance between China and America from a theoretical background,as well as from the points of view of practitioners and decision makers.

Cultural study on trade disputes between China and the West

In recent years, China＇s international trade has made great actuevements, However, when carefully reviewing its performance in the international market, we have to admit a fact that ＂Chinese businessmen＂ and ＂Made in China＂ are encountering great challenges, even aversion in many foreign markets. The so-called ＂Yellow peril theory＂ and ＂China threat theory＂ have caught on once again. Faced with such frequent trade conflicts, we fall into contemplation. Why did trade conflicts so frequently happen？ Do these conflicts merely remain at the commercial level？ Or, are there any deep-seated conflicts leading to trade conflicts？ What are the root causes of these conflicts？ How to overcome and avoid these conflicts in the future？ With these questions, this paper is designed to inquire into the root cause of trade conflicts and the constructive suggestions to settle trade conflicts from a cultural perspective.

Escaping Dependency and Trade War:China and the US

Marxist political economy provides a perspective for grasping the root cause of the China-US trade war.The international relations of production,which stem from the international division of labor,shape the distribution of international economic interests and the political status of countries.Traditionally,developing countries have been subjected to the“periphery”in the international division of labor.In the new global value chain,developing countries have remained in a subordinate position characterized by“technological-market”dependence.To achieve the goal of building a strong modern nation,China must escape the“technological-market”dependence.Yet China’s efforts and achievements in escaping dependent development are deemed as a threat to US vested interests in the international markets.To preserve the economic foundation of its hegemony,the US has resorted to a trade war to contain China’s development.

South China Sea-A Conflict-Prone Place?

A military escalation between China and the United States in the South China Sea(SCS)is staged which resembles the Cold War crisis in Europe in the 1950’s and 1960’s.The PRC has reclaimed and fortified its holdings in the SCS since 2013;in 2017,the US has declared an“Indo-Pacific Strategy”to contain China.Due to differences of interest of the relevant countries,it will be difficult to create an effective united front against China in the near future.It remains to be seen whether armed conflict between China and the US be avoided.

区域贸易协定条约冲突的解决途径探究——以RCEP和CPTPP的条约冲突为视角

随着区域贸易协定数量与日俱增,同一主体可能与多个主体间签订数个适用范围存在交叉的协定,“意大利面碗”现象日趋复杂,潜在的条约冲突增多。中国过去以双边贸易协定为主,该问题并不突出。然而,随着中国加入RCEP,并申请加入CPTPP,未来可能面临较多冲突情形。对此,文章识别了RCEP与CPTPP的潜在冲突条款和冲突类型,分析了使用《维也纳条约法公约》规定、WTO冲突解决规范、冲突条款及国际实践方法解决冲突的适用性及其不足。在此基础上,提出区分真实冲突和虚假冲突进行应对。针对虚假冲突,以适用国际法冲突规则为基础,突出有效解释和目的—宗旨解释方法并结合运用多种解释方法的解决路径;针对真实冲突,则坚持在人类命运共同体理念指引下,借鉴菜单式(àla carte)方法等行之有效的实践方法,补充冲突条款具体规定并进一步发展磋商机制。

转化理论视角下国际商务谈判冲突的化解策略——以美日汽车贸易谈判为例

作为国际贸易中的重要一环,国际商务谈判不仅体现合作,也包括着对立与冲突,因此,研究国际商务谈判冲突化解策略具有现实意义。本文基于路易士·克里斯伯格(Louis Kriesberg)转化理论的视角,详细分析美日汽车及其零部件贸易谈判中的冲突转化过程,探究转化理论在国际商务谈判中的应用情形,提出国际商务谈判冲突化解中试探态度、公开行动、达成协议、实施监督这四个阶段中的谈判策略,以期为面对国际贸易争端的各方积极化解冲突提供了重要启示。

Economics-based Principles for a Post-conflict China-US Commercial Regime

Neither the Chinese nor US economic systems will fundamentally change as a result of overt trade conflict. The challenge for policy-relevant economics is to design a regime for China-US commerce that accepts the co-existence but also addresses underlying disputes. Many important China-US disputes, notably those over intellectual property protection and state subsidies, cannot be resolved by the World Trade Organization, thus new institutions must be built. Economics-based regime principles should entail recognition that： the China-US bilateral trade imbalance is unique mainly because of macroeconomic and financial factors, not trade; agreements should restrict commercial and government behaviors, not target economic outcomes; Chinese companies must compete and be allowed to succeed in any sector, including high-technology; China is not entitled to US-owned technology, thus intellectual property rights must be enforced; and the US Government should support an increased role for China in global economic governance.

China-US trade dispute investigations and corporate earnings management strategy

This paper studies Chinese firms’earnings management strategy in response to the trade dispute investigations initiated by the U.S.from 2001 to 2018.This topic is important given the increasingly severe international trade environment and the significant influence of macro economy on financial reporting.We find that firms affected by the U.S.-initiated trade dispute investigations engage in more upward earnings management.Additionally,the result is more pronounced in firms with a more negative market reaction around the announcement of the investigations.Cross-sectional tests provide evidence that the positive relation is stronger among firms whose U.S.operating revenue and management ownership is high,firms in provinces with weak investor protection,and firms that performed well one year after initiation of the investigations.Moreover,investors react positively to the earnings management by the affected firms.Our results are robust to a variety of sensitivity checks.Overall,our findings suggest that companies will manage their earnings upward to mitigate the negative impacts of the U.S.-initiated trade dispute investigations.