Based on 1:50 000 basic geographic information data,the digital elevation,longitude,latitude,slope,aspect and all kinds of terrain databases of Benxi City (China) were established with Arcgis 9.2 software.Township bou...Based on 1:50 000 basic geographic information data,the digital elevation,longitude,latitude,slope,aspect and all kinds of terrain databases of Benxi City (China) were established with Arcgis 9.2 software.Township boundary database was established by digitizing map,and the township information was amended according to the reality.Taking the elaborate simulation of spatial distribution of annual mean temperature as an example,the paper reports the application of the geographic information database in analysis of climatic resources.展开更多
Based on the daily temperature, precipitation and sunshine data of the National Weather Station of Weixian County, Hebei, China from 1961 to 2014, the average temperature, accumulated temperature, precipitation and su...Based on the daily temperature, precipitation and sunshine data of the National Weather Station of Weixian County, Hebei, China from 1961 to 2014, the average temperature, accumulated temperature, precipitation and sunshine trends of the year and four seasons were analyzed. The results showed an upward trend of the average annual temperature, average annual maximum temperature and average annual minimum temperature and the minimum temperature increase is the largest. The average temperature in summer is decreasing, while the average temperature, maximum temperature and minimum temperature in spring, autumn and winter showed an upward trend. ≥0°C accumulated temperature increased by 193.82°C for 54 years, and ≥10°C accumulated temperature increased 54.59°C for 54 years. Weixian County sunshine hours were 119.121 h/10 years to reduce the rate of adverse effects on crop growth;annual precipitation decreased by 116.4 mm for 54 years, the maximum precipitation decreased by 8.2 mm, and the number of annual precipitation decreased 18.6 d, which caused great pressure on groundwater recharge展开更多
By analyzing the climate characteristics of Zhangjiakou region,the advantages in its climate resources are explored.Analysis shows that abundant solar energy resources are the fundamental condition for promoting photo...By analyzing the climate characteristics of Zhangjiakou region,the advantages in its climate resources are explored.Analysis shows that abundant solar energy resources are the fundamental condition for promoting photovoltaic power generation projects and have become an important lever for poverty alleviation work;wind energy is one of the main climate resources in Zhangjiakou City,providing important conditions for the development of wind power generation industry;the Bashang region has a long duration of cold weather and long freezing time,which has not only the inherent climate advantage of conducting ice sports,but also the advantage of natural cold storage;the Bashang region has a long snowfall time,relatively more snowfall days,and a long snow accumulation time,which has a unique climate advantage for developing tourism culture with ice and snow sports as the theme;the climate characteristics of cold winter and cool summer,with natural cooling mechanism,are superior conditions for the development of large-scale modern data information industry.展开更多
[Objective] Effects of climate change on agriculture production were studied in order to provide basis for developing agriculture and adjusting agricultural structure.[Method] The conventional mathematical statistics ...[Objective] Effects of climate change on agriculture production were studied in order to provide basis for developing agriculture and adjusting agricultural structure.[Method] The conventional mathematical statistics method was adopted to analyze climate characteristics and change trends.[Result] Compared with the agricultural resources census in 1980,annual average sunshine hours and annual precipitation reduced by 257 h and 77 mm,respectively,while annual average temperature increased by 1.2 ℃.In recent 50 years,annual sunshine hours trend decreased by 482 h,and annual mean temperature trend rose by 2.55 ℃,while annual precipitation reduced by 185 mm.[Conclusion] The reduction of sunshine hours had great effect on agricultural facilities,and temperature increase could extend crop growth period and improve biomass yield,providing growth conditions for pests and germs,while the frequency of drought disaster was increased due to the decrease of precipitation.展开更多
The feature of the climatic resource and the agricultural assessment in Jianghan plain lake district are discussed. In order to exploit the climatic resource, we have recommended some three dimensional agriculture de...The feature of the climatic resource and the agricultural assessment in Jianghan plain lake district are discussed. In order to exploit the climatic resource, we have recommended some three dimensional agriculture development models in this region according to the types of land use, such as paddy field ecological zone, dry land ecological zone, outskirts ecological zone of the city, waterbody ecological zone, woodland ecological zone.展开更多
Changes in glaciers in the Chinese Tianshan Mountains have been analyzed previously. However, most previous studies focused on individual glaciers and/or decentralized glacial basins. Moreover, a majority of these stu...Changes in glaciers in the Chinese Tianshan Mountains have been analyzed previously. However, most previous studies focused on individual glaciers and/or decentralized glacial basins. Moreover, a majority of these studies were published only in Chinese, which limited their usefulness at the international level. With this in mind, the authors reviewed the previous studies to create an overview of glacial changes in the Chinese Tianshan Mountains over the last five decades and discussed the effects of glacial changes on water resources. In response to climate change, glaciers in the Tianshan Mountains are shrinking rapidly and are ca. 20% smaller on average in the past five decades. Overall, the area reduction of glacial basins in the central part of the Chinese Tianshan Mountains is larger than that in the eastern and western parts. The spatial differentiation in glacial changes are caused by both differences in regional climate and in glacial factors. The effects of glacial changes on water resources vary in different river basins due to the differences in glacier distribution, characteristics of glacial change and proportion of the glacier meltwater in river runoff.展开更多
[Objective] The characteristics of thermal climate resources changes of agricultural production during frost period in Jianchang County were studied. [Method] By dint of Jianchang climate resources and routine numeric...[Objective] The characteristics of thermal climate resources changes of agricultural production during frost period in Jianchang County were studied. [Method] By dint of Jianchang climate resources and routine numerical statistics method, the sunlight and temperature changes trend from 1960 to 2009 in Jianchang County were analyzed. [Result] The sunshine hours and sunshine percentages during frost period in Janchang County from 1960 to 2009 tended to decrease. The climate tendency rates were -55.556 h/10 a and -2.39%/10 a respectively, 287 h and 12% of deduction in recent 50 years. There were climate transition in 1981 and 1982. And there were a shortage of 161 h and 7% of sunshine hours and sunshine percentages before and after the transition. The temperature during the frost period generally was increasing. The average temperature, average maximum and lowest temperature tendency rate were 0.386, 0.392 and 0.567 ℃/10 a. There was a growth of 1.93, 1.96 and 2.84 ℃ in recent 50 years. There were temperature transition in 1987 and 1988. The average temperature, average maximum and lowest temperature increased 1.3, 1.2 and 1.7 ℃. In recent 50 years, the sunshine resources during frost period in Jianchang were decreasing, while the thermal resources were strengthening, forming complementary of light and heat. [Conclusion] The study provided climate accordance to the development of local facility agriculture during frost period.展开更多
Climate resources are not scarce resources, nor do they conform to basic characteristics of the legal conception of "objects" which is used in the legal context. It is a violation of jurisprudence to assign ownershi...Climate resources are not scarce resources, nor do they conform to basic characteristics of the legal conception of "objects" which is used in the legal context. It is a violation of jurisprudence to assign ownership of climate resources. The provisions of local regulation which stipulate that climate resources belong to the state and government therefore has the jurisdiction over the climate probe activities, which is not only counter to higher laws, but also goes against the Constitution. That makes the provisions invalid. Besides, state ownership of climate resources also creates the possibility for the state to take on liabilities for damage caused by climate disasters. The motivation for the above provisions in local regulation is to acquire the administrative approval rights and economic benefits hiding behind those rights. So the basic principles for exercising state power should be in line with basic jurisprudence and conform with provisions of the Constitution and higher laws.展开更多
Light, heat and water resources in Huicheng Basin had significant advantages, and Huicheng Basin was an ideal area for planting mulberry and breeding silkworm. Climate was mild and humid in the basin, and frost-free p...Light, heat and water resources in Huicheng Basin had significant advantages, and Huicheng Basin was an ideal area for planting mulberry and breeding silkworm. Climate was mild and humid in the basin, and frost-free period was long, which provided favorable condition for planting mulberry and breeding silkworm. Main meteorological disasters affecting mulberry growth included late frost in spring, drought in end spring and early sum- mer. Continuous rain in autumn had certain influence on sericulture, but was favorable for mulberry wintering and growth in opting. At present, carrying capacity of the silkworm in the basin also had large space, and planting mulberry and breeding silkworm had wide developing prospect.展开更多
The present work investigates an analysis of Eco-Tourism Climate Resources in Xingwe<span>n, China based on the Comfort Index and Negative Air (Oxygen) Ion (“NAI” for short in this article) concentration. The ...The present work investigates an analysis of Eco-Tourism Climate Resources in Xingwe<span>n, China based on the Comfort Index and Negative Air (Oxygen) Ion (“NAI” for short in this article) concentration. The daily temperature, precipitation, wind speed, sunshine hours, and relative humidity data of the Xingwen National Meteorological Station from 1999 to 2018, as well as the NAI data of Feiwu Cave station and Shoushan Lake station in Xingwen of 2018 were used in this study. Based on the analysis of the characteristics of basic meteorological elements, the index of climate comfort of human living environment and the NAI variation in Xingwen, the eco-tourism climate resources in this area were evaluated comprehensively. The results show that: The climate is mild, the precipitation is abundant and the seasonal variation trend of precipitation and heat is similar in the study area. The annual average temperature of this area is 17.8<span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, "font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#FFFFFF;">°</span>C, the annual average precipitation is 1096 mm, the annual average precipitation days are 186 days, the annual average relative humidity is 81%, the annual average wind speed is 1.3 m/s, and the annual average sunshine </span><span>hours are 999 h. The living environment comfort level reaches the “comfort” level for 6 months per year. In addition, the concentration of NAI in Xingwen remains at the highest level 7 throughout the year, and the rate of good air quality is extremely high. Overall, the study area has high-quality ecological climate resources that are conducive to the development of forest recuperation, leisure and vacation and other ecological tourism activities.</span>展开更多
[Objective] The aim was to analyze climate resources in south Dongting Lake wetland. [ Method] By dint of the temperature, precipitati- on, sunshine, general cloud, relative humidity and disastrous climate days, the c...[Objective] The aim was to analyze climate resources in south Dongting Lake wetland. [ Method] By dint of the temperature, precipitati- on, sunshine, general cloud, relative humidity and disastrous climate days, the climate resources of wetland in south Dongting Lake were analyzed from the angle of climate characteristics and adaptability. [ Result] The climate was beautiful in south Dongting Lake. The period suitable for travel- ling is from September to next May. The optimal travelling period is from Mid September to last ten days of November, Mid March to last ten days of May. According to the analysis of climate elements, though there are some unfavorable climate factors influencing outdoor activity, they occurred less frequently and had little influence on travelling activity. [ Condusion] The study provided reference for climate resources utilization and the de- velopment of tourism and travelling activity.展开更多
The emissions of greenhouse gasses in Egypt are about 0.58% of the total emissions of the world in the year 2015, although Egypt is one of the countries most affected by the impacts of climate change. By assessment an...The emissions of greenhouse gasses in Egypt are about 0.58% of the total emissions of the world in the year 2015, although Egypt is one of the countries most affected by the impacts of climate change. By assessment and analysis of the expected economic impacts of climate change by the year 2030, the Egyptian cultivated area will be reduced to about 0.949 million acres, equal to about 8.22% of the Egyptian cultivated area compared with the case of no sinking part of the Delta land, thus reducing crop area in Egypt to about 1.406 million acres, approximately to about 6.25% of crop area compared with the case of no sinking part of the Delta land, in addition to surplus in the Egyptian balance water to about 2.48 billion m3. In this case value of the Egyptian agriculture production will decrease by about 6.19 billion dollars, equal to about 6.19% compared with presumably no sinking of the Delta land. In the case of sinking 15% of Delta lands, with the change of the productivity and water consumption of most crops, the result will be a reduction in the cultivated area to about 0.94 million acres. In addition to decreasing the Egyptian crop area to about 1.39 million acres, with a deficit in the Egyptian balance water to about 4.74 billion m3 compared to the case of no sinking part of the Delta land, the cultivated area will decrease to about 8.17%, and the crop area will decrease 6.18%. Also, the value of the Egyptian agriculture production will decrease by about 12.51%. While compared to sinking part of the Delta land to about 15% of the total Delta area without the other impacts of climate change, the cultivated area will increase by about 0.06%;the crop area will increase by about 0.08%;also, the value of the Egyptian agriculture production will decrease by about 5.57%.展开更多
[Objective] The aim was to study the spatial information of temperature and precipitation data in Hengduan mountains. [Method] Considering GIS spatial interpolation and numerical statistics theory, spatial prediction ...[Objective] The aim was to study the spatial information of temperature and precipitation data in Hengduan mountains. [Method] Considering GIS spatial interpolation and numerical statistics theory, spatial prediction were carried out to the ten years average temperature and precipitation flux observation data in 109 sparse meteorological stations in Hengduan Mountains. Based on the spatial range of geographic position of Hengduan Mountains, and 1∶1 000 000 scale DEM as data sources, and using trend surface simulation and residual ordinary Kriging interpolation correction method, the spatial continuous surface for annual average temperature and precipitation were studied. [Result] It was scientific and reasonable to use certain unevenly distributed sparse climate observation station value, and by dint of trend simulation and residue interpolation method to get climate consecutive spatial result. This method can not only accurate the temperature and precipitation spatial distributions to grid point, but also can reflect macro and micro geography factors and topographic influence factor of variation. Furthermore, it can be predicted error term trend surface reasonable spatial distribution. Simulation results were basically in accordance with the objective law, and can be used for the region climate data spatial informatization simulation. [Conclusion] The study provided scientific spatial basic data for the further study of ecological and vegetation in Hengduan Mountains.展开更多
Agricultural climatic resources (such as light,temperature,and water) are environmental factors that affect crop productivity.Predicting the effects of climate change on agricultural climatic resource utilization ca...Agricultural climatic resources (such as light,temperature,and water) are environmental factors that affect crop productivity.Predicting the effects of climate change on agricultural climatic resource utilization can provide a theoretical basis for adapting agricultural practices and distributions of agricultural production.This study investigates these effects under the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) scenario A1B using daily data from the high-resolution RegCM3 (0.25° ×0.25°) during 1951-2100.Model outputs are adjusted using corrections derived from daily observational data taken at 101 meteorological stations in Northeast China between 1971 and 2000.Agricultural climatic suitability theory is used to assess demand for agricultural climatic resources in Northeast China during the cultivation of spring maize.Three indices,i.e.,an average resource suitability index (Isr),an average efficacy suitability index (Ise),and an average resource utilization index (K),are defined to quantitatively evaluate the effects of climate change on climatic resource utilization between 1951 and 2100.These indices change significantly in both temporal and spatial dimensions in Northeast China under global warming.All three indices are projected to decrease in Liaoning Province from 1951 to 2100,with particularly sharp declines in Isr,Ise,and K after 2030,2021,and 2011,respectively.In Jilin and Heilongjiang provinces,Isr is projected to increase slightly after 2011,while Ise increases slightly and K decreases slightly after 2030.The spatial maxima of all three indices are projected to shift northeastward.Overall,warming of the climate in Northeast China is expected to negatively impact spring maize production,especially in Liaoning Province.Spring maize cultivation will likely need to shift northward and expand eastward to make efficient use of future agricultural climatic resources.展开更多
文摘Based on 1:50 000 basic geographic information data,the digital elevation,longitude,latitude,slope,aspect and all kinds of terrain databases of Benxi City (China) were established with Arcgis 9.2 software.Township boundary database was established by digitizing map,and the township information was amended according to the reality.Taking the elaborate simulation of spatial distribution of annual mean temperature as an example,the paper reports the application of the geographic information database in analysis of climatic resources.
文摘Based on the daily temperature, precipitation and sunshine data of the National Weather Station of Weixian County, Hebei, China from 1961 to 2014, the average temperature, accumulated temperature, precipitation and sunshine trends of the year and four seasons were analyzed. The results showed an upward trend of the average annual temperature, average annual maximum temperature and average annual minimum temperature and the minimum temperature increase is the largest. The average temperature in summer is decreasing, while the average temperature, maximum temperature and minimum temperature in spring, autumn and winter showed an upward trend. ≥0°C accumulated temperature increased by 193.82°C for 54 years, and ≥10°C accumulated temperature increased 54.59°C for 54 years. Weixian County sunshine hours were 119.121 h/10 years to reduce the rate of adverse effects on crop growth;annual precipitation decreased by 116.4 mm for 54 years, the maximum precipitation decreased by 8.2 mm, and the number of annual precipitation decreased 18.6 d, which caused great pressure on groundwater recharge
文摘By analyzing the climate characteristics of Zhangjiakou region,the advantages in its climate resources are explored.Analysis shows that abundant solar energy resources are the fundamental condition for promoting photovoltaic power generation projects and have become an important lever for poverty alleviation work;wind energy is one of the main climate resources in Zhangjiakou City,providing important conditions for the development of wind power generation industry;the Bashang region has a long duration of cold weather and long freezing time,which has not only the inherent climate advantage of conducting ice sports,but also the advantage of natural cold storage;the Bashang region has a long snowfall time,relatively more snowfall days,and a long snow accumulation time,which has a unique climate advantage for developing tourism culture with ice and snow sports as the theme;the climate characteristics of cold winter and cool summer,with natural cooling mechanism,are superior conditions for the development of large-scale modern data information industry.
文摘[Objective] Effects of climate change on agriculture production were studied in order to provide basis for developing agriculture and adjusting agricultural structure.[Method] The conventional mathematical statistics method was adopted to analyze climate characteristics and change trends.[Result] Compared with the agricultural resources census in 1980,annual average sunshine hours and annual precipitation reduced by 257 h and 77 mm,respectively,while annual average temperature increased by 1.2 ℃.In recent 50 years,annual sunshine hours trend decreased by 482 h,and annual mean temperature trend rose by 2.55 ℃,while annual precipitation reduced by 185 mm.[Conclusion] The reduction of sunshine hours had great effect on agricultural facilities,and temperature increase could extend crop growth period and improve biomass yield,providing growth conditions for pests and germs,while the frequency of drought disaster was increased due to the decrease of precipitation.
文摘The feature of the climatic resource and the agricultural assessment in Jianghan plain lake district are discussed. In order to exploit the climatic resource, we have recommended some three dimensional agriculture development models in this region according to the types of land use, such as paddy field ecological zone, dry land ecological zone, outskirts ecological zone of the city, waterbody ecological zone, woodland ecological zone.
基金funded by the Funds for Creative Research Groups of China (41121001)the National Basic Research Program (2013CBA01801)+3 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41301069, 41471058)the State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Science foundation, Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences (SKLCS-ZZ-2012-01-01)West Light Program for Talent Cultivation of the Chinese Academy of Sciencesthe Special Financial Grant from the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation ( 2014T70948)
文摘Changes in glaciers in the Chinese Tianshan Mountains have been analyzed previously. However, most previous studies focused on individual glaciers and/or decentralized glacial basins. Moreover, a majority of these studies were published only in Chinese, which limited their usefulness at the international level. With this in mind, the authors reviewed the previous studies to create an overview of glacial changes in the Chinese Tianshan Mountains over the last five decades and discussed the effects of glacial changes on water resources. In response to climate change, glaciers in the Tianshan Mountains are shrinking rapidly and are ca. 20% smaller on average in the past five decades. Overall, the area reduction of glacial basins in the central part of the Chinese Tianshan Mountains is larger than that in the eastern and western parts. The spatial differentiation in glacial changes are caused by both differences in regional climate and in glacial factors. The effects of glacial changes on water resources vary in different river basins due to the differences in glacier distribution, characteristics of glacial change and proportion of the glacier meltwater in river runoff.
文摘[Objective] The characteristics of thermal climate resources changes of agricultural production during frost period in Jianchang County were studied. [Method] By dint of Jianchang climate resources and routine numerical statistics method, the sunlight and temperature changes trend from 1960 to 2009 in Jianchang County were analyzed. [Result] The sunshine hours and sunshine percentages during frost period in Janchang County from 1960 to 2009 tended to decrease. The climate tendency rates were -55.556 h/10 a and -2.39%/10 a respectively, 287 h and 12% of deduction in recent 50 years. There were climate transition in 1981 and 1982. And there were a shortage of 161 h and 7% of sunshine hours and sunshine percentages before and after the transition. The temperature during the frost period generally was increasing. The average temperature, average maximum and lowest temperature tendency rate were 0.386, 0.392 and 0.567 ℃/10 a. There was a growth of 1.93, 1.96 and 2.84 ℃ in recent 50 years. There were temperature transition in 1987 and 1988. The average temperature, average maximum and lowest temperature increased 1.3, 1.2 and 1.7 ℃. In recent 50 years, the sunshine resources during frost period in Jianchang were decreasing, while the thermal resources were strengthening, forming complementary of light and heat. [Conclusion] The study provided climate accordance to the development of local facility agriculture during frost period.
基金Supported by Youth Fund Item of Independent Science Research Plan in Jiangnan Univeristy,China(JUSRP1064)
文摘Climate resources are not scarce resources, nor do they conform to basic characteristics of the legal conception of "objects" which is used in the legal context. It is a violation of jurisprudence to assign ownership of climate resources. The provisions of local regulation which stipulate that climate resources belong to the state and government therefore has the jurisdiction over the climate probe activities, which is not only counter to higher laws, but also goes against the Constitution. That makes the provisions invalid. Besides, state ownership of climate resources also creates the possibility for the state to take on liabilities for damage caused by climate disasters. The motivation for the above provisions in local regulation is to acquire the administrative approval rights and economic benefits hiding behind those rights. So the basic principles for exercising state power should be in line with basic jurisprudence and conform with provisions of the Constitution and higher laws.
文摘Light, heat and water resources in Huicheng Basin had significant advantages, and Huicheng Basin was an ideal area for planting mulberry and breeding silkworm. Climate was mild and humid in the basin, and frost-free period was long, which provided favorable condition for planting mulberry and breeding silkworm. Main meteorological disasters affecting mulberry growth included late frost in spring, drought in end spring and early sum- mer. Continuous rain in autumn had certain influence on sericulture, but was favorable for mulberry wintering and growth in opting. At present, carrying capacity of the silkworm in the basin also had large space, and planting mulberry and breeding silkworm had wide developing prospect.
文摘The present work investigates an analysis of Eco-Tourism Climate Resources in Xingwe<span>n, China based on the Comfort Index and Negative Air (Oxygen) Ion (“NAI” for short in this article) concentration. The daily temperature, precipitation, wind speed, sunshine hours, and relative humidity data of the Xingwen National Meteorological Station from 1999 to 2018, as well as the NAI data of Feiwu Cave station and Shoushan Lake station in Xingwen of 2018 were used in this study. Based on the analysis of the characteristics of basic meteorological elements, the index of climate comfort of human living environment and the NAI variation in Xingwen, the eco-tourism climate resources in this area were evaluated comprehensively. The results show that: The climate is mild, the precipitation is abundant and the seasonal variation trend of precipitation and heat is similar in the study area. The annual average temperature of this area is 17.8<span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, "font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#FFFFFF;">°</span>C, the annual average precipitation is 1096 mm, the annual average precipitation days are 186 days, the annual average relative humidity is 81%, the annual average wind speed is 1.3 m/s, and the annual average sunshine </span><span>hours are 999 h. The living environment comfort level reaches the “comfort” level for 6 months per year. In addition, the concentration of NAI in Xingwen remains at the highest level 7 throughout the year, and the rate of good air quality is extremely high. Overall, the study area has high-quality ecological climate resources that are conducive to the development of forest recuperation, leisure and vacation and other ecological tourism activities.</span>
文摘[Objective] The aim was to analyze climate resources in south Dongting Lake wetland. [ Method] By dint of the temperature, precipitati- on, sunshine, general cloud, relative humidity and disastrous climate days, the climate resources of wetland in south Dongting Lake were analyzed from the angle of climate characteristics and adaptability. [ Result] The climate was beautiful in south Dongting Lake. The period suitable for travel- ling is from September to next May. The optimal travelling period is from Mid September to last ten days of November, Mid March to last ten days of May. According to the analysis of climate elements, though there are some unfavorable climate factors influencing outdoor activity, they occurred less frequently and had little influence on travelling activity. [ Condusion] The study provided reference for climate resources utilization and the de- velopment of tourism and travelling activity.
文摘The emissions of greenhouse gasses in Egypt are about 0.58% of the total emissions of the world in the year 2015, although Egypt is one of the countries most affected by the impacts of climate change. By assessment and analysis of the expected economic impacts of climate change by the year 2030, the Egyptian cultivated area will be reduced to about 0.949 million acres, equal to about 8.22% of the Egyptian cultivated area compared with the case of no sinking part of the Delta land, thus reducing crop area in Egypt to about 1.406 million acres, approximately to about 6.25% of crop area compared with the case of no sinking part of the Delta land, in addition to surplus in the Egyptian balance water to about 2.48 billion m3. In this case value of the Egyptian agriculture production will decrease by about 6.19 billion dollars, equal to about 6.19% compared with presumably no sinking of the Delta land. In the case of sinking 15% of Delta lands, with the change of the productivity and water consumption of most crops, the result will be a reduction in the cultivated area to about 0.94 million acres. In addition to decreasing the Egyptian crop area to about 1.39 million acres, with a deficit in the Egyptian balance water to about 4.74 billion m3 compared to the case of no sinking part of the Delta land, the cultivated area will decrease to about 8.17%, and the crop area will decrease 6.18%. Also, the value of the Egyptian agriculture production will decrease by about 12.51%. While compared to sinking part of the Delta land to about 15% of the total Delta area without the other impacts of climate change, the cultivated area will increase by about 0.06%;the crop area will increase by about 0.08%;also, the value of the Egyptian agriculture production will decrease by about 5.57%.
基金Supported by Forest Management Key Subject Construction Project of Southwest Forestry University(XKZ200901)
文摘[Objective] The aim was to study the spatial information of temperature and precipitation data in Hengduan mountains. [Method] Considering GIS spatial interpolation and numerical statistics theory, spatial prediction were carried out to the ten years average temperature and precipitation flux observation data in 109 sparse meteorological stations in Hengduan Mountains. Based on the spatial range of geographic position of Hengduan Mountains, and 1∶1 000 000 scale DEM as data sources, and using trend surface simulation and residual ordinary Kriging interpolation correction method, the spatial continuous surface for annual average temperature and precipitation were studied. [Result] It was scientific and reasonable to use certain unevenly distributed sparse climate observation station value, and by dint of trend simulation and residue interpolation method to get climate consecutive spatial result. This method can not only accurate the temperature and precipitation spatial distributions to grid point, but also can reflect macro and micro geography factors and topographic influence factor of variation. Furthermore, it can be predicted error term trend surface reasonable spatial distribution. Simulation results were basically in accordance with the objective law, and can be used for the region climate data spatial informatization simulation. [Conclusion] The study provided scientific spatial basic data for the further study of ecological and vegetation in Hengduan Mountains.
基金Supported by the China Meteorological Administration Special Public Welfare Research Fund(GYHY201106020)ChinaMeteorological Administration Special Climate Change Research Fund(CCSF201346)
文摘Agricultural climatic resources (such as light,temperature,and water) are environmental factors that affect crop productivity.Predicting the effects of climate change on agricultural climatic resource utilization can provide a theoretical basis for adapting agricultural practices and distributions of agricultural production.This study investigates these effects under the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) scenario A1B using daily data from the high-resolution RegCM3 (0.25° ×0.25°) during 1951-2100.Model outputs are adjusted using corrections derived from daily observational data taken at 101 meteorological stations in Northeast China between 1971 and 2000.Agricultural climatic suitability theory is used to assess demand for agricultural climatic resources in Northeast China during the cultivation of spring maize.Three indices,i.e.,an average resource suitability index (Isr),an average efficacy suitability index (Ise),and an average resource utilization index (K),are defined to quantitatively evaluate the effects of climate change on climatic resource utilization between 1951 and 2100.These indices change significantly in both temporal and spatial dimensions in Northeast China under global warming.All three indices are projected to decrease in Liaoning Province from 1951 to 2100,with particularly sharp declines in Isr,Ise,and K after 2030,2021,and 2011,respectively.In Jilin and Heilongjiang provinces,Isr is projected to increase slightly after 2011,while Ise increases slightly and K decreases slightly after 2030.The spatial maxima of all three indices are projected to shift northeastward.Overall,warming of the climate in Northeast China is expected to negatively impact spring maize production,especially in Liaoning Province.Spring maize cultivation will likely need to shift northward and expand eastward to make efficient use of future agricultural climatic resources.