This article deals with the problem of minimizing ruin probability under optimal control for the continuous-time compound binomial model with investment. The jump mechanism in our article is different from that of Liu...This article deals with the problem of minimizing ruin probability under optimal control for the continuous-time compound binomial model with investment. The jump mechanism in our article is different from that of Liu et al [4]. Comparing with [4], the introduction of the investment, and hence, the additional Brownian motion term, makes the problem technically challenging. To overcome this technical difficulty, the theory of change of measure is used and an exponential martingale is obtained by virtue of the extended generator. The ruin probability is minimized through maximizing adjustment coefficient in the sense of Lundberg bounds. At the same time, the optimal investment strategy is obtained.展开更多
Consider two dependent renewal risk models with constant interest rate. By using some methods in the risk theory, uniform asymptotics for finite-time ruin probability is derived in a non-compound risk model, where cla...Consider two dependent renewal risk models with constant interest rate. By using some methods in the risk theory, uniform asymptotics for finite-time ruin probability is derived in a non-compound risk model, where claim sizes are upper tail asymptotically independent random variables with dominatedly varying tails, claim inter-arrival times follow the widely lower orthant dependent structure, and the total amount of premiums is a nonnegative stochastic process. Based on the obtained result, using the method of analysis for the tail probability of random sums, a similar result in a more complex and reasonable compound risk model is also obtained, where individual claim sizes are specialized to be extended negatively dependent and accident inter-arrival times are still widely lower orthant dependent, and both the claim sizes and the claim number have dominatedly varying tails.展开更多
Compound Poisson risk model has been simulated. It has started with exponential claim sizes. The simulations have checked for infinite ruin probabilities. An appropriate time window has been chosen to estimate and com...Compound Poisson risk model has been simulated. It has started with exponential claim sizes. The simulations have checked for infinite ruin probabilities. An appropriate time window has been chosen to estimate and compare ruin probabilities. The infinite ruin probabilities of two-compound Poisson risk process have estimated and compared them with standard theoretical results.展开更多
In this paper, we extend the classical compound binomial risk model to the case where the premium income process is based on a Poisson process, and is no longer a linear function. For this more realistic risk model, L...In this paper, we extend the classical compound binomial risk model to the case where the premium income process is based on a Poisson process, and is no longer a linear function. For this more realistic risk model, Lundberg type limiting results for the finite time ruin probabilities are derived. Asymptotic behavior of the tail probabilities of the claim surplus process is also investigated.展开更多
We consider a continuous time risk model based on a two state Markov process, in which after an exponentially distributed time, the claim frequency changes to a different level and can change back again in the same wa...We consider a continuous time risk model based on a two state Markov process, in which after an exponentially distributed time, the claim frequency changes to a different level and can change back again in the same way. We derive the Laplace transform for the first passage time to surplus zero from a given negative surplus and for the duration of negative surplus. Closed-form expressions are given in the case of exponential individual claim. Finally, numerical results are provided to show how to estimate the moments of duration of negative surplus.展开更多
The compound negative binomial model, introduced in this paper, is a discrete time version. We discuss the Markov properties of the surplus process, and study the ruin probability and the joint distributions of actuar...The compound negative binomial model, introduced in this paper, is a discrete time version. We discuss the Markov properties of the surplus process, and study the ruin probability and the joint distributions of actuarial random vectors in this model. By the strong Markov property and the mass function of a defective renewal sequence, we obtain the explicit expressions of the ruin probability, the finite-horizon ruin probability, the joint distributions of T, U（T - 1）, ｜U（T）｜ and inf U（n） （i.e., the time of ruin, the surplus immediately before ruin, the deficit at ruin and maximal deficit from ruin to recovery） and the distributions of some actuarial random vectors.展开更多
In this paper we consider the Markov-dependent risk model with tax payments in which the claim occurrence, the claim amount as well as the tax rate are controlled by an irreducible discrete-time Markov chain. Systems ...In this paper we consider the Markov-dependent risk model with tax payments in which the claim occurrence, the claim amount as well as the tax rate are controlled by an irreducible discrete-time Markov chain. Systems of integro-differential equations satisfied by the expected discounted tax payments and the non-ruin probability in terms of the ruin probabilities under the Markov-dependent risk model without tax are established. The analytical solutions of the systems of integro-differential equations are also obtained by the iteration method.展开更多
This paper is a further investigation of large deviation for partial and random sums of random variables, where {Xn,n ≥ 1} is non-negative independent identically distributed random variables with a common heavy-tail...This paper is a further investigation of large deviation for partial and random sums of random variables, where {Xn,n ≥ 1} is non-negative independent identically distributed random variables with a common heavy-tailed distribution function F on the real line R and finite mean μ∈ R. {N(n),n ≥ 0} is a binomial process with a parameter p ∈ (0,1) and independent of {Xn,n ≥ 1}; {M(n),n ≥ 0} is a Poisson process with intensity λ > 0, Sn = ΣNn i=1 Xi-cM(n). Suppose F ∈ C, we futher extend and improve some large deviation results. These results can apply to certain problems in insurance and finance.展开更多
We consider the Sparre Andersen model modified by the inclusion of interest on the surplus. Approximation for the ultimate ruin probability is derived by rounding. And upper bound and lower bound are also derived by r...We consider the Sparre Andersen model modified by the inclusion of interest on the surplus. Approximation for the ultimate ruin probability is derived by rounding. And upper bound and lower bound are also derived by rounding-down and rounding-up respectively. According to the upper bound and lower bound, we can easily obtain the error estimation of the approximation. Applications of the results to the compound Poisson model are given.展开更多
基金supported by the Nature Science Foundation of Hebei Province(A2014202202)supported by the Nature Science Foundation of China(11471218)
文摘This article deals with the problem of minimizing ruin probability under optimal control for the continuous-time compound binomial model with investment. The jump mechanism in our article is different from that of Liu et al [4]. Comparing with [4], the introduction of the investment, and hence, the additional Brownian motion term, makes the problem technically challenging. To overcome this technical difficulty, the theory of change of measure is used and an exponential martingale is obtained by virtue of the extended generator. The ruin probability is minimized through maximizing adjustment coefficient in the sense of Lundberg bounds. At the same time, the optimal investment strategy is obtained.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.11001052,11171065,71171046)China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(No.2012M520964)+1 种基金the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province(No.BK20131339)the Qing Lan Project of Jiangsu Province
文摘Consider two dependent renewal risk models with constant interest rate. By using some methods in the risk theory, uniform asymptotics for finite-time ruin probability is derived in a non-compound risk model, where claim sizes are upper tail asymptotically independent random variables with dominatedly varying tails, claim inter-arrival times follow the widely lower orthant dependent structure, and the total amount of premiums is a nonnegative stochastic process. Based on the obtained result, using the method of analysis for the tail probability of random sums, a similar result in a more complex and reasonable compound risk model is also obtained, where individual claim sizes are specialized to be extended negatively dependent and accident inter-arrival times are still widely lower orthant dependent, and both the claim sizes and the claim number have dominatedly varying tails.
文摘Compound Poisson risk model has been simulated. It has started with exponential claim sizes. The simulations have checked for infinite ruin probabilities. An appropriate time window has been chosen to estimate and compare ruin probabilities. The infinite ruin probabilities of two-compound Poisson risk process have estimated and compared them with standard theoretical results.
基金Supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China and the Ministry of Education of China
文摘In this paper, we extend the classical compound binomial risk model to the case where the premium income process is based on a Poisson process, and is no longer a linear function. For this more realistic risk model, Lundberg type limiting results for the finite time ruin probabilities are derived. Asymptotic behavior of the tail probabilities of the claim surplus process is also investigated.
基金Supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China and the Ministry of Education of China
文摘We consider a continuous time risk model based on a two state Markov process, in which after an exponentially distributed time, the claim frequency changes to a different level and can change back again in the same way. We derive the Laplace transform for the first passage time to surplus zero from a given negative surplus and for the duration of negative surplus. Closed-form expressions are given in the case of exponential individual claim. Finally, numerical results are provided to show how to estimate the moments of duration of negative surplus.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.10671197)
文摘The compound negative binomial model, introduced in this paper, is a discrete time version. We discuss the Markov properties of the surplus process, and study the ruin probability and the joint distributions of actuarial random vectors in this model. By the strong Markov property and the mass function of a defective renewal sequence, we obtain the explicit expressions of the ruin probability, the finite-horizon ruin probability, the joint distributions of T, U（T - 1）, ｜U（T）｜ and inf U（n） （i.e., the time of ruin, the surplus immediately before ruin, the deficit at ruin and maximal deficit from ruin to recovery） and the distributions of some actuarial random vectors.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(11401498)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(WUT:2015IVA066)
文摘In this paper we consider the Markov-dependent risk model with tax payments in which the claim occurrence, the claim amount as well as the tax rate are controlled by an irreducible discrete-time Markov chain. Systems of integro-differential equations satisfied by the expected discounted tax payments and the non-ruin probability in terms of the ruin probabilities under the Markov-dependent risk model without tax are established. The analytical solutions of the systems of integro-differential equations are also obtained by the iteration method.
文摘This paper is a further investigation of large deviation for partial and random sums of random variables, where {Xn,n ≥ 1} is non-negative independent identically distributed random variables with a common heavy-tailed distribution function F on the real line R and finite mean μ∈ R. {N(n),n ≥ 0} is a binomial process with a parameter p ∈ (0,1) and independent of {Xn,n ≥ 1}; {M(n),n ≥ 0} is a Poisson process with intensity λ > 0, Sn = ΣNn i=1 Xi-cM(n). Suppose F ∈ C, we futher extend and improve some large deviation results. These results can apply to certain problems in insurance and finance.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.10571051)the Specialized Research Fund for the Doctoral Program of Higher Education of China(20040542006).
文摘We consider the Sparre Andersen model modified by the inclusion of interest on the surplus. Approximation for the ultimate ruin probability is derived by rounding. And upper bound and lower bound are also derived by rounding-down and rounding-up respectively. According to the upper bound and lower bound, we can easily obtain the error estimation of the approximation. Applications of the results to the compound Poisson model are given.
