Comprehensive Risk Analysis of Storm Surge Flood Based on WebGIS

The comprehensive risk analysis of storm surge flood is vital to the safety management of sea embank- ment, the scientific assessment of storm surge disaster and the improvement of emergent treatment in storm surge haz- ard. Based on the research of disaster-causing, disaster-pregnant and disaster-bearing factors, the influencing factors of storm surge risk are concluded to be flood natural risk, embankment position, embankment width and height. The membership degree of the factors of stoma surge risk is firstly determined by storm surge flood evolution based on WebGIS, and the comprehensive risk membership and risk grade of each influencing factor are obtained. Then the effects of a single factor on comprehensive risk and sensitivity analysis are discussed, and the storm surge flood risk map is obtained. Finally, the storm surge of Tianjin Binhai New Area is taken as a case. The results show that the in- fluencing degree of the factors on the comprehensive risk membership is in decreasing order of flood natural risk, em- bankment position, embankment width and height. The flood risk map of the case is drawn, which is useful to decrease losses caused by storm surge disaster.

Planetary health risks in urban agriculture

Urban agriculture is gaining recognition for its potential contributions to environmental resilience and climate change adaptation,providing advantages such as urban greening,reduced heat island effects,and decreased air pollution.Moreover,it indirectly supports communities during weather events and natural disasters,ensuring food security and fostering community cohesion.However,concerns about planetary health risks persist in highly urbanized and climate-affected areas.Employing electronic databases such as Web of Science and PubMed and adhering to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines,we identified 55 relevant papers to comprehend the planetary health risks associated with urban agriculture,The literature review identified five distinct health risks related to urban agriculture:(1)trace metal risks in urban farms;(2)health risks associated with wastewater irrigation;(3)zoonotic risks;(4)other health risks;and(5)social and economic risks.The study highlights that urban agriculture,while emphasizing environmental benefits,particularly raises concerns about trace metal bioaccumulation in soil and vegetables,posing health risks for populations.Other well studied risks included wastewater irrigation and backyard livestock farming.The main limitations in the available literature were in studying infectious diseases and antibiotic resistance associated with urban agriculture.

Comprehensive ecological risk assessment for heavy metal pollutions in three phases in rivers

Literature lacked in providing a comprehensive research on heavy metal detection in aquatic, biological and sedimentary states of rivers. The present study was imparted with all these three components of the river. Heavy metal toxicity or pollution index was used as a tool for ecological risk assessment by considering the single state studies conducted by many researchers. An intensive ecological risk assessment model was constructed and heavy metals were indicated as a serious threat to the environment. The model was applied to determining five toxic heavy metals in three states of the Songhua River. According to the ecological risk index, heavy metal pollution in three phases was categorized as aquatic〉biological〉sedimentary, while the overall descending order of heavy metal ecological risk index was as Cd〉Hg〉As〉Pb〉Cr. Cd and Hg were selected as the priority pollutants of Songhua River.

Estimation of Physiologic Ability and Surgical Stress scoring system for predicting complications following abdominal surgery: A metaanalysis spanning 2004 to 2022

BACKGROUND Postoperative complications remain a paramount concern for surgeons and healthcare practitioners.AIM To present a comprehensive analysis of the Estimation of Physiologic Ability and Surgical Stress(E-PASS)scoring system’s efficacy in predicting postoperative complications following abdominal surgery.METHODS A systematic search of published studies was conducted,yielding 17 studies with pertinent data.Parameters such as preoperative risk score(PRS),surgical stress score(SSS),comprehensive risk score(CRS),postoperative complications,post-operative mortality,and other clinical data were collected for meta-analysis.Forest plots were employed for continuous and binary variables,withχ2 tests assessing heterogeneity(P value).RESULTS Patients experiencing complications after abdominal surgery exhibited significantly higher E-PASS scores compared to those without complications[mean difference and 95%confidence interval(CI)of PRS:0.10(0.05-0.15);SSS:0.04(0.001-0.08);CRS:0.19(0.07-0.31)].Following the exclusion of low-quality studies,results remained valid with no discernible heterogeneity.Subgroup analysis indicated that variations in sample size and age may contribute to hetero-geneity in CRS analysis.Binary variable meta-analysis demonstrated a correlation between high CRS and increased postoperative complication rates[odds ratio(OR)(95%CI):3.01(1.83-4.95)],with a significant association observed between high CRS and postoperative mortality[OR(95%CI):15.49(3.75-64.01)].CONCLUSION In summary,postoperative complications in abdominal surgery,as assessed by the E-PASS scoring system,are consistently linked to elevated PRS,SSS,and CRS scores.High CRS scores emerge as risk factors for heightened morbidity and mortality.This study establishes the accuracy of the E-PASS scoring system in predicting postoperative morbidity and mortality in abdominal surgery,underscoring its potential for widespread adoption in effective risk assessment.

Study on Risk Assessment Method of Informal Landfill

At present,there are a large number of informal landfills to be treated all over the country. Under the condition of limited treatment funds,it is necessary to prioritize the treatment of informal landfills. In this paper,the pollution risk of waste dump,surrounding soil,groundwater and surface water is analyzed,and a set of comprehensive risk assessment method system of informal landfill is established,which could provide reference for decision making department deciding landfill disposal.

A novel comprehensive ALPPS preoperative risk assessment (CAPRA) score is beneficial in creating a treatment strategy for advanced liver malignancy

Curability and safety are essential for patients with advanced liver malignancy undergoing extended liver resection.If the future liver remnant(FLR)volume is insufficient,portal embolization with or without hepatic arterial or venous embolization or a conventional two-stage hepatectomy(TSH)can be performed(1,2).Associating liver partition and portal vein ligation for staged hepatectomy(ALPPS)was introduced in 2007.

National Comprehensive Cancer Network （NCCN） riSK classification in predicting biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy： a retrospective cohort study in Chinese prostate cancer patients

This study aimed to assess the role of the National Comprehensive Cancer Network （NCCN） risk classification in predicting biochemical recurrence （BCR） after radical prostatectomy （RP） in Chinese prostate cancer patients. We included a consecutive cohort of 385 patients with prostate cancer who underwent RP at Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center （Shanghai, China） from March 2011 to December 2014. Gleason grade groups were applied at analysis according to the 2014 International Society of Urological Pathology Consensus. Risk groups were stratified according to the NCCN Clinical Practice Guidelines in Oncology： Prostate Cancer version 1, 2017. All 385 patients were divided into BCR and non-BCR groups. The clinicopathological characteristics were compared using an independent sample t-test, Chi-squared test, and Fisher＇s exact test. BCR-free survival was compared using the log-rank test and multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis. During median follow-up of 48 months （range： 1-78 months）, 31 （8.05%） patients experienced BCR. The BCR group had higher prostate-specific antigen level at diagnosis （46.54 ± 39.58 ng m1-1 vs 21.02 ± 21.06 ng ml-1, P= 0.001）, more advanced pT stage （P= 0.002）, and higher pN1 rate （P〈 0.001）. NCCN risk classification was a significant predictor of BCR {P = 0.0006） and BCR-free survival （P = 0.003） after RP. As NCCN risk level increased, there was a significant decreasing trend in BCR-free survival rate （Ptrend = 0.0002）. This study confirmed and validated that NCCN risk classification was a significant predictor of BCR and BCR-free survival after RP.

不同全球变暖目标下中国气候变化风险区域格局

Climate change will bring huge risks to human society and the economy.Regional climate change risk assessment is an important basic analysis for addressing climate change,which can be expressed as a regional system of comprehensive climate change risk.This study establishes regional systems of climate change risks under the proposed global warming targets.Results of this work are spatial patterns of climate change risks in China,indicated by the degree of climate change and the status of the risk receptors.Therefore,the risks show significant spatial differences.The high-risk regions are mainly distributed in East,South,and central China,while the medium-high risk regions are found in North and southwestern China.Under the 2℃warming target,more than 1/4 of China’s area would be at high and medium-high risk,which is more severe than under the 1.5℃warming target,and would extend to the western and northern regions.This work provides regional risk characteristics of climate change under different global warming targets as a foundation for dealing with climate change.