This paper studies the deterioration of bridge substructures utilizing the Long-Term Bridge Performance(LTBP)Program InfoBridge^(TM)and develops a survival model using Cox proportional hazards regression.The survival ...This paper studies the deterioration of bridge substructures utilizing the Long-Term Bridge Performance(LTBP)Program InfoBridge^(TM)and develops a survival model using Cox proportional hazards regression.The survival analysis is based on the National Bridge Inventory(NBI)dataset.The study calculates the survival rate of reinforced and prestressed concrete piles on bridges under marine conditions over a 29-year span(from 1992 to 2020).The state of Maryland is the primary focus of this study,with data from three neighboring regions,the District of Columbia,Virginia,and Delaware to expand the sample size.The data obtained from the National Bridge Inventory are condensed and filtered to acquire the most relevant information for model development.The Cox proportional hazards regression is applied to the condensed NBI data with six parameters:Age,ADT,ADTT,number of spans,span length,and structural length.Two survival models are generated for the bridge substructures:Reinforced and prestressed concrete piles in Maryland and reinforced and prestressed concrete piles in wet service conditions in the District of Columbia,Maryland,Delaware,and Virginia.Results from the Cox proportional hazards regression are used to construct Markov chains to demonstrate the sequence of the deterioration of bridge substructures.The Markov chains can be used as a tool to assist in the prediction and decision-making for repair,rehabilitation,and replacement of bridge piles.Based on the numerical model,the Pile Assessment Matrix Program(PAM)is developed to facilitate the assessment and maintenance of current bridge structures.The program integrates the NBI database with the inspection and research reports from various states’department of transportation,to serve as a tool for condition state simulation based on maintenance or rehabilitation strategies.展开更多
Objective: To determine the independent prognostic factors in the recurrence of colonic carcinoma after curative resection. Methods: Two hundred and one patients undergoing curative resections for colonic carcinoma we...Objective: To determine the independent prognostic factors in the recurrence of colonic carcinoma after curative resection. Methods: Two hundred and one patients undergoing curative resections for colonic carcinoma were investigated by univariate and Cox multivariate regression analyses. Ten factors contributed to the rate were analyzed. Results: Dukes stages, obstruction, postoperative chemotherapy as well as the growth manner of the tumor were significantly associated with the recurrence rate of colonic carcinoma (P<0.05) by univariate analysis, while Dukes stages, obstruction, and postoperative chemotherapy were significant factors by the multivariate analysis. Conclusion: Dukes stages, obstruction, and postoperative chemotherapy are independent prognostic factors in the recurrence of colonic carcinoma.展开更多
The use of [1] Box-Cox power transformation in regression analysis is now common;in the last two decades there has been emphasis on diagnostics methods for Box-Cox power transformation, much of which has involved dele...The use of [1] Box-Cox power transformation in regression analysis is now common;in the last two decades there has been emphasis on diagnostics methods for Box-Cox power transformation, much of which has involved deletion of influential data cases. The pioneer work of [2] studied local influence on constant variance perturbation in the Box-Cox unbiased regression linear mode. Tsai and Wu [3] analyzed local influence method of [2] to assess the effect of the case-weights perturbation on the transformation-power estimator in the Box-Cox unbiased regression linear model. Many authors noted that the influential observations on the biased estimators are different from the unbiased estimators. In this paper I describe a diagnostic method for assessing the local influence on the constant variance perturbation on the transformation in the Box-Cox biased ridge regression linear model. Two real macroeconomic data sets are used to illustrate the methodologies.展开更多
Mortality rate of gastric cancer is about 20.93/100000 which is the highest malignancy in China. The scientist of our country are at present interested in studying the postoperative survival model by multivariate anal...Mortality rate of gastric cancer is about 20.93/100000 which is the highest malignancy in China. The scientist of our country are at present interested in studying the postoperative survival model by multivariate analysis method just as stepwise regression model. The proportional hazard model initiated by Cox (1972) is more advanced than other regression method which is unneccessary to suppose the distribution of survival time and easy to analyse censoring data (the latter is difficult). This paper presented the first time application of Cox model in survival analysis of gastric cancer in China. The survival analysis system (SAS-Ⅰ) software complied by the author includes multivariate anlysis by Cox model, PV analysis and estimation of survival function which could provide useful information to surgeon for treatment of cancer patients.展开更多
In the applications of COX regression models, we always encounter data sets t<span>hat contain too many variables that only a few of them contribute to the</span> model. Therefore, it will waste much more ...In the applications of COX regression models, we always encounter data sets t<span>hat contain too many variables that only a few of them contribute to the</span> model. Therefore, it will waste much more samples to estimate the “noneffective” variables in the inference. In this paper, we use a sequential procedure for constructing<span><span><span style="font-family:;" "=""> </span></span></span><span><span><span style="font-family:;" "="">the fixed size confidence set for the “effective” parameters to the model based on an adaptive shrinkage estimate such that the “effective” coefficients can be efficiently identified with the minimum sample size. Fixed design is considered for numerical simulation. The strong consistency, asymptotic distributions and convergence rates of estimates under the fixed design are obtained. In addition, the sequential procedure is shown to be asymptotically optimal in the sense of Chow and Robbins (1965).</span></span></span>展开更多
Background: The Center of Molecular Immunology (CIM) is a center in Cuba devoted to the research, development and manufacturing of biotechnological products. CIMAvax?EGF is a vaccine for the treatment of non-small cel...Background: The Center of Molecular Immunology (CIM) is a center in Cuba devoted to the research, development and manufacturing of biotechnological products. CIMAvax?EGF is a vaccine for the treatment of non-small cell lung cancer patients (NSCL). Purpose: The aim of this work is to evaluate the effects of some potential prognostic factors on the overall survival of patients treated with CIMAvax?EGF vaccine, based on data collected in a phase II and a phase III clinical trials. Methods: The stratified Cox regression model is used to evaluate the effects of these prognostic factors, based on separate analysis for each trial, and on the combined data from both trials. Results: Patients with Performance status 0 or 1, with IV stage of tumor and male under 60 years obtain more benefit in terms of overall survival if they receive CIMAvax?EGF. Conclusions: Vaccinated group has a better performance if patients have a performance status 0 or 1, stage IV and age under 60 years. These prognostic factors influence overall survival in a positive way for those patients that received CIMAvax?EGF.展开更多
AIM:To investigate the efficiency of Cox proportional hazard model in detecting prognostic factors for gastric cancer.METHODS:We used the log-normal regression model to evaluate prognostic factors in gastric cancer an...AIM:To investigate the efficiency of Cox proportional hazard model in detecting prognostic factors for gastric cancer.METHODS:We used the log-normal regression model to evaluate prognostic factors in gastric cancer and compared it with the Cox model.Three thousand and eighteen gastric cancer patients who received a gastrectomy between 1980 and 2004 were retrospectively evaluated.Clinic-pathological factors were included in a log-normal model as well as Cox model.The akaike information criterion (AIC) was employed to compare the efficiency of both models.Univariate analysis indicated that age at diagnosis,past history,cancer location,distant metastasis status,surgical curative degree,combined other organ resection,Borrmann type,Lauren's classification,pT stage,total dissected nodes and pN stage were prognostic factors in both log-normal and Cox models.RESULTS:In the final multivariate model,age at diagnosis,past history,surgical curative degree,Borrmann type,Lauren's classification,pT stage,and pN stage were significant prognostic factors in both log-normal and Cox models.However,cancer location,distant metastasis status,and histology types were found to be significant prognostic factors in log-normal results alone.According to AIC,the log-normal model performed better than the Cox proportional hazard model (AIC value:2534.72 vs 1693.56).CONCLUSION:It is suggested that the log-normal regression model can be a useful statistical model to evaluate prognostic factors instead of the Cox proportional hazard model.展开更多
基金This research receives funding from the Maryland Department of Transportation State Highway Administration.
文摘This paper studies the deterioration of bridge substructures utilizing the Long-Term Bridge Performance(LTBP)Program InfoBridge^(TM)and develops a survival model using Cox proportional hazards regression.The survival analysis is based on the National Bridge Inventory(NBI)dataset.The study calculates the survival rate of reinforced and prestressed concrete piles on bridges under marine conditions over a 29-year span(from 1992 to 2020).The state of Maryland is the primary focus of this study,with data from three neighboring regions,the District of Columbia,Virginia,and Delaware to expand the sample size.The data obtained from the National Bridge Inventory are condensed and filtered to acquire the most relevant information for model development.The Cox proportional hazards regression is applied to the condensed NBI data with six parameters:Age,ADT,ADTT,number of spans,span length,and structural length.Two survival models are generated for the bridge substructures:Reinforced and prestressed concrete piles in Maryland and reinforced and prestressed concrete piles in wet service conditions in the District of Columbia,Maryland,Delaware,and Virginia.Results from the Cox proportional hazards regression are used to construct Markov chains to demonstrate the sequence of the deterioration of bridge substructures.The Markov chains can be used as a tool to assist in the prediction and decision-making for repair,rehabilitation,and replacement of bridge piles.Based on the numerical model,the Pile Assessment Matrix Program(PAM)is developed to facilitate the assessment and maintenance of current bridge structures.The program integrates the NBI database with the inspection and research reports from various states’department of transportation,to serve as a tool for condition state simulation based on maintenance or rehabilitation strategies.
基金This work was supported by a grant fromthe Hubei Province Natural Science Foundation of China(No.2003 ABA151)
文摘Objective: To determine the independent prognostic factors in the recurrence of colonic carcinoma after curative resection. Methods: Two hundred and one patients undergoing curative resections for colonic carcinoma were investigated by univariate and Cox multivariate regression analyses. Ten factors contributed to the rate were analyzed. Results: Dukes stages, obstruction, postoperative chemotherapy as well as the growth manner of the tumor were significantly associated with the recurrence rate of colonic carcinoma (P<0.05) by univariate analysis, while Dukes stages, obstruction, and postoperative chemotherapy were significant factors by the multivariate analysis. Conclusion: Dukes stages, obstruction, and postoperative chemotherapy are independent prognostic factors in the recurrence of colonic carcinoma.
文摘The use of [1] Box-Cox power transformation in regression analysis is now common;in the last two decades there has been emphasis on diagnostics methods for Box-Cox power transformation, much of which has involved deletion of influential data cases. The pioneer work of [2] studied local influence on constant variance perturbation in the Box-Cox unbiased regression linear mode. Tsai and Wu [3] analyzed local influence method of [2] to assess the effect of the case-weights perturbation on the transformation-power estimator in the Box-Cox unbiased regression linear model. Many authors noted that the influential observations on the biased estimators are different from the unbiased estimators. In this paper I describe a diagnostic method for assessing the local influence on the constant variance perturbation on the transformation in the Box-Cox biased ridge regression linear model. Two real macroeconomic data sets are used to illustrate the methodologies.
文摘Mortality rate of gastric cancer is about 20.93/100000 which is the highest malignancy in China. The scientist of our country are at present interested in studying the postoperative survival model by multivariate analysis method just as stepwise regression model. The proportional hazard model initiated by Cox (1972) is more advanced than other regression method which is unneccessary to suppose the distribution of survival time and easy to analyse censoring data (the latter is difficult). This paper presented the first time application of Cox model in survival analysis of gastric cancer in China. The survival analysis system (SAS-Ⅰ) software complied by the author includes multivariate anlysis by Cox model, PV analysis and estimation of survival function which could provide useful information to surgeon for treatment of cancer patients.
文摘In the applications of COX regression models, we always encounter data sets t<span>hat contain too many variables that only a few of them contribute to the</span> model. Therefore, it will waste much more samples to estimate the “noneffective” variables in the inference. In this paper, we use a sequential procedure for constructing<span><span><span style="font-family:;" "=""> </span></span></span><span><span><span style="font-family:;" "="">the fixed size confidence set for the “effective” parameters to the model based on an adaptive shrinkage estimate such that the “effective” coefficients can be efficiently identified with the minimum sample size. Fixed design is considered for numerical simulation. The strong consistency, asymptotic distributions and convergence rates of estimates under the fixed design are obtained. In addition, the sequential procedure is shown to be asymptotically optimal in the sense of Chow and Robbins (1965).</span></span></span>
基金supported by a UICC International Cancer Technology Transfer Fellowship.
文摘Background: The Center of Molecular Immunology (CIM) is a center in Cuba devoted to the research, development and manufacturing of biotechnological products. CIMAvax?EGF is a vaccine for the treatment of non-small cell lung cancer patients (NSCL). Purpose: The aim of this work is to evaluate the effects of some potential prognostic factors on the overall survival of patients treated with CIMAvax?EGF vaccine, based on data collected in a phase II and a phase III clinical trials. Methods: The stratified Cox regression model is used to evaluate the effects of these prognostic factors, based on separate analysis for each trial, and on the combined data from both trials. Results: Patients with Performance status 0 or 1, with IV stage of tumor and male under 60 years obtain more benefit in terms of overall survival if they receive CIMAvax?EGF. Conclusions: Vaccinated group has a better performance if patients have a performance status 0 or 1, stage IV and age under 60 years. These prognostic factors influence overall survival in a positive way for those patients that received CIMAvax?EGF.
基金Supported by the Gastric Cancer Laboratory and Pathology Department of Chinese Medical University,Shenyang,Chinathe Science and Technology Program of Shenyang,No. 1081232-1-00
文摘AIM:To investigate the efficiency of Cox proportional hazard model in detecting prognostic factors for gastric cancer.METHODS:We used the log-normal regression model to evaluate prognostic factors in gastric cancer and compared it with the Cox model.Three thousand and eighteen gastric cancer patients who received a gastrectomy between 1980 and 2004 were retrospectively evaluated.Clinic-pathological factors were included in a log-normal model as well as Cox model.The akaike information criterion (AIC) was employed to compare the efficiency of both models.Univariate analysis indicated that age at diagnosis,past history,cancer location,distant metastasis status,surgical curative degree,combined other organ resection,Borrmann type,Lauren's classification,pT stage,total dissected nodes and pN stage were prognostic factors in both log-normal and Cox models.RESULTS:In the final multivariate model,age at diagnosis,past history,surgical curative degree,Borrmann type,Lauren's classification,pT stage,and pN stage were significant prognostic factors in both log-normal and Cox models.However,cancer location,distant metastasis status,and histology types were found to be significant prognostic factors in log-normal results alone.According to AIC,the log-normal model performed better than the Cox proportional hazard model (AIC value:2534.72 vs 1693.56).CONCLUSION:It is suggested that the log-normal regression model can be a useful statistical model to evaluate prognostic factors instead of the Cox proportional hazard model.
