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关于Log Gaussian Mixture Cox过程模型的研究
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作者 王慧霞 赵联文 黄磊 《重庆理工大学学报(自然科学)》 CAS 北大核心 2020年第8期210-216,共7页
Log Gaussian Cox过程模型(简称LGCP模型)常用来描述关于空间变化的随机过程,但是它不能很好地拟合强度取对数后是非高斯过程情况下的数据。因此,通过将它的强度取对数后看成是一个混合高斯过程来改进LGCP模型,并研究改进后模型的性质... Log Gaussian Cox过程模型(简称LGCP模型)常用来描述关于空间变化的随机过程,但是它不能很好地拟合强度取对数后是非高斯过程情况下的数据。因此,通过将它的强度取对数后看成是一个混合高斯过程来改进LGCP模型,并研究改进后模型的性质。采用极大似然估计法和MCMC方法来估计模型参数,以及用AIC准则作模型选择。最后通过实例验证,结果显示改进后的模型能够有效地拟合数据。 展开更多
关键词 Log Gaussian cox过程模型 混合高斯过程 极大似然估计 MCMC方法 AIC准则
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A Double Shot Noise Process and Its Application in Insurance 被引量:2
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作者 Angelos Dassios Jiwook Jang 《Journal of Mathematics and System Science》 2012年第2期82-93,共12页
The authors consider a compound Cox model of insurance risk with the additional economic assumption of a positive interest rate. As the authors note a duality result relating a compound Cox model of insurance risk wit... The authors consider a compound Cox model of insurance risk with the additional economic assumption of a positive interest rate. As the authors note a duality result relating a compound Cox model of insurance risk with a positive interest rate and a double shot noise process, the authors analyze a double shot noise process systematically for its theoretical distributional properties, based on the piecewise deterministic Markov process theory, and the martingale methodology. The authors also obtain the moments of aggregate accumulated/discounted claims where the claim arrival process follows a Cox process with shot noise intensity. Removing the parameters in a double shot noise process gradually, the authors show that it becomes a compound Cox process with shot noise intensity, a single shot noise process and a compound Poisson process. Numerical comparisons are shown between the moments (i.e. means and variances) of a compound Poisson model and their counterparts of a compound Cox model with/without considering a positive interest rate. For that purpose, the authors assume that claim sizes and primary event sizes follow an exponential distribution, respectively. 展开更多
关键词 Double shot noise process a cox process stochastic intensity and time value of claims aggregate accumulated/discounted claims.
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