This article uses discriminant sampling method to select 1062 small and micro enterprises from 25 provinces in China. Researches were conducted on their credit demand and credit behavior, with the Probit model to carr...This article uses discriminant sampling method to select 1062 small and micro enterprises from 25 provinces in China. Researches were conducted on their credit demand and credit behavior, with the Probit model to carry out metrologic tests on influential factors of these enterprises' credit demand and credit behavior.The metrologic analysis shows: Literacy level of leader, asset size, annual revenue of the enterprises have significantly positive effects on the credit demand of these small and micro enterprises. Annual revenue has significantly negative influence on overall credit behavior and the occurrence of informal financial behavior, but significantly positive influence on the occurrence of formal financial behavior. Literacy level of staff and asset size of enterprises have significantly positive influence on the occurrence of the overall credit behavior of small and micro enterprises.展开更多
Personal credit scoring is the application of financial risk forecasting. It becomes an even important task as financial institutions have been experiencing serious competition and challenges. In this paper, the techn...Personal credit scoring is the application of financial risk forecasting. It becomes an even important task as financial institutions have been experiencing serious competition and challenges. In this paper, the techniques used for credit scoring are summarized and classified and the new method—ensemble learning model is introduced. This article also discusses some problems in current study. It points out that changing the focus from static credit scoring to dynamic behavioral scoring and maximizing revenue by decreasing the Type I and Type II error are two issues in current study. It also suggested that more complex models cannot always been applied to actual situation. Therefore, how to use the assessment models widely and improve the prediction accuracy is the main task for future research.展开更多
To solve the arrearage problem that puzzled most of the mobile corporations, we propose an approach to forecast and evaluate the credits for mobile clients, devising a method that is of the coalescence of genetic algo...To solve the arrearage problem that puzzled most of the mobile corporations, we propose an approach to forecast and evaluate the credits for mobile clients, devising a method that is of the coalescence of genetic algorithm and multidimensional distinguishing model. In the end of this paper, a result of a testing application in Zhuhai Branch, GMCC was provided. The precision of the forecasting and evaluation of the client’s credit is near 90%. This study is very significant to the mobile communication corporation at all levels. The popularization of the techniques and the result would produce great benefits of both society and economy.展开更多
基金subsidized by Ministry of Education Humanities and Social Sciences Planning Fund(11YJA790146) "Coordinated Development of Urban and Rural Finance Research in Dual Economic Structure"Southwestern University Research Funds for the Central Universities Special Funds for Basic Items(SWU1009002) "Coordinated Development of Theoretical Research in Dual Economic Structure in Rural Finance"+1 种基金Chongqing talents project "Chongqing Urban and Rural Finance Coordination development Research"National Social Science Fund Project (12CJY062) "Construction of Rural Supporting Financial Systems and Innovation Research",national Social Science Fund Project(10BJY082) "Rural Microfinance Institutions Innovation and Risk Control Study" and "Statistics First-level Discipline and Doctoral Discipline Construction Funds in Southwestern University"
文摘This article uses discriminant sampling method to select 1062 small and micro enterprises from 25 provinces in China. Researches were conducted on their credit demand and credit behavior, with the Probit model to carry out metrologic tests on influential factors of these enterprises' credit demand and credit behavior.The metrologic analysis shows: Literacy level of leader, asset size, annual revenue of the enterprises have significantly positive effects on the credit demand of these small and micro enterprises. Annual revenue has significantly negative influence on overall credit behavior and the occurrence of informal financial behavior, but significantly positive influence on the occurrence of formal financial behavior. Literacy level of staff and asset size of enterprises have significantly positive influence on the occurrence of the overall credit behavior of small and micro enterprises.
文摘Personal credit scoring is the application of financial risk forecasting. It becomes an even important task as financial institutions have been experiencing serious competition and challenges. In this paper, the techniques used for credit scoring are summarized and classified and the new method—ensemble learning model is introduced. This article also discusses some problems in current study. It points out that changing the focus from static credit scoring to dynamic behavioral scoring and maximizing revenue by decreasing the Type I and Type II error are two issues in current study. It also suggested that more complex models cannot always been applied to actual situation. Therefore, how to use the assessment models widely and improve the prediction accuracy is the main task for future research.
基金Guangdong Mobile Communication Company Limited Key Item(2001 and 2002)
文摘To solve the arrearage problem that puzzled most of the mobile corporations, we propose an approach to forecast and evaluate the credits for mobile clients, devising a method that is of the coalescence of genetic algorithm and multidimensional distinguishing model. In the end of this paper, a result of a testing application in Zhuhai Branch, GMCC was provided. The precision of the forecasting and evaluation of the client’s credit is near 90%. This study is very significant to the mobile communication corporation at all levels. The popularization of the techniques and the result would produce great benefits of both society and economy.
