Grain Macro-Control Mechanism Research

this paper based on the food security, the food the macroeconomic regulation and control of the operation mechanism of the general theory, focus on the China＇s grain macroeconomic regulation and control mechanism, the concept of grain macroeconomic regulation and control mechanism, the grain circulation macroeconomic regulation and control tool application, grain circulation macroeconomic regulation and control system, the problem of grain circulation system, food price formation mechanism. Through the research set up grain control of the operation mechanism of general theory.

Is There Cross-Cycle Adjustment in China's Monetary Policy?

To settle the theoretical and practical disputes over monetary policy cross-cycle adjustment,this paper explores the possible effects of China's monetary policy cross-cycle adjustment based on empirical data.By using China's macroeconomic data between the first quarter of 2000 and the fourth quarter of 2021,we use the HP filtering method to measure the trend of economic cyclical volatility,the three-stage SETAR model and the trend mutation point identification method to identify two types of cycles,respectively,and the FAVAR model to make empirical judgments on the effectiveness of monetary policy cross-cycle adjustment.We have the following research findings.First,monetary policy has certain cross-cycle adjustment effects on aggregate output,but has quite strong state dependence.Second,monetary policy has no cross-cycle adjustment effects on industrial output.Third,the higher the economic uncertainties,the worse the monetary policy cross-cycle adjustment effects,which,however,can be increased by intensifying monetary policy regulation.Fourth,in the economic recession stage,quantity-based monetary policy has advantage over price-based monetary policy in cross-cycle adjustments,while both of the above policies have no cross-cycle adjustment in the economic growth stage.Fifth,policy expectation plays an important role in cross-cycle adjustment,and reinforcing expectations is the key to realizing cross-cycle adjustment.

How Should China Handle Trade-offs between Growth and Inflation?

This article first presents an analysis of the two most important macro variables: inflation and growth. In respect to inflation that faces a daunting landscape at the present time, China can still hold the inflation rate at an appropriate level in 2008. In consideration to a world economic slowdown and primary goods price trends as well as domestic price hikes and production overcapacity, inflation should be able to be kept in check in 2008. In regards to growth, this article employs the Phillips curve equation to arrive at a potential growth rate of 9.4% for China in 2008. Over the next couple of decades, however, the potential growth rate is projected to decline. Subsequently, this article discusses the challenges facing the tightening monetary policy: the trade-off between growth and inflation, the quagmire of liquidity control, the different interest rate movement episodes of China and the Unites States at different stages of economic cycles, and the temporary expediency nature of taming inflation through currency appreciation. Nevertheless, monetary policy still has a positive role to play and China should remain steadfast in pursuing monetary austerity policies. Last but not least, the article presents an outlook for the future.

Research on the Healthy Development of China’s Real Estate Market under the background of Macro Regulation and Stock Marketing

Rising production costs, changes in the way of technological progress, the rate of decline in investment income, export-led growh is not sustainable, these factors make the Chinese economy has entered a “new normal.” This performance is the new normal economic growh rates, “stagflation” risk appears to reduce the employment pressure, increased proportion of consumption, industrial structure transition from labor-intensive to capital-intensive and knowledge-intensive, as well as increased demand for independent research and development. In the “new normal”, China should moderately lower economic growh target, deepening reform, speed up industrial restructuring and independent innovation, the implementation of the policy mix of supply and demand double expansion, demand management, or a small amount of sound monetary tightening, fiscal expansion policy mix. “Destocking” is the main task of the real estate market, due to the effect of crowding out commercial and affordable housing between the stocks is bound to affect the development of affordable housing. Faced with the real estate market structure imbalance, we should supply-side and demand-side two-pronged approach.

China＇s grain macroeconomic regulation and control strategy of economic strategy research

this article through to the national food security problems, and puts forward China＇s grain macro-control mechanism is to follow the food economic law, with the national food security as the foundation, the food economy structure adjustment as power, based on production and supply balance, trade and consumption balance, price and social grain total cost balance, grain reserves and the retaining rate balance four as the key point, establish and perfect the food security is the core of the production, processing, trade, reserve, consumption for control system, perfect the government macroeconomic regulation and control of the market, protect the food producers and consumers＇ vital interests, early warning and solving the international and domestic food crisis and risk, maintain food markets continue to stability and promote national economic security of food.

Macro-Control Malady

An undeniable fact is that China practices macro-control more frequently than countries with a developed market economy. Since the country began to adopt the policy of reform and opening up in 1978, the Central Government has launched five adjustments to cool down the economy. Professor Li Yiping at the School of Economics, the Renmin University of China, attributes the frequent control practices to the immature economic system.

Macro-Controls Taking Effect

The equilibrium of China's economic development is be ginning to improve. Given this trend , what should the government be doing to take advantage of it and maintain steady economic growth? Chen Dongqi, Deputy Director of the Institute of Economic Research of the National Development and Reform Commission, shared his thoughts on this issue with People's Daily.

Macro-Controls Take the Helm

The Chinese economy has maintained a bullish run for decades. But in recent years inflation has become more threatening. Worries therefore grow that the robust economy may slump due to the overwhelming macro-economic controls. How should China rein in inflation and at the same time hedge against economic freefall? What differentiates the country’s macro-economic controls in recent years from those in the past? Liu Shucheng and Zhang Xiaojing, researchers with the Institute of Economics under the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, gave their opinions in the following excerpts:

Government Policies and Private Enterprise Development in China:2003-2006

The relationship between government policy and economic development has been a long- standing topic of academic research andpolicy debate. The government of a transitional economy plays an important role in the process of economic development. Over the past three decades, the Chinese economy has been growing very rapidly, in particular because of the rapid development of the private sector. However, the performance of private enterprises is still affected by government policies. In the present paper, we examine the changes in large Chinese private enterprises performance during 2003-2006 and test the determinants of such changes. We conclude that the Chinese Government＇s discriminating policies against private enterprises are the main cause of the private sector＇s downturn.

Ideas on Policy Framework of China’s Bamboo Industry Development

This paper firstly analyzes the current situation of China’s bamboo industry, the major policy issues, future development trends and policy orientation. And then with industry policy theory as a guide, the paper propounds the basic framework and policy proposals in resources cultivation and management, industrial structure and pattern, markets and trade, industrial organization system, finance and taxes, industrial technology and so forth.