In this paper,a Millimeter wave(mmWave)beam tracking problem is studied in orthogonal time frequency space(OTFS)systems.Considering the nonlinearity of beamforming and the constraints of existing Kalman-filtering base...In this paper,a Millimeter wave(mmWave)beam tracking problem is studied in orthogonal time frequency space(OTFS)systems.Considering the nonlinearity of beamforming and the constraints of existing Kalman-filtering based beam tracking schemes,we propose a novel Cubature Kalman Filter(CKF)framework tracking the channel state information(CSI)to manage the challenge of highspeed channel variation in single-user moving scene for OTFS systems.Aiming for low complexity for mobile settings,this paper trains only one beam pair to track a path to maintain the reliable communication link in the analog beamforming architecture.Simulation results show that our proposed method has better tracking performance to improve the accuracy of the estimated beam angle compared with prior work.展开更多
The stochastic convergence of the cubature Kalmanfilter with intermittent observations (CKFI) for general nonlinearstochastic systems is investigated. The Bernoulli distributed ran-dom variable is employed to descri...The stochastic convergence of the cubature Kalmanfilter with intermittent observations (CKFI) for general nonlinearstochastic systems is investigated. The Bernoulli distributed ran-dom variable is employed to describe the phenomenon of intermit-tent observations. According to the cubature sample principle, theestimation error and the error covariance matrix (ECM) of CKFIare derived by Taylor series expansion, respectively. Afterwards, itis theoretically proved that the ECM will be bounded if the obser-vation arrival probability exceeds a critical minimum observationarrival probability. Meanwhile, under proper assumption corre-sponding with real engineering situations, the stochastic stabilityof the estimation error can be guaranteed when the initial estima-tion error and the stochastic noise terms are sufficiently small. Thetheoretical conclusions are verified by numerical simulations fortwo illustrative examples; also by evaluating the tracking perfor-mance of the optical-electric target tracking system implementedby CKFI and unscented Kalman filter with intermittent observa-tions (UKFI) separately, it is demonstrated that the proposed CKFIslightly outperforms the UKFI with respect to tracking accuracy aswell as real time performance.展开更多
In order to improve tracking accuracy when initial estimate is inaccurate or outliers exist,a bearings-only tracking approach called the robust range-parameterized cubature Kalman filter(RRPCKF)was proposed.Firstly,th...In order to improve tracking accuracy when initial estimate is inaccurate or outliers exist,a bearings-only tracking approach called the robust range-parameterized cubature Kalman filter(RRPCKF)was proposed.Firstly,the robust extremal rule based on the pollution distribution was introduced to the cubature Kalman filter(CKF)framework.The improved Turkey weight function was subsequently constructed to identify the outliers whose weights were reduced by establishing equivalent innovation covariance matrix in the CKF.Furthermore,the improved range-parameterize(RP)strategy which divides the filter into some weighted robust CKFs each with a different initial estimate was utilized to solve the fuzzy initial estimation problem efficiently.Simulations show that the result of the RRPCKF is more accurate and more robust whether outliers exist or not,whereas that of the conventional algorithms becomes distorted seriously when outliers appear.展开更多
A novel low-cost adaptive square-root cubature Kalmanfilter (LCASCKF) is proposed to enhance the robustness of processmodels while only increasing the computational load slightly.It is well-known that the Kalman fil...A novel low-cost adaptive square-root cubature Kalmanfilter (LCASCKF) is proposed to enhance the robustness of processmodels while only increasing the computational load slightly.It is well-known that the Kalman filter cannot handle uncertainties ina process model, such as initial state estimation errors, parametermismatch and abrupt state changes. These uncertainties severelyaffect filter performance and may even provoke divergence. Astrong tracking filter (STF), which utilizes a suboptimal fading factor,is an adaptive approach that is commonly adopted to solvethis problem. However, if the strong tracking SCKF (STSCKF)uses the same method as the extended Kalman filter (EKF) tointroduce the suboptimal fading factor, it greatly increases thecomputational load. To avoid this problem, a low-cost introductorymethod is proposed and a hypothesis testing theory is applied todetect uncertainties. The computational load analysis is performedby counting the total number of floating-point operations and it isfound that the computational load of LCASCKF is close to that ofSCKF. Experimental results prove that the LCASCKF performs aswell as STSCKF, while the increase in computational load is muchlower than STSCKF.展开更多
Traditional cubature Kalman filter(CKF)is a preferable tool for the inertial navigation system(INS)/global positioning system(GPS)integration under Gaussian noises.The CKF,however,may provide a significantly biased es...Traditional cubature Kalman filter(CKF)is a preferable tool for the inertial navigation system(INS)/global positioning system(GPS)integration under Gaussian noises.The CKF,however,may provide a significantly biased estimate when the INS/GPS system suffers from complex non-Gaussian disturbances.To address this issue,a robust nonlinear Kalman filter referred to as cubature Kalman filter under minimum error entropy with fiducial points(MEEF-CKF)is proposed.The MEEF-CKF behaves a strong robustness against complex nonGaussian noises by operating several major steps,i.e.,regression model construction,robust state estimation and free parameters optimization.More concretely,a regression model is constructed with the consideration of residual error caused by linearizing a nonlinear function at the first step.The MEEF-CKF is then developed by solving an optimization problem based on minimum error entropy with fiducial points(MEEF)under the framework of the regression model.In the MEEF-CKF,a novel optimization approach is provided for the purpose of determining free parameters adaptively.In addition,the computational complexity and convergence analyses of the MEEF-CKF are conducted for demonstrating the calculational burden and convergence characteristic.The enhanced robustness of the MEEF-CKF is demonstrated by Monte Carlo simulations on the application of a target tracking with INS/GPS integration under complex nonGaussian noises.展开更多
Nonlinear initial alignment is a significant research topic for strapdown inertial navigation system(SINS).Cubature Kalman filter(CKF)is a popular tool for nonlinear initial alignment.Standard CKF assumes that the sta...Nonlinear initial alignment is a significant research topic for strapdown inertial navigation system(SINS).Cubature Kalman filter(CKF)is a popular tool for nonlinear initial alignment.Standard CKF assumes that the statics of the observation noise are pre-given before the filtering process.Therefore,any unpredicted outliers in observation noise will decrease the stability of the filter.In view of this problem,improved CKF method with robustness is proposed.Multiple fading factors are introduced to rescale the observation noise covariance.Then the update stage of the filter can be autonomously tuned,and if there are outliers exist in the observations,the update should be less weighted.Under the Gaussian assumption of KF,the Mahalanobis distance of the innovation vector is supposed to be Chi-square distributed.Therefore a judging index based on Chi-square test is designed to detect the noise outliers,determining whether the fading tune are required.The proposed method is applied in the nonlinear alignment of SINS,and vehicle experiment proves the effective of the proposed method.展开更多
A new Gaussian approximation nonlinear filter called generalized cubature quadrature Kalman filter (GCQKF) is introduced for nonlinear dynamic systems. Based on standard GCQKF, two extensions are developed, namely squ...A new Gaussian approximation nonlinear filter called generalized cubature quadrature Kalman filter (GCQKF) is introduced for nonlinear dynamic systems. Based on standard GCQKF, two extensions are developed, namely square root generalized cubature quadrature Kalman filter (SR-GCQKF) and iterated generalized cubature quadrature Kalman filter (I-GCQKF). In SR-GCQKF, the QR decomposition is exploited to alter the Cholesky decomposition and both predicted and filtered error covariances have been propagated in square root format to make sure the numerical stability. In I-GCQKF, the measurement update step is executed iteratively to make full use of the latest measurement and a new terminal criterion is adopted to guarantee the increase of likelihood. Detailed numerical experiments demonstrate the superior performance on both tracking stability and estimation accuracy of I-GCQKF and SR-GCQKF compared with GCQKF.展开更多
Reasonable selection and optimization of a filter used in model estimation for a multiple model structure is the key to improve tracking accuracy of maneuvering target.Combining with the cubature Kalman filter with it...Reasonable selection and optimization of a filter used in model estimation for a multiple model structure is the key to improve tracking accuracy of maneuvering target.Combining with the cubature Kalman filter with iterated observation update and the interacting multiple model method,a novel interacting multiple model algorithm based on the cubature Kalman filter with observation iterated update is proposed.Firstly,aiming to the structural features of cubature Kalman filter,the cubature Kalman filter with observation iterated update is constructed by the mechanism of iterated observation update.Secondly,the improved cubature Kalman filter is used as the model filter of interacting multiple model,and the stability and reliability of model identification and state estimation are effectively promoted by the optimization of model filtering step.In the simulations,compared with classic improved interacting multiple model algorithms,the theoretical analysis and experimental results show the feasibility and validity of the proposed algorithm.展开更多
This paper focuses on the cubature Kalman filters (CKFs) for the nonlinear dynamic systems with additive process and measurement noise. As is well known, the heart of the CKF is the third-degree spherical–radial cu...This paper focuses on the cubature Kalman filters (CKFs) for the nonlinear dynamic systems with additive process and measurement noise. As is well known, the heart of the CKF is the third-degree spherical–radial cubature rule which makes it possible to compute the integrals encountered in nonlinear filtering problems. However, the rule not only requires computing the integration over an n-dimensional spherical region, but also combines the spherical cubature rule with the radial rule, thereby making it difficult to construct higher-degree CKFs. Moreover, the cubature formula used to construct the CKF has some drawbacks in computation. To address these issues, we present a more general class of the CKFs, which completely abandons the spherical–radial cubature rule. It can be shown that the conventional CKF is a special case of the proposed algorithm. The paper also includes a fifth-degree extension of the CKF. Two target tracking problems are used to verify the proposed algorithm. The results of both experiments demonstrate that the higher-degree CKF outperforms the conventional nonlinear filters in terms of accuracy.展开更多
In the normal operation condition, a conventional square-root cubature Kalman filter (SRCKF) gives sufficiently good estimation results. However, if the measurements are not reliable, the SRCKF may give inaccurate r...In the normal operation condition, a conventional square-root cubature Kalman filter (SRCKF) gives sufficiently good estimation results. However, if the measurements are not reliable, the SRCKF may give inaccurate results and diverges by time. This study introduces an adaptive SRCKF algorithm with the filter gain correction for the case of measurement malfunctions. By proposing a switching criterion, an optimal filter is selected from the adaptive and conventional SRCKF according to the measurement quality. A subsystem soft fault detection algorithm is built with the filter residual. Utilizing a clear subsystem fault coefficient, the faulty subsystem is isolated as a result of the system reconstruction. In order to improve the performance of the multi-sensor system, a hybrid fusion algorithm is presented based on the adaptive SRCKF. The state and error covariance matrix are also predicted by the priori fusion estimates, and are updated by the predicted and estimated information of subsystems. The proposed algorithms were applied to the vessel dynamic positioning system simulation. They were compared with normal SRCKF and local estimation weighted fusion algorithm. The simulation results show that the presented adaptive SRCKF improves the robustness of subsystem filtering, and the hybrid fusion algorithm has the better performance. The simulation verifies the effectiveness of the proposed algorithms.展开更多
To solve the problem that the choice of softening factor in conventional adaptive strong tracking filter( STF) greatly relies on the experience and computer simulation,a new concept of softening factor matrix is intro...To solve the problem that the choice of softening factor in conventional adaptive strong tracking filter( STF) greatly relies on the experience and computer simulation,a new concept of softening factor matrix is introduced and a fuzzy adaptive strong tracking cubature Kalman filter( FASTCKF) based on fuzzy logic controller is proposed. This method monitors residual absolute mean and standard deviation of each measurement component with fuzzy logic adaptive controller( FLAC),and adjusts the softening factor matrix dynamically by fuzzy rules,which is capable to modify suboptimal fading factor of STF adaptively and improve the filter's robust adaptive capacity. The simulation results show that the improved filtering performance is superior to the conventional square root cubature Kalman filter( SCKF) and the strong tracking square root cubature Kalman filter( STSCKF).展开更多
A novel variational Bayesian inference based on adaptive cubature Kalman filter(VBACKF)algorithm is proposed for the problem of state estimation in a target tracking system with time-varying measurement noise and rand...A novel variational Bayesian inference based on adaptive cubature Kalman filter(VBACKF)algorithm is proposed for the problem of state estimation in a target tracking system with time-varying measurement noise and random measurement losses.Firstly,the Inverse-Wishart(IW)distribution is chosen to model the covariance matrix of time-varying measurement noise in the cubature Kalman filter framework.Secondly,the Bernoulli random variable is introduced as the judgement factor of the measurement losses,and the Beta distribution is selected as the conjugate prior distribution of measurement loss probability to ensure that the posterior distribution and prior distribution have the same function form.Finally,the joint posterior probability density function of the estimated variables is approximately decoupled by the variational Bayesian inference,and the fixed-point iteration approach is used to update the estimated variables.The simulation results show that the proposed VBACKF algorithm considers the comprehensive effects of system nonlinearity,time-varying measurement noise and unknown measurement loss probability,moreover,effectively improves the accuracy of target state estimation in complex scene.展开更多
文摘In this paper,a Millimeter wave(mmWave)beam tracking problem is studied in orthogonal time frequency space(OTFS)systems.Considering the nonlinearity of beamforming and the constraints of existing Kalman-filtering based beam tracking schemes,we propose a novel Cubature Kalman Filter(CKF)framework tracking the channel state information(CSI)to manage the challenge of highspeed channel variation in single-user moving scene for OTFS systems.Aiming for low complexity for mobile settings,this paper trains only one beam pair to track a path to maintain the reliable communication link in the analog beamforming architecture.Simulation results show that our proposed method has better tracking performance to improve the accuracy of the estimated beam angle compared with prior work.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(6110418661273076)
文摘The stochastic convergence of the cubature Kalmanfilter with intermittent observations (CKFI) for general nonlinearstochastic systems is investigated. The Bernoulli distributed ran-dom variable is employed to describe the phenomenon of intermit-tent observations. According to the cubature sample principle, theestimation error and the error covariance matrix (ECM) of CKFIare derived by Taylor series expansion, respectively. Afterwards, itis theoretically proved that the ECM will be bounded if the obser-vation arrival probability exceeds a critical minimum observationarrival probability. Meanwhile, under proper assumption corre-sponding with real engineering situations, the stochastic stabilityof the estimation error can be guaranteed when the initial estima-tion error and the stochastic noise terms are sufficiently small. Thetheoretical conclusions are verified by numerical simulations fortwo illustrative examples; also by evaluating the tracking perfor-mance of the optical-electric target tracking system implementedby CKFI and unscented Kalman filter with intermittent observa-tions (UKFI) separately, it is demonstrated that the proposed CKFIslightly outperforms the UKFI with respect to tracking accuracy aswell as real time performance.
基金Projects(51377172,51577191) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘In order to improve tracking accuracy when initial estimate is inaccurate or outliers exist,a bearings-only tracking approach called the robust range-parameterized cubature Kalman filter(RRPCKF)was proposed.Firstly,the robust extremal rule based on the pollution distribution was introduced to the cubature Kalman filter(CKF)framework.The improved Turkey weight function was subsequently constructed to identify the outliers whose weights were reduced by establishing equivalent innovation covariance matrix in the CKF.Furthermore,the improved range-parameterize(RP)strategy which divides the filter into some weighted robust CKFs each with a different initial estimate was utilized to solve the fuzzy initial estimation problem efficiently.Simulations show that the result of the RRPCKF is more accurate and more robust whether outliers exist or not,whereas that of the conventional algorithms becomes distorted seriously when outliers appear.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(61573283)
文摘A novel low-cost adaptive square-root cubature Kalmanfilter (LCASCKF) is proposed to enhance the robustness of processmodels while only increasing the computational load slightly.It is well-known that the Kalman filter cannot handle uncertainties ina process model, such as initial state estimation errors, parametermismatch and abrupt state changes. These uncertainties severelyaffect filter performance and may even provoke divergence. Astrong tracking filter (STF), which utilizes a suboptimal fading factor,is an adaptive approach that is commonly adopted to solvethis problem. However, if the strong tracking SCKF (STSCKF)uses the same method as the extended Kalman filter (EKF) tointroduce the suboptimal fading factor, it greatly increases thecomputational load. To avoid this problem, a low-cost introductorymethod is proposed and a hypothesis testing theory is applied todetect uncertainties. The computational load analysis is performedby counting the total number of floating-point operations and it isfound that the computational load of LCASCKF is close to that ofSCKF. Experimental results prove that the LCASCKF performs aswell as STSCKF, while the increase in computational load is muchlower than STSCKF.
基金supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(xzy022020045)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(61976175)。
文摘Traditional cubature Kalman filter(CKF)is a preferable tool for the inertial navigation system(INS)/global positioning system(GPS)integration under Gaussian noises.The CKF,however,may provide a significantly biased estimate when the INS/GPS system suffers from complex non-Gaussian disturbances.To address this issue,a robust nonlinear Kalman filter referred to as cubature Kalman filter under minimum error entropy with fiducial points(MEEF-CKF)is proposed.The MEEF-CKF behaves a strong robustness against complex nonGaussian noises by operating several major steps,i.e.,regression model construction,robust state estimation and free parameters optimization.More concretely,a regression model is constructed with the consideration of residual error caused by linearizing a nonlinear function at the first step.The MEEF-CKF is then developed by solving an optimization problem based on minimum error entropy with fiducial points(MEEF)under the framework of the regression model.In the MEEF-CKF,a novel optimization approach is provided for the purpose of determining free parameters adaptively.In addition,the computational complexity and convergence analyses of the MEEF-CKF are conducted for demonstrating the calculational burden and convergence characteristic.The enhanced robustness of the MEEF-CKF is demonstrated by Monte Carlo simulations on the application of a target tracking with INS/GPS integration under complex nonGaussian noises.
基金This work is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.41574069The Major National Projects of China under Grant No.GFZX0301040303.
文摘Nonlinear initial alignment is a significant research topic for strapdown inertial navigation system(SINS).Cubature Kalman filter(CKF)is a popular tool for nonlinear initial alignment.Standard CKF assumes that the statics of the observation noise are pre-given before the filtering process.Therefore,any unpredicted outliers in observation noise will decrease the stability of the filter.In view of this problem,improved CKF method with robustness is proposed.Multiple fading factors are introduced to rescale the observation noise covariance.Then the update stage of the filter can be autonomously tuned,and if there are outliers exist in the observations,the update should be less weighted.Under the Gaussian assumption of KF,the Mahalanobis distance of the innovation vector is supposed to be Chi-square distributed.Therefore a judging index based on Chi-square test is designed to detect the noise outliers,determining whether the fading tune are required.The proposed method is applied in the nonlinear alignment of SINS,and vehicle experiment proves the effective of the proposed method.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(6147322711472222)+2 种基金the Aerospace Technology Support Fund of China(2014-HT-XGD)the Natural Science Foundation of Shaanxi Province(2015JM6304)the Aeronautical Science Foundation of China(20151353018)
文摘A new Gaussian approximation nonlinear filter called generalized cubature quadrature Kalman filter (GCQKF) is introduced for nonlinear dynamic systems. Based on standard GCQKF, two extensions are developed, namely square root generalized cubature quadrature Kalman filter (SR-GCQKF) and iterated generalized cubature quadrature Kalman filter (I-GCQKF). In SR-GCQKF, the QR decomposition is exploited to alter the Cholesky decomposition and both predicted and filtered error covariances have been propagated in square root format to make sure the numerical stability. In I-GCQKF, the measurement update step is executed iteratively to make full use of the latest measurement and a new terminal criterion is adopted to guarantee the increase of likelihood. Detailed numerical experiments demonstrate the superior performance on both tracking stability and estimation accuracy of I-GCQKF and SR-GCQKF compared with GCQKF.
基金Supported by the National Nature Science Foundations of China(No.61300214,U1204611,61170243)the Science and Technology Innovation Team Support Plan of Education Department of Henan Province(No.13IRTSTHN021)+3 种基金the Science and Technology Research Key Project of Education Department of Henan Province(No.13A413066)the Basic and Frontier Technology Research Plan of Henan Province(No.132300410148)the Funding Scheme of Young Key Teacher of Henan Province Universitiesthe Key Project of Teaching Reform Research of Henan University(No.HDXJJG2013-07)
文摘Reasonable selection and optimization of a filter used in model estimation for a multiple model structure is the key to improve tracking accuracy of maneuvering target.Combining with the cubature Kalman filter with iterated observation update and the interacting multiple model method,a novel interacting multiple model algorithm based on the cubature Kalman filter with observation iterated update is proposed.Firstly,aiming to the structural features of cubature Kalman filter,the cubature Kalman filter with observation iterated update is constructed by the mechanism of iterated observation update.Secondly,the improved cubature Kalman filter is used as the model filter of interacting multiple model,and the stability and reliability of model identification and state estimation are effectively promoted by the optimization of model filtering step.In the simulations,compared with classic improved interacting multiple model algorithms,the theoretical analysis and experimental results show the feasibility and validity of the proposed algorithm.
文摘This paper focuses on the cubature Kalman filters (CKFs) for the nonlinear dynamic systems with additive process and measurement noise. As is well known, the heart of the CKF is the third-degree spherical–radial cubature rule which makes it possible to compute the integrals encountered in nonlinear filtering problems. However, the rule not only requires computing the integration over an n-dimensional spherical region, but also combines the spherical cubature rule with the radial rule, thereby making it difficult to construct higher-degree CKFs. Moreover, the cubature formula used to construct the CKF has some drawbacks in computation. To address these issues, we present a more general class of the CKFs, which completely abandons the spherical–radial cubature rule. It can be shown that the conventional CKF is a special case of the proposed algorithm. The paper also includes a fifth-degree extension of the CKF. Two target tracking problems are used to verify the proposed algorithm. The results of both experiments demonstrate that the higher-degree CKF outperforms the conventional nonlinear filters in terms of accuracy.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (50979017, NSFC60775060) the National High Technology Ship Research Project of China (GJCB09001)
文摘In the normal operation condition, a conventional square-root cubature Kalman filter (SRCKF) gives sufficiently good estimation results. However, if the measurements are not reliable, the SRCKF may give inaccurate results and diverges by time. This study introduces an adaptive SRCKF algorithm with the filter gain correction for the case of measurement malfunctions. By proposing a switching criterion, an optimal filter is selected from the adaptive and conventional SRCKF according to the measurement quality. A subsystem soft fault detection algorithm is built with the filter residual. Utilizing a clear subsystem fault coefficient, the faulty subsystem is isolated as a result of the system reconstruction. In order to improve the performance of the multi-sensor system, a hybrid fusion algorithm is presented based on the adaptive SRCKF. The state and error covariance matrix are also predicted by the priori fusion estimates, and are updated by the predicted and estimated information of subsystems. The proposed algorithms were applied to the vessel dynamic positioning system simulation. They were compared with normal SRCKF and local estimation weighted fusion algorithm. The simulation results show that the presented adaptive SRCKF improves the robustness of subsystem filtering, and the hybrid fusion algorithm has the better performance. The simulation verifies the effectiveness of the proposed algorithms.
基金National Natural Science Foundations of China(Nos.51175082,60874092,51375088)
文摘To solve the problem that the choice of softening factor in conventional adaptive strong tracking filter( STF) greatly relies on the experience and computer simulation,a new concept of softening factor matrix is introduced and a fuzzy adaptive strong tracking cubature Kalman filter( FASTCKF) based on fuzzy logic controller is proposed. This method monitors residual absolute mean and standard deviation of each measurement component with fuzzy logic adaptive controller( FLAC),and adjusts the softening factor matrix dynamically by fuzzy rules,which is capable to modify suboptimal fading factor of STF adaptively and improve the filter's robust adaptive capacity. The simulation results show that the improved filtering performance is superior to the conventional square root cubature Kalman filter( SCKF) and the strong tracking square root cubature Kalman filter( STSCKF).
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.61976080)the Science and Technology Key Project of Science and TechnologyDepartment of Henan Province(No.212102310298)+1 种基金the Academic Degrees&Graduate Education Reform Project of Henan Province(No.2021SJGLX195Y)the Innovation and Quality Improvement Project for Graduate Education of Henan University(No.SYL20010101)。
文摘A novel variational Bayesian inference based on adaptive cubature Kalman filter(VBACKF)algorithm is proposed for the problem of state estimation in a target tracking system with time-varying measurement noise and random measurement losses.Firstly,the Inverse-Wishart(IW)distribution is chosen to model the covariance matrix of time-varying measurement noise in the cubature Kalman filter framework.Secondly,the Bernoulli random variable is introduced as the judgement factor of the measurement losses,and the Beta distribution is selected as the conjugate prior distribution of measurement loss probability to ensure that the posterior distribution and prior distribution have the same function form.Finally,the joint posterior probability density function of the estimated variables is approximately decoupled by the variational Bayesian inference,and the fixed-point iteration approach is used to update the estimated variables.The simulation results show that the proposed VBACKF algorithm considers the comprehensive effects of system nonlinearity,time-varying measurement noise and unknown measurement loss probability,moreover,effectively improves the accuracy of target state estimation in complex scene.