The G R relation lg N=a-bM( 1954)is an empirical formula used widely in the seismicity research. But the linearity of b curves has great difference in different time and space domains. An interested question in...The G R relation lg N=a-bM( 1954)is an empirical formula used widely in the seismicity research. But the linearity of b curves has great difference in different time and space domains. An interested question in this paper is that in how large a space time strength domain the b value has certain physical connotation. This study told us that we can get optimal statistical results of b value in those space time domains which can develop correspondent strong shocks with magnitude interval( M S≥8.5, 8.0≤ M S<8.5, 7.0≤ M S<8.0). Thus, the possible seismogenic areas in which strong shocks with different magnitude intervals develop can be inferred in different regions of the mainland of China. Finally, some new problems are proposed, such as the delimitation of seismic province, the seismicity parameter determination in seismic hazard analysis and in earthquake predictions by using b value.展开更多
We analyzed 223 earthquakes with M 1〉 5.0 that occurred in the Yunnan region during 1965 - 2014, among which 74 （ about 33. 2 % ） had foreshocks. There are great differences in foreshock populations in different te...We analyzed 223 earthquakes with M 1〉 5.0 that occurred in the Yunnan region during 1965 - 2014, among which 74 （ about 33. 2 % ） had foreshocks. There are great differences in foreshock populations in different tectonic blocks： the most abundant foreshocks occurred in the Lancang-Gengma and Tengchong-Baoshan blocks, which have the most abundant foreshocks in the Yunnan region. The predominant magnitude difference, time interval and spatial distance are 0. 5 -2. 9, within 10 days and within 20km, respectively. These characteristics can be used to forecast the mainshock after the identification of a foreshock.展开更多
文摘The G R relation lg N=a-bM( 1954)is an empirical formula used widely in the seismicity research. But the linearity of b curves has great difference in different time and space domains. An interested question in this paper is that in how large a space time strength domain the b value has certain physical connotation. This study told us that we can get optimal statistical results of b value in those space time domains which can develop correspondent strong shocks with magnitude interval( M S≥8.5, 8.0≤ M S<8.5, 7.0≤ M S<8.0). Thus, the possible seismogenic areas in which strong shocks with different magnitude intervals develop can be inferred in different regions of the mainland of China. Finally, some new problems are proposed, such as the delimitation of seismic province, the seismicity parameter determination in seismic hazard analysis and in earthquake predictions by using b value.
基金funded by the Database Establishment of Foreshocks before the M_W≥6.0 Earthquakes Worldwidethe Science and Technology Project of the Earthquake Administration of Yunnan Province
文摘We analyzed 223 earthquakes with M 1〉 5.0 that occurred in the Yunnan region during 1965 - 2014, among which 74 （ about 33. 2 % ） had foreshocks. There are great differences in foreshock populations in different tectonic blocks： the most abundant foreshocks occurred in the Lancang-Gengma and Tengchong-Baoshan blocks, which have the most abundant foreshocks in the Yunnan region. The predominant magnitude difference, time interval and spatial distance are 0. 5 -2. 9, within 10 days and within 20km, respectively. These characteristics can be used to forecast the mainshock after the identification of a foreshock.
