China’s traffic safety attracts increasing research interest.Official data show that crashes in the western region of China are more severe than those in the eastern region.However,research on crash severity in weste...China’s traffic safety attracts increasing research interest.Official data show that crashes in the western region of China are more severe than those in the eastern region.However,research on crash severity in western China is scarce.This study applied a hierarchical Bayesian logistic model to examine the significant factors related to crash and vehicle/driver levels and their heterogeneous impacts on the severity of drivers’ injury.Crash data were collected from Lintao,a rural mountainous county in western China.A variable was proposed to measure the relative difference between the crashworthiness of one vehicle and the aggressivity of the other vehicle in the mixed traffic flow.Results indicated that the majority of the total variance was induced by between-crash variance,showing the suitability of the utilized hierarchical modeling approach.One crash-level variable and six vehicle/driver-level variables,namely,road type,compatibility difference,age,vehicle type,drunk driving,driving unregistered vehicle,and driving years,significantly affected modeling drivers’ injury severities.Among these variables,road type(national and provincial),age(young and senior drivers),driving unregistered vehicle,and drunk driving tended to increase the odds of crash-related mortality.Driving years(new drivers with less than six years of driving experience) and vehicle type(heavy vehicle) were likely to decrease the probability of fatal outcomes.Compatibility difference was relatively significant,and the possibilities of mortality in single vehicle crashes were higher than those inmultivehicle and pedestrian-involved crashes.The developed methodology and estimation results provided insights into the internal mechanism of rural crashes and effective countermeasures to prevent rural crashes.展开更多
Background: A few studies have been conducted to determine the relationship between road motor vehicle crashes (MVC) and serious injuries related to tiredness, fatigues and sleeping. Aim: To determine the effects ...Background: A few studies have been conducted to determine the relationship between road motor vehicle crashes (MVC) and serious injuries related to tiredness, fatigues and sleeping. Aim: To determine the effects of aggressive behaviour, driver sleepiness and fatigue on MVC and related injuries among Turkish population. Design and setting: Population-based case and control study conducted at the accident emergency departments of hospitals and roads. Subjects: 515 car drivers involved in crashes with injury were admitted to hospital and 1030 car drivers involved while driving on public roads as control group during the study period. Methods: The Manchester driver behaviour questionnaire (DBQ) measured the aberrant driving behaviours leading to accidents. Participants completed a fatigue severity scale (FSS) and Stanford Sleeping questionnaire an epworth scale with items related to socio-demographic information, driving experiences, adherence to traffic laws (such as speed limits and seat belt), and drivers' driving records. Results: In a representative sampling, participant's age ranged from 25 to 65 and the mean and standard deviation were 36.5 _+ 7.8 for cases and 37.0 4- 8.0 for controls. There was a significant difference in both group of drivers regarding BMI, level of education, marital status, driving experience, seat belt use, excessive speed limits, physical activity number of sleeping hours, mobile phone use, and cigarette smoking habit (p = 0.017). Also, there was a significant higher mean score on all the DBQ violation questions among case group in comparison with the control group (p 〈 0.001). Further, cases had higher prevalence of Epworth sleeping disorders (p 〈 0.001) and fatigue severity (p - 0.003) compared to control drivers. Multivariate logistic regression revealed that excessive speed, fatigue, lapses, errors, Stanford sleepiness score, violations, mobile phone use and Epworth sleepiness scale were significantly associated with injury involvement in vehicle crash, after adjusting for driving experience and annual mileage. Conclusion: The current study confirmed that drivers with chronic fatigue, acute sleepiness, and careless driver behavior may significantly increases the risk of road crash which can be lead to serious injury.展开更多
This study identifies and quantifies the effects of different explanatory variables that in- crease the severity of drivers' injuries related to singie-vehicle collisions involving light- duty vehicles. The research ...This study identifies and quantifies the effects of different explanatory variables that in- crease the severity of drivers' injuries related to singie-vehicle collisions involving light- duty vehicles. The research is based on utilizing logistic regression to analyze records of all traffic collisions that occurred in North Carolina for the years from 2007 to 2013. The study also investigates temporal stability of the identified explanatory variables throughout the analysis period. The identified explanatory variables include those related to the roadway, vehicle, driver, and environmental conditions. The explanatory variables related to the roadway include whether the roadway is divided or undivided, and whether it is in an urban or rural area. The explanatory variables related to the vehicle include vehicle's age, travel speed, and the type of the light-duty vehicle. The explanatory variables related to the driver include driver's age, gender, influence by alcohol or illicit drugs, and the use of seatbelt. The explanatory variables related to the environmental conditions include weather, lighting, and road surface conditions. Three of the investigated explanatory variables were found to be temporally unstable with significantly varying effects on the severity of drivers' injuries. Those temporally unstable variables include the travel speed, the type of the light-duty vehicle, and the age of the driver. All other investigated variables were found to be consistently significant throughout the analysis period. The findings of this research have the potential to help decision makers develop policies and counter- measures that reduce the severity of drivers' injuries by focusing on explanatory variables that consistently exhibit significant effects on the severity of drivers' injuries. The findings of this research also provide quantitative measures that may be used to determine the feasibility of implementing those countermeasures in reducing the severity of drivers' in- juries related to single-vehicle collisions. Recommendations for future research are also provided.展开更多
基金The research reported in this paper is part of the project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (71871123)。
文摘China’s traffic safety attracts increasing research interest.Official data show that crashes in the western region of China are more severe than those in the eastern region.However,research on crash severity in western China is scarce.This study applied a hierarchical Bayesian logistic model to examine the significant factors related to crash and vehicle/driver levels and their heterogeneous impacts on the severity of drivers’ injury.Crash data were collected from Lintao,a rural mountainous county in western China.A variable was proposed to measure the relative difference between the crashworthiness of one vehicle and the aggressivity of the other vehicle in the mixed traffic flow.Results indicated that the majority of the total variance was induced by between-crash variance,showing the suitability of the utilized hierarchical modeling approach.One crash-level variable and six vehicle/driver-level variables,namely,road type,compatibility difference,age,vehicle type,drunk driving,driving unregistered vehicle,and driving years,significantly affected modeling drivers’ injury severities.Among these variables,road type(national and provincial),age(young and senior drivers),driving unregistered vehicle,and drunk driving tended to increase the odds of crash-related mortality.Driving years(new drivers with less than six years of driving experience) and vehicle type(heavy vehicle) were likely to decrease the probability of fatal outcomes.Compatibility difference was relatively significant,and the possibilities of mortality in single vehicle crashes were higher than those inmultivehicle and pedestrian-involved crashes.The developed methodology and estimation results provided insights into the internal mechanism of rural crashes and effective countermeasures to prevent rural crashes.
文摘Background: A few studies have been conducted to determine the relationship between road motor vehicle crashes (MVC) and serious injuries related to tiredness, fatigues and sleeping. Aim: To determine the effects of aggressive behaviour, driver sleepiness and fatigue on MVC and related injuries among Turkish population. Design and setting: Population-based case and control study conducted at the accident emergency departments of hospitals and roads. Subjects: 515 car drivers involved in crashes with injury were admitted to hospital and 1030 car drivers involved while driving on public roads as control group during the study period. Methods: The Manchester driver behaviour questionnaire (DBQ) measured the aberrant driving behaviours leading to accidents. Participants completed a fatigue severity scale (FSS) and Stanford Sleeping questionnaire an epworth scale with items related to socio-demographic information, driving experiences, adherence to traffic laws (such as speed limits and seat belt), and drivers' driving records. Results: In a representative sampling, participant's age ranged from 25 to 65 and the mean and standard deviation were 36.5 _+ 7.8 for cases and 37.0 4- 8.0 for controls. There was a significant difference in both group of drivers regarding BMI, level of education, marital status, driving experience, seat belt use, excessive speed limits, physical activity number of sleeping hours, mobile phone use, and cigarette smoking habit (p = 0.017). Also, there was a significant higher mean score on all the DBQ violation questions among case group in comparison with the control group (p 〈 0.001). Further, cases had higher prevalence of Epworth sleeping disorders (p 〈 0.001) and fatigue severity (p - 0.003) compared to control drivers. Multivariate logistic regression revealed that excessive speed, fatigue, lapses, errors, Stanford sleepiness score, violations, mobile phone use and Epworth sleepiness scale were significantly associated with injury involvement in vehicle crash, after adjusting for driving experience and annual mileage. Conclusion: The current study confirmed that drivers with chronic fatigue, acute sleepiness, and careless driver behavior may significantly increases the risk of road crash which can be lead to serious injury.
基金financially supported by a strategic initiative fund from Abu Dhabi University to establish the Center of Transportation&Traffic Safety Studies at Abu Dhabi University
文摘This study identifies and quantifies the effects of different explanatory variables that in- crease the severity of drivers' injuries related to singie-vehicle collisions involving light- duty vehicles. The research is based on utilizing logistic regression to analyze records of all traffic collisions that occurred in North Carolina for the years from 2007 to 2013. The study also investigates temporal stability of the identified explanatory variables throughout the analysis period. The identified explanatory variables include those related to the roadway, vehicle, driver, and environmental conditions. The explanatory variables related to the roadway include whether the roadway is divided or undivided, and whether it is in an urban or rural area. The explanatory variables related to the vehicle include vehicle's age, travel speed, and the type of the light-duty vehicle. The explanatory variables related to the driver include driver's age, gender, influence by alcohol or illicit drugs, and the use of seatbelt. The explanatory variables related to the environmental conditions include weather, lighting, and road surface conditions. Three of the investigated explanatory variables were found to be temporally unstable with significantly varying effects on the severity of drivers' injuries. Those temporally unstable variables include the travel speed, the type of the light-duty vehicle, and the age of the driver. All other investigated variables were found to be consistently significant throughout the analysis period. The findings of this research have the potential to help decision makers develop policies and counter- measures that reduce the severity of drivers' injuries by focusing on explanatory variables that consistently exhibit significant effects on the severity of drivers' injuries. The findings of this research also provide quantitative measures that may be used to determine the feasibility of implementing those countermeasures in reducing the severity of drivers' in- juries related to single-vehicle collisions. Recommendations for future research are also provided.