Existing speech retrieval systems are frequently confronted with expanding volumes of speech data.The dynamic updating strategy applied to construct the index can timely process to add or remove unnecessary speech dat...Existing speech retrieval systems are frequently confronted with expanding volumes of speech data.The dynamic updating strategy applied to construct the index can timely process to add or remove unnecessary speech data to meet users’real-time retrieval requirements.This study proposes an efficient method for retrieving encryption speech,using unsupervised deep hashing and B+ tree dynamic index,which avoid privacy leak-age of speech data and enhance the accuracy and efficiency of retrieval.The cloud’s encryption speech library is constructed by using the multi-threaded Dijk-Gentry-Halevi-Vaikuntanathan(DGHV)Fully Homomorphic Encryption(FHE)technique,which encrypts the original speech.In addition,this research employs Residual Neural Network18-Gated Recurrent Unit(ResNet18-GRU),which is used to learn the compact binary hash codes,store binary hash codes in the designed B+tree index table,and create a mapping relation of one to one between the binary hash codes and the corresponding encrypted speech.External B+tree index technology is applied to achieve dynamic index updating of the B+tree index table,thereby satisfying users’needs for real-time retrieval.The experimental results on THCHS-30 and TIMIT showed that the retrieval accuracy of the proposed method is more than 95.84%compared to the existing unsupervised hashing methods.The retrieval efficiency is greatly improved.Compared to the method of using hash index tables,and the speech data’s security is effectively guaranteed.展开更多
Based on monthly ECMWF reanalysis-Interim (ERA-Interim) reanalysis data, along with monthly precipitation and temperature data, the Dynamic Plateau Monsoon Index (DPMI) is defined. The results of a contrast analys...Based on monthly ECMWF reanalysis-Interim (ERA-Interim) reanalysis data, along with monthly precipitation and temperature data, the Dynamic Plateau Monsoon Index (DPMI) is defined. The results of a contrast analysis of the DPMI versus the Traditional Plateau Monsoon Index (TPMI) are described. The response of general circulation to northern Qinghai-Xizang Plateau summer monsoon anomalies and the correlation of the DPMI with general circulation anomalies are investigated. The results show that, the DPMI reflected meteorological elements better and depicted climate variation more accurately than the TPMI. In years when the plateau summer monsoon is strong, the low over the plateau and the trough near the eastern coast of Asia are deeper and higher than normal over South China. This correlation corresponds to two anomalous cyclones over the plateau and the eastern coast of Asia and an anomalous anticyclone in South China. The plateau and its adjacent regions are affected by anomalous southwesterly winds that transport more moisture to South China and cause more precipitation. The lower reaches of the Yangtze River appear to receive more precipitation by means of the strong westerly water vapor flow transported from the "large triangle affecting the region". In years when the plateau summer monsoon is weak, these are opposite. The plateau monsoon is closely related to the intensity and position of the South Asian high, and the existence of a teleconnection pattern in the mid-upper levels suggests a possible linkage of the East Asian monsoon and the Indian monsoon to the plateau summer monsoon.展开更多
The Changbai Mountains and the Appalachian Mountains have similar spatial contexts.The elevation,latitude,and moisture gradients of both mountain ranges offer regional insight for investigating the vegetation dynamics...The Changbai Mountains and the Appalachian Mountains have similar spatial contexts.The elevation,latitude,and moisture gradients of both mountain ranges offer regional insight for investigating the vegetation dynamics in eastern Eurasia and eastern North America.We determined and compared the spatial patterns and temporal trends in the normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI)in the Changbai Mountains and the Appalachian Mountains using time series data from the Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies 3^(rd) generation dataset from 1982 to 2013.The spatial pattern of NDVI in the Changbai Mountains exhibited fragmentation,whereas NDVI in the Appalachian Mountains decreased from south to north.The vegetation dynamics in the Changbai Mountains had an insignificant trend at the regional scale,whereas the dynamics in the Appalachian Mountains had a significant increasing trend.NDVI increased in 55% of the area of the Changbai Mountains and in 95% of the area of the Appalachian Mountains.The peak NDVI occurred one month later in the Changbai Mountains than in the Appalachian Mountains.The results revealed a significant increase in NDVI in autumn in both mountain ranges.The climatic trend in the Changbai Mountains included warming and decreased precipitation,and whereas that in the Appalachian Mountains included significant warming and increased precipitation.Positive and negative correlations existed between NDVI and temperature and precipitation,respectively,in both mountain ranges.Particularly,the spring temperature and NDVI exhibited a significant positive correlation in both mountain ranges.The results of this study suggest that human actives caused the differences in the spatial patterns of NDVI and that various characteristics of climate change and intensity of human actives dominated the differences in the NDVI trends between the Changbai Mountains and the Appalachian Mountains.Additionally,the vegetation dynamics of both mountain ranges were not identical to those in previous broader-scale studies.展开更多
We theoretically and numerically study the propagation dynamics of a Gaussian beam modeled by the fractional Schrodinger equation with different dynamic linear potentials. For the limited case α = 1(α is the Lé...We theoretically and numerically study the propagation dynamics of a Gaussian beam modeled by the fractional Schrodinger equation with different dynamic linear potentials. For the limited case α = 1(α is the Lévy index) in the momentum space, the beam suffers a frequency shift which depends on the applied longitudinal modulation and the involved chirp. While in the real space, by precisely controlling the linear chirp, the beam will exhibit two different evolution characteristics: one is the zigzag trajectory propagation induced by multi-reflection occurring at the zeros of spatial spectrum,the other is diffraction-free propagation. Numerical simulations are in full accordance with the theoretical results. Increase of the Lévy index not only results in the drift of those turning points along the transverse direction, but also leads to the delocalization of the Gaussian beam.展开更多
The seasonal predictability of various East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) indices was investigated in this study based on the retrospective forecasts of the five state-of-the-art coupled models from ENSEMBLES for a 46...The seasonal predictability of various East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) indices was investigated in this study based on the retrospective forecasts of the five state-of-the-art coupled models from ENSEMBLES for a 46-year period of 19612006.It was found that the ENSEMBLES models predict five out of the 21 EAWM indices well,with temporal correlation coefficients ranging from 0.54 to 0.61.These five indices are defined by the averaged lower-tropospheric winds over the low latitudes (south of 30°N).Further analyses indicated that the predictability of these five indices originates from their intimate relationship with ENSO.A cross-validated prediction,which took the preceding (November) observed Nifo3.4 index as a predictor,gives a prediction skill almost identical to that shown by the model.On the other hand,the models present rather low predictability for the other indices and for surface air temperature in East Asia.In addition,the models fail to reproduce the relationship between the indices of different categories,implying that they cannot capture the tropicalextratropical interaction related to EAWM variability.Together,these results suggest that reliable prediction of the EAWM indices and East Asian air temperature remains a challenge.展开更多
The Tarim River is the longest inland river in China and is considered as an important river to protect the oasis economy and environment of the Tarim Basin.However,excessive exploitation and over-utilization of natur...The Tarim River is the longest inland river in China and is considered as an important river to protect the oasis economy and environment of the Tarim Basin.However,excessive exploitation and over-utilization of natural resources,particularly water resources,have triggered a series of ecological and environmental problems,such as the reduction in the volume of water in the main river,deterioration of water quality,drying up of downstream rivers,degradation of vegetation,and land desertification.In this study,the land use/land cover change(LUCC)responses to ecological water conveyance in the lower reaches of the Tarim River were investigated using ENVI(Environment for Visualizing Images)and GIS(Geographic Information System)data analysis software for the period of 1990-2018.Multi-temporal remote sensing images and ecological water conveyance data from 1990 to 2018 were used.The results indicate that LUCC covered an area of 2644.34 km^(2) during this period,accounting for 15.79%of the total study area.From 1990 to 2018,wetland,farmland,forestland,and artificial surfaces increased by 533.42 km^(2)(216.77%),446.68 km^(2)(123.66%),284.55 km^(2)(5.67%),and 57.51 km^(2)(217.96%),respectively,whereas areas covered by grassland and other land use/land cover types,such as Gobi,bare soil,and deserts,decreased by 103.34 km2(14.31%)and 1218.83 km2(11.75%),respectively.Vegetation area decreased first and then increased,with the order of 2010<2000<1990<2018.LUCC in the overflow and stagnant areas in the lower reaches of the Tarim River was mainly characterized by fragmentation,irregularity,and complexity.By analyzing the LUCC responses to 19 rounds of ecological water conveyance in the lower reaches of the Tarim River from 2000 to the end of 2018,we proposed guidelines for the rational development and utilization of water and soil resources and formulation of strategies for the sustainable development of the lower reaches of the Tarim River.This study provides scientific guidance for optimal scheduling of water resources in the region.展开更多
Gas–liquid two-phase flow is complex and has uncertainty in phase interfaces, which make the two-phase flow look very complicated. Even though the flow behavior(e.g. coalescence, crushing and separation) of single bu...Gas–liquid two-phase flow is complex and has uncertainty in phase interfaces, which make the two-phase flow look very complicated. Even though the flow behavior(e.g. coalescence, crushing and separation) of single bubble or bubble groups in the liquid phase looks random, combining some established characteristics and methodologies can find regularities among the randomness. In order to excavate the nonlinear dynamic characteristics of gas–liquid two-phase flow, the authors developed an improved matrix pencil(IMP) method to analyze the pressure difference signals of the two-phase flow. This paper elucidates the influence of signal length on MP calculation results and the anti-noise-interference ability of the MP method. An IMP algorithm was applied to the fluctuation signals of gas–liquid two-phase flow to extract the mode frequency and damping ratio, which were combined with the component energy index(CEI) entropy to identify the different flow patterns. It is also found that frequency, damping ratio, CEI entropy and stability diagram together not only identify flow patterns, but also provide a new way to examine and understand the evolution mechanism of physical dynamics embedded in flow patterns. Combining these characteristics and methods, the evolution of the nonlinear dynamic physical behavior of gas bubbles is revealed.展开更多
The recently proposed learned index has higher query performance and space efficiency than the conventional B+-tree.However,the original learned index has the problems of insertion failure and unbounded query complexi...The recently proposed learned index has higher query performance and space efficiency than the conventional B+-tree.However,the original learned index has the problems of insertion failure and unbounded query complexity,meaning that it supports neither insertions nor bounded query complexity.Some variants of the learned index use an out-of-place strategy and a bottom-up build strategy to accelerate insertions and support bounded query complexity,but introduce additional query costs and frequent node splitting operations.Moreover,none of the existing learned indices are cache-friendly.In this paper,aiming to not only support efficient queries and insertions but also offer bounded query complexity,we propose a new learned index called COLIN(Cache-cOnscious Learned INdex).Unlike previous solutions using an out-of-place strategy,COLIN adopts an in-place approach to support insertions and reserves some empty slots in a node to optimize the node’s data placement.In particular,through model-based data placement and cache-conscious data layout,COLIN decouples the local-search boundary from the maximum error of the model.The experimental results on five workloads and three datasets show that COLIN achieves the best read/write performance among all compared indices and outperforms the second best index by 18.4%,6.2%,and 32.9%on the three datasets,respectively.展开更多
The global warming slowdown or warming hiatus, began around the year 2000 and has persisted for nearly 15 years. Most studies have focused on the interpretation of the hiatus in temperature. In this study, changes in ...The global warming slowdown or warming hiatus, began around the year 2000 and has persisted for nearly 15 years. Most studies have focused on the interpretation of the hiatus in temperature. In this study, changes in a global aridity index (AI) were analyzed by using a newly developed dynamical adjustment method that can successfully identify and separate dynamically induced and radiatively forced aridity changes in the raw data. The AI and Palmer Drought Severity Index produced a wetting zone over the mid-to-high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere in recent decades. The dynamical adjustment analysis suggested that this wetting zone occurred in response to the global warming hiatus. The dynamically induced AI (DAI) played a major role in the AI changes during the hiatus period, and its relationships with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO) also indicated that different phases of the NAO, PDO, and AMO contributed to dif- ferent performances of the DAI over the Northern Hemisphere. Although the aridity wetting over the mid-to-high lat- itudes may relieve long-term drying in certain regions, the hiatus is temporary, and so is the relief. Accelerated glob- al warming will return when the NAO, PDO, and AMO revert to their opposite phases in the future, and the wetting zone is likely to disappear.展开更多
In this work we give a comprehensive overview of the time consistency property of dynamic risk and performance measures,focusing on a the discrete time setup.The two key operational concepts used throughout are the no...In this work we give a comprehensive overview of the time consistency property of dynamic risk and performance measures,focusing on a the discrete time setup.The two key operational concepts used throughout are the notion of the LMmeasure and the notion of the update rule that,we believe,are the key tools for studying time consistency in a unified framework.展开更多
基金supported by the NationalNatural Science Foundation of China(No.61862041).
文摘Existing speech retrieval systems are frequently confronted with expanding volumes of speech data.The dynamic updating strategy applied to construct the index can timely process to add or remove unnecessary speech data to meet users’real-time retrieval requirements.This study proposes an efficient method for retrieving encryption speech,using unsupervised deep hashing and B+ tree dynamic index,which avoid privacy leak-age of speech data and enhance the accuracy and efficiency of retrieval.The cloud’s encryption speech library is constructed by using the multi-threaded Dijk-Gentry-Halevi-Vaikuntanathan(DGHV)Fully Homomorphic Encryption(FHE)technique,which encrypts the original speech.In addition,this research employs Residual Neural Network18-Gated Recurrent Unit(ResNet18-GRU),which is used to learn the compact binary hash codes,store binary hash codes in the designed B+tree index table,and create a mapping relation of one to one between the binary hash codes and the corresponding encrypted speech.External B+tree index technology is applied to achieve dynamic index updating of the B+tree index table,thereby satisfying users’needs for real-time retrieval.The experimental results on THCHS-30 and TIMIT showed that the retrieval accuracy of the proposed method is more than 95.84%compared to the existing unsupervised hashing methods.The retrieval efficiency is greatly improved.Compared to the method of using hash index tables,and the speech data’s security is effectively guaranteed.
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China(Grant Nos. 2010CB951701 and 2012CB026101)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41175068, 40875005 and 40810059006)+2 种基金the Knowledge Innovation Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(Grant No.KZCX2-YW-Q11-01)the Gansu Key Science and Technology Program(Grant No.1001JKDA001)the European Commission(Call FP7-ENV-2007-1,Grant No. 212921)
文摘Based on monthly ECMWF reanalysis-Interim (ERA-Interim) reanalysis data, along with monthly precipitation and temperature data, the Dynamic Plateau Monsoon Index (DPMI) is defined. The results of a contrast analysis of the DPMI versus the Traditional Plateau Monsoon Index (TPMI) are described. The response of general circulation to northern Qinghai-Xizang Plateau summer monsoon anomalies and the correlation of the DPMI with general circulation anomalies are investigated. The results show that, the DPMI reflected meteorological elements better and depicted climate variation more accurately than the TPMI. In years when the plateau summer monsoon is strong, the low over the plateau and the trough near the eastern coast of Asia are deeper and higher than normal over South China. This correlation corresponds to two anomalous cyclones over the plateau and the eastern coast of Asia and an anomalous anticyclone in South China. The plateau and its adjacent regions are affected by anomalous southwesterly winds that transport more moisture to South China and cause more precipitation. The lower reaches of the Yangtze River appear to receive more precipitation by means of the strong westerly water vapor flow transported from the "large triangle affecting the region". In years when the plateau summer monsoon is weak, these are opposite. The plateau monsoon is closely related to the intensity and position of the South Asian high, and the existence of a teleconnection pattern in the mid-upper levels suggests a possible linkage of the East Asian monsoon and the Indian monsoon to the plateau summer monsoon.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 41601438 and 41571078)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (Grant No.2412016KJ026)the Foundation of the Education Department of Jilin Province in the 13~(th) Five-Year project (Grant No. JJKH20170916KJ)
文摘The Changbai Mountains and the Appalachian Mountains have similar spatial contexts.The elevation,latitude,and moisture gradients of both mountain ranges offer regional insight for investigating the vegetation dynamics in eastern Eurasia and eastern North America.We determined and compared the spatial patterns and temporal trends in the normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI)in the Changbai Mountains and the Appalachian Mountains using time series data from the Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies 3^(rd) generation dataset from 1982 to 2013.The spatial pattern of NDVI in the Changbai Mountains exhibited fragmentation,whereas NDVI in the Appalachian Mountains decreased from south to north.The vegetation dynamics in the Changbai Mountains had an insignificant trend at the regional scale,whereas the dynamics in the Appalachian Mountains had a significant increasing trend.NDVI increased in 55% of the area of the Changbai Mountains and in 95% of the area of the Appalachian Mountains.The peak NDVI occurred one month later in the Changbai Mountains than in the Appalachian Mountains.The results revealed a significant increase in NDVI in autumn in both mountain ranges.The climatic trend in the Changbai Mountains included warming and decreased precipitation,and whereas that in the Appalachian Mountains included significant warming and increased precipitation.Positive and negative correlations existed between NDVI and temperature and precipitation,respectively,in both mountain ranges.Particularly,the spring temperature and NDVI exhibited a significant positive correlation in both mountain ranges.The results of this study suggest that human actives caused the differences in the spatial patterns of NDVI and that various characteristics of climate change and intensity of human actives dominated the differences in the NDVI trends between the Changbai Mountains and the Appalachian Mountains.Additionally,the vegetation dynamics of both mountain ranges were not identical to those in previous broader-scale studies.
基金Project supported by the Natural Science Research Project of Anhui Provincal Education Department of China(Grant Nos.KJHS2018B01 and KJ2018A0407)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.11804112)+1 种基金the Natural Science Foundation of Anhui Province of China(Grant No.1808085QA22)Start-up Fund of Huangshan University,China(Grant No.2015xkjq001).
文摘We theoretically and numerically study the propagation dynamics of a Gaussian beam modeled by the fractional Schrodinger equation with different dynamic linear potentials. For the limited case α = 1(α is the Lévy index) in the momentum space, the beam suffers a frequency shift which depends on the applied longitudinal modulation and the involved chirp. While in the real space, by precisely controlling the linear chirp, the beam will exhibit two different evolution characteristics: one is the zigzag trajectory propagation induced by multi-reflection occurring at the zeros of spatial spectrum,the other is diffraction-free propagation. Numerical simulations are in full accordance with the theoretical results. Increase of the Lévy index not only results in the drift of those turning points along the transverse direction, but also leads to the delocalization of the Gaussian beam.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.41320104007)
文摘The seasonal predictability of various East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) indices was investigated in this study based on the retrospective forecasts of the five state-of-the-art coupled models from ENSEMBLES for a 46-year period of 19612006.It was found that the ENSEMBLES models predict five out of the 21 EAWM indices well,with temporal correlation coefficients ranging from 0.54 to 0.61.These five indices are defined by the averaged lower-tropospheric winds over the low latitudes (south of 30°N).Further analyses indicated that the predictability of these five indices originates from their intimate relationship with ENSO.A cross-validated prediction,which took the preceding (November) observed Nifo3.4 index as a predictor,gives a prediction skill almost identical to that shown by the model.On the other hand,the models present rather low predictability for the other indices and for surface air temperature in East Asia.In addition,the models fail to reproduce the relationship between the indices of different categories,implying that they cannot capture the tropicalextratropical interaction related to EAWM variability.Together,these results suggest that reliable prediction of the EAWM indices and East Asian air temperature remains a challenge.
基金This study was supported by the Key Project of National Natural Science Foundation of China-Xinjiang Joint Fund(U1803241)the Key Project of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region Talent Special Plan-Tianshan Outstanding Youth(2019Q033)+1 种基金the West Light Foundation of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(2017-XBQNXZ-B-019)the Science and Technology Plan Major Projects of the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region,China(2021A03001-3).
文摘The Tarim River is the longest inland river in China and is considered as an important river to protect the oasis economy and environment of the Tarim Basin.However,excessive exploitation and over-utilization of natural resources,particularly water resources,have triggered a series of ecological and environmental problems,such as the reduction in the volume of water in the main river,deterioration of water quality,drying up of downstream rivers,degradation of vegetation,and land desertification.In this study,the land use/land cover change(LUCC)responses to ecological water conveyance in the lower reaches of the Tarim River were investigated using ENVI(Environment for Visualizing Images)and GIS(Geographic Information System)data analysis software for the period of 1990-2018.Multi-temporal remote sensing images and ecological water conveyance data from 1990 to 2018 were used.The results indicate that LUCC covered an area of 2644.34 km^(2) during this period,accounting for 15.79%of the total study area.From 1990 to 2018,wetland,farmland,forestland,and artificial surfaces increased by 533.42 km^(2)(216.77%),446.68 km^(2)(123.66%),284.55 km^(2)(5.67%),and 57.51 km^(2)(217.96%),respectively,whereas areas covered by grassland and other land use/land cover types,such as Gobi,bare soil,and deserts,decreased by 103.34 km2(14.31%)and 1218.83 km2(11.75%),respectively.Vegetation area decreased first and then increased,with the order of 2010<2000<1990<2018.LUCC in the overflow and stagnant areas in the lower reaches of the Tarim River was mainly characterized by fragmentation,irregularity,and complexity.By analyzing the LUCC responses to 19 rounds of ecological water conveyance in the lower reaches of the Tarim River from 2000 to the end of 2018,we proposed guidelines for the rational development and utilization of water and soil resources and formulation of strategies for the sustainable development of the lower reaches of the Tarim River.This study provides scientific guidance for optimal scheduling of water resources in the region.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(51406031)Jilin City Science and Technology Plan Project(201464055)Jilin Province Education Department Science Research Project(2015-243)
文摘Gas–liquid two-phase flow is complex and has uncertainty in phase interfaces, which make the two-phase flow look very complicated. Even though the flow behavior(e.g. coalescence, crushing and separation) of single bubble or bubble groups in the liquid phase looks random, combining some established characteristics and methodologies can find regularities among the randomness. In order to excavate the nonlinear dynamic characteristics of gas–liquid two-phase flow, the authors developed an improved matrix pencil(IMP) method to analyze the pressure difference signals of the two-phase flow. This paper elucidates the influence of signal length on MP calculation results and the anti-noise-interference ability of the MP method. An IMP algorithm was applied to the fluctuation signals of gas–liquid two-phase flow to extract the mode frequency and damping ratio, which were combined with the component energy index(CEI) entropy to identify the different flow patterns. It is also found that frequency, damping ratio, CEI entropy and stability diagram together not only identify flow patterns, but also provide a new way to examine and understand the evolution mechanism of physical dynamics embedded in flow patterns. Combining these characteristics and methods, the evolution of the nonlinear dynamic physical behavior of gas bubbles is revealed.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.62072419the Huawei-USTC Joint Innovation Project on Fundamental System Software。
文摘The recently proposed learned index has higher query performance and space efficiency than the conventional B+-tree.However,the original learned index has the problems of insertion failure and unbounded query complexity,meaning that it supports neither insertions nor bounded query complexity.Some variants of the learned index use an out-of-place strategy and a bottom-up build strategy to accelerate insertions and support bounded query complexity,but introduce additional query costs and frequent node splitting operations.Moreover,none of the existing learned indices are cache-friendly.In this paper,aiming to not only support efficient queries and insertions but also offer bounded query complexity,we propose a new learned index called COLIN(Cache-cOnscious Learned INdex).Unlike previous solutions using an out-of-place strategy,COLIN adopts an in-place approach to support insertions and reserves some empty slots in a node to optimize the node’s data placement.In particular,through model-based data placement and cache-conscious data layout,COLIN decouples the local-search boundary from the maximum error of the model.The experimental results on five workloads and three datasets show that COLIN achieves the best read/write performance among all compared indices and outperforms the second best index by 18.4%,6.2%,and 32.9%on the three datasets,respectively.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41575006,41521004,and 91637312)China 111 Project(B13045)
文摘The global warming slowdown or warming hiatus, began around the year 2000 and has persisted for nearly 15 years. Most studies have focused on the interpretation of the hiatus in temperature. In this study, changes in a global aridity index (AI) were analyzed by using a newly developed dynamical adjustment method that can successfully identify and separate dynamically induced and radiatively forced aridity changes in the raw data. The AI and Palmer Drought Severity Index produced a wetting zone over the mid-to-high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere in recent decades. The dynamical adjustment analysis suggested that this wetting zone occurred in response to the global warming hiatus. The dynamically induced AI (DAI) played a major role in the AI changes during the hiatus period, and its relationships with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO) also indicated that different phases of the NAO, PDO, and AMO contributed to dif- ferent performances of the DAI over the Northern Hemisphere. Although the aridity wetting over the mid-to-high lat- itudes may relieve long-term drying in certain regions, the hiatus is temporary, and so is the relief. Accelerated glob- al warming will return when the NAO, PDO, and AMO revert to their opposite phases in the future, and the wetting zone is likely to disappear.
基金Tomasz R.Bielecki and Igor Cialenco acknowledge support from the NSF grant DMS-1211256.Part of the research was performed while Igor Cialenco was visiting the Institute for Pure and Applied Mathematics(IPAM),which is supported by the National Science Foundation.Marcin Pitera acknowledges the support by Project operated within the Foundation for Polish Science IPP Programme“Geometry and Topology in Physical Model”co-financed by the EU European Regional Development Fund,Operational Program Innovative Economy 2007–2013.
文摘In this work we give a comprehensive overview of the time consistency property of dynamic risk and performance measures,focusing on a the discrete time setup.The two key operational concepts used throughout are the notion of the LMmeasure and the notion of the update rule that,we believe,are the key tools for studying time consistency in a unified framework.