We use wavelet transform to study the time series of the Earth＇s rotation rate （length-of-day, LOD）, the axial components of atmospheric angular momentum （AAM） and oceanic angular momentum （OAM） in the period 1...We use wavelet transform to study the time series of the Earth＇s rotation rate （length-of-day, LOD）, the axial components of atmospheric angular momentum （AAM） and oceanic angular momentum （OAM） in the period 1962-2005, and discuss the quasi-biennial oscillations （QBO） of LOD change. The results show that the QBO of LOD change varies remarkably in amplitude and phase. It was weak before 1978, then became much stronger and reached maximum values during the strong El Nino events in around 1983 and 1997. Results from analyzing the axial AAM indicate that the QBO signals in axial AAM are extremely consistent with the QBOs of LOD change. During 1963-2003, the QBO variance in the axial AAM can explain about 99.0% of that of the LOD, in other words, all QBO signals of LOD change are almost excited by the axial AAM, while the weak QBO signals of the axial OAM are quite different from those of the LOD and the axial AAM in both time-dependent characteristics and magnitudes. The combined effects of the axial AAM and OAM can explain about 99.1% of the variance of QBO in LOD change during this period.展开更多
The relationship between the inter-annual variations of the earth rotation, atmospheric angular momentum (AAM), sunspot number and El Ni(?)o is analyzed. The result shows that the inter-annual variation of the earth r...The relationship between the inter-annual variations of the earth rotation, atmospheric angular momentum (AAM), sunspot number and El Ni(?)o is analyzed. The result shows that the inter-annual variation of the earth rotation responds to the variation of AAM and the preg-nancy of El Ni(?)o timely. Generally, the inter-annual compo-nent of the earth rotation will reach zero in a changing proc-ess that increases from the negative to the positive extreme before El Ni(?)o occurs about half year or more. And the solar activity may have certain influence on the appearance of El Ni(?)o. We consider that El Ni(?)o will possibly appear around the end of 2001.展开更多
Real-time rapid prediction of variations of the Earth's rotational rate is of great scientific and practical importance. However, due to the complicated time-variable characteristics of variations of the Earth'...Real-time rapid prediction of variations of the Earth's rotational rate is of great scientific and practical importance. However, due to the complicated time-variable characteristics of variations of the Earth's rotational rate (i.e., length of day, LOD), it is usually difficult to obtain satisfactory predictions by con-ventional linear time series analysis methods. This study employs the nonlinear artificial neural net-works (ANN) to predict the LOD variations. The topology of the ANN model is determined by minimizing the root mean square errors (RMSE) of the predictions. Considering the close relationships between the LOD variations and the atmospheric circulation movement, the operational prediction series of axial atmospheric angular momentum (AAM) is incorporated into the ANN model as an additional input in the real-time rapid prediction of LOD variations with 1-5 days ahead. The results show that the LOD pre-diction is significantly improved after introducing the operational prediction series of AAM into the ANN model.展开更多
Hypersphere World-Universe Model (WUM) is, in fact, a Paradigm Shift in Cosmology [1]. In this paper, we provide seven Pillars of WUM: Medium of the World;Inter-Connectivity of Primary Cosmological Parameters;Creation...Hypersphere World-Universe Model (WUM) is, in fact, a Paradigm Shift in Cosmology [1]. In this paper, we provide seven Pillars of WUM: Medium of the World;Inter-Connectivity of Primary Cosmological Parameters;Creation of Matter;Multicomponent Dark Matter;Macroobjects;Volcanic Rotational Fission;Dark Matter Reactors. We describe the evolution of the World from the Beginning up to the birth of the Solar System and discuss the condition of the Early Earth before the beginning of life on it.展开更多
Ⅰ. INTRODUCTIONSince the strong El Nio event occurred at the end of 1982, which was characterized by the anomalous warming up of the sea surface water in equatorial area of eastern Pacific, the relationship between t...Ⅰ. INTRODUCTIONSince the strong El Nio event occurred at the end of 1982, which was characterized by the anomalous warming up of the sea surface water in equatorial area of eastern Pacific, the relationship between the variation of the rate of Earth rotation and the El Nio event has attracted more and more attention and some significant studies have been made. How-展开更多
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China.
文摘We use wavelet transform to study the time series of the Earth＇s rotation rate （length-of-day, LOD）, the axial components of atmospheric angular momentum （AAM） and oceanic angular momentum （OAM） in the period 1962-2005, and discuss the quasi-biennial oscillations （QBO） of LOD change. The results show that the QBO of LOD change varies remarkably in amplitude and phase. It was weak before 1978, then became much stronger and reached maximum values during the strong El Nino events in around 1983 and 1997. Results from analyzing the axial AAM indicate that the QBO signals in axial AAM are extremely consistent with the QBOs of LOD change. During 1963-2003, the QBO variance in the axial AAM can explain about 99.0% of that of the LOD, in other words, all QBO signals of LOD change are almost excited by the axial AAM, while the weak QBO signals of the axial OAM are quite different from those of the LOD and the axial AAM in both time-dependent characteristics and magnitudes. The combined effects of the axial AAM and OAM can explain about 99.1% of the variance of QBO in LOD change during this period.
基金This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 19973011 and 19833030).
文摘The relationship between the inter-annual variations of the earth rotation, atmospheric angular momentum (AAM), sunspot number and El Ni(?)o is analyzed. The result shows that the inter-annual variation of the earth rotation responds to the variation of AAM and the preg-nancy of El Ni(?)o timely. Generally, the inter-annual compo-nent of the earth rotation will reach zero in a changing proc-ess that increases from the negative to the positive extreme before El Ni(?)o occurs about half year or more. And the solar activity may have certain influence on the appearance of El Ni(?)o. We consider that El Ni(?)o will possibly appear around the end of 2001.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 10673025 and 10633030)Science & Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality (Grant No. 06DZ22101)
文摘Real-time rapid prediction of variations of the Earth's rotational rate is of great scientific and practical importance. However, due to the complicated time-variable characteristics of variations of the Earth's rotational rate (i.e., length of day, LOD), it is usually difficult to obtain satisfactory predictions by con-ventional linear time series analysis methods. This study employs the nonlinear artificial neural net-works (ANN) to predict the LOD variations. The topology of the ANN model is determined by minimizing the root mean square errors (RMSE) of the predictions. Considering the close relationships between the LOD variations and the atmospheric circulation movement, the operational prediction series of axial atmospheric angular momentum (AAM) is incorporated into the ANN model as an additional input in the real-time rapid prediction of LOD variations with 1-5 days ahead. The results show that the LOD pre-diction is significantly improved after introducing the operational prediction series of AAM into the ANN model.
文摘Hypersphere World-Universe Model (WUM) is, in fact, a Paradigm Shift in Cosmology [1]. In this paper, we provide seven Pillars of WUM: Medium of the World;Inter-Connectivity of Primary Cosmological Parameters;Creation of Matter;Multicomponent Dark Matter;Macroobjects;Volcanic Rotational Fission;Dark Matter Reactors. We describe the evolution of the World from the Beginning up to the birth of the Solar System and discuss the condition of the Early Earth before the beginning of life on it.
文摘Ⅰ. INTRODUCTIONSince the strong El Nio event occurred at the end of 1982, which was characterized by the anomalous warming up of the sea surface water in equatorial area of eastern Pacific, the relationship between the variation of the rate of Earth rotation and the El Nio event has attracted more and more attention and some significant studies have been made. How-
