Based on the panel data of 30 provinces(autonomous regions,municipalities)in China from 2006 to 2019,the empirical study finds that the target values of economic growth expectation can promote high-quality economic de...Based on the panel data of 30 provinces(autonomous regions,municipalities)in China from 2006 to 2019,the empirical study finds that the target values of economic growth expectation can promote high-quality economic development,and there is an inverted U-shaped relationship between elastic target constraints and high-quality economic development.The elastic constraints can reduce the investment rate and improve the total factor productivity(TFP),which promotes high-quality economic development,but its mediating effect accounts for a small proportion.With the improvement of the marketization degree,the inhibiting effect of elastic constraints on high-quality economic development reduces.The analysis of the heterogeneity between the new or old normal and the levels of economic development shows that in the future,developed regions should set high target values and low elastic constraints,and underdeveloped regions should set high elastic constraints on the target values of economic growth expectation.展开更多
As shown in the results of 100 Chinese Economists’ Confi- dence Survey,conducted by China’s Economic Monitoring and Analy- sis Center,National Bureau of Statistics,the confidence index of the economists in the secon...As shown in the results of 100 Chinese Economists’ Confi- dence Survey,conducted by China’s Economic Monitoring and Analy- sis Center,National Bureau of Statistics,the confidence index of the economists in the second quarter of 2008 was 4.55 in the range of the values between 1 and 9.The survey indicated that,under the influence of the major factors such as the worsened international economic situations,the evident decline of the demand for export and the quite big inflationary pressure,etc,the economists had shown evidently deeper concem over the economic trend.展开更多
基金the Research on the Coordination between China's Interprovincial Population Aging and Economic Development from the Perspective of Spatio-Temporal Big Data,a project of the National Social Science Fund of China(No.20XRK003)the philosophy and social science collaborative innovation team from Chongqing colleges and universities named Chongqing Intelligent Finance Research Collaborative Innovation Team(No.2020016).
文摘Based on the panel data of 30 provinces(autonomous regions,municipalities)in China from 2006 to 2019,the empirical study finds that the target values of economic growth expectation can promote high-quality economic development,and there is an inverted U-shaped relationship between elastic target constraints and high-quality economic development.The elastic constraints can reduce the investment rate and improve the total factor productivity(TFP),which promotes high-quality economic development,but its mediating effect accounts for a small proportion.With the improvement of the marketization degree,the inhibiting effect of elastic constraints on high-quality economic development reduces.The analysis of the heterogeneity between the new or old normal and the levels of economic development shows that in the future,developed regions should set high target values and low elastic constraints,and underdeveloped regions should set high elastic constraints on the target values of economic growth expectation.
文摘As shown in the results of 100 Chinese Economists’ Confi- dence Survey,conducted by China’s Economic Monitoring and Analy- sis Center,National Bureau of Statistics,the confidence index of the economists in the second quarter of 2008 was 4.55 in the range of the values between 1 and 9.The survey indicated that,under the influence of the major factors such as the worsened international economic situations,the evident decline of the demand for export and the quite big inflationary pressure,etc,the economists had shown evidently deeper concem over the economic trend.
