Exploring the growth value equity valuation model with data visualization

The Growth Value Model(GVM)proposed theoretical closed form formulas consist-ing of Return on Equity(ROE)and the Price-to-Book value ratio(P/B)for fair stock prices and expected rates of return.Although regression analysis can be employed to verify these theoretical closed form formulas,they cannot be explored by classical quintile or decile sorting approaches with intuition due to the essence of multi-factors and dynamical processes.This article uses visualization techniques to help intuitively explore GVM.The discerning findings and contributions of this paper is that we put forward the concept of the smart frontier,which can be regarded as the reasonable lower limit of P/B at a specific ROE by exploring fair P/B with ROE-P/B 2D dynamical process visualization.The coefficients in the formula can be determined by the quantile regression analysis with market data.The moving paths of the ROE and P/B in the cur-rent quarter and the subsequent quarters show that the portfolios at the lower right of the curve approaches this curve and stagnates here after the portfolios are formed.Furthermore,exploring expected rates of return with ROE-P/B-Return 3D dynamical process visualization,the results show that the data outside of the lower right edge of the“smart frontier”has positive quarterly return rates not only in the t+1 quarter but also in the t+2 quarter.The farther away the data in the t quarter is from the“smart frontier”,the larger the return rates in the t+1 and t+2 quarter.

Does the EVA valuation model explain the market value of equity better under changing required return than constant required return?

Through the Economic-Value-Added(EVA)valuation model,the expected market value of equity can be determined by adding the book value of equity with the present value of expected EVAs under the assumption of constant required return and constant return on equity.The equation of EVA valuation model has taken its shape under the assumption of constant required return and constant return on equity.However,a large body of empirical evidence indicates that required rate of return never remain constant.The EVA-valuation model formulated under constant required return cannot be implemented under the scenario of changing required return.In this study,we explored whether the EVA valuation model could be implemented under changing required return by making any changes in the model and found that it could be implemented under the scenario of changing required return by replacing the book value of the equity of the existing model with the present value of required earnings or normal market earnings.We further examined whether the explanatory ability of the EVA valuation model under the assumption of changing required return is better than that of the valuation model under the assumption of constant required return.Relative information content analyses were conducted by considering sample of the intrinsic value of equities determined by valuation models and the market value of equities of 69 large-cap,88 mid-cap,and 79 small-cap companies.The results showed that the EVA-based valuation model with changing normal market return outperformed the EVA-based valuation model with constant required return.

Time Discretized Variational Iteration Method for the Stochastic Volatility Process with Jumps

A model for both stochastic jumps and volatility for equity returns in the area of option pricing is the stochastic volatility process with jumps (SVPJ). A major advantage of this model lies in the area of mean reversion and volatility clustering between returns and volatility with uphill movements in price asserts. Thus, in this article, we propose to solve the SVPJ model numerically through a discretized variational iteration method (DVIM) to obtain sample paths for the state variable and variance process at various timesteps and replications in order to estimate the expected jump times at various iterates resulting from executing the DVIM as n increases. These jumps help in estimating the degree of randomness in the financial market. It was observed that the average computed expected jump times for the state variable and variance process is moderated by the parameters (variance process through mean reversion), Θ (long-run mean of the variance process), σ (volatility variance process) and λ (constant intensity of the Poisson process) at each iterate. For instance, when = 0.0, Θ = 0.0, σ = 0.0 and λ = 1.0, the state variable cluttered maximally compared to the variance process with less volatility cluttering with an average computed expected jump times of 52.40607869 as n increases in the DVIM scheme. Similarly, when = 3.99, Θ = 0.014, σ = 0.27 and λ = 0.11, the stochastic jumps for the state variable are less cluttered compared to the variance process with maximum volatility cluttering as n increases in the DVIM scheme. In terms of option pricing, the value 52.40607869 suggest a better bargain compared to the value 20.40344029 due to the fact that it yields less volatility rate. MAPLE 18 software was used for all computations in this research.

BM(book-to-market ratio) factor: mediumterm momentum and long-term reversal

To explain medium-term momentum and long-term reversal,we use the difference between the optional model and the CAPM model to construct a winner-loser portfolio.According to the CAPM model’s zero explanatory ability with respect to stock market anomalies,we obtain an anomaly interpretative model.This study shows that this anomaly interpretative model can explain stock market perceptions and medium-term momentum.Most importantly,BM is a critical factor in the model’s explanatory ability.We present a robustness test,which includes selecting new sample data,adding new auxiliary variables,changing sample years,and adding industry fixed effects.In general,the BM effect does have considerable explanatory power in medium-term momentum and long-term reversal.

Impact of Information Technology Adoption on Value Relevance of Accounting Information： Evidence From the Colombo Stock Exchange

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the value relevance of earning based accounting information and to see how value relevance has changed with the introduction of new information technology at Colombo Stock Exchange （CSE） in Sri Lanka. Sample of the study includes 129 companies selected from 6 major sectors at CSE. Cross sectional and time series cross-sectional regressions are used for the data analysis. Study finds that earnings per share （EPS） and returns on equity （ROE） have a significant impact on market price. However, the explanatory power of combined variables is below average. Further, value explanatory power of earnings has considerably improved after the new information technology adoption at CSE. This study is unique because it examines the impact of technological advancements on value relevance of accounting information probably as the first paper to be applied on Sri Lanka.