This paper developed a model for pricing catastrophe bond whose trigger is loss index. In the model Esscher transform which is a facility usually used in actuarial science now provides an easy way to calculate Radon-N...This paper developed a model for pricing catastrophe bond whose trigger is loss index. In the model Esscher transform which is a facility usually used in actuarial science now provides an easy way to calculate Radon-Nikodym derivative so that the whole pricing process becomes easier to understand. At the end of this paper we use this model to price a China typhoon catastrophe bond which is also designed by us.展开更多
In this research,we summarize the results of a practical study of index options based on the option valuation model which was proposed by Siu and Yang(Acta Math.Appl.Sin.Engl.Ser.,25(3)(2009),pp.339{388),where an EMM ...In this research,we summarize the results of a practical study of index options based on the option valuation model which was proposed by Siu and Yang(Acta Math.Appl.Sin.Engl.Ser.,25(3)(2009),pp.339{388),where an EMM kernel is integrated which takes into account all risk components of a regime-switching model.Further,the regime-switching risk of an economy in the options is priced using a hidden Markov regime-switching model with the risky underlying asset being modulated by a discrete-time,nite-state,hidden Markov chain whose states represent the hidden states of an economy.We apply such a model to the pricing of Hang Seng Index options based on the real-world nancial data from October 2009 to October 2010(i.e.,for the year in which the model was proposed).We employed the entropy martingale measure(EMM)approach proposed by Siu and Yang(Acta Math.Appl.Sin.Engl.Ser.,25(3)(2009),pp.339{388)to determine the optimal martingale measure for the Markov-modulated GBM.In addition,we have proposed a numerical technique called the weighted di erence method to compliment the EMM approach.We have also veri ed the extended jump-di usion model under regime-switching that we proposed recently(Int.J.Finan.Eng.,6(4)(2019),1950038)using the 50ETF options which are obtained from Shanghai Stock Exchange covering a time span from January 2018 to December 2022.Further,we have highlighted the challenges for the EMM kernel-based Markov regime-switching model for pricing the out-of-the-money index options in the real world.展开更多
We study the pricing of an option when the price dynamic of the underlying risky asset is governed by a Markov-modulated geometric Brownian motion. We suppose that the drift and volatility of the underlying risky asse...We study the pricing of an option when the price dynamic of the underlying risky asset is governed by a Markov-modulated geometric Brownian motion. We suppose that the drift and volatility of the underlying risky asset are modulated by an observable continuous-time, finite-state Markov chain. We develop a two- stage pricing model which can price both the diffusion risk and the regime-switching risk based on the Esscher transform and the minimization of the maximum entropy between an equivalent martingale measure and the real-world probability measure over different states. Numerical experiments are conducted and their results reveal that the impact of pricing regime-switching risk on the option prices is significant.展开更多
文摘This paper developed a model for pricing catastrophe bond whose trigger is loss index. In the model Esscher transform which is a facility usually used in actuarial science now provides an easy way to calculate Radon-Nikodym derivative so that the whole pricing process becomes easier to understand. At the end of this paper we use this model to price a China typhoon catastrophe bond which is also designed by us.
文摘In this research,we summarize the results of a practical study of index options based on the option valuation model which was proposed by Siu and Yang(Acta Math.Appl.Sin.Engl.Ser.,25(3)(2009),pp.339{388),where an EMM kernel is integrated which takes into account all risk components of a regime-switching model.Further,the regime-switching risk of an economy in the options is priced using a hidden Markov regime-switching model with the risky underlying asset being modulated by a discrete-time,nite-state,hidden Markov chain whose states represent the hidden states of an economy.We apply such a model to the pricing of Hang Seng Index options based on the real-world nancial data from October 2009 to October 2010(i.e.,for the year in which the model was proposed).We employed the entropy martingale measure(EMM)approach proposed by Siu and Yang(Acta Math.Appl.Sin.Engl.Ser.,25(3)(2009),pp.339{388)to determine the optimal martingale measure for the Markov-modulated GBM.In addition,we have proposed a numerical technique called the weighted di erence method to compliment the EMM approach.We have also veri ed the extended jump-di usion model under regime-switching that we proposed recently(Int.J.Finan.Eng.,6(4)(2019),1950038)using the 50ETF options which are obtained from Shanghai Stock Exchange covering a time span from January 2018 to December 2022.Further,we have highlighted the challenges for the EMM kernel-based Markov regime-switching model for pricing the out-of-the-money index options in the real world.
基金the Research Grants Councilof the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region,China(Project No.HKU 754008H)
文摘We study the pricing of an option when the price dynamic of the underlying risky asset is governed by a Markov-modulated geometric Brownian motion. We suppose that the drift and volatility of the underlying risky asset are modulated by an observable continuous-time, finite-state Markov chain. We develop a two- stage pricing model which can price both the diffusion risk and the regime-switching risk based on the Esscher transform and the minimization of the maximum entropy between an equivalent martingale measure and the real-world probability measure over different states. Numerical experiments are conducted and their results reveal that the impact of pricing regime-switching risk on the option prices is significant.
