Iron‐based pyrophosphates are attractive cathodes for sodium‐ion batteries due to their large framework,cost‐effectiveness,and high energy density.However,the understanding of the crystal structure is scarce and on...Iron‐based pyrophosphates are attractive cathodes for sodium‐ion batteries due to their large framework,cost‐effectiveness,and high energy density.However,the understanding of the crystal structure is scarce and only a limited candidates have been reported so far.In this work,we found for the first time that a continuous solid solution,Na_(4−α)Fe_(2+α)_(2)(P_(2)O_(7))_(2)(0≤α≤1,could be obtained by mutual substitution of cations at center‐symmetric Na3 and Na4 sites while keeping the crystal building blocks of anionic P_(2)O_(7) unchanged.In particular,a novel off‐stoichiometric Na_(3)Fe(2.5)(P_(2)O_(7))_(2)is thus proposed,and its structure,energy storage mechanism,and electrochemical performance are extensively investigated to unveil the structure–function relationship.The as‐prepared off‐stoichiometric electrode delivers appealing performance with a reversible discharge capacity of 83 mAh g^(−1),a working voltage of 2.9 V(vs.Na^(+)/Na),the retention of 89.2%of the initial capacity after 500 cycles,and enhanced rate capability of 51 mAh g^(−1)at a current density of 1600 mA g^(−1).This research shows that sodium ferric pyrophosphate could form extended solid solution composition and promising phase is concealed in the range of Na_(4−α)Fe_(2+α)_(2)(P_(2)O_(7))_(2),offering more chances for exploration of new cathode materials for the construction of high‐performance SIBs.展开更多
The‘Two Oceans and One Sea’area(West Pacific,Indian Ocean,and South China Sea;15°S–60°N,39°–178°E)is a core strategic area for the‘21st Century Maritime Silk Road’project,as well as national ...The‘Two Oceans and One Sea’area(West Pacific,Indian Ocean,and South China Sea;15°S–60°N,39°–178°E)is a core strategic area for the‘21st Century Maritime Silk Road’project,as well as national defense.With the increasing demand for disaster prevention and mitigation,the importance of 10–30-day extended range prediction,between the conventional short-term(around seven days)and the climate scale(longer than one month),is apparent.However,marine extended range prediction is still a‘blank point’in China,making the early warning of marine disasters almost impossible.Here,the authors introduce a recently launched Chinese national project on a numerical forecasting system for extended range prediction in the‘Two Oceans and One Sea’area based on a regional ultra-high resolution multi-layer coupled model,including the scientific aims,technical scheme,innovation,and expected achievements.The completion of this prediction system is of considerable significance for the economic development and national security of China.展开更多
Extended range (10-30 d) heavy rain forecasting is difficult but performs an important function in disaster prevention and mitigation. In this paper, a nonlinear cross prediction error (NCPE) algorithm that combin...Extended range (10-30 d) heavy rain forecasting is difficult but performs an important function in disaster prevention and mitigation. In this paper, a nonlinear cross prediction error (NCPE) algorithm that combines nonlinear dynamics and statistical methods is proposed. The method is based on phase space reconstruction of chaotic single-variable time series of precipitable water and is tested in 100 global cases of heavy rain. First, nonlinear relative dynamic error for local attractor pairs is calculated at different stages of the heavy rain process, after which the local change characteristics of the attractors are analyzed. Second, the eigen-peak is defined as a prediction indicator based on an error threshold of about 1.5, and is then used to analyze the forecasting validity period. The results reveal that the prediction indicator features regarded as eigenpeaks for heavy rain extreme weather are all reflected consistently, without failure, based on the NCPE model; the prediction validity periods for 1-2 d, 3-9 d and 10-30 d are 4, 22 and 74 cases, respectively, without false alarm or omission. The NCPE model developed allows accurate forecasting of heavy rain over an extended range of 10-30 d and has the potential to be used to explore the mechanisms involved in the development of heavy rain according to a segmentation scale. This novel method provides new insights into extended range forecasting and atmospheric predictability, and also allows the creation of multi-variable chaotic extreme weather prediction models based on high spatiotemporal resolution data.展开更多
The reflectometry is a common method used to measure the thickness of thin films. Using a conventional method,its measurable range is limited due to the low resolution of the current spectrometer embedded in the refle...The reflectometry is a common method used to measure the thickness of thin films. Using a conventional method,its measurable range is limited due to the low resolution of the current spectrometer embedded in the reflectometer.We present a simple method, using cubic spline interpolation to resample the spectrum with a high resolution,to extend the measurable transparent film thickness. A large measuring range up to 385 m in optical thickness is achieved with the commonly used system. The numerical calculation and experimental results demonstrate that using the FFT method combined with cubic spline interpolation resampling in reflectrometry, a simple,easy-to-operate, economic measuring system can be achieved with high measuring accuracy and replicability.展开更多
In this paper,key dimensions of a co-axial dual-mechanical-port flux-switching permanent magnet(CADMP-FSPM)machine for fuel-based extended range electric vehicles(ER-EVs),including split ratio,stator/rotor pole arcs,r...In this paper,key dimensions of a co-axial dual-mechanical-port flux-switching permanent magnet(CADMP-FSPM)machine for fuel-based extended range electric vehicles(ER-EVs),including split ratio,stator/rotor pole arcs,rotor yoke thickness,etc.,are analyzed and optimized.Firstly,the topologies and operation principles of an exampled 3-phase CADMP-FSPM are introduced briefly,in which an inner-rotor FSPM machine with 12-stator-slots/10-rotor-poles for high-speed generation and an outer-rotor FSPM machine with 12-stator-slots/22-rotor-poles for low-speed motoring are assembled co-axially.Then,the relationship between the key dimensions and electromagnetic performance,particularly for electromagnetic torque(power),of the CADMP-FSPM machine is studied by 2D-finite element analysis(FEA).Further,the reasonable matches of split ratio,rotor/stator pole arcs and rotor yoke are determined and the original CADMP-FSPM machine is optimized correspondingly.Finally,the static characteristics,including no-load PM flux-linkage,electro-motive-force(EMF),winding inductances,cogging torques and electromagnetic torques,of the original and optimized machines are compared by 2D-FEA.The results verify that the optimized CADMP-FSPM machine can exhibit improved torque characteristics than the original one,i.e.,the torque ripples of the inner and outer machines can be reduced by 22.7%and 4.7%,respectively,and the average torque of the inner and outer machines can be increased by 0.43Nm and 2Nm,respectively.展开更多
Land transport can no longer meet the requirements.European transport can be described by these words−crowded motorways and cities,dangerous emissions,ubiquitous traffic accidents,delays,expensive railways.Solutions a...Land transport can no longer meet the requirements.European transport can be described by these words−crowded motorways and cities,dangerous emissions,ubiquitous traffic accidents,delays,expensive railways.Solutions are being sought to transfer a large part of passengers and especially freight transport to(high-speed)rail,and efforts are moving towards electromobility,car-sharing,5G-connectivity,autonomous driving,MaaS(Mobility as a Service)-coordinated transport or hyperloop-type solutions.However,all these solutions have additional challenges and limitations.Solutions are not being searched where they really exist-in the mutual adaptation of road and rail vehicles and their deep cooperation.The ComplexTrans project shows that simply adapting the dimensions and functions of road and rail vehicles can eliminate(or at least significantly reduce)all the problems of existing land transport.The main features of the ComplexTrans system are sufficient parking spaces,reduction of urban and non-urban congestion,electric vehicles with unlimited range and cheaper than standard cars,cheaper and more accessible battery charging,“autonomous ride”,solving the overlap between passenger and freight rail transport and making it self-financing,transferring intercity freight transport to rail,replacing part of continental air transport and many others.The cost-effective and clustered individual transport and individualised public transport of the ComplexTrans system also bring very significant reductions in the risk of transmission of covid-19 and other contagious diseases during transport.展开更多
Extended range forecasting of 10-30 days, which lies between medium-term and climate prediction in terms of timescale, plays a significant role in decision-making processes for the prevention and mitigation of disastr...Extended range forecasting of 10-30 days, which lies between medium-term and climate prediction in terms of timescale, plays a significant role in decision-making processes for the prevention and mitigation of disastrous met- eorological events. The sensitivity of initial error, model parameter error, and random error in a nonlinear cross- prediction error (NCPE) model, and their stability in the prediction validity period in 1 0-30-day extended range fore- casting, are analyzed quantitatively. The associated sensitivity of precipitable water, temperature, and geopotential height during cases of heavy rain and hurricane is also discussed. The results are summarized as follows. First, the initial error and random error interact. When the ratio of random error to initial error is small (10"5-10-2), minor vari- ation in random error cannot significantly change the dynamic features of a chaotic system, and therefore random er- ror has minimal effect on the prediction. When the ratio is in the range of 10-1-2 (i.e., random error dominates), at- tention should be paid to the random error instead of only the initial error. When the ratio is around 10 2-10-1, both influences must be considered. Their mutual effects may bring considerable uncertainty to extended range forecast- ing, and de-noising is therefore necessary. Second, in terms of model parameter error, the embedding dimension m should be determined by the factual nonlinear time series. The dynamic features of a chaotic system cannot be depic- ted because of the incomplete structure of the attractor when m is small. When m is large, prediction indicators can vanish because of the scarcity of phase points in phase space. A method for overcoming the cut-off effect (m 〉 4) is proposed. Third, for heavy rains, precipitable water is more sensitive to the prediction validity period than temperat- ure or geopotential height; however, for hurricanes, geopotential height is most sensitive, followed by precipitable water.展开更多
Variables fields such as enstrophy, meridional-wind and zonal-wind variables are derived from monthly 500 hPa geopotential height anomalous fields. In this work, we select original predictors from monthly 500-hPa geop...Variables fields such as enstrophy, meridional-wind and zonal-wind variables are derived from monthly 500 hPa geopotential height anomalous fields. In this work, we select original predictors from monthly 500-hPa geopotential height anomalous fields and their variables in June of 1958 - 2001, and determine comprehensive predictors by conducting empirical orthogonal function (EOF) respectively with the original predictors. A downscaling forecast model based on the back propagation (BP) neural network is built by use of the comprehensive predictors to predict the monthly precipitation in June over Guangxi with the monthly dynamic extended range forecast products. For comparison, we also build another BP neural network model with the same predictands by using the former comprehensive predictors selected from 500-hPa geopotential height anomalous fields in May to December of 1957 - 2000 and January to April of 1958 - 2001. The two models are tested and results show that the precision of superposition of the downscaling model is better than that of the one based on former comprehensive predictors, but the prediction accuracy of the downscaling model depends on the output of monthly dynamic extended range forecast.展开更多
Purpose: To compare the visual and refractive outcomes, patient satisfaction and spectacle independence between three novel designs of diffractive IOLs. Method: Prospective study including 150 patients with implantati...Purpose: To compare the visual and refractive outcomes, patient satisfaction and spectacle independence between three novel designs of diffractive IOLs. Method: Prospective study including 150 patients with implantation of three IOLs: trifocal diffractive IOL AT LISA tri 839 MP (ATLISA, n = 50), trifocal diffractive IOL PhysIOL FineVision (FineVision, n = 50) and the extended range of vision IOL Tecnis Symfony ZRX00 (Symfony, n = 50). Patients were followed up for 6 months after surgery. Major parameters were monocular and binocular uncorrected (UDVA) and corrected (CDVA) distance, uncorrected (UIVA) and distance corrected (DCIVA) intermediate (80 cm), and uncorrected (UNVA) and distance corrected (DCNVA) near (40 cm) visual acuities (UNVA), contrast sensitivity (CS), defocus curve as well as patient satisfaction and spectacle use. Results: Mean postoperative decimal UDVA was 1.01 for Symfony, 0.96 for ATLISA and 0.95 for the FineVision IOL. Postoperative UIVA was 0.95 with Symfony, 0.72 with ATLISA and 0.85 with the FineVision IOL. Postoperative UNVA was 0.96 with the FineVision, 0.72 with the ATLISA and 0.63 with the Symfony IOL. The Symfony defocus curve showed the smoothest profile. Mean mesopic CS was 0.84 log units with the Symfony, 0.83 with the ATLISA (0.83) and 0.65 with the FineVision IOL. Mean photopic CS with the Symfony, ATLISA and FineVision was 1.05, 0.85 and 0.69 log units, respectively. Twenty percent of the patients with the ATLISA and FineVision IOLs and 5.6% of the Symfony patients reported halos and glare as troublesome or disabling. Reading glasses were frequently used by 5.6% of the Symfony patients. All patients with the trifocal IOLs reported to be spectacle-free for any distance. Conclusion: All 3 IOLs produce excellent results with high levels of spectacle independence. The Symfony produces better levels of distance and intermediate visual acuity, whereas the trifocal IOLs produced better near vision. Higher frequency of dysphotopsia was seen with the trifocal IOLs.展开更多
Hollow cathodes are widely used as electron sources and neutralizers in ion and Hall electric propulsion.Special applications such as commercial aerospace and gravitational wave detection require hollow cathodes with ...Hollow cathodes are widely used as electron sources and neutralizers in ion and Hall electric propulsion.Special applications such as commercial aerospace and gravitational wave detection require hollow cathodes with a very wide discharge current range.In this paper,a heater is used to compensate for the temperature drop of the emitter at low current.The self-sustained current can be extended from 0.6 to 0.1 A with a small discharge oscillation and ion energy when the flow rate is constant.This is also beneficial for long-life operation.However,when the discharge current is high(>1 A),heating can cause discharge oscillation,discharge voltage and ion energy to increase,f urther,combined with a rapid decline of pressure inside the cathode and an increase in the temperature in the cathode orifice plate,electron emission in die orifice and outside the orifice increases and the plasma density in the orifice decreases.This leads to a change in the cathode discharge mode.展开更多
A micro gas turbine(MGT)can potentially be an alternative power source to the conventional internal combustion engine as a range extender in hybrid electric vehicles.The integration of the MGT into a hybrid vehicle ne...A micro gas turbine(MGT)can potentially be an alternative power source to the conventional internal combustion engine as a range extender in hybrid electric vehicles.The integration of the MGT into a hybrid vehicle needs a new approach for technical validation requirements compared to the testing of an internal combustion engine.Several attributes of the MGT are predicted to cause concerns for vehicle sub-system requirements such as high ambient temperature and start-stop behaviour.This paper describes the results from specially developed experimental techniques for testing the MGT in a typical automo-tive environment.A black box MGT was used in this study for performance investigation during hot and cold starts.The MGT was instrumented and fitted with automotive standard components to replicate typical vehicle operational conditions.The intake air temperature was varied between 10 and 24°C.A significant reduction in the power output of the MGT was observed as the intake temperature was increased.The proposed case scenario caused a reduction in nitrogen oxide emis-sions in the range of 0.02−0.04 g/km because of the lower combustion temperature at high intake temperature.However,hydrocarbon and carbon monoxide emissions have not shown a noticeable reduction during the power output degradation.The experimental results have highlighted the potential issues of using the MGT at higher intake temperatures and suggest design change to take the effect of higher engine bay temperature into account.展开更多
The parameters of Earth free core nutation (FCN) are two relatively significant geophysical parameters. Sasao et al. (1980) and Wahr and Bergen (1986) provided the theoretical estimation values of FCN parameters. Gwin...The parameters of Earth free core nutation (FCN) are two relatively significant geophysical parameters. Sasao et al. (1980) and Wahr and Bergen (1986) provided the theoretical estimation values of FCN parameters. Gwinn, Herring and Shapiro (1987) first obtained the observational values of FCN parameters by very long base Interference (VLBI) at Cambridge University. In the same year, Neuberg and Zurn in former West Germany and Hinderer in France began to retrieve FCN parameters by the observation of gravity tides and introduced the stacking method. The other scholars who researched into the same geophysical problems by applying the data of gravity tides basically followed the stacking method. The results they reached were similar to the observational result of FCN parameters given by Neuberg et al. in 1987. But the observational results of FCN parameters gained from gravity tides were not identical with those from VLBI, mainly because of the large difference of quality of FCN. So there was not an affirmative observational result of FCN parameters since then. In this paper, The authors firstly introduce the tri-frequency spectrum method with clearly geometrical and geophysical meaning for the resolution of FCN parameters , and the observational results of FCN parameters obtained from tide data at three superconducting gravity stations were accordant with those from VLBI, which will be relatively important to arriving at a certain observational result of FCN parameters.展开更多
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China,Grant/Award Numbers:21972108,U20A20249,U22A20438Changzhou Science and Technology Bureau,Grant/Award Number:CM20223017Innovation and Technology Commission(ITC)of Hong Kong,The Innovation&Technology Fund(ITF)with Project No.ITS/126/21。
文摘Iron‐based pyrophosphates are attractive cathodes for sodium‐ion batteries due to their large framework,cost‐effectiveness,and high energy density.However,the understanding of the crystal structure is scarce and only a limited candidates have been reported so far.In this work,we found for the first time that a continuous solid solution,Na_(4−α)Fe_(2+α)_(2)(P_(2)O_(7))_(2)(0≤α≤1,could be obtained by mutual substitution of cations at center‐symmetric Na3 and Na4 sites while keeping the crystal building blocks of anionic P_(2)O_(7) unchanged.In particular,a novel off‐stoichiometric Na_(3)Fe(2.5)(P_(2)O_(7))_(2)is thus proposed,and its structure,energy storage mechanism,and electrochemical performance are extensively investigated to unveil the structure–function relationship.The as‐prepared off‐stoichiometric electrode delivers appealing performance with a reversible discharge capacity of 83 mAh g^(−1),a working voltage of 2.9 V(vs.Na^(+)/Na),the retention of 89.2%of the initial capacity after 500 cycles,and enhanced rate capability of 51 mAh g^(−1)at a current density of 1600 mA g^(−1).This research shows that sodium ferric pyrophosphate could form extended solid solution composition and promising phase is concealed in the range of Na_(4−α)Fe_(2+α)_(2)(P_(2)O_(7))_(2),offering more chances for exploration of new cathode materials for the construction of high‐performance SIBs.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant Nos.2017YFC1404105,2017YFC1404100,2017YFC1404101,2017YFC1404102,2017YFC1404103 and 2017YFC1404104)
文摘The‘Two Oceans and One Sea’area(West Pacific,Indian Ocean,and South China Sea;15°S–60°N,39°–178°E)is a core strategic area for the‘21st Century Maritime Silk Road’project,as well as national defense.With the increasing demand for disaster prevention and mitigation,the importance of 10–30-day extended range prediction,between the conventional short-term(around seven days)and the climate scale(longer than one month),is apparent.However,marine extended range prediction is still a‘blank point’in China,making the early warning of marine disasters almost impossible.Here,the authors introduce a recently launched Chinese national project on a numerical forecasting system for extended range prediction in the‘Two Oceans and One Sea’area based on a regional ultra-high resolution multi-layer coupled model,including the scientific aims,technical scheme,innovation,and expected achievements.The completion of this prediction system is of considerable significance for the economic development and national security of China.
基金provided by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41275039 and 41471305)the Preeminence Youth Cultivation Project of Sichuan (Grant No.2015JQ0037)
文摘Extended range (10-30 d) heavy rain forecasting is difficult but performs an important function in disaster prevention and mitigation. In this paper, a nonlinear cross prediction error (NCPE) algorithm that combines nonlinear dynamics and statistical methods is proposed. The method is based on phase space reconstruction of chaotic single-variable time series of precipitable water and is tested in 100 global cases of heavy rain. First, nonlinear relative dynamic error for local attractor pairs is calculated at different stages of the heavy rain process, after which the local change characteristics of the attractors are analyzed. Second, the eigen-peak is defined as a prediction indicator based on an error threshold of about 1.5, and is then used to analyze the forecasting validity period. The results reveal that the prediction indicator features regarded as eigenpeaks for heavy rain extreme weather are all reflected consistently, without failure, based on the NCPE model; the prediction validity periods for 1-2 d, 3-9 d and 10-30 d are 4, 22 and 74 cases, respectively, without false alarm or omission. The NCPE model developed allows accurate forecasting of heavy rain over an extended range of 10-30 d and has the potential to be used to explore the mechanisms involved in the development of heavy rain according to a segmentation scale. This novel method provides new insights into extended range forecasting and atmospheric predictability, and also allows the creation of multi-variable chaotic extreme weather prediction models based on high spatiotemporal resolution data.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No 11604115the Educational Commission of Jiangsu Province of China under Grant No 17KJA460004the Huaian Science and Technology Funds under Grant No HAC201701
文摘The reflectometry is a common method used to measure the thickness of thin films. Using a conventional method,its measurable range is limited due to the low resolution of the current spectrometer embedded in the reflectometer.We present a simple method, using cubic spline interpolation to resample the spectrum with a high resolution,to extend the measurable transparent film thickness. A large measuring range up to 385 m in optical thickness is achieved with the commonly used system. The numerical calculation and experimental results demonstrate that using the FFT method combined with cubic spline interpolation resampling in reflectrometry, a simple,easy-to-operate, economic measuring system can be achieved with high measuring accuracy and replicability.
基金This work was supported by The National Basic Research Program(973 Program)(2013CB035603).
文摘In this paper,key dimensions of a co-axial dual-mechanical-port flux-switching permanent magnet(CADMP-FSPM)machine for fuel-based extended range electric vehicles(ER-EVs),including split ratio,stator/rotor pole arcs,rotor yoke thickness,etc.,are analyzed and optimized.Firstly,the topologies and operation principles of an exampled 3-phase CADMP-FSPM are introduced briefly,in which an inner-rotor FSPM machine with 12-stator-slots/10-rotor-poles for high-speed generation and an outer-rotor FSPM machine with 12-stator-slots/22-rotor-poles for low-speed motoring are assembled co-axially.Then,the relationship between the key dimensions and electromagnetic performance,particularly for electromagnetic torque(power),of the CADMP-FSPM machine is studied by 2D-finite element analysis(FEA).Further,the reasonable matches of split ratio,rotor/stator pole arcs and rotor yoke are determined and the original CADMP-FSPM machine is optimized correspondingly.Finally,the static characteristics,including no-load PM flux-linkage,electro-motive-force(EMF),winding inductances,cogging torques and electromagnetic torques,of the original and optimized machines are compared by 2D-FEA.The results verify that the optimized CADMP-FSPM machine can exhibit improved torque characteristics than the original one,i.e.,the torque ripples of the inner and outer machines can be reduced by 22.7%and 4.7%,respectively,and the average torque of the inner and outer machines can be increased by 0.43Nm and 2Nm,respectively.
基金This research is partly supported by project SGS-2019-001The 3-D visualisations were prepared by students of University of West Bohemia or by professional designers.
文摘Land transport can no longer meet the requirements.European transport can be described by these words−crowded motorways and cities,dangerous emissions,ubiquitous traffic accidents,delays,expensive railways.Solutions are being sought to transfer a large part of passengers and especially freight transport to(high-speed)rail,and efforts are moving towards electromobility,car-sharing,5G-connectivity,autonomous driving,MaaS(Mobility as a Service)-coordinated transport or hyperloop-type solutions.However,all these solutions have additional challenges and limitations.Solutions are not being searched where they really exist-in the mutual adaptation of road and rail vehicles and their deep cooperation.The ComplexTrans project shows that simply adapting the dimensions and functions of road and rail vehicles can eliminate(or at least significantly reduce)all the problems of existing land transport.The main features of the ComplexTrans system are sufficient parking spaces,reduction of urban and non-urban congestion,electric vehicles with unlimited range and cheaper than standard cars,cheaper and more accessible battery charging,“autonomous ride”,solving the overlap between passenger and freight rail transport and making it self-financing,transferring intercity freight transport to rail,replacing part of continental air transport and many others.The cost-effective and clustered individual transport and individualised public transport of the ComplexTrans system also bring very significant reductions in the risk of transmission of covid-19 and other contagious diseases during transport.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41505012 and 41471305)Open Research Fund of Plateau Atmosphere and Environment Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province(PAEKL-2017-Y1)+2 种基金Scientific Research Fund of Chengdu University of Information Technology(J201613 and KYTZ201607)Innovation Team Fund(16TD0024)Elite Youth Cultivation Project of Sichuan Province(2015JQ0037)
文摘Extended range forecasting of 10-30 days, which lies between medium-term and climate prediction in terms of timescale, plays a significant role in decision-making processes for the prevention and mitigation of disastrous met- eorological events. The sensitivity of initial error, model parameter error, and random error in a nonlinear cross- prediction error (NCPE) model, and their stability in the prediction validity period in 1 0-30-day extended range fore- casting, are analyzed quantitatively. The associated sensitivity of precipitable water, temperature, and geopotential height during cases of heavy rain and hurricane is also discussed. The results are summarized as follows. First, the initial error and random error interact. When the ratio of random error to initial error is small (10"5-10-2), minor vari- ation in random error cannot significantly change the dynamic features of a chaotic system, and therefore random er- ror has minimal effect on the prediction. When the ratio is in the range of 10-1-2 (i.e., random error dominates), at- tention should be paid to the random error instead of only the initial error. When the ratio is around 10 2-10-1, both influences must be considered. Their mutual effects may bring considerable uncertainty to extended range forecast- ing, and de-noising is therefore necessary. Second, in terms of model parameter error, the embedding dimension m should be determined by the factual nonlinear time series. The dynamic features of a chaotic system cannot be depic- ted because of the incomplete structure of the attractor when m is small. When m is large, prediction indicators can vanish because of the scarcity of phase points in phase space. A method for overcoming the cut-off effect (m 〉 4) is proposed. Third, for heavy rains, precipitable water is more sensitive to the prediction validity period than temperat- ure or geopotential height; however, for hurricanes, geopotential height is most sensitive, followed by precipitable water.
基金Publicity of New Techniques of China Meteorological Administration (CMATG2005M38)
文摘Variables fields such as enstrophy, meridional-wind and zonal-wind variables are derived from monthly 500 hPa geopotential height anomalous fields. In this work, we select original predictors from monthly 500-hPa geopotential height anomalous fields and their variables in June of 1958 - 2001, and determine comprehensive predictors by conducting empirical orthogonal function (EOF) respectively with the original predictors. A downscaling forecast model based on the back propagation (BP) neural network is built by use of the comprehensive predictors to predict the monthly precipitation in June over Guangxi with the monthly dynamic extended range forecast products. For comparison, we also build another BP neural network model with the same predictands by using the former comprehensive predictors selected from 500-hPa geopotential height anomalous fields in May to December of 1957 - 2000 and January to April of 1958 - 2001. The two models are tested and results show that the precision of superposition of the downscaling model is better than that of the one based on former comprehensive predictors, but the prediction accuracy of the downscaling model depends on the output of monthly dynamic extended range forecast.
文摘Purpose: To compare the visual and refractive outcomes, patient satisfaction and spectacle independence between three novel designs of diffractive IOLs. Method: Prospective study including 150 patients with implantation of three IOLs: trifocal diffractive IOL AT LISA tri 839 MP (ATLISA, n = 50), trifocal diffractive IOL PhysIOL FineVision (FineVision, n = 50) and the extended range of vision IOL Tecnis Symfony ZRX00 (Symfony, n = 50). Patients were followed up for 6 months after surgery. Major parameters were monocular and binocular uncorrected (UDVA) and corrected (CDVA) distance, uncorrected (UIVA) and distance corrected (DCIVA) intermediate (80 cm), and uncorrected (UNVA) and distance corrected (DCNVA) near (40 cm) visual acuities (UNVA), contrast sensitivity (CS), defocus curve as well as patient satisfaction and spectacle use. Results: Mean postoperative decimal UDVA was 1.01 for Symfony, 0.96 for ATLISA and 0.95 for the FineVision IOL. Postoperative UIVA was 0.95 with Symfony, 0.72 with ATLISA and 0.85 with the FineVision IOL. Postoperative UNVA was 0.96 with the FineVision, 0.72 with the ATLISA and 0.63 with the Symfony IOL. The Symfony defocus curve showed the smoothest profile. Mean mesopic CS was 0.84 log units with the Symfony, 0.83 with the ATLISA (0.83) and 0.65 with the FineVision IOL. Mean photopic CS with the Symfony, ATLISA and FineVision was 1.05, 0.85 and 0.69 log units, respectively. Twenty percent of the patients with the ATLISA and FineVision IOLs and 5.6% of the Symfony patients reported halos and glare as troublesome or disabling. Reading glasses were frequently used by 5.6% of the Symfony patients. All patients with the trifocal IOLs reported to be spectacle-free for any distance. Conclusion: All 3 IOLs produce excellent results with high levels of spectacle independence. The Symfony produces better levels of distance and intermediate visual acuity, whereas the trifocal IOLs produced better near vision. Higher frequency of dysphotopsia was seen with the trifocal IOLs.
文摘Hollow cathodes are widely used as electron sources and neutralizers in ion and Hall electric propulsion.Special applications such as commercial aerospace and gravitational wave detection require hollow cathodes with a very wide discharge current range.In this paper,a heater is used to compensate for the temperature drop of the emitter at low current.The self-sustained current can be extended from 0.6 to 0.1 A with a small discharge oscillation and ion energy when the flow rate is constant.This is also beneficial for long-life operation.However,when the discharge current is high(>1 A),heating can cause discharge oscillation,discharge voltage and ion energy to increase,f urther,combined with a rapid decline of pressure inside the cathode and an increase in the temperature in the cathode orifice plate,electron emission in die orifice and outside the orifice increases and the plasma density in the orifice decreases.This leads to a change in the cathode discharge mode.
基金support for this research project(TSB Project No:400224).
文摘A micro gas turbine(MGT)can potentially be an alternative power source to the conventional internal combustion engine as a range extender in hybrid electric vehicles.The integration of the MGT into a hybrid vehicle needs a new approach for technical validation requirements compared to the testing of an internal combustion engine.Several attributes of the MGT are predicted to cause concerns for vehicle sub-system requirements such as high ambient temperature and start-stop behaviour.This paper describes the results from specially developed experimental techniques for testing the MGT in a typical automo-tive environment.A black box MGT was used in this study for performance investigation during hot and cold starts.The MGT was instrumented and fitted with automotive standard components to replicate typical vehicle operational conditions.The intake air temperature was varied between 10 and 24°C.A significant reduction in the power output of the MGT was observed as the intake temperature was increased.The proposed case scenario caused a reduction in nitrogen oxide emis-sions in the range of 0.02−0.04 g/km because of the lower combustion temperature at high intake temperature.However,hydrocarbon and carbon monoxide emissions have not shown a noticeable reduction during the power output degradation.The experimental results have highlighted the potential issues of using the MGT at higher intake temperatures and suggest design change to take the effect of higher engine bay temperature into account.
基金This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No.40074018).
文摘The parameters of Earth free core nutation (FCN) are two relatively significant geophysical parameters. Sasao et al. (1980) and Wahr and Bergen (1986) provided the theoretical estimation values of FCN parameters. Gwinn, Herring and Shapiro (1987) first obtained the observational values of FCN parameters by very long base Interference (VLBI) at Cambridge University. In the same year, Neuberg and Zurn in former West Germany and Hinderer in France began to retrieve FCN parameters by the observation of gravity tides and introduced the stacking method. The other scholars who researched into the same geophysical problems by applying the data of gravity tides basically followed the stacking method. The results they reached were similar to the observational result of FCN parameters given by Neuberg et al. in 1987. But the observational results of FCN parameters gained from gravity tides were not identical with those from VLBI, mainly because of the large difference of quality of FCN. So there was not an affirmative observational result of FCN parameters since then. In this paper, The authors firstly introduce the tri-frequency spectrum method with clearly geometrical and geophysical meaning for the resolution of FCN parameters , and the observational results of FCN parameters obtained from tide data at three superconducting gravity stations were accordant with those from VLBI, which will be relatively important to arriving at a certain observational result of FCN parameters.