Current Situations and Future Development Trend of Farmland Pre-warning Researches in China

This paper summarized theory discussion,main research methods,contents,empirical and engineering researches of farmland prewarning in China.It stated that future researches of farmland pre-warning in China will focus on deepening application of farmland security prewarning models,revealing mechanism of changes in different farmland resources,establishing pre-warning models suitable for research areas,accurate evaluation and prediction of farmland security,and exploring establishing and improving farmland security monitoring system and operating mechanism of all levels.

我国耕地预警研究现状及发展趋势

对我国耕地预警研究的理论探讨、主要研究方法、内容及其实证及工程研究进行了归纳总结,指出我国耕地预警研究的发展趋势:未来将重点深化耕地安全预警模型的应用研究,揭示不同尺度耕地资源安全变化的机制,建立适合研究区域的预警模型,进行耕地资源安全的准确评价与预测等方面研究,探索建立健全各层次耕地资源安全监测体系和运行机制的研究。