A theoretical model considering the relationship between fault characteristics and tectonic stress is proposed to quantify earthquake risk degree. The model is applied in practice to the fault along the southern margi...A theoretical model considering the relationship between fault characteristics and tectonic stress is proposed to quantify earthquake risk degree. The model is applied in practice to the fault along the southern margin of Weihe basin in Shaanxi Province, Northwestern China and fitted well with reality.展开更多
With the orthogonal design and the finite element methods, the outside stresses acting on the boundary and the inside tectonic stress field before the 1911 Honghai Bay earthquake are obtained. Under these stress field...With the orthogonal design and the finite element methods, the outside stresses acting on the boundary and the inside tectonic stress field before the 1911 Honghai Bay earthquake are obtained. Under these stress fields, the dislocation patterns of the faults are consistent with the observed ones. Using the softening unstabilization model for elastoplastic media to simulate the process of the earthquake occurrence, 5 moderate and strong earthquakes in these areas in this century are simulated. The results show that the moderate or strong earthquake happened only at the sections of the faults whose fault safety degree is zero. According to the present distribution of the fault safety degree, the authors predict the seismic risk zones there.展开更多
文摘A theoretical model considering the relationship between fault characteristics and tectonic stress is proposed to quantify earthquake risk degree. The model is applied in practice to the fault along the southern margin of Weihe basin in Shaanxi Province, Northwestern China and fitted well with reality.
文摘With the orthogonal design and the finite element methods, the outside stresses acting on the boundary and the inside tectonic stress field before the 1911 Honghai Bay earthquake are obtained. Under these stress fields, the dislocation patterns of the faults are consistent with the observed ones. Using the softening unstabilization model for elastoplastic media to simulate the process of the earthquake occurrence, 5 moderate and strong earthquakes in these areas in this century are simulated. The results show that the moderate or strong earthquake happened only at the sections of the faults whose fault safety degree is zero. According to the present distribution of the fault safety degree, the authors predict the seismic risk zones there.