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Analysis of an Unsuccessful Forecast for a Heavy Rainfall Event in Yingkou 被引量:1
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作者 HE Xiao-dong1, ZHAO Xiao-chuan1, ZHANG Hong-yu2, WANG Gui-jun1 1. Yingkou Meteorological Office, Yingkou 115001, China 2. Yingkou District of Hydrology and Water Resources Survey Bureau of Liaoning Province, Yingkou 115003, China 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 CAS 2011年第4期50-52,56,共4页
[Objective] The reason for the unsuccessful forecast of a heavy rainfall event in Yingkou was analyzed. [Method] Based on the precipitation data observed by automatic weather stations and MICAPS data, a heavy rainfall... [Objective] The reason for the unsuccessful forecast of a heavy rainfall event in Yingkou was analyzed. [Method] Based on the precipitation data observed by automatic weather stations and MICAPS data, a heavy rainfall Event was studied in Yingkou from 19 July to 21 July in 2010. Then the analysis of an unsuccessful forecasting for the heavy rainfall on 21 July was illustrated by CINRAD-SA data, satellite data and numerical forecast products. [Result] The main reason for the unsuccessful forecast was that the duration of the rainfall was long and inconsecutive. The distribution was uneven. Strong precipitation on 21st was different from the one in previous two durations. It was regional short term strong precipitation. And the forecast difficulty was large; the numerical forecast was unstable and erroneous;strong precipitation occurred in the night on 20th, which was shortly before the strong precipitation in the evening of 21st. This would easily confuse the reporter. Besides, the short term stillness of radar and cloud during this time would form certain disturbance. The focus of rainstorm forecast should based on the numerical forecast instead of element forecast;insisting on situation analysis and taking element judgment as auxiliary;as for strong precipitation forecast, there was large error in numerical forecast and can not be relied. Reporter should report the correct one based on experience. [Conclusion] The study provided reference for the forecast of rainstorm. 展开更多
关键词 Heavy rainfall analysis of unsuccessful forecasting forecast starting points Yingkou China
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Analysis of Chinese Power Market in 2007 and Its Forecast
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作者 Department of Development and Planning, State Grid Corporation, and State Power Economic Research Institute Jia Yulu 《Electricity》 2008年第2期41-45,共5页
Power supply and demand inJanuary-September, 2007Since 2007, the national economy developed continu-ously, showing a situation of rapid growth, more optimizedstructure, increased efficiency and improvement of people&#... Power supply and demand inJanuary-September, 2007Since 2007, the national economy developed continu-ously, showing a situation of rapid growth, more optimizedstructure, increased efficiency and improvement of people'slivelihood. In the first three quarters, GDP achieved 16.6043trillion Yuan, and its year-on-year growth rate was 11.5%; 展开更多
关键词 WILL analysis of Chinese Power Market in 2007 and Its forecast rate THAN
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一种实时的新型网络性能预警系统 被引量:1
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作者 姚奇富 马华林 《微电子学与计算机》 CSCD 北大核心 2006年第12期100-103,共4页
设计了一种基于NetFlow流量分析的实时的新型网络性能预警系统,主要是利用基于NetFlow协议的高性能数据采集模式并运用统计学和预测学的相关算法,根据对当前网络流量值影响最大的在时间上最临近的流量值,预测下一时刻的流量数据。该系... 设计了一种基于NetFlow流量分析的实时的新型网络性能预警系统,主要是利用基于NetFlow协议的高性能数据采集模式并运用统计学和预测学的相关算法,根据对当前网络流量值影响最大的在时间上最临近的流量值,预测下一时刻的流量数据。该系统能根据不同网络运行状态及时准确的预测出网络不同时间段的各种异常情况,有效分析网络运行效率并及时发现瓶颈,为优化网络性能提供了有力依据。 展开更多
关键词 NETFLOW 网络管理 流量分析 预警
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一种实时的新型网络性能预警系统
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作者 姚奇富 马华林 《微电子学与计算机》 CSCD 北大核心 2007年第2期55-57,共3页
设计了一种基于NetFlow流量分析的实时的新型网络性能预警系统,它主要是利用基于NetFlow协议的高性能数据采集模式并运用统计学和预测学的相关算法,根据对当前网络流量值影响最大的在时间上最临近的流量值,预测下一时刻的流量数据。该... 设计了一种基于NetFlow流量分析的实时的新型网络性能预警系统,它主要是利用基于NetFlow协议的高性能数据采集模式并运用统计学和预测学的相关算法,根据对当前网络流量值影响最大的在时间上最临近的流量值,预测下一时刻的流量数据。该系统能根据不同网络运行状态及时准确地预测出网络不同时间段的各种异常情况,有效分析网络运行效率并及时发现瓶颈,为优化网络性能提供了有力依据。 展开更多
关键词 网络管理 网络性能 实时 流量分析 预测
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Forecast and Analysis of China's Lithium Battery Industry in the Next 5 Years
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《China Nonferrous Metals Monthly》 2017年第3期1-3,共3页
Ⅰ.Favorable factors(Ⅰ)Unveiling of industry norms and standards In the recent several years,portable power charger and portable power bank experienced rapid development,the market is brisk,it is supported by extreme... Ⅰ.Favorable factors(Ⅰ)Unveiling of industry norms and standards In the recent several years,portable power charger and portable power bank experienced rapid development,the market is brisk,it is supported by extremely wide population groups for application.Since portable power bank has low access requirements,the industry also 展开更多
关键词 forecast and analysis of China’s Lithium Battery Industry in the Next 5 Years
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