Prediction of the potential distribution and analysis of the freezing injury risk of winter wheat on the Loess Plateau under climate change

Determining the suitable areas for winter wheat under climate change and assessing the risk of freezing injury are crucial for the cultivation of winter wheat.We used an optimized Maximum Entropy(MaxEnt)Model to predict the potential distribution of winter wheat in the current period(1970-2020)and the future period(2021-2100)under four shared socioeconomic pathway scenarios(SSPs).We applied statistical downscaling methods to downscale future climate data,established a scientific and practical freezing injury index(FII)by considering the growth period of winter wheat,and analyzed the characteristics of abrupt changes in winter wheat freezing injury by using the Mann-Kendall(M-K)test.The results showed that the prediction accuracy AUC value of the MaxEnt Model reached 0.976.The minimum temperature in the coldest month,precipitation in the wettest season and annual precipitation were the main factors affecting the spatial distribution of winter wheat.The total suitable area of winter wheat was approximately 4.40×10^(7)ha in the current period.In the 2070s,the moderately suitable areas had the greatest increase by 9.02×10^(5)ha under SSP245 and the least increase by 6.53×10^(5)ha under SSP370.The centroid coordinates of the total suitable areas tended to move northward.The potential risks of freezing injury in the high-latitude and-altitude areas of the Loess Plateau,China increased significantly.The northern areas of Xinzhou in Shanxi Province,China suffered the most serious freezing injury,and the southern areas of the Loess Plateau suffered the least.Environmental factors such as temperature,precipitation and geographical location had important impacts on the suitable area distribution and freezing injury risk of winter wheat.In the future,greater attention should be paid to the northward boundaries of both the winter wheat planting areas and the areas of freezing injury risk to provide the early warning of freezing injury and implement corresponding management strategies.

Remedial Technical Measures Following Freezing Injury of Rapeseed

[Objective] The aim was to explore effects of occurrence frequency of freezing injury on rapeseed production and remedial measures. [Method] The re- search utilized three turns of freezing injury during the growth period of winter-sown rapeseed in 2013, analyzed the freezing injury resistibility and the remedial mea- sures of ten varieties（combination）. [Result] The results showed that for different va- rieties （combinations） of rapeseed, compared cutting ones with non-cutting ones, the plant silique, seeds number and seed weight increased in diverse level, ＂however, the plant yield remained the same. Correlation analysis suggested that freezing in- jury had the greatest impact on plant silique. [Conclusion] After cutting processing, yield traits were able to partially recover and showed kind of positive correlation with Plant yield.

Assessing and characterizing oilseed rape freezing injury based on MODIS and MERIS data

The oilseed rape growing in the lower reaches of Yangtze River in China belongs to winter varieties and suffers the risk of freezing injury.In this research,a typical freezing injury event occurred in Anhui Province was taken as a case study,the freezing damage degree of oilseed rape was assessed,and its development characteristics based on the vegetation metrics derived from MODIS and MERIS data were investigated.The oilseed rape was mapped according to the decline of greenness from bud stage to full-bloom period,with the phenological phases identified adopting time-series analyses.NDVI was more sensitive to freezing injury compared with other commonly used vegetation indices(VIs)calculated using MODIS bands,e.g.,EVI,GNDVI and SAVI.The freezing damage degree employing the difference between post-freeze growth and the baseline level in adjacent damage-free growing seasons was determined.The remote sensing-derived damage levels were supported by their correlation with the cold accumulated temperatures at the county level.The performance of several remote sensing indicators of plant biophysical and biochemical parameters was also investigated,i.e.,the photosynthetic rate,canopy water status,canopy chlorophyll content,leaf area index(LAI)and the red edge position(REP),in response to the advance of the freezing damage.It was found that the photosynthetic rate indicator—Photochemical Reflectance Index(PRI)responded strongly to freezing stress.Freezing injury caused canopy water loss,which could be detected though the magnitude was not very large.MERIS-LAI showed a slow and lagging response to low temperature and restored rapidly in the recovery phase;additionally,REP and the indicator of canopy chlorophyll content—MERIS Terrestrial Chlorophyll Index(MTCI),did not appear to be influenced by freezing injury.It was concluded that the physiological functions,canopy structure,and organic content metrics showed a descending order of vulnerabilities to freezing injury.

Effects of Facilities Condition on Occurrence of Freeze Injury and Fresh Pod Yield of Broad Bean

Using Tongxian No.2 as material, the effects of different film-covering time, different sowing time and different planting density on the occurrence of freeze injury and yield of fresh broad beans were investigated. The randomized block design was adopted. The results showed that with the delayed film covering, the incidence of mild freeze injury and number of headless seedlings were increased correspondingly, but the yield was increased; with the delayed sowing, the branch number per plant, effective branch number per plant, incidence of mild freeze injury and number of headless seedlings were all reduced, and the broad beans, sowed on September 30 th, obtained the highest yield; planting density showed on effect on the occurrence of freeze injury, and the yield was increased with the increase of planting density. Under the same film-covering time, the incidence of freeze injury was reduced with the delayed sowing time and it showed no changes when planting density was changed, but the yield was increased with the increase of planting density and it was highest when broad bean seeds were sowed on September 30th;under the same sowing time, the incidence of freeze injury was increased with the delayed film-covering time and it showed no changes when planting density was changed, and the yield was increased with the delayed film-covering time and increased planting density; under the same planting density, the incidence of freeze injury was increased with the delayed film-covering time but was reduced with the delayed sowing time, and the yield was increased with the delayed film-covering time and it was highest when the broad bean seeds were sowed on September30 th. Under same film-covering time and sowing time, the total branch number per plant and effective branch number per plant were reduced, but the yield was increased with the increase of planting density; under same film-covering time and planting density, the incidence of freeze injury was reduced with the delayed sowing time, and the yield was highest when broad bean seeds were sowed on September30th; under same sowing time and planting density, the incidence of freeze injury and the yield were all increased with the delayed film-covering time.

Monitoring Winter Wheat Freeze Injury Using Multi-Temporal MODIS Data

Freeze injury is an usual disaster for winter wheat in Shanxi Province, China, and monitoring freeze injury is of important economic significance. The aim of this article is to monitor and analyze the winter wheat freeze injury using remote sensing data, to monitor the occurrence and spatial distribution of winter wheat freeze in time, as well as the severity of the damage. The winter wheat freeze injury was monitored using multi-temporal moderate-resolution imaging spectroradiometer （MODIS） data, combined with ground meteorological data and field survey data, the change of normalized difference vegetation index （NDVI） before and after freeze injury was analyzed, as well as the effect of winter wheat growth recovery rate on yield. The results showed that the NDVI of winter wheat decreased dramatically after the suffering from freeze injury, which was the prominent feature for the winter wheat freeze injury monitoring. The degrees of winter wheat freeze injury were different in the three regions, of which, Yuncheng was the worst severity and the largest freeze injury area, the severity of freeze injury correlates with the breeding stage of the winter wheat. The yield of winter wheat showed positive correlation with its growth recovery rate （r=0.659^＊＊ which can be utilized to monitor the severity of winter wheat freeze injury as well as its impact on yield. It can effectively monitor the occurrence and severity of winter wheat freeze injury using horizontal and vertical profile distribution and growth wheat freeze injury in Shanxi Province. recovery rate, and provide a basis for monitoring the winter

Exploring the Feasibility of Winter Wheat Freeze Injury by Integrating Grey System Model with RS and GIS

Winter wheat freeze injury is one of the main agro-meteorological disasters affecting wheat production. In order to evaluate the severity of freeze injury on winter wheat systematically, we proposed a grey-system model （GSM） to monitor the degree and the distribution of the winter wheat freeze injury. The model combines remote sensing （RS） and geographic information system （GIS） technology. It gave examples of wheat freeze injury monitoring applications in Gaocheng and Jinzhou of Hebei Province, China. We carried out a quantitative evaluation method study on the severity of winter wheat freeze injury. First, a grey relational analysis （GRA） was conducted. At the same time, the weights of the stressful factors were determined. Then a wheat freezing injury stress multiple factor spatial matrix was constructed using spatial interpolation technology. Finally, a winter wheat freeze damage evaluation model was established through grey clustering algorithm （GCA）, and classifying the study area into three sub-areas, affected by severe, medium or light disasters. The evaluation model were verified by the Kappa model, the overall accuracy reached 78.82% and the Kappa coefficient was 0.6754. Therefore, through integration of GSM with RS images as well as GIS analysis, quantitative evaluation and study of winter wheat freeze disasters can be conducted objectively and accurately, making the evaluation model more scientific.

Expert consensus on the prevention, diagnosis and treatment of cold injury in China, 2020

Cold injury refers to local or systemic injury caused by a rapid, massive loss of body heat in a cold environment. The incidence of cold injury is high. However, the current situation regarding the diagnosis and treatment of cold injury in our country is not ideal. To standardize and improve the level of clinical diagnosis and treatment of cold injury in China, it is necessary to make a consensus that is practical and adapted to the conditions in China. We used the latest population-level epidemiological and clinical research data, combined with relevant literature from China and foreign countries. The consensus was developed by a joint committee of multidisciplinary experts. This expert consensus addresses the epidemiology, diagnosis, on-site emergency procedures, in-hospital treatment, and prevention of cold injury.

The effect of low-temperature event on the survival and growth of Juglans mandshurica seedlings within forest gaps

In forest ecosystems, gap formation changes the allocation of abiotic resources and thus affects the survival and growth of understory plants. However, how tree seedling survival and growth respond to low-temperature events and the influencing mechanisms remain unclear. To clarify how low-temperature event limits the survival and growth of tree seedlings in the montane regions of eastern Liaoning Province, northeast China, we investigated temperature and light intensity within secondary forest gaps, and the survival and growth of Juglans mandshurica seedlings after a low-temperature event in the spring of 2014. Damage to seedlings due to low temperature sig- nificantly varied in different aspects. Seedlings in gaps on southeast-facing slopes were the most seriously damaged, followed by those in gaps on northeast-facing slopes. In contrast, seedlings in west-facing gaps and in control plots without slope aspect were not damaged. The freezing injury index for seedlings was negatively correlated with minimum temperature （r = - 0.608, P 〈 0.01）, but it was positively correlated with light intensity （r= 0.818, P 〈 0.01）. In addition, height and root collar diameter of damaged seedlings were significantly lower than those of the undamaged seedlings （P 〈 0.01） during the early growing season （April-July）, but no significant difference were observed during the late growing season （July-Oc- tober） （P 〉 0.05）. The extent of seedling damage was directly related to slope aspect. Low temperature and high light intensity were found to be the dominant factors affecting extent of damage to seedlings on southeast- and northeast-facing slopes.

Evaluation on Climate Suitability in Main Growth Stages of Zhaotong Apple in Recent 60 Years

Based on daily average temperature,precipitation and sunshine hours during 1961-2018 from two meteorological stations of Zhaoyang District and Ludian County at Zhaolubazi,Zhaotong City,Yunnan Province,using the freezing injury index at flowering stage(Ha),climatic suitability index during expansion period(Pa),climatic suitability index during coloring period(Dy)and climatic suitability index during fruit growing period(Si),etc.,the climatic suitability of Zhaotong apple during the main growth stages was evaluated.The results showed that the annual average temperature was 11.8-12.3℃at Zhaolu Bazi in recent 60 years,and the climate was the most suitable for Fuji apple planting both in the south and north;the average annual precipitation was 674.8-852.6 mm,and the climate was suitable in the north and sub-suitable in the south;the annual average sunshine hours was between 1845.4 and 1851.1 h,and the climate was sub-suitable in both areas.The Ha was between 0.42-0.50,serious in the north and moderate in the south;the Pa was between 0.92 and 1.02,and both the south and the north were suitable areas;the Dy was between 0.95 and 1.00,and the climate in the south was suitable,while it was sub-suitable in the north;the Si was between 1.38 and 1.59,and the climate was suitable in the south and sub-suitable in the north.There was a 4-year cycle in the interannual variation of Ha,Pa,Dy and Si.After the 1980s,the Ha decreased by 0.56-0.59,the Pa,Dy and Si respectively increased by 0.10-0.16,0.14-0.15 and 0.78-0.84 with the temperature rise,and the changes of these four indexes were all favorable for Fuji apple's fruits growth.It can be seen that under the background of the global warming,the climatic conditions in Zhaolu Bazi are becoming more and more favorable for popularizing the planting of Fuji apple.

Assessing winter oilseed rape freeze injury based on Chinese HJ remote sensing data

The winter oilseed rape（Brassica napus L.） accounts for about 90% of the total acreage of oilseed rape in China. However, it suffers the risk of freeze injury during the winter. In this study, we used Chinese HJ-1A/1B CCD sensors, which have a revisit frequency of 2 d as well as 30 m spatial resolution, to monitor the freeze injury of oilseed rape. Mahalanobis distance-derived growing regions in a normal year were taken as the benchmark, and a mask method was applied to obtain the growing regions in the 2010–2011 growing season. The normalized difference vegetation index（NDVI） was chosen as the indicator of the degree of damage. The amount of crop damage was determined from the difference in the NDVI before and after the freeze. There was spatial variability in the amount of crop damage, so we examined three factors that may affect the degree of freeze injury： terrain, soil moisture, and crop growth before the freeze. The results showed that all these factors were significantly correlated with freeze injury degree（P0.01, two-tailed）. The damage was generally more serious in low-lying and drought-prone areas; in addition, oilseed rape planted on south- and west-oriented facing slopes and those with luxuriant growth status tended to be more susceptible to freeze injury. Furthermore, land surface temperature（LST） of the coldest day, soil moisture, pre-freeze growth and altitude were in descending order of importance in determining the degree of damage. The findings proposed in this paper would be helpful in understanding the occurrence and severity distribution of oilseed rape freeze injury under certain natural or vegetation conditions, and thus help in mitigation of this kind of meteorological disaster in southern China.

Comparative proteomics analysis of tea leaves exposed to subzero temperature:Molecular mechanism of freeze injury

Tea freeze injury is one of the most severe agro-meteorological disasters,which leads to sizable losses of tea production in China.The freezing resistant ability of overwintering tea trees becomes weaker and weaker from early-spring to late-spring.If it decreases to critical temperature of-2℃or lower in the stage with one or two leaves,tea trees suffer from freeze injury and the yield or quality of spring tea production could decrease greatly.Although measurements have been taken to prevent such damage,the physiological and biochemical mechanism of how tea(Camellia Sinensis)plant response to freeze injury is still to be elucidated.A comparative proteomics analysis was made on tea leaves at the two-leaf stage.The differential image analysis showed 46 spots with density changes(29 spots increased and 17 spots decreased;p<0.01)in the freeze injury group compared with the control group.Thirty eight differential protein spots(p<0.01)with good resolution and relatively high abundance in MS were subjected to further protein identification.Among them,all 17 up-regulated spots were collected whereas only six of the down-regulated spots were selected.These differentially expressed proteins including heat shock protein 70,oxygen-evolving enhancer protein,adenosine triphosphate synthase,S-adenosylmethionine synthetase and some enzymes involved in carbohydrate metabolism,were shown responsive to freeze injury.The results would greatly increase the comprehension of the molecular mechanism for freeze injury and provide a better decision making for freeze protection and control.

Tea leaf’s microstructure and ultrastructure response to low temperature in indicating critical damage temperature

To find out the critical damage temperature of tea leaf,a new method of subzero treatment was provided by fitting the air temperature data from six heavy frost events.Furthermore,the study explored the characteristics of Fuding Dabai tea plant response to low temperature stress of 2,0,
2,
4,
8,
10 and
15
C by observing the microstructure and ultrastructure changes of the leaves.All samples were collected in an ambient temperature of 8.6
C which served as control.Scanning electron microscopy(SEM)and transmission electron microscopy(TEM)were used to observe the microstructure and ultrastructure of stomata and mesophyll.SEM observation results indicated that stomata of tea leaves have an obvious low temperature stress when the temperature was lower than
2
C.The extent of opening of the stomata increased and enhanced guard cell protection of tea leaves against cold injury.However,dehydration,shrinkage and deformation of cells occurred as the temperature decreased from
2
C to
15
C.TEM observations showed that the cell nucleus,cell walls,chloroplasts and mitochondria all had normal structure at a temperature of 8.6
C where the membrane and granum lamella were clearly visible.As the temperature decreased to
2
C,the membrane system of tea leaf was the first to be damaged and the cell walls became fuzzy.Therefore,the leaf microstructure and ultrastructure showed obvious changes at
2
C,which might define the critical damage temperature for freeze damage of Fuding Dabai tea.Control strategy based this critical damage temperature is useful for wind machine frost protection in tea fields within the Yangtze River region.