Drought is the least understood natural disaster due to the complex relationship of multiple contributory factors. Itsbeginning and end are hard to gauge, and they can last for months or even for years. India has face...Drought is the least understood natural disaster due to the complex relationship of multiple contributory factors. Itsbeginning and end are hard to gauge, and they can last for months or even for years. India has faced many droughtsin the last few decades. Predicting future droughts is vital for framing drought management plans to sustainnatural resources. The data-driven modelling for forecasting the metrological time series prediction is becomingmore powerful and flexible with computational intelligence techniques. Machine learning (ML) techniques havedemonstrated success in the drought prediction process and are becoming popular to predict the weather, especiallythe minimum temperature using backpropagation algorithms. The favourite ML techniques for weather forecastinginclude support vector machines (SVM), support vector regression, random forest, decision tree, logistic regression,Naive Bayes, linear regression, gradient boosting tree, k-nearest neighbours (KNN), the adaptive neuro-fuzzyinference system, the feed-forward neural networks, Markovian chain, Bayesian network, hidden Markov models,and autoregressive moving averages, evolutionary algorithms, deep learning and many more. This paper presentsa recent review of the literature using ML in drought prediction, the drought indices, dataset, and performancemetrics.展开更多
A spike response model(SRM)based on the spikes generator circuit(SGC)of adaptive fuzzy spiking neurons(AFSNs)is developed.The SRM is simulated in MatlabTM environment.The proposed model is applied to a configuration o...A spike response model(SRM)based on the spikes generator circuit(SGC)of adaptive fuzzy spiking neurons(AFSNs)is developed.The SRM is simulated in MatlabTM environment.The proposed model is applied to a configuration of a fuzzy exclusive or(fuzzy XOR)operator,as an illustrative example.A description of the comparison of AFSNs with other similar methods is given.The novel method of the AFSNs is used to determine the value of the weights or parameters of the fuzzy XOR,first with dynamic weights or self-tuning parameters that adapt continuously,then with fixed weights obtained after training,finally with fixed weights and a dynamic gain or self-tuning gain for a fine adjustment of amplitude.展开更多
In this paper, a modeling algorithm developed by transferring the adaptive fuzzy inference neural network into an on-line real time algorithm, combining the algorithm with conventional system identification method and...In this paper, a modeling algorithm developed by transferring the adaptive fuzzy inference neural network into an on-line real time algorithm, combining the algorithm with conventional system identification method and applying them to separate identification of nonlinear multi-variable systems is introduced and discussed.展开更多
核事故的发生具有不可预测性和破坏性,为应急车辆制定合理的疏散计划将危险区域的人员撤离至安置点,可以有效减少人员所受到的伤害。针对核事故下应急车辆路径规划问题,以累积辐射剂量为评价指标,提出了一种基于混合蚁群算法(Hybrid ant...核事故的发生具有不可预测性和破坏性,为应急车辆制定合理的疏散计划将危险区域的人员撤离至安置点,可以有效减少人员所受到的伤害。针对核事故下应急车辆路径规划问题,以累积辐射剂量为评价指标,提出了一种基于混合蚁群算法(Hybrid ant colony algorithm,HACO)的车辆路径规划方法。首先,利用模糊网络建立了时间窗内疏散路径平均通行时间期望模型,同时结合累积辐射剂量计算模型,建立了能够随时间变化的动态累积辐射剂量计算模型。然后在蚁群算法迭代过程中引入模拟退火算法,并且在邻域搜索中引入A*算法启发式思想,提高了算法全局寻优能力。为进一步提高算法的局部搜索能力,引入帕累托排序方式,在蚁群算法信息素更新方式中加入距离对信息素增量的影响。仿真结果表明:HACO算法相较于蚁群算法平均收敛值提高了31%,稳定性提高了30%,能够为核事故下疏散路径规划预案的制定提供技术支持。展开更多
文摘Drought is the least understood natural disaster due to the complex relationship of multiple contributory factors. Itsbeginning and end are hard to gauge, and they can last for months or even for years. India has faced many droughtsin the last few decades. Predicting future droughts is vital for framing drought management plans to sustainnatural resources. The data-driven modelling for forecasting the metrological time series prediction is becomingmore powerful and flexible with computational intelligence techniques. Machine learning (ML) techniques havedemonstrated success in the drought prediction process and are becoming popular to predict the weather, especiallythe minimum temperature using backpropagation algorithms. The favourite ML techniques for weather forecastinginclude support vector machines (SVM), support vector regression, random forest, decision tree, logistic regression,Naive Bayes, linear regression, gradient boosting tree, k-nearest neighbours (KNN), the adaptive neuro-fuzzyinference system, the feed-forward neural networks, Markovian chain, Bayesian network, hidden Markov models,and autoregressive moving averages, evolutionary algorithms, deep learning and many more. This paper presentsa recent review of the literature using ML in drought prediction, the drought indices, dataset, and performancemetrics.
文摘A spike response model(SRM)based on the spikes generator circuit(SGC)of adaptive fuzzy spiking neurons(AFSNs)is developed.The SRM is simulated in MatlabTM environment.The proposed model is applied to a configuration of a fuzzy exclusive or(fuzzy XOR)operator,as an illustrative example.A description of the comparison of AFSNs with other similar methods is given.The novel method of the AFSNs is used to determine the value of the weights or parameters of the fuzzy XOR,first with dynamic weights or self-tuning parameters that adapt continuously,then with fixed weights obtained after training,finally with fixed weights and a dynamic gain or self-tuning gain for a fine adjustment of amplitude.
文摘In this paper, a modeling algorithm developed by transferring the adaptive fuzzy inference neural network into an on-line real time algorithm, combining the algorithm with conventional system identification method and applying them to separate identification of nonlinear multi-variable systems is introduced and discussed.
文摘核事故的发生具有不可预测性和破坏性,为应急车辆制定合理的疏散计划将危险区域的人员撤离至安置点,可以有效减少人员所受到的伤害。针对核事故下应急车辆路径规划问题,以累积辐射剂量为评价指标,提出了一种基于混合蚁群算法(Hybrid ant colony algorithm,HACO)的车辆路径规划方法。首先,利用模糊网络建立了时间窗内疏散路径平均通行时间期望模型,同时结合累积辐射剂量计算模型,建立了能够随时间变化的动态累积辐射剂量计算模型。然后在蚁群算法迭代过程中引入模拟退火算法,并且在邻域搜索中引入A*算法启发式思想,提高了算法全局寻优能力。为进一步提高算法的局部搜索能力,引入帕累托排序方式,在蚁群算法信息素更新方式中加入距离对信息素增量的影响。仿真结果表明:HACO算法相较于蚁群算法平均收敛值提高了31%,稳定性提高了30%,能够为核事故下疏散路径规划预案的制定提供技术支持。
