Potential Fiscal Revenues From Hydrocarbon Extraction for the Tourism Region of the Canary Islands

Hydrocarbon exploration that recently took place in the Canary Islands has triggered a controversy over the compatibility between these activities and tourism. Such exploration was strongly rejected by the region, while being supported by the Spanish government. Many environmental and economic impacts of hydrocarbon extraction were explored, except the fiscal revenues, which represent the main benefit for the producing economies. In this paper, the author addresses this missing piece in the controversy, namely, the assessment of fiscal revenues from hydrocarbons for the Canary Islands. To evaluate these revenues, the author estimates an oilfield production profile, constructs oil and gas price scenarios, and considers the new Spanish tax on hydrocarbons. The estimates are also placed in the socio-economic context of the archipelago. The results show less than overwhelming annual fiscal revenues, below 0.7% of GDP, 10.4% of current public transfers to the region, and 5% of current public spending in 2015. These revenues could be welcome, as the region lags behind the rest of the nation in living standards. However, these benefits from exhaustible resources must be compared to the potential damage to the tourism sector, which has been a long-standing economic driving force for the archipelago.

Influencing factors of tourism revenue in Guizhou province

Tourism revenue plays an increasingly essential role in the national economic revenue of Guizhou province,so it is essential to analyze the factors that affect the tourism revenue of Guizhou province.Based on the econometric model,this paper collects the tourism-related data of Guizhou province from 1999 to 2018,and then selects three variables:the number of tourists,rail mileage,and the number of hotels to make assumptions,and then makes a regression analysis.Finally,the conclusion is drawn that the number of tourists and hotels is significantly related to tourism revenue,and the rail mileage negatively regulates the positive impact of tourists on tourism revenue.Based on this,the paper puts forward some suggestions and measures to improve the tourism revenue of Guizhou province.

Surging Tourism Revenue

The revenue of Egypt’s tourism sector reached$10.7 billion in the fiscal year 2021/2022 that ended in June 2022,marking an increase of around 120 percent over the$4.9 billion in the previous fiscal year,Egypt’s o"cial statistics authority announced on 9 August.

Spatial Dislocation Analysis of Tourism Economy and Its Influencing Factors in Jiangsu Province

Taking 13 prefecture-level cities in Jiangsu Province as the research object,based on the theory of spatial dislocation,the gravity model and two-dimensional composite matrix method are used to analyze the spatial dislocation between tourism resources,permanent population and other factors in Jiangsu Province and tourism revenue.The results show that the population center,the center of tourism resources,the center of tourist numbers,the center of economic development,and the center of tourism revenue of Jiangsu Province are all biased toward the southern part of Jiangsu Province.From the analysis of four sets of two-dimensional composite matrixes,13 prefecture-level cities have synchronized coordination and also have positive and negative dislocation types.Southern Jiangsu has the best synchronization and coordination,and northern Jiangsu has a strong negative dislocation trend;the combination of tourist numbers and tourism revenue is the strongest,but the dislocation is weak;population and tourism revenue have a strong positive dislocation trend;there is a strong negative dislocation trend between economic development and tourism revenue;the matrix combination of Nanjing,Wuxi and Suzhou has good synchronization;the city of Xuzhou in northern Jiangsu has a strong negative dislocation.In view of the results of spatial dislocation analysis,suggestions for improvement and optimization are put forward to promote the high-quality development of tourism in Jiangsu Province.

“Tourism+X”Improves the Consumption of Cultural Tourism

MUltiple activities such as visiting relatives,enjoying autumn sights,the Asian Games,concerts and music festivals are superimposed.During this year’s Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holiday (also referred to as the"Double Festival"),the cultural tourism consumer market has become huge.According to the data center of the Ministry of Culture and Tourism,during the eight-day Mid-Autumn and National Day holiday,the number of domestic tourists was 826 million,an increase of 71.3%year-on-year in comparable terms,and an increase of 4.1%compared with 2019 in comparable terms.Domestic tourism revenue reached RMB 753.43 billion,up 129.5%year-on-year in comparable terms.

红色旅游中原真性感知对出游渴望的影响——旅游涉入和收入预期的调节作用

基于后后现代主义视角,借鉴唤醒理论,以实验研究方法探究了原真性感知对情绪唤醒和旅游者出游渴望的影响。实验一表明创造性真实感知和现实性真实感知之间存在明显差异;实验二表明相对于现实性真实感知,创造性真实感知对旅游者情绪唤醒的影响更强;实验三和实验四分别验证了旅游涉入和收入预期在红色文化原真性感知和情绪唤醒之间的调节作用。研究为红色旅游发展提供了从后后现代主义视角观察原真性感知的思路,认为可以通过科技和艺术手段来增强红色文化原真性感知体验感。

MaaS旅游供应链收益共享契约设计与协调

针对出行即服务(Mobility as a Service,MaaS)提供定制化的出行服务以满足游客差异化的交通需求,构建了由传统旅游供应商和MaaS平台组成的双渠道旅游出行服务链,探讨不同主导权下的集中式决策和分散式决策策略及其效益,并开展以供应商为主导的供应链收益共享契约设计和数值分析。研究结果发现:基于MaaS的旅游供应链集中式决策下的效益大于分散式决策,且集中式决策效益是以供应商为主导的分散式决策效益的3/4。在收益共享契约协调下,供应商利润和MaaS平台利润分别为0.68和0.58,均有所提高,旅游供应链整体效益最大,实现旅游供应链完美协调。

旅游资源禀赋与旅游经济的空间错位及其时空演化——基于长三角的实证研究

旅游资源对旅游产业的发展具有重要作用,然而在区域旅游发展中,旅游资源与旅游经济发展水平的不均衡是普遍存在的现象。以长三角地区为例,结合旅游资源丰度指数、旅游经济指数等,分析旅游资源丰度与旅游经济空间错位情况。宏观层面上,重力模型揭示了旅游资源、国内旅游收入和入境旅游收入三者重心东南—西北—西北的偏移趋势。在微观层面上,在A级景区与国内旅游收入方面,上海为无明显错位,江苏为正错位,浙江由正错位转向负错位,安徽为负错位;A级景区与入境旅游收入方面,上海为正错位,其余三省为负错位。此外,通过旅游经济影响因素的相关性分析,揭示空间错位动态演化的内在影响要素。

数字经济发展对旅游收入的实证分析与作用机理——以广西壮族自治区为例

数字经济飞速发展为旅游业带来了巨大的变革,成为推动旅游收入增长的重要动力。文章在分析数字经济与旅游收入关系的基础上,结合广西壮族自治区14个地级市2011—2021年的相关数据,构建了数字经济指标体系;运用面板固定效应模型、面板门槛模型和中介效应模型检验了数字经济对旅游收入的影响机制。数字经济对旅游收入产生显著而积极的作用,并且,经对数字经济滞后一期与滞后两期的内生性分析及样本与构建方法的一系列稳健性检验后,这一结论仍然成立。同时,数字经济发展促进旅游收入的效应呈现边际递减的非线性特征。研究结果显示,促进地区经济发展、优化产业创新是数字经济赋能旅游收入的重要途经。

新疆旅游收入的组合预测及发展研究分析

近年来,新疆的旅游业蓬勃发展,其带来的旅游收入已然成为衡量当地经济发展的一大关键指标。本文收集了2013-2022年新疆国内旅游收入的相关数据,通过建立GM(1,1)模型、采用灰色关联分析法对国内旅游收入相关影响因素进行了分析,最后结合相关程度较高的影响因素建立了多元线性回归方程,并围绕显著性分析结果给出相关建议。

Robust Recovery

China’s tourism economy turns the tables amid strong economic and political leadership.China’s tourism figures have surged by nearly 50 percent during the Chinese Spring Festival holiday.This indicates that the COVID-19 smoke has finally cleared,and that the world’s second-biggest economy is on its way to full recovery.According to the statistics released by Chinese tourism authorities on February 18,the country’s tourism revenues increased by 47.3 percent and surpassed pre-pandemic level of 2019.At the height of COVID-19 in 2020,China’s domestic and inbound tourism revenue dropped by as much as 87.1 percent.

基于STATA模型分析青海省旅游总收入影响因素

旅游总收入作为旅游业发展水平的重要指标之一,综合反映了旅游业的发展水平,间接反映旅游目的地城市的社会经济状况。为促进青海省旅游业的健康可持续发展,本文选取青海省2010—2020年的相关数据进行研究,旨在探索影响青海旅游总收入的主要因素,并针对结果提出相关的旅游发展建议。

基于ACO_SVM的扬州市旅游业年总收入预测

以扬州市2002—2021年旅游业年总收入及相关指标的实际数据为例,引入ACO优化算法对SVM模型的关键性参数进行寻优处理,建立基于ACO_SVM的旅游业年总收入预测模型,并结合MATLAB进行模型实验,最终精度达到93.8%。进行ACO_SVM模型与SVM模型两组预测结果对比,验证了基于ACO_SVM的预测模型的有效性,对提高扬州市旅游业与旅行社的服务质量更具参考价值。

Empirical Analysis of Tourism Revenues in Sanya

Tourism industry has become a pillar industry,which is used to measure the general economic development of Sanya.According to the latest data related with Sanya tourism(2008–2019),a linear regression model is established in this paper.With statistical method,it takes the annual tourism revenue of Sanya as the explanatory variable and the number of domestic tourists received by Sanya as the explanatory variable.Based on the model,the results of econometric analysis on the factors influencing Sanya tourism revenue show that the number of domestic tourists is the main influence factors of tourism revenue in Sanya.

中国旅游经济增长动态路径的阶段性变迁识别——基于马尔科夫区制转移模型的实证分析

文章基于我国国内和国际旅游收入年度数据,在分别对其总量和增长率序列进行定量探讨后,运用双阶段马尔科夫区制转移模型,对我国旅游经济增长动态过程进行阶段性变迁识别和转移分析。结论表明:(1)随着时间的推移,国内和国际旅游收入均大体呈不断攀升的态势,国内旅游收入增长率呈U形变化,而国际旅游收入增长率呈周期性变化特征。(2)国内(国际)旅游收入维系快速(低速)增长的可能性要强于其保持低速(快速)增长的可能性,国内(国际)旅游收入维系快速(低速)增长的可能性要强于国际(国内)旅游收入。(3)无论是国内旅游收入还是国际旅游收入,当其增长率较高时,通常都会存在潜在的较大不确定性,当其增长率较低时,所面临风险冲击的可能性也较小,国际旅游收入快速(低速)增长时的波动性显著强于国内旅游收入快速(低速)增长时的波动性。(4)从近年来的发展趋势看,国内旅游收入增长率仍然具有持续攀升的强劲势头,同时也将会伴随较大的波动性,国际旅游收入增长率维持平缓低位推进的可能性较大,与此相对应的波动性较小。

基于灰色关联分析的甘肃省旅游收入影响因素研究

旅游收入是衡量区域旅游发展程度的重要指标之一,对旅游收入影响因素的研究是区域旅游的研究热点。选取2003—2013年甘肃省旅游收入及相关数据,应用灰色关联分析法对影响甘肃省旅游收入的11个相关因素进行量化分析。结果表明,甘肃省内A级及A级以上景区景点与该省旅游收入的关联度最大,其次为国内旅游人次及第三产业投资额,最小的是旅行社数量与人口基数。研究结论进一步证明了甘肃省开展大景区建设、大力加强宣传推介旅游、增加第三产业投资政策的正确性与前瞻性。

我国旅游资源、区位和入境旅游收入的空间错位分析

旅游资源和区位是影响区域入境旅游发展的两大基本要素。本文以我国大陆31个省区为区域研究单元,借用重力模型和二维组合矩阵方法,分析了旅游资源、区位和入境旅游收入三者之间的空间错位现象。结果发现:(1)区位指数和入境旅游收入指数重心偏向我国东部地区,旅游资源丰度指数重心偏向中西部地区;(2)资源与收入、区位与收入、资源与区位三组二维组合关系均存在明显的空间错位,可以将这种二维组合关系划分为五种类型来描述各省区的旅游发展现状。

20年来张家界旅游发展的民生福利考察

依据"从旅游中进去,从民生中出来"的研究思路,在构建概念模型基础上,运用1989—2009年张家界统计数据,利用居民收入增长弹性系数、森指数、基尼系数、居民收入比指数、消费差距比指数和旅游服务密度指数6个指标,对张家界民生福利改善过程的整体情况和城乡差别进行分析,结果发现:(1)张家界城乡居民从旅游业发展中所获得的收入增长基本同步,居民收入增长慢于旅游产业的增长;同时,在城乡居民之间也存在差距,城镇居民收入增长弹性比农村高0.05;(2)张家界旅游开发带动民生福利改善,在城市和农村之间是不平衡的,农村居民福利改善的速度既落后于城镇居民,也落后于财政收入增长;(3)随着旅游服务密度的提高,城乡收入差距比和消费差距大体经历了一个先升后降的过程。

关于“旅游目的地竞争力”内涵的辨析与认识

人们不难发现,国内外有关“旅游目的地竞争力”的研究普遍缺乏对“旅游目的地竞争力”的内涵进行界定。内涵界定的缺失在很大程度上会影响该领域研究的开展。为此,本文在对“竞争力”概念进行辨析的基础上,结合“旅游竞争力”的内涵,尝试对“旅游目的地竞争力”内涵做出归纳和界定,并探讨其中一些值得注意的认识问题。

中国沿海区域入境旅游经济差异的时空格局演化

利用1996-2011年的入境旅游收入数据,采用变异系数、泰尔指数、经济重心指标,从地带、省级和市级3个空间尺度对中国沿海区域旅游经济差异进行测度和多尺度比较研究,剖析其时空格局演化。研究显示,中国沿海区域旅游经济差异在3个尺度上均呈不同程度的缩小趋势,且空间尺度越小,区域旅游经济差异越大,地带内差异是造成区域差异的主要原因;中国沿海区域旅游经济重心总体上呈现持续由南向北、由珠三角向长三角方向的偏移,虽然旅游经济的集聚特征仍比较明显,但主要发达区域入境旅游收入比重的下降,也意味沿海区域旅游经济的集聚特征正被分散趋势弱化。在此基础上,提出了缩小沿海区域旅游经济差距、协调旅游业发展的对策。