Risk factors and survival prediction model establishment for prognosis in patients with radical resection of gallbladder cancer

BACKGROUND Gallbladder cancer(GBC)is the most common malignant tumor of the biliary system,and is often undetected until advanced stages,making curative surgery unfeasible for many patients.Curative surgery remains the only option for long-term survival.Accurate postsurgical prognosis is crucial for effective treatment planning.tumor-node-metastasis staging,which focuses on tumor infiltration,lymph node metastasis,and distant metastasis,limits the accuracy of prognosis.Nomograms offer a more comprehensive and personalized approach by visually analyzing a broader range of prognostic factors,enhancing the precision of treatment planning for patients with GBC.AIM A retrospective study analyzed the clinical and pathological data of 93 patients who underwent radical surgery for GBC at Peking University People's Hospital from January 2015 to December 2020.Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to calculate the 1-,2-and 3-year survival rates.The log-rank test was used to evaluate factors impacting prognosis,with survival curves plotted for significant variables.Single-factor analysis revealed statistically significant differences,and multivariate Cox regression identified independent prognostic factors.A nomogram was developed and validated with receiver operating characteristic curves and calibration curves.Among 93 patients who underwent radical surgery for GBC,30 patients survived,accounting for 32.26%of the sample,with a median survival time of 38 months.The 1-year,2-year,and 3-year survival rates were 83.87%,68.82%,and 53.57%,respectively.Univariate analysis revealed that carbohydrate antigen 19-9 expre-ssion,T stage,lymph node metastasis,histological differentiation,surgical margins,and invasion of the liver,ex-trahepatic bile duct,nerves,and vessels(P≤0.001)significantly impacted patient prognosis after curative surgery.Multivariate Cox regression identified lymph node metastasis(P=0.03),histological differentiation(P<0.05),nerve invasion(P=0.036),and extrahepatic bile duct invasion(P=0.014)as independent risk factors.A nomogram model with a concordance index of 0.838 was developed.Internal validation confirmed the model's consistency in predicting the 1-year,2-year,and 3-year survival rates.CONCLUSION Lymph node metastasis,tumor differentiation,extrahepatic bile duct invasion,and perineural invasion are independent risk factors.A nomogram based on these factors can be used to personalize and improve treatment strategies.

Laparoscopic treatment for suspected gallbladder cancer confined to the wall： a 10-year study from a single institution

Objective： Although laparoscopic treatment of gallbladder cancer（GBC） has been explored in the last decade,long-term results are still rare. This study evaluates long-term results of intended laparoscopic treatment for suspected GBC confined to the gallbladder wall, based on our experience over 10 years.Methods： Between August 2006 and December 2015, 164 patients with suspected GBC confined to the wall were enrolled in the protocol for laparoscopic surgery. The process for GBC treatment was analyzed to evaluate the feasibility of computed tomography（CT） and/or magnetic resonance imaging（MRI） combined with frozen-section examination in identifying GBC confined to the wall. Of 159 patients who underwent the intended laparoscopic radical treatment, 47 with pathologically proven GBC were investigated to determine the safety and oncologic outcomes of a laparoscopic approach to GBC.Results： Among the 164 patients, 5 patients avoided further radical surgery because of unresectable disease and12 were converted to open surgery; in the remaining 147 patients, totally laparoscopic treatment was successfully accomplished. Extended cholecystectomy was performed in 37 patients and simple cholecystectomy in 10. The T stages based on final pathology were Tis（n=6）, T1 a（n=2）, T1 b（n=9）, T2（n=26）, and T3（n=4）. Recurrence was detected in 11 patients over a median follow-up of 51 months. The disease-specific 5-year survival rate of these 47 patients was 68.8%, and rose to 85% for patients with a normal cancer antigen 19-9（CA19-9） level.Conclusions： The favorable long-term outcomes demonstrate the feasibility of combined CT/MRI and frozensection examination in the selection of patients with GBC confined to the gallbladder wall, confirm the oncologic safety of laparoscopic treatment in selected GBC patients, and favor measurement of preoperative CA19-9 in the selection of GBCs suitable for laparoscopic treatment.