Carbon dioxide(CO_(2))from road traffic is a non-negligible part of global greenhouse gas(GHG)emissions,and it is a challenge for the world today to accurately estimate road traffic CO_(2)emissions and formulate effec...Carbon dioxide(CO_(2))from road traffic is a non-negligible part of global greenhouse gas(GHG)emissions,and it is a challenge for the world today to accurately estimate road traffic CO_(2)emissions and formulate effective emission reduction policies.Current emission inventories for vehicles have either low-resolution,or limited coverage,and they have not adequately focused on the CO_(2)emission produced by new energy vehicles(NEV)considering fuel life cycle.To fill the research gap,this paper proposed a framework of a high-resolution well-to-wheel(WTW)CO_(2)emission estimation for a full sample of vehicles and revealed the unique CO_(2)emission characteristics of different categories of vehicles combined with vehicle behavior.Based on this,the spatiotemporal characteristics and influencing factors of CO_(2)emissions were analyzed with the geographical and temporal weighted regression(GTWR)model.Finally,the CO_(2)emissions of vehicles under different scenarios are simulated to support the formulation of emission reduction policies.The results show that the distribution of vehicle CO_(2)emissions shows obvious heterogeneity in time,space,and vehicle category.By simply adjusting the existing NEV promotion policy,the emission reduction effect can be improved by 6.5%-13.5%under the same NEV penetration.If combined with changes in power generation structure,it can further release the emission reduction potential of NEVs,which can reduce the current CO_(2)emissions by 78.1%in the optimal scenario.展开更多
基金supported by"Pioneer"and"Leading Goose"R&D Program of Zhejiang(2023C03155)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(72361137006,52131202,and 92046011)+1 种基金the Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province(LR23E080002)Alibaba-Zhejiang University Joint Research Institute of Frontier Technologies.
文摘Carbon dioxide(CO_(2))from road traffic is a non-negligible part of global greenhouse gas(GHG)emissions,and it is a challenge for the world today to accurately estimate road traffic CO_(2)emissions and formulate effective emission reduction policies.Current emission inventories for vehicles have either low-resolution,or limited coverage,and they have not adequately focused on the CO_(2)emission produced by new energy vehicles(NEV)considering fuel life cycle.To fill the research gap,this paper proposed a framework of a high-resolution well-to-wheel(WTW)CO_(2)emission estimation for a full sample of vehicles and revealed the unique CO_(2)emission characteristics of different categories of vehicles combined with vehicle behavior.Based on this,the spatiotemporal characteristics and influencing factors of CO_(2)emissions were analyzed with the geographical and temporal weighted regression(GTWR)model.Finally,the CO_(2)emissions of vehicles under different scenarios are simulated to support the formulation of emission reduction policies.The results show that the distribution of vehicle CO_(2)emissions shows obvious heterogeneity in time,space,and vehicle category.By simply adjusting the existing NEV promotion policy,the emission reduction effect can be improved by 6.5%-13.5%under the same NEV penetration.If combined with changes in power generation structure,it can further release the emission reduction potential of NEVs,which can reduce the current CO_(2)emissions by 78.1%in the optimal scenario.
