Inspired by Roger Nelson’s Global Consciousness Project (GCP), the Global Earth Healing Project (GEHP) uses a network of several hundred physical noise generators to amplify the combined intentions of their users in ...Inspired by Roger Nelson’s Global Consciousness Project (GCP), the Global Earth Healing Project (GEHP) uses a network of several hundred physical noise generators to amplify the combined intentions of their users in order to infuse positive affirmations into the global consciousness. As mentioned in the original study design, it was intended to use the GCP as a reference for the effectiveness of its activities. The data of the GEHP consisting of 21 events from 2013 to 2020 is analyzed and statistically compared to the data of the GCP. An astonishing synchronicity was observed, which suggests an interaction between the brain states of the observers and the physical noise generators of the GCP.展开更多
Recent work has shown the dominance of the Himalaya in supporting the Indian summer monsoon (ISM), perhaps by surface sensible heating along its southern slope and by mechanical blocking acting to separate moist tro...Recent work has shown the dominance of the Himalaya in supporting the Indian summer monsoon (ISM), perhaps by surface sensible heating along its southern slope and by mechanical blocking acting to separate moist tropical flow from drier midlatitnde air. Previous studies have also shown that Indian snmmer rainfall is largely unaffected in sensitivity experiments that remove only the Tibetan Plateau. However, given the large biases in simulating the monsoon in CMIP5 models, such results may be model dependent. This study investigates the impact of orographic forcing from the Tibetan Plateau, Himalaya and Iranian Plateau on the ISM and East Asian snmmer monsoon (EASM) in the UK Met Office's HadGEM3-GA6 and China's Institute of Atmospheric Physics FGOALS-FAMIL global climate models. The models chosen featnre oppositesigned biases in their simulation of the ISM rainfall and circulation climatology. The changes to ISM and EASM circulation across the sensitivity experiments are similar in both models and consistent with previous studies. However, considerable differences exist in the rainfall responses over India and China, and in the detailed aspects such as onset and retreat dates. In particular, the models show opposing changes in Indian monsoon rainfall when the Himalaya and Tibetan Plateau orography are removed. Our results show that a multi-model approach, as suggested in the forthcoming Global Monsoon Model Intercomparison Project (GMMIP) associated with CMIP6, is needed to clarify the impact of orographic forcing on the Asian monsoon and to fully understand the implications of model systematic error.展开更多
A research project on interaction between agroecosystems and global change has been accepted as a Category Ⅰ contribution to IGBP-GCTE (International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme-Global Change & Terrestrial Ecos...A research project on interaction between agroecosystems and global change has been accepted as a Category Ⅰ contribution to IGBP-GCTE (International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme-Global Change & Terrestrial Ecosystems) Core Research, the highest-level support GCTE has offered to an individual research project so far. This was confirmed by Prof. Noble, GCTE Chairman, in a letter to Prof. Peng Shaolin, Principal Investigator of展开更多
Investigation of the climate change effects on drought is required to develop management strategies for minimizing adverse social and economic impacts.Therefore,studying the future meteorological drought conditions at...Investigation of the climate change effects on drought is required to develop management strategies for minimizing adverse social and economic impacts.Therefore,studying the future meteorological drought conditions at a local scale is vital.In this study,we assessed the efficiency of seven downscaled Global Climate Models(GCMs)provided by the NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections(NEX-GDDP),and investigated the impacts of climate change on future meteorological drought using Standard Precipitation Index(SPI)in the Karoun River Basin(KRB)of southwestern Iran under two Representative Concentration Pathway(RCP)emission scenarios,i.e.,RCP4.5 and RCP8.5.The results demonstrated that SPI estimated based on the Meteorological Research Institute Coupled Global Climate Model version 3(MRI-CGCM3)is consistent with the one estimated by synoptic stations during the historical period(1990-2005).The root mean square error(RMSE)value is less than 0.75 in 77%of the synoptic stations.GCMs have high uncertainty in most synoptic stations except those located in the plain.Using the average of a few GCMs to improve performance and reduce uncertainty is suggested by the results.The results revealed that with the areas affected by wetness decreasing in the KRB,drought frequency in the North KRB is likely to increase at the end of the 21st century under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios.At the seasonal scale,the decreasing trend for SPI in spring,summer,and winter shows a drought tendency in this region.The climate-induced drought hazard can have vast consequences,especially in agriculture and rural livelihoods.Accordingly,an increasing trend in drought during the growing seasons under RCP scenarios is vital for water managers and farmers to adopt strategies to reduce the damages.The results of this study are of great value for formulating sustainable water resources management plans affected by climate change.展开更多
<div style="text-align:justify;"> In this paper, we study the error estimates for direct discontinuous Galerkin methods based on the upwind-biased fluxes. We use a newly global projection to obtain the...<div style="text-align:justify;"> In this paper, we study the error estimates for direct discontinuous Galerkin methods based on the upwind-biased fluxes. We use a newly global projection to obtain the optimal error estimates. The numerical experiments imply that <em>L</em><sup>2 </sup>norms error estimates can reach to order <em>k</em> + 1 by using time discretization methods. </div>展开更多
With Multi-Fiber Arrangement (MFA) eliminated on Dec 31, 2004, the debates and concerns on the trade of textile and apparel have been growing. The objective of this study is to examine the impacts of alternative polic...With Multi-Fiber Arrangement (MFA) eliminated on Dec 31, 2004, the debates and concerns on the trade of textile and apparel have been growing. The objective of this study is to examine the impacts of alternative policies on China and World economy after canceling MFA. Based on a general equilibrium model of the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP), study shows that China and World will significantly benefit from further trade liberalization. However, if USA, EU and Canada converted to TBT to restrict import, the gains from eliminating MFA would be largely offset. Based on our analysis, some policy implications are discussed.展开更多
In the past several years, there has been growing concern on the scarcity of energy resources, the volatility of energy prices, and the impact of energy sector on climate change. In this context, energy-environment mo...In the past several years, there has been growing concern on the scarcity of energy resources, the volatility of energy prices, and the impact of energy sector on climate change. In this context, energy-environment models designed for analysis of energy systems have become more important. In this paper, a Computable General Equilibrium Model (CGE) using an energy-environmental version of Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) model (known as GTAP-E) for Vietnam is presented based on the GTAP Data Base version 7. The model is developed following the original structure and the revised version of the GTAP-E model. This model is used to simulate the adoption of carbon tax for Vietnam for the base year of 2004. The economy-level and detailed sector-specific effects are also examined considering energy intensive and non-intensive sectors. Simulation results show the negative influences of different carbon tax scenarios to Vietnam's economy. The results would also indicate the potential of carbon taxation as a driving force for the mitigation of carbon dioxide and for new and renewable energy promotion in Vietnam. In fact, this study is the first simulation exercise of energy-environmental policy for the Vietnamese case.展开更多
This study examines the inter-annual variability of rainfall and Mean Sea Level Pressure (</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">M</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"&g...This study examines the inter-annual variability of rainfall and Mean Sea Level Pressure (</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">M</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">SLP) over west Africa based on analysis of the Global Precipitation</span><span style="font-family:""><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> Climatology Project (GPCP) and National Center for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) Reanalysis respectively. An interconnection is found in this region, between Mean Sea Level Pressure (MSLP) anomaly (over Azores and St. Helena High) and monthly mean precipitation during summer (June to September: JJAS). We also found that over northern Senegal (15</span><span style="white-space:nowrap;font-family:Verdana;">°</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">N</span></span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">-</span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">17</span><span style="white-space:nowrap;font-family:Verdana;">°</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">N;17</span><span style="white-space:nowrap;font-family:Verdana;">°</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">W</span></span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">-</span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">13</span><span style="white-space:nowrap;font-family:Verdana;">°</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">W) the SLP to the north is strong;the wind converges at 200</span></span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">hPa corresponding to the position of the African Easterly Jet (AEJ) the rotational wind 700</span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">hPa (corresponding to the position of the African Easterly Jet (AEJ) coming from the north-east is negative. In this region, the precipitation is related to the SLP to the north with the opposite sign. The Empirical Orthogonal Functions (EOF) of SLP is also presented, including the mean spectrum of precipitation and pressures to the north (15</span><span style="white-space:nowrap;font-family:Verdana;">°</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">N</span></span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">-</span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">40</span><span style="white-space:nowrap;font-family:Verdana;">°</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">N and 50</span><span style="white-space:nowrap;font-family:Verdana;">°</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">W</span></span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">-</span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">25</span><span style="white-space:nowrap;font-family:Verdana;">°</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">W) and south (40</span><span style="white-space:nowrap;font-family:Verdana;">°</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">S</span></span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">-</span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">10</span><span style="white-space:nowrap;font-family:Verdana;">°</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">S and 40</span><span style="white-space:nowrap;font-family:Verdana;">°</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">W</span></span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">-</span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">0</span><span style="white-space:nowrap;font-family:Verdana;">°</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">E). The dominant EOF of Sea Level Pressures north and south of the Atlantic Ocean for GPCP represents about 62.2% and 69.4% of the variance, respectively. The second and third EOFs of the pressure to the north account for 24.0% and 6.5% respectively. The second and third EOFs of the pressure to the south represent 12.5% and 8.9% respectively. Wet years in the north of Senegal were associated with anomalous low-pressure areas over the north Atlantic Ocean as opposed to the dry years which exhibited an anomalous high-pressure area in the same region. On the other hand, over the South Atlantic, an opposition is noted. The wavelet analysis method is applied to the SLP showings to the north, south and precipitation in our study area. The indices prove to be very consistent, especially during intervals of high variance.展开更多
The overall planning of Beijing Global Trade Center (GTC) is being carried out by the U.S. designing firm EDAW and the first-phase office building has already been put into use, while the second and third phases are u...The overall planning of Beijing Global Trade Center (GTC) is being carried out by the U.S. designing firm EDAW and the first-phase office building has already been put into use, while the second and third phases are under construction. Guided by the modernity, hi-tech design, a human-oriented approach, and the integration of land-展开更多
This paper is devoted to the error estimate for the iterative discontinuous Galerkin(IDG)method introduced in[P.Yin,Y.Huang and H.Liu.Commun.Comput.Phys.16:491-515,2014]to the nonlinear Poisson-Boltzmann equation.The ...This paper is devoted to the error estimate for the iterative discontinuous Galerkin(IDG)method introduced in[P.Yin,Y.Huang and H.Liu.Commun.Comput.Phys.16:491-515,2014]to the nonlinear Poisson-Boltzmann equation.The total error includes both the iteration error and the discretization error of the direct DG method to linear elliptic equations.For the DDG method,the energy error is obtained by a constructive approach through an explicit global projection satisfying interface conditions dictated by the choice of numerical fluxes.The L^(2) error of order O(h^(m+1))for polynomials of degree m is further recovered.The bounding constant is also shown to be independent of the iteration times.Numerical tests are given to validate the established convergence theory.展开更多
Recently, China, Japan, and the Republic of Korea (Korea) are conducting a government-commis- sioned feasibility study on the Free Trade Agreement among the three countries (CJKFTA) to form a regional free trade z...Recently, China, Japan, and the Republic of Korea (Korea) are conducting a government-commis- sioned feasibility study on the Free Trade Agreement among the three countries (CJKFTA) to form a regional free trade zone in East Asia. Considering that freer trade can cause unexpected impact on domestic environment, there is a need to evaluate the environmental impact of such a trade policy. This move should be made to help negotiators understand and pay more attention to environ- mental issues during CJKFTA negotiations, and to help lobby with the government to carry out appropriate policy instruments for adaptation or mitigation. Following the Chain Reaction Assessment Method that integrates and links the elements of trade, production, and environment, the present research aims to quantitatively assess CJKFTA's possible impact on China's environment. This is done by estimating the variations of China's major conventional pollutants and greenhouse gases (GHGs) emission in two policy scenarios to represent CJKFTA's scale and composition effects on China's environment. Estimating the variations is based on a static Computable General Equilibrium model, working with Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) 7 database and China's energy- environment statistics. Based on these assessments, CJKFTA is predicted to lead to notable environmental impact, including increased emissions of agricultural total nitrogen, agricultural total phosphorus, chemical oxygen demand, and GHGs. On the other hand, decreased emissions of industrial SO2 and dust are also expected to happen. Suitable policies need to be made to combat negative effects and amplify positive ones, while aiming at a more sustainable regional freer trade system.展开更多
The Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) monthly rainfall data and the rainfall records observed by 740 rain gauges in the mainland of China are used to analyze similarities and differences of the precipi...The Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) monthly rainfall data and the rainfall records observed by 740 rain gauges in the mainland of China are used to analyze similarities and differences of the precipitation in China in the period from January 1980 to December 2000. Results expose significantly consistent rainfall distributions between the both data in multi-year mean, multi-year seasonal mean, and multi-year monthly mean. Departures of monthly rainfall for each dataset also show a high correlation with an over 0.8 correlation coefficient. Analysis indicates small differences of both datasets during autumn, winter, and spring, but relative large ones in summer. Generally, the GPCP has trend of overestimating the rainfall rate. Based on above good relationship of both datasets, the GPCP data, are used to represent distributions and variations of precipitation in the Tibetan Plateau and Northwest China. Results indicate positive departures of precipitation in summer in the west part of Tibetan Plateau in the 1980s and negative departures after the 1980s. For the west part of Northwest China, analysis illustrates precipitation decreases a little, but no clear variation tendency.展开更多
文摘Inspired by Roger Nelson’s Global Consciousness Project (GCP), the Global Earth Healing Project (GEHP) uses a network of several hundred physical noise generators to amplify the combined intentions of their users in order to infuse positive affirmations into the global consciousness. As mentioned in the original study design, it was intended to use the GCP as a reference for the effectiveness of its activities. The data of the GEHP consisting of 21 events from 2013 to 2020 is analyzed and statistically compared to the data of the GCP. An astonishing synchronicity was observed, which suggests an interaction between the brain states of the observers and the physical noise generators of the GCP.
基金supported jointly by the UK-China Research and Innovation Partnership Fund through the Met Office Climate Science for Service Partnership(CSSP) Chinathe Major Research Plan of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.91637312 and 91437219)
文摘Recent work has shown the dominance of the Himalaya in supporting the Indian summer monsoon (ISM), perhaps by surface sensible heating along its southern slope and by mechanical blocking acting to separate moist tropical flow from drier midlatitnde air. Previous studies have also shown that Indian snmmer rainfall is largely unaffected in sensitivity experiments that remove only the Tibetan Plateau. However, given the large biases in simulating the monsoon in CMIP5 models, such results may be model dependent. This study investigates the impact of orographic forcing from the Tibetan Plateau, Himalaya and Iranian Plateau on the ISM and East Asian snmmer monsoon (EASM) in the UK Met Office's HadGEM3-GA6 and China's Institute of Atmospheric Physics FGOALS-FAMIL global climate models. The models chosen featnre oppositesigned biases in their simulation of the ISM rainfall and circulation climatology. The changes to ISM and EASM circulation across the sensitivity experiments are similar in both models and consistent with previous studies. However, considerable differences exist in the rainfall responses over India and China, and in the detailed aspects such as onset and retreat dates. In particular, the models show opposing changes in Indian monsoon rainfall when the Himalaya and Tibetan Plateau orography are removed. Our results show that a multi-model approach, as suggested in the forthcoming Global Monsoon Model Intercomparison Project (GMMIP) associated with CMIP6, is needed to clarify the impact of orographic forcing on the Asian monsoon and to fully understand the implications of model systematic error.
文摘A research project on interaction between agroecosystems and global change has been accepted as a Category Ⅰ contribution to IGBP-GCTE (International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme-Global Change & Terrestrial Ecosystems) Core Research, the highest-level support GCTE has offered to an individual research project so far. This was confirmed by Prof. Noble, GCTE Chairman, in a letter to Prof. Peng Shaolin, Principal Investigator of
文摘Investigation of the climate change effects on drought is required to develop management strategies for minimizing adverse social and economic impacts.Therefore,studying the future meteorological drought conditions at a local scale is vital.In this study,we assessed the efficiency of seven downscaled Global Climate Models(GCMs)provided by the NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections(NEX-GDDP),and investigated the impacts of climate change on future meteorological drought using Standard Precipitation Index(SPI)in the Karoun River Basin(KRB)of southwestern Iran under two Representative Concentration Pathway(RCP)emission scenarios,i.e.,RCP4.5 and RCP8.5.The results demonstrated that SPI estimated based on the Meteorological Research Institute Coupled Global Climate Model version 3(MRI-CGCM3)is consistent with the one estimated by synoptic stations during the historical period(1990-2005).The root mean square error(RMSE)value is less than 0.75 in 77%of the synoptic stations.GCMs have high uncertainty in most synoptic stations except those located in the plain.Using the average of a few GCMs to improve performance and reduce uncertainty is suggested by the results.The results revealed that with the areas affected by wetness decreasing in the KRB,drought frequency in the North KRB is likely to increase at the end of the 21st century under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios.At the seasonal scale,the decreasing trend for SPI in spring,summer,and winter shows a drought tendency in this region.The climate-induced drought hazard can have vast consequences,especially in agriculture and rural livelihoods.Accordingly,an increasing trend in drought during the growing seasons under RCP scenarios is vital for water managers and farmers to adopt strategies to reduce the damages.The results of this study are of great value for formulating sustainable water resources management plans affected by climate change.
文摘<div style="text-align:justify;"> In this paper, we study the error estimates for direct discontinuous Galerkin methods based on the upwind-biased fluxes. We use a newly global projection to obtain the optimal error estimates. The numerical experiments imply that <em>L</em><sup>2 </sup>norms error estimates can reach to order <em>k</em> + 1 by using time discretization methods. </div>
基金Financial support from the National Science Foundation of China (70333001 and 70021001) is gratefully acknowledged. The paper has benefited from the advice from Prof. Frank van Tongeren in LEI and Prof. Weiming Tian in Chinese Agricultural University on technical and modeling aspects.
文摘With Multi-Fiber Arrangement (MFA) eliminated on Dec 31, 2004, the debates and concerns on the trade of textile and apparel have been growing. The objective of this study is to examine the impacts of alternative policies on China and World economy after canceling MFA. Based on a general equilibrium model of the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP), study shows that China and World will significantly benefit from further trade liberalization. However, if USA, EU and Canada converted to TBT to restrict import, the gains from eliminating MFA would be largely offset. Based on our analysis, some policy implications are discussed.
文摘In the past several years, there has been growing concern on the scarcity of energy resources, the volatility of energy prices, and the impact of energy sector on climate change. In this context, energy-environment models designed for analysis of energy systems have become more important. In this paper, a Computable General Equilibrium Model (CGE) using an energy-environmental version of Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) model (known as GTAP-E) for Vietnam is presented based on the GTAP Data Base version 7. The model is developed following the original structure and the revised version of the GTAP-E model. This model is used to simulate the adoption of carbon tax for Vietnam for the base year of 2004. The economy-level and detailed sector-specific effects are also examined considering energy intensive and non-intensive sectors. Simulation results show the negative influences of different carbon tax scenarios to Vietnam's economy. The results would also indicate the potential of carbon taxation as a driving force for the mitigation of carbon dioxide and for new and renewable energy promotion in Vietnam. In fact, this study is the first simulation exercise of energy-environmental policy for the Vietnamese case.
文摘This study examines the inter-annual variability of rainfall and Mean Sea Level Pressure (</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">M</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">SLP) over west Africa based on analysis of the Global Precipitation</span><span style="font-family:""><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> Climatology Project (GPCP) and National Center for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) Reanalysis respectively. An interconnection is found in this region, between Mean Sea Level Pressure (MSLP) anomaly (over Azores and St. Helena High) and monthly mean precipitation during summer (June to September: JJAS). We also found that over northern Senegal (15</span><span style="white-space:nowrap;font-family:Verdana;">°</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">N</span></span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">-</span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">17</span><span style="white-space:nowrap;font-family:Verdana;">°</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">N;17</span><span style="white-space:nowrap;font-family:Verdana;">°</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">W</span></span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">-</span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">13</span><span style="white-space:nowrap;font-family:Verdana;">°</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">W) the SLP to the north is strong;the wind converges at 200</span></span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">hPa corresponding to the position of the African Easterly Jet (AEJ) the rotational wind 700</span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">hPa (corresponding to the position of the African Easterly Jet (AEJ) coming from the north-east is negative. In this region, the precipitation is related to the SLP to the north with the opposite sign. The Empirical Orthogonal Functions (EOF) of SLP is also presented, including the mean spectrum of precipitation and pressures to the north (15</span><span style="white-space:nowrap;font-family:Verdana;">°</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">N</span></span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">-</span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">40</span><span style="white-space:nowrap;font-family:Verdana;">°</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">N and 50</span><span style="white-space:nowrap;font-family:Verdana;">°</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">W</span></span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">-</span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">25</span><span style="white-space:nowrap;font-family:Verdana;">°</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">W) and south (40</span><span style="white-space:nowrap;font-family:Verdana;">°</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">S</span></span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">-</span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">10</span><span style="white-space:nowrap;font-family:Verdana;">°</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">S and 40</span><span style="white-space:nowrap;font-family:Verdana;">°</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">W</span></span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">-</span><span style="font-family:""> </span><span style="font-family:""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">0</span><span style="white-space:nowrap;font-family:Verdana;">°</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">E). The dominant EOF of Sea Level Pressures north and south of the Atlantic Ocean for GPCP represents about 62.2% and 69.4% of the variance, respectively. The second and third EOFs of the pressure to the north account for 24.0% and 6.5% respectively. The second and third EOFs of the pressure to the south represent 12.5% and 8.9% respectively. Wet years in the north of Senegal were associated with anomalous low-pressure areas over the north Atlantic Ocean as opposed to the dry years which exhibited an anomalous high-pressure area in the same region. On the other hand, over the South Atlantic, an opposition is noted. The wavelet analysis method is applied to the SLP showings to the north, south and precipitation in our study area. The indices prove to be very consistent, especially during intervals of high variance.
文摘The overall planning of Beijing Global Trade Center (GTC) is being carried out by the U.S. designing firm EDAW and the first-phase office building has already been put into use, while the second and third phases are under construction. Guided by the modernity, hi-tech design, a human-oriented approach, and the integration of land-
基金The authors thank the referees for valuable suggestionswhich led to significant improvements in this revised version.This work was supported by the National Science Foundation of USA under Grant DMS1312636by NSF Grant RNMS(Ki-Net)1107291.Huang’s work was supported by National Science Foundation of China under Grant 91430213.
文摘This paper is devoted to the error estimate for the iterative discontinuous Galerkin(IDG)method introduced in[P.Yin,Y.Huang and H.Liu.Commun.Comput.Phys.16:491-515,2014]to the nonlinear Poisson-Boltzmann equation.The total error includes both the iteration error and the discretization error of the direct DG method to linear elliptic equations.For the DDG method,the energy error is obtained by a constructive approach through an explicit global projection satisfying interface conditions dictated by the choice of numerical fluxes.The L^(2) error of order O(h^(m+1))for polynomials of degree m is further recovered.The bounding constant is also shown to be independent of the iteration times.Numerical tests are given to validate the established convergence theory.
文摘Recently, China, Japan, and the Republic of Korea (Korea) are conducting a government-commis- sioned feasibility study on the Free Trade Agreement among the three countries (CJKFTA) to form a regional free trade zone in East Asia. Considering that freer trade can cause unexpected impact on domestic environment, there is a need to evaluate the environmental impact of such a trade policy. This move should be made to help negotiators understand and pay more attention to environ- mental issues during CJKFTA negotiations, and to help lobby with the government to carry out appropriate policy instruments for adaptation or mitigation. Following the Chain Reaction Assessment Method that integrates and links the elements of trade, production, and environment, the present research aims to quantitatively assess CJKFTA's possible impact on China's environment. This is done by estimating the variations of China's major conventional pollutants and greenhouse gases (GHGs) emission in two policy scenarios to represent CJKFTA's scale and composition effects on China's environment. Estimating the variations is based on a static Computable General Equilibrium model, working with Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) 7 database and China's energy- environment statistics. Based on these assessments, CJKFTA is predicted to lead to notable environmental impact, including increased emissions of agricultural total nitrogen, agricultural total phosphorus, chemical oxygen demand, and GHGs. On the other hand, decreased emissions of industrial SO2 and dust are also expected to happen. Suitable policies need to be made to combat negative effects and amplify positive ones, while aiming at a more sustainable regional freer trade system.
基金Supported by Grants of NKBRDPC (No.2004CB418304),NSFC grant of the Joint Research Fund for Overseas Chinese Young Scholars (No.40428006),NSFC (Nos.40175015 and 40375018).
文摘The Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) monthly rainfall data and the rainfall records observed by 740 rain gauges in the mainland of China are used to analyze similarities and differences of the precipitation in China in the period from January 1980 to December 2000. Results expose significantly consistent rainfall distributions between the both data in multi-year mean, multi-year seasonal mean, and multi-year monthly mean. Departures of monthly rainfall for each dataset also show a high correlation with an over 0.8 correlation coefficient. Analysis indicates small differences of both datasets during autumn, winter, and spring, but relative large ones in summer. Generally, the GPCP has trend of overestimating the rainfall rate. Based on above good relationship of both datasets, the GPCP data, are used to represent distributions and variations of precipitation in the Tibetan Plateau and Northwest China. Results indicate positive departures of precipitation in summer in the west part of Tibetan Plateau in the 1980s and negative departures after the 1980s. For the west part of Northwest China, analysis illustrates precipitation decreases a little, but no clear variation tendency.