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A Correlation Analysis of Tourism Based on Gray Theory——A case of Xingwen County
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作者 WEI Ya-li 1,HUI Wei 2,WANG Li-guo 3(1 College of Resources and Environment,Sichuan Agricultural University,Yaan,Sichuan 625014,2Agronomy College,Sichuan Agricultural University,Yaan,Sichuan 625014,3college of land environment science,Jiangxi Agricultural University,Nanchang,Jiangxi 330045) 《四川地质学报》 2009年第S1期133-139,共7页
Tourism industry has already become an important part of national economy,which not only played a positive role in the development of the economy,but promoted the adjustment and optimization of industrial structure.Th... Tourism industry has already become an important part of national economy,which not only played a positive role in the development of the economy,but promoted the adjustment and optimization of industrial structure.The paper analyzes the correlation between the tourism industry and the other industry through changes of the Xingwen County tourism industrial output value in the past seven years.With the Gray Model,the correlation degree among the tourism industry and agriculture,industry,transport,wholesale and retail trade,postal and telecommunications industries is measured.The analysis result indicates that the order of the corresponding correlation degree:catering accommodation is 0.691> wholesale and retail is 0.617 > agriculture is 0.616 > Postal and telecommunications industry is 0.610> Transport is 0.602> Industry is 0.537.In accordance with the actual conditions of the industry in Xingwen,the industrial development policies and measures are put forward,which help the tourism industry Xingwen their rapid,coordinated and highly efficient operation. 展开更多
关键词 TOURISM industry ENTERPRISE Relationship gray RELATIONAL model correlation degree.
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Carbon efficiency evaluation method for urban energy system with multiple energy complementary
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作者 Xianan Jiao Jiekang Wu +1 位作者 Yunshou Mao Mengxuan Yan 《Global Energy Interconnection》 EI CSCD 2024年第2期142-154,共13页
Urban energy systems(UESs)play a pivotal role in the consumption of clean energy and the promotion of energy cascade utilization.In the context of the construction and operation strategy of UESs with multiple compleme... Urban energy systems(UESs)play a pivotal role in the consumption of clean energy and the promotion of energy cascade utilization.In the context of the construction and operation strategy of UESs with multiple complementary energy resources,a comprehensive assessment of the energy efficiency is of paramount importance.First,a multi-dimensional evaluation system with four primary indexes of energy utilization,environmental protection,system operation,and economic efficiency and 21 secondary indexes is constructed to comprehensively portray the UES.Considering that the evaluation system may contain a large number of indexes and that there is overlapping information among them,an energy efficiency evaluation method based on data processing,dimensionality reduction,integration of combined weights,and gray correlation analysis is proposed.This method can effectively reduce the number of calculations and improve the accuracy of energy efficiency assessments.Third,a demonstration project for a UES in China is presented.The energy efficiency of each scenario is assessed using six operational scenarios.The results show that Scenario 5,in which parks operate independently and investors build shared energy-storage equipment,has the best results and is best suited for green and low-carbon development.The results of the comparative assessment methods show that the proposed method provides a good energy efficiency assessment.This study provides a reference for the optimal planning,construction,and operation of UESs with multiple energy sources. 展开更多
关键词 Urban energy systems(UESs) Multiple energy complementary system Carbon efficiency evaluation Data downscaling Subjective and objective weight gray correlation analysis
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矿岩可崩性的可拓聚类预测研究 被引量:10
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作者 邓红卫 周科平 +1 位作者 高峰 陈庆发 《中国安全科学学报》 CAS CSCD 2008年第1期34-39,共6页
将可拓工程方法与聚类分析相结合,以矿岩的可崩性等级和影响因子构造经典域物元和节域物元,应用物元理论和可拓集合中的关联函数,建立了可拓聚类预测的简单物元模型。通过与RQD法,RMR法,MRMR法以及Q系统分级法的矿岩可崩性分级评价结果... 将可拓工程方法与聚类分析相结合,以矿岩的可崩性等级和影响因子构造经典域物元和节域物元,应用物元理论和可拓集合中的关联函数,建立了可拓聚类预测的简单物元模型。通过与RQD法,RMR法,MRMR法以及Q系统分级法的矿岩可崩性分级评价结果相比较,可拓聚类预测方法所获得的结果与其他评价方法的结果具有一致性,说明该方法的可行性。可拓聚类预测结果具有不仅反映事物从属级别的绝对性,而且还能反映其相对性的优点。 展开更多
关键词 可崩性 可拓聚类预测 物元模型 关联函数 权重 关联度
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基于灰色关联度的组合优化模型研究 被引量:25
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作者 张和平 解晓龙 《统计与决策》 CSSCI 北大核心 2019年第9期19-23,共5页
灰色系统理论在处理"小样本、贫信息"不确定性系统方面取得了广泛应用。为进一步提高GM(1,1)模型的预测精度,文章基于数据维度、初始值及原始数据三个影响因素角度构建了等维信息GM(1,1)模型、初始改进GM(1,1)模型和拟合模型... 灰色系统理论在处理"小样本、贫信息"不确定性系统方面取得了广泛应用。为进一步提高GM(1,1)模型的预测精度,文章基于数据维度、初始值及原始数据三个影响因素角度构建了等维信息GM(1,1)模型、初始改进GM(1,1)模型和拟合模型,运用灰色关联分析对三个模型的权重进行设置,在此基础上形成基于灰色关联度分析的组合预测模型,最后将该模型应用到江西省GDP预测研究中。结果表明,灰色关联度分析的赋权方法是科学有效的,在不同时期组合优化使用不同的模型有助于整体上的预测精度提高。 展开更多
关键词 灰色关联度 赋权 组合优化 GDP预测
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基于熵权法的新疆阿尔泰成矿区金矿床定位预测研究 被引量:2
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作者 张明超 申维 +2 位作者 崔静 陈辉 刘向冲 《高校地质学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2011年第4期521-530,共10页
本文通过结合信息熵和灰色关联度来分析地质变量和矿床单元之间的关系,以达到圈定成矿靶区的目的。在地质、物探、化探、重砂等资料研究的基础上提取了87个综合信息地质变量。在综合信息矿产预测理论与方法的指导下,将研究区域划分为16... 本文通过结合信息熵和灰色关联度来分析地质变量和矿床单元之间的关系,以达到圈定成矿靶区的目的。在地质、物探、化探、重砂等资料研究的基础上提取了87个综合信息地质变量。在综合信息矿产预测理论与方法的指导下,将研究区域划分为16个金矿床密集单元和14个金异常密集区为单元,引入熵权法对定性变量和定量变量分别计算信息熵和变量权值,然后采用灰色关联分析法来定量解析单元之间的关联程度。结果表明:重力梯度、航磁、重磁吻合以及汇水盆地异常等地质变量可以作为研究区域寻找金矿的有效地质标志,6号、22号、18号和19号等单元可以作为一级远景成矿靶区,这与很多相关研究结果基本一致,从而表明该方法能被有效应用于圈定找矿靶区。 展开更多
关键词 熵权法 灰色关联度 定位预测 金矿床
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基于品牌手机未来销量预测 被引量:4
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作者 陈红周 刘碧玉 李学全 《数学理论与应用》 2009年第3期121-124,共4页
本文是用灰色预测GM(1,1)模型,探讨了手机销售总数量动态变化,为手机生产提供参考。同时用灰色关联度,来计算总销售量对需要预测的品牌影响,以关联度作为权重,来预测目标品牌。结果表明,对手机销售数量的历史趋势拟合程度较高,所以用此... 本文是用灰色预测GM(1,1)模型,探讨了手机销售总数量动态变化,为手机生产提供参考。同时用灰色关联度,来计算总销售量对需要预测的品牌影响,以关联度作为权重,来预测目标品牌。结果表明,对手机销售数量的历史趋势拟合程度较高,所以用此预测模型预测,具有一定的参考价值。 展开更多
关键词 灰色预测 灰色关联度 权重
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基于灰色模型与灰色关联度对品牌手机未来销量预测 被引量:2
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作者 郑思平 肖人岳 《科学技术与工程》 2009年第20期6197-6199,共3页
本文是用灰色预测GM(1,1)[4]模型,探讨了手机销售总数量动态变化,为手机生产提供参考。同时,用灰色关联度,来计算总销售量对需要预测的品牌影响,以关联度作为权重,来预测目标品牌。结果表明,对手机销售数量的历史趋势拟合程度较高,所以... 本文是用灰色预测GM(1,1)[4]模型,探讨了手机销售总数量动态变化,为手机生产提供参考。同时,用灰色关联度,来计算总销售量对需要预测的品牌影响,以关联度作为权重,来预测目标品牌。结果表明,对手机销售数量的历史趋势拟合程度较高,所以用此预测模型预测,具有一定的参考价值。 展开更多
关键词 灰色预测 灰色关联度 权重
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基于灰色关联度的变权组合模型的齿轮箱温度故障预测 被引量:10
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作者 梁涛 杨改文 +1 位作者 董玉兰 姜文 《太阳能学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2020年第12期199-207,共9页
面向单一预测模型的局限性,基于灰色关联度理论提出变权组合预测模型进行齿轮箱温度预测。首先,对齿轮箱温度相关因素进行降维处理;其次,选择4个单一模型组成变权组合模型以预测齿轮箱温度,变权组合模型通过灰色关联度动态剔除某一模型... 面向单一预测模型的局限性,基于灰色关联度理论提出变权组合预测模型进行齿轮箱温度预测。首先,对齿轮箱温度相关因素进行降维处理;其次,选择4个单一模型组成变权组合模型以预测齿轮箱温度,变权组合模型通过灰色关联度动态剔除某一模型并动态更新其余模型权值。为降低偶然因素造成的误差,最后采用大滑动窗口法处理齿轮箱温度预测残差并进行故障预测。数据分析和仿真结果表明,变权组合预测模型在齿轮箱温度预测中具有更高的精度。 展开更多
关键词 齿轮箱温度 故障预测 灰色关联度 变权组合 大滑动窗口 风力发电机组
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基于长短记忆神经网络优化的短期光伏发电预测方法 被引量:11
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作者 孟巍 郭腾炫 +2 位作者 刘昳娟 张东宁 宗振国 《电网与清洁能源》 北大核心 2022年第5期129-134,共6页
针对现阶段光伏发电输出功率不稳定和发电预测模型实施难度较大的问题,对基于长短记忆神经网络优化的短期光伏发电预测方法进行研究。通过分析神经网络分布特点,在数据优化模型中代入初始数据,不断迭代计算目标权重,引入自循环乘积法获... 针对现阶段光伏发电输出功率不稳定和发电预测模型实施难度较大的问题,对基于长短记忆神经网络优化的短期光伏发电预测方法进行研究。通过分析神经网络分布特点,在数据优化模型中代入初始数据,不断迭代计算目标权重,引入自循环乘积法获取模型的最佳优化函数;通过待预测数据之间的类间距计算可分性,将数据划分为对比序列和参考序列,分析参考序列内每个单位时刻下数据的类簇关联度,根据关联度量化值提取下一时刻的数据权重,完成短期光伏发电数据的预测。仿真实验表明,所提方法的预测精度高,该模型结构直观、易实施,对数据包容性强,可以高效实现对发电数据的预测。 展开更多
关键词 目标权重 自循环乘积法 优化函数 类簇关联度 量化预测
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基于主成分物元可拓模型的岩爆倾向性预测 被引量:1
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作者 李晋 周宗红 丁文俊 《化工矿物与加工》 CAS 2022年第5期7-12,共6页
岩爆会对井下工作人员和设备造成严重的伤害和破坏,开展岩爆倾向性预测研究具有重要的现实意义。以岩爆倾向性预测为目标,综合考虑岩爆的影响因素,从岩性、应力、围岩3个角度选取12个影响因素作为评价指标,采用主成分分析法和物元可拓... 岩爆会对井下工作人员和设备造成严重的伤害和破坏,开展岩爆倾向性预测研究具有重要的现实意义。以岩爆倾向性预测为目标,综合考虑岩爆的影响因素,从岩性、应力、围岩3个角度选取12个影响因素作为评价指标,采用主成分分析法和物元可拓模型建立新的预测模型即主成分物元可拓模型,选取国内7个典型工程实例,运用主成分物元可拓模型进行岩爆倾向性等级预测,将预测结果与实际情况进行对比,发现预测结果与实际情况基本吻合,准确率达到了85.71%。以白鹤滩水电站地下厂房为工程实例,对该预测模型的精度作进一步检验,结果表明,该水电站地下厂房的岩爆倾向性等级为Ⅱ级,属于弱岩爆,预测结果与实际情况吻合。 展开更多
关键词 岩爆预测 岩爆倾向性 物元可拓模型 主成分分析 最优权重 关联度
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Nutrients Determination in Nuts from Different Torreya grandis Cultivars 被引量:1
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作者 Yongqing CAO Huadong REN +1 位作者 Xiaohua YAO Kailiang WANG 《Agricultural Biotechnology》 CAS 2020年第4期23-25,40,共4页
[Objectives]This study aimed to investigate the differences in nutritional properties of nuts from different Torreya grandis cultivars.[Methods]Seven T.grandis cultivars were selected to analyze the protein,soluble ca... [Objectives]This study aimed to investigate the differences in nutritional properties of nuts from different Torreya grandis cultivars.[Methods]Seven T.grandis cultivars were selected to analyze the protein,soluble carbohydrate,vitamin E,amino acids and fatty acid composition,and evaluate nutritional value of T.grandis nuts from different cultivars using gray correlation analysis.[Results]The kernels of T.grandis contained 9.47%-13.3% protein,1.92%-2.36% soluble carbohydrate,0.16-0.22 mg/g vitamin E,8.40%-11.55% amino acids,and 42.09%-49.29% fatty acid including 35.14%-40.14% oleic acid.And the coefficient of variation ranged from 5.02% to 18.9% among different cultivars.Meanwhile,the average contents of essential amino acids(E),nonessential amino acids(N)and children essential amino acids(C)were 3.88%,6.07% and 0.99%,respectively.The ratios of E/T and E/N were quite stable and in fully compliance with the recommendation standards of amino acids composition from WHO/FAO.[Conclusions]Overall,the nutritional value of tested seven cultivars could be ranked in the following decreasing order using gray correlation analysis:T.grandis cv.Dong No.2>T.grandis cv.Longfeng>T.grandis cv.Dingshan>T.grandis cv.Merrilli>T.grandis cv.Dong No.3>T.grandis cv.Dong No.1>T.grandis cv.Zhuyan. 展开更多
关键词 Torreya grandis NUTRIENTS CULTIVAR gray correlation degree
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Impact of demographic dynamics on CO_2 emissions in Sichuan,China
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作者 Yong Chen Wei Yang Xuemei Long 《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》 2014年第1期13-23,共11页
Global climate change is one of the major environmental issues faced by humans.Existing evidence indicates that the anthropogenic push for a rise in the atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gases(GHGs)(particularly... Global climate change is one of the major environmental issues faced by humans.Existing evidence indicates that the anthropogenic push for a rise in the atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gases(GHGs)(particularly CO_2) has been a primary cause for global warming.Aside from economic and teclinological factors,demographic dynamics(including human consumption in a broad demographic sense) has been a major driver for CO_2 emissions.In this paper,we performed both nonlinear regression analysis(based on the STIRPAT model) and gray correlation degree analysis(based on gray system theory) on the impact of demographic dynamics on CO_2 emissions.Our results reveal that CO_2 emissions are positively correlated with population size and GDP per capita and negatively correlated with energy intensity.We also show that gray con-elation degree with CO_2 emissions for five variables(i.e.,household consumption,urbanization rate,household size,population aging rate,population size) varies substantially:household consumption > urbanization rate >household size > population aging rate > population size,with household consumption being the highest,and population size the lowest.To mitigate the impact of demographic dynamics on CO_2 emissions,it is of vital significance to nurture people's awareness of sustainable consumption and to adhere to current population control policies. 展开更多
关键词 demographic dynamics CO_2 emissions gray slope correlation degree SICHUAN China
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多源数据挖掘的大学生心理危机预测研究 被引量:1
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作者 郭映彤 《信息技术》 2022年第10期113-117,123,共6页
结合大学生心理数据的多源化特征,以提升大学生心理危机预测效果,提出多源数据挖掘的大学生心理危机预测方法。采用组合赋权方法得到多源大学生心理数据权重,并根据权重进行多源数据融合,将融合后的多源大学生心理数据作隐马尔科夫模型... 结合大学生心理数据的多源化特征,以提升大学生心理危机预测效果,提出多源数据挖掘的大学生心理危机预测方法。采用组合赋权方法得到多源大学生心理数据权重,并根据权重进行多源数据融合,将融合后的多源大学生心理数据作隐马尔科夫模型输入,经过训练与优化后,构建大学生心理危机预测模型。实验结果表明:该方法多源数据挖掘能力较强,大学生心理危机预测精度较高,平均响应时间较短。 展开更多
关键词 多源数据挖掘 心理危机预测 隐马尔科夫 权重关联度 转移概率
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Car Sales Service 4s Shop Incentives and Related Competitions
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作者 Xie siqi Chong yangjing Sun wenyuan 《数学计算(中英文版)》 2016年第1期15-20,共6页
In order to improve the car sales service 4S shop management level,improve the economic and social benefits of enterprises,incentives are used to encourage their own 4s shops.In this paper,throughout the related analy... In order to improve the car sales service 4S shop management level,improve the economic and social benefits of enterprises,incentives are used to encourage their own 4s shops.In this paper,throughout the related analysis of the quarterly and annual awards incentive program in large-scale domestic automobile enterprises,entropy method with MATLAB software is applied to establish the dimensional fit function.In the data processing,the multiple linear regression function into Lingo software is employed to get the best solution;and C language is used to run the screening data program through the consistency test program in the sensitivity and error analysis.First of all,consider the company to maximize profits and maximize the amount of complaints in the store to maintain a low target;in terms of staff,we should consider providing more incentives for employees;in the customer,the overall satisfaction,service Attitude,vehicle cleanliness based should be improved.And two programs for the monthly profit and excess profits of progressive incentives should also be improved. 展开更多
关键词 Entropy weight Method RELATED INDICATORS gray prediction INCENTIVE Policy
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Development cost prediction of general aviation aircraft projects with parametric modeling 被引量:4
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作者 Xiaonan CHEN Jun HUANG Mingxu YI 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2019年第6期1465-1471,共7页
The study of the development cost of general aviation aircraft is limited by small samples with many cost-driven factors. This paper investigates a parametric modeling method for prediction of the development cost of ... The study of the development cost of general aviation aircraft is limited by small samples with many cost-driven factors. This paper investigates a parametric modeling method for prediction of the development cost of general aviation aircraft. The proposed technique depends on some principal components, acquired by utilizing P value analysis and gray correlation analysis. According to these principal components, the corresponding linear regression and BP neural network models are established respectively. The feasibility and accuracy of the P value analysis are verified by comparing results of model fitting and prediction. A sensitivity analysis related to model precision and suitability is discussed in detail. Results obtained in this study show that the proposed method not only has a certain degree of versatility, but also provides a preliminary prediction of the development cost of general aviation aircraft. 展开更多
关键词 BP neural network DEVELOPMENT cost General AVIATION AIRCRAFT gray correlation ANALYSIS Linear regression P value ANALYSIS Parametric modeling Preliminary prediction Sensitivity ANALYSIS
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Dynamic Evaluation and Analysis of Regional Innovation Capability in Eastern China from the Perspective of High-quality Development 被引量:2
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作者 Linming XU Jincheng LU +1 位作者 Meijuan LI Lerong HE 《Journal of Systems Science and Information》 CSCD 2021年第6期608-626,共19页
The economy of China has turned to the stage of high-quality development. In this sense,the connotation of regional innovation capacity should reflect more aspects, such as better economic effectiveness, people-center... The economy of China has turned to the stage of high-quality development. In this sense,the connotation of regional innovation capacity should reflect more aspects, such as better economic effectiveness, people-centered philosophy of development and better living conditions. This study aims at establishing the evaluation index system of regional innovation capacity under high-quality perspective.Then the dynamic evaluation method based on gray correlation degree and TOPSIS is improved. And the improved method is applied to evaluate the regional innovation capacity under high-quality development perspective. The results show that: 1) The regional innovation capacity of Jiangsu, Zhejiang,Shanghai and Guangdong under high-quality development perspective is better than other regions,while the regional innovation capacity of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei is imbalanced. Regional innovation capability of Fujian, Shandong, and Hainan from a high-quality perspective is at the middle and lower levels. 2) From the perspective of development trends, the gap of regional innovation capacity between Beijing, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shanghai, Guangdong and Fujian, Hebei, Shandong is gradually narrowing.3) An in-depth analysis of the regional innovation capability of the eastern provinces and cities from the perspective of high-quality development through different dimensions shows that Beijing, Guangdong, Jiangsu perform well in all dimensions, while Fujian and Hainan need to pay more attention to innovation input and the creation of a better innovation environment to enhance innovation output and promote innovation effectiveness. At last, based on above analysis, relevant policy recommendations are proposed. 展开更多
关键词 regional innovation capability high-quality development TOPSIS gray correlation degree dynamic evaluation method
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