Three methods of extracting the information of anomalies of a precursory group are put forward, i.e., the mathematical analyses of the synthetic information of earthquake precursors (S), the inhomogeneous degree of pr...Three methods of extracting the information of anomalies of a precursory group are put forward, i.e., the mathematical analyses of the synthetic information of earthquake precursors (S), the inhomogeneous degree of precursory groups (ID) and the values of short-term and impending anomaly in near-source area (NS). Using these methods, we calculate the observational data of deformation, underground fluid and hydrochemical constituents obtained from different seismic stations in the Sichuan-Yunnan region and conclude that the synthetic precursory anomalies of a single strong earthquake with M S6.0 differ greatly from those of the grouped strong earthquakes, for the anomalous information of precursory groups are more abundant. The three methods of extracting the synthetic precursory anomaly and the related numerical results can be applied into the practice of prediction to the grouped strong earthquakes in the Sichuan-Yunnan region. Inhomogeneous degree (ID) of synthetic precursory anomaly can be identified automatically because it takes the threshold of distributive characteristics of the anomalies of precursory group as its criterion for anomaly.展开更多
Based on the analyses of grouped activity features of deep-focus (M≥6.0) and shallow-focus (M S≥5.0) earthquakes in the Northeast China region, the time-space correlation between deep focus “strong earthquake group...Based on the analyses of grouped activity features of deep-focus (M≥6.0) and shallow-focus (M S≥5.0) earthquakes in the Northeast China region, the time-space correlation between deep focus “strong earthquake group" and shallow focus “strong earthquake group" have been studied. The study was mainly on the characteristics of earthquake distribution on the collision zone between the west Pacific plate and the Eurasian plate and on its relations to the morphological feature of the western Pacific subduction zone. Moreover, emphasis was laid on analysis of the effect of the west Pacific plate on the seismicity of Eurasian plate. It is shown that in the region where the west Pacific plate subducts at low angles, the seismicity on the plate collision zone is strong, the effect of plate subduction on Eurasian continent is strong too, and the subduction zone is under a state of high compressional stress. However, in the region where the west Pacific plate subducts at high angles, the seismicity along the plate collision zone is weak, the effect of plate subduction on Eurasian continent is weak too, and the tensile stress produced by the subduction zone at depth is enhanced. We therefore propose that the seismicity in the northeast China region will enter an active period of shallow “strong earthquake group" in the future 10 years. In the period, six earthquakes of M S≥5.0 may occur. Therefore, the work of earthquake monitoring and prediction in this region shall be strengthened.展开更多
文摘Three methods of extracting the information of anomalies of a precursory group are put forward, i.e., the mathematical analyses of the synthetic information of earthquake precursors (S), the inhomogeneous degree of precursory groups (ID) and the values of short-term and impending anomaly in near-source area (NS). Using these methods, we calculate the observational data of deformation, underground fluid and hydrochemical constituents obtained from different seismic stations in the Sichuan-Yunnan region and conclude that the synthetic precursory anomalies of a single strong earthquake with M S6.0 differ greatly from those of the grouped strong earthquakes, for the anomalous information of precursory groups are more abundant. The three methods of extracting the synthetic precursory anomaly and the related numerical results can be applied into the practice of prediction to the grouped strong earthquakes in the Sichuan-Yunnan region. Inhomogeneous degree (ID) of synthetic precursory anomaly can be identified automatically because it takes the threshold of distributive characteristics of the anomalies of precursory group as its criterion for anomaly.
文摘Based on the analyses of grouped activity features of deep-focus (M≥6.0) and shallow-focus (M S≥5.0) earthquakes in the Northeast China region, the time-space correlation between deep focus “strong earthquake group" and shallow focus “strong earthquake group" have been studied. The study was mainly on the characteristics of earthquake distribution on the collision zone between the west Pacific plate and the Eurasian plate and on its relations to the morphological feature of the western Pacific subduction zone. Moreover, emphasis was laid on analysis of the effect of the west Pacific plate on the seismicity of Eurasian plate. It is shown that in the region where the west Pacific plate subducts at low angles, the seismicity on the plate collision zone is strong, the effect of plate subduction on Eurasian continent is strong too, and the subduction zone is under a state of high compressional stress. However, in the region where the west Pacific plate subducts at high angles, the seismicity along the plate collision zone is weak, the effect of plate subduction on Eurasian continent is weak too, and the tensile stress produced by the subduction zone at depth is enhanced. We therefore propose that the seismicity in the northeast China region will enter an active period of shallow “strong earthquake group" in the future 10 years. In the period, six earthquakes of M S≥5.0 may occur. Therefore, the work of earthquake monitoring and prediction in this region shall be strengthened.
