Floating population plays an important role in the development of cities,regions,and countries.The economic growth path with Guangdong characteristics is inseparable from the support of highly educated groups.Studying...Floating population plays an important role in the development of cities,regions,and countries.The economic growth path with Guangdong characteristics is inseparable from the support of highly educated groups.Studying the long-term residence intention of the highly educated floating population is helpful for the city to attract and retain talents.From the perspective of social integration,using CMDS 2017 data and taking Guangdong Province for example,this paper studies the influencing factors of long-term residence intention through SPSS logistic regression,taking intra-provincial and inter-provincial floating population with a bachelor’s degree or above as sample.The main conclusions are:(1)Marital and childbearing status is the primitive influencing factor of long-term residence intention among intra-provincial and inter-provincial floating population.Samples with high income,under social insurance system,being female and having non-agricultural hukou,are tend to prefer long-term residence.Samples who connect with the locals and participate in social public welfare are more likely to stay.(2)Personal age and city livability have a significant positive impact on the long-term residence intention of the inter-provincial highly educated floating population,but agricultural hukou and self-employed laborer status will weaken the long-term residence intention of this group.(3)Participation in townsmen/alumni association has a positive effect on the long-term residence intention of the intra-provincial highly educated floating population,and connection with outlanders also promotes the long-term residence intention of this group.(4)The long-term residence intention of inter-provincial highly educated floating population is usually based on reality,therefore they pay more attention to the development,changes,and livability of the destination city.However,the long-term residence intention of intra-provincial highly educated floating population is usually based on perception,so they pay more attention to whether they like the city.Compared with intra-provincial flows,inter-provincial flows have higher economic and emotional migration costs,more institutional barriers,and more life adaptation problems.Therefore,the government should introduce targeted measures to promote social integration and improve long-term residence intention.展开更多
By studying the county-level census data of 1990 and 2000, we analyzed the spatial and temporal changes in the floating population in China between 1990 and 2000. The results of the analysis revealed the following cha...By studying the county-level census data of 1990 and 2000, we analyzed the spatial and temporal changes in the floating population in China between 1990 and 2000. The results of the analysis revealed the following characteris- tics. First, the spatial distribution of the migrants (referred to as 'floaters' in this paper) became increasingly concentrated in the cities during the 1990s. Second, the number of floaters increased rapidly during this period, and the area in which the floaters settled expanded quickly into four population explosion belts: the coast, the Changjiang River Delta, the Beijing-Guangzhou Railway and national border belts. Third, the number of inter-province floaters increased rapidly and exceeded that of intra-province floaters in the 1990s. In addition, to obtain a quantitative relationship between the number of floaters and 10 socio-economic variables by using statistical methods and also to find the chiefly important pulling factors of the migration destination, the authors selected approximately 100 cities with the largest population of floaters. Consequently, we found that four factors-GDP, passenger trips per 10,000 persons, per capita GDP and foreign direct investment-could provide an explanation for 83.7% of the number of floaters in 2000. The GDP showed the highest correlation with the number of floaters, suggesting that a highly developed economy is the most important factor that attracts floaters. Furthermore, a fairly close relationship between the number of floaters and the GDP was also found in 2000 for all the counties.展开更多
This paper draws on information provided by China’s 2020 National Population Cen-sus and several previous censuses to review briefly the changing trends of internal migration and urbanization in China.An examination ...This paper draws on information provided by China’s 2020 National Population Cen-sus and several previous censuses to review briefly the changing trends of internal migration and urbanization in China.An examination of data from the recent census reveals several characteristics of migration:population movements are more active than ever,there has been dramatic growth in urban-to-urban migration,and there has been explosive growth in the number of mismatches between people’s place of residence and place of household registration.Census data also reveals the impact migration is having on urban population trends:China has entered a more mature stage of urbanization;movement of the floating population becomes the leading fac-tor in urban population growth.From a policy point of view,this paper also sug-gests that China’s urbanization strategy should consider the diversity of migrants;and promoting the effective supply of public service based on place of residence is urgently needed.展开更多
China has witnessed unprecedented urbanization over the past decades. The rapid expansion of urban population has been dominantly contributed by the floating population from rural areas, of which the spatiotemporal pa...China has witnessed unprecedented urbanization over the past decades. The rapid expansion of urban population has been dominantly contributed by the floating population from rural areas, of which the spatiotemporal patterns, driving forces, and multidimensional effects are scrutinized and evaluated in this study by using the latest national censuses conducted in 2000 and 2010. Analysis based on the county-level data comes to conclusions as follows. The spatial pattern of floating population has remained stable over the first decade of the new century. The top 1% cities with the largest floating population received 45.5% of all migrants in China. As the rapid development of mega-city regions, the coastal concentration areas of floating population tended to geographically united as a whole, whereas the spatial distribution of migrants within each region varied significantly. The migrant concentration area in the Yangtze River Delta was the largest and its expansion was also the most salient. However, the floating population has growingly moved into provincial capitals and other big cities in the inland regions and its gravity center has moved northward for around 110 km during the study period. The spatial pattern of floating population has been formed jointly by the state and market forces in transitional China and the impacts of state forces have been surpassed by those of market forces in the country as a whole. The attractiveness of coastal cities and counties to the floating population comes mainly from the nonagricultural employment opportunities and public services, reflecting that long-distance and long-term migrants have moved coastward not only to gain employment but also to enjoy city life. By contrast, in the central and western regions, places with a higher economic development level and at a higher administrative level are more attractive to floating populations, demonstrating that the state remains to play an important role in allocating economic resources and promoting regional development in inland China. As the main body of new urban residents, the floating population has contributed substantially to the elevation of the urbanization levels of migrant-sending and -receiving places, by 20.0% and 49.5% respectively. Compared with ex- tensively investigated interprovincial migrants, intra-provincial migrants have higher intention and ability to permanently live in cities and thus might become the main force of China＇s urbanization in the coming decades. The internal migration has also reshaped China＇s urban system in terms of its hierarchical organization and spatial structure.展开更多
This research examines the shifts in age profiles among migrants in China,utilizing microdata derived from four national censuses and two 1%population sample surveys conducted since 1990.Our findings indicate:(1)there...This research examines the shifts in age profiles among migrants in China,utilizing microdata derived from four national censuses and two 1%population sample surveys conducted since 1990.Our findings indicate:(1)there has been a surge in age-specific migration intensity across all age groups over the past two decades;(2)the age profiles of the flow floating population differ from both the entire and the residual migrant populations;and(3)the age profiles of China’s flow floating population exhibit a blend of Asian and Western patterns-a prevalence among individuals in their early 20s,typical of Asian patterns,and a broad range of ages post-peak,indicative of Western patterns.Consequently,we propose that future population projections prioritize the flow floating population over the traditionally employed entire floating population.Furthermore,recognizing heterogeneity is critical for accurately understanding migrants in China,necessitating a comprehensive migration policy that safeguards the rights and welfare of these individuals.展开更多
文摘Floating population plays an important role in the development of cities,regions,and countries.The economic growth path with Guangdong characteristics is inseparable from the support of highly educated groups.Studying the long-term residence intention of the highly educated floating population is helpful for the city to attract and retain talents.From the perspective of social integration,using CMDS 2017 data and taking Guangdong Province for example,this paper studies the influencing factors of long-term residence intention through SPSS logistic regression,taking intra-provincial and inter-provincial floating population with a bachelor’s degree or above as sample.The main conclusions are:(1)Marital and childbearing status is the primitive influencing factor of long-term residence intention among intra-provincial and inter-provincial floating population.Samples with high income,under social insurance system,being female and having non-agricultural hukou,are tend to prefer long-term residence.Samples who connect with the locals and participate in social public welfare are more likely to stay.(2)Personal age and city livability have a significant positive impact on the long-term residence intention of the inter-provincial highly educated floating population,but agricultural hukou and self-employed laborer status will weaken the long-term residence intention of this group.(3)Participation in townsmen/alumni association has a positive effect on the long-term residence intention of the intra-provincial highly educated floating population,and connection with outlanders also promotes the long-term residence intention of this group.(4)The long-term residence intention of inter-provincial highly educated floating population is usually based on reality,therefore they pay more attention to the development,changes,and livability of the destination city.However,the long-term residence intention of intra-provincial highly educated floating population is usually based on perception,so they pay more attention to whether they like the city.Compared with intra-provincial flows,inter-provincial flows have higher economic and emotional migration costs,more institutional barriers,and more life adaptation problems.Therefore,the government should introduce targeted measures to promote social integration and improve long-term residence intention.
基金Under the auspices of the Domestic Research Fellowship of the Japan Foundation of Public Communication on Scienceand Technology (No. H-3)
文摘By studying the county-level census data of 1990 and 2000, we analyzed the spatial and temporal changes in the floating population in China between 1990 and 2000. The results of the analysis revealed the following characteris- tics. First, the spatial distribution of the migrants (referred to as 'floaters' in this paper) became increasingly concentrated in the cities during the 1990s. Second, the number of floaters increased rapidly during this period, and the area in which the floaters settled expanded quickly into four population explosion belts: the coast, the Changjiang River Delta, the Beijing-Guangzhou Railway and national border belts. Third, the number of inter-province floaters increased rapidly and exceeded that of intra-province floaters in the 1990s. In addition, to obtain a quantitative relationship between the number of floaters and 10 socio-economic variables by using statistical methods and also to find the chiefly important pulling factors of the migration destination, the authors selected approximately 100 cities with the largest population of floaters. Consequently, we found that four factors-GDP, passenger trips per 10,000 persons, per capita GDP and foreign direct investment-could provide an explanation for 83.7% of the number of floaters in 2000. The GDP showed the highest correlation with the number of floaters, suggesting that a highly developed economy is the most important factor that attracts floaters. Furthermore, a fairly close relationship between the number of floaters and the GDP was also found in 2000 for all the counties.
基金supported by Tianjin’s Philosophy and Social Science Planning Foundation(Grant no.TJSRQN19XSX-005).
文摘This paper draws on information provided by China’s 2020 National Population Cen-sus and several previous censuses to review briefly the changing trends of internal migration and urbanization in China.An examination of data from the recent census reveals several characteristics of migration:population movements are more active than ever,there has been dramatic growth in urban-to-urban migration,and there has been explosive growth in the number of mismatches between people’s place of residence and place of household registration.Census data also reveals the impact migration is having on urban population trends:China has entered a more mature stage of urbanization;movement of the floating population becomes the leading fac-tor in urban population growth.From a policy point of view,this paper also sug-gests that China’s urbanization strategy should consider the diversity of migrants;and promoting the effective supply of public service based on place of residence is urgently needed.
基金The New Teachers＇ Scientific Research Program funded by Beijing Forestry University, No.BLX2013028 National Natural Science Foundation of China, No.41371166
文摘China has witnessed unprecedented urbanization over the past decades. The rapid expansion of urban population has been dominantly contributed by the floating population from rural areas, of which the spatiotemporal patterns, driving forces, and multidimensional effects are scrutinized and evaluated in this study by using the latest national censuses conducted in 2000 and 2010. Analysis based on the county-level data comes to conclusions as follows. The spatial pattern of floating population has remained stable over the first decade of the new century. The top 1% cities with the largest floating population received 45.5% of all migrants in China. As the rapid development of mega-city regions, the coastal concentration areas of floating population tended to geographically united as a whole, whereas the spatial distribution of migrants within each region varied significantly. The migrant concentration area in the Yangtze River Delta was the largest and its expansion was also the most salient. However, the floating population has growingly moved into provincial capitals and other big cities in the inland regions and its gravity center has moved northward for around 110 km during the study period. The spatial pattern of floating population has been formed jointly by the state and market forces in transitional China and the impacts of state forces have been surpassed by those of market forces in the country as a whole. The attractiveness of coastal cities and counties to the floating population comes mainly from the nonagricultural employment opportunities and public services, reflecting that long-distance and long-term migrants have moved coastward not only to gain employment but also to enjoy city life. By contrast, in the central and western regions, places with a higher economic development level and at a higher administrative level are more attractive to floating populations, demonstrating that the state remains to play an important role in allocating economic resources and promoting regional development in inland China. As the main body of new urban residents, the floating population has contributed substantially to the elevation of the urbanization levels of migrant-sending and -receiving places, by 20.0% and 49.5% respectively. Compared with ex- tensively investigated interprovincial migrants, intra-provincial migrants have higher intention and ability to permanently live in cities and thus might become the main force of China＇s urbanization in the coming decades. The internal migration has also reshaped China＇s urban system in terms of its hierarchical organization and spatial structure.
基金Funding was provided by National Planning Office of Philosophy and Social Science(Grant no.19BRK039).
文摘This research examines the shifts in age profiles among migrants in China,utilizing microdata derived from four national censuses and two 1%population sample surveys conducted since 1990.Our findings indicate:(1)there has been a surge in age-specific migration intensity across all age groups over the past two decades;(2)the age profiles of the flow floating population differ from both the entire and the residual migrant populations;and(3)the age profiles of China’s flow floating population exhibit a blend of Asian and Western patterns-a prevalence among individuals in their early 20s,typical of Asian patterns,and a broad range of ages post-peak,indicative of Western patterns.Consequently,we propose that future population projections prioritize the flow floating population over the traditionally employed entire floating population.Furthermore,recognizing heterogeneity is critical for accurately understanding migrants in China,necessitating a comprehensive migration policy that safeguards the rights and welfare of these individuals.
