Study on the Features and Risk Assessment of Drought in Guilin

Based on the precipitation data of all counties in Guilin from 1957 to 2010, the analysis has been made on the features of spatial and temporal distribution, the probability of occurrence and the periodic change of drought in Guilin. Afterwards, by using the method of disaster risk assessment, the disaster-causing factors, breed disasters environment and fragility of hazard-bearing body of Guilin drought have been analyzed, and the comprehensive evaluation on drought disaster has been made. The results show that above medium drought in Guilin mainly appeared in au- tumn, followed by winter, while Guilin only suffered from slight drought in spring; the principal period of drought occurrence in Guilin was six years, while its secondary period was two years; on the whole, drought risk was high in the southeast and low in the northwest.

桂林干旱风险评估及人工增雨抗旱研究

利用灾害风险评估方法,对桂林干旱的致灾因子和承灾体脆弱性进行分析,对干旱灾害风险进行综合评估。评估结果是桂林东南为全市干旱高风险区,西北为干旱低风险区。根据干旱发生情况及风险评估结论,对人工增雨作业方式进行研究。由于不同季节降水云系的云体负温区的高度和厚度差异,作业方式可分为夏秋季节和冬春季节两种,总的目标是要将AgI成冰核播撒到云体内的负温区,才能达到对云体催化,增加地面降水的目的。

广西桂林人工增雨抗旱作业方案设计

为切实发挥人工增雨在抗旱工作中的作用,保证人工增雨作业能发挥最大效益,对桂林市多年来的人工增雨作业方式、作业效果进行了分析;分别对各季节、各作业云系的作业记录进行了归类;对成功和失败的作业方式进行了总结。参考国内其他比较成功的人工增雨作业经验,分别提出了适合桂林地区不同季节的人工增雨作业方案。