Ancient Zhenyuan, Gateway to East Guizhou

This ancient city has a history going back over 2,000 years.It has witnessed the fusion of multiple ethnic cultures including the Miao,Dong,and Han,and hosts a number of cultural heritage sites.THE old town of Zhenyuan is located in Zhenyuan County,Qiandongnan Miao and Dong Autonomous Prefecture in southwest China’s Guizhou Province.Covering an area of just around three square kilometers,it sits on the banks of the Wuyang River and is surrounded by mountains.Zhenyuan has been a county for more than 2,281 years and was the prefectural capital during the Yuan(1271-1368)and Qing(1644-1911)dynasties.It is a multicultural region,with Miao,Dong,and other ethnic minorities making up nearly half of the population.

Chinese New Year Folk Culture Adds Impetus to Guizhou's Colorful Tourism Economy

During the Chinese New Year in 2024,a series of traditional folk activities were held all over Guizhou,attracting a large number of travelers,with the number of received travelers and comprehensive income of Guizhou reaching a new high.

Major Diseases and Pests of Blueberry in Guizhou Province and Progress in Their Prevention and Control

As the blueberry industry continues to evolve,the effective control of its diseases and pests has become an essential component of local agricultural development.This paper provides a comprehensive overview of the principal types of blueberry diseases and pests in Guizhou Province,along with the corresponding control measures,in order to serve as a valuable reference for blueberry growers.

Machine learning-based automatic construction of earthquake catalog for reservoir areas in multiple river basins of Guizhou province,China

Large reservoirs have the risk of reservoir induced seismicity.Accurately detecting and locating microseismic events are crucial when studying reservoir earthquakes.Automatic earthquake monitoring in reservoir areas is one of the effective measures for earthquake disaster prevention and mitigation.In this study,we first applied the automatic location workflow(named LOCFLOW)to process 14-day continuous waveform data from several reservoir areas in different river basins of Guizhou province.Compared with the manual seismic catalog,the recall rate of seismic event detection using the workflow was 83.9%.Of the detected earthquakes,88.9%had an onset time difference below 1 s,81.8%has a deviation in epicenter location within 5 km,and 77.8%had a focal depth difference of less than 5 km,indicating that the workflow has good generalization capacity in reservoir areas.We further applied the workflow to retrospectively process continuous waveform data recorded from 2020 to the first half of 2021 in reservoir areas in multiple river basins of western Guizhou province and identified five times the number of seismic events obtained through manual processing.Compared with manual processing of seismic catalog,the completeness magnitude had decreased from 1.3 to 0.8,and a b-value of 1.25 was calculated for seismicity in western Guizhou province,consistent with the b-values obtained for the reservoir area in previous studies.Our results show that seismicity levels were relatively low around large reservoirs that were impounded over 15 years ago,and there is no significant correlation between the seismicity in these areas and reservoir impoundment.Seismicity patterns were notably different around two large reservoirs that were only impounded about 12 years ago,which may be explained by differences in reservoir storage capacity,the geologic and tectonic settings,hydrogeological characteristics,and active fault the reservoir areas.Prominent seismicity persisted around two large reservoirs that have been impounded for less than 10 years.These events were clustered and had relatively shallow focal depths.The impoundment of the Jiayan Reservoir had not officially begun during this study period,but earthquake location results suggested a high seismicity level in this reservoir area.Therefore,any seismicity in this reservoir area after the official impoundment deserves special attention.

Temporal and Spatial Variation of Summer Extreme High Temperature in Guizhou Province from 1970 to 2020

Based on the daily maximum temperature data of 31 meteorological observation stations and some statistical methods, the temporal and spatial characteristics of summer extreme high temperature in Guizhou province from 1970 to 2020 are analyzed. The results indicate that: 1) The threshold of extreme high temperature (EHT) in summer in Guizhou province had a large spatial difference, with decreasing characteristics from the northeast to the southwest, it was negatively correlated with the altitude. 2) In most parts of Guizhou province, the extreme high temperature days (EHTD) in summer can reach about 4.2 d, the lowest EHTD occurred in the southernmost part. From June to August, the EHTD gradually increased, especially in Central and eastern parts of Guizhou province. However, the extreme high temperature intensity (EHTI) displayed similar distribution characteristics in summer, June, July and August, with larger value in the northeast part and lower value in the southwest part of Guizhou. 3) EHTD had a rising trend in almost stations, except for the PZ station, the increased range and intensity gradually increased from June to August. But the EHTI had a larger spatial difference, especially in June, it declined in most parts of Guizhou, the declined scope and intensity gradually decreased in July, and completely increased in August, this made EHTI show an increasing trend in summer in most parts the Guizhou province. 4) The averaged EHTD increased by 0.62 d/10a (p 0.1), the significant increase also occurred in August, but it increased insignificantly in June and July. The averaged EHTI had insignificant increase in summer and the three months. In general, the EHTD and EHTI increased in most parts of Guizhou province during the period of 1970-2020, this may be related to the changes of them in August.

Problems and Recommendations for Export of Guizhou Tea in the Context of Rural Revitalization Strategy

As a traditional advantageous industry in Guizhou and an important export product,tea plays an important role in the rural revitalization strategy.This paper first introduces the current situation of tea industry and export in Guizhou,then analyzes the problems that arise in the export process,and finally comes up with corresponding countermeasures and recommendations for the export development of tea,hoping to provide certain guidance and reference to the development of tea industry in Guizhou Province.

Species Composition and Diversity of Fagus longipetiolata in Leigong Mountain, Guizhou Province

[Objectives]To understand the species composition and diversity of Fagus longipetiolata community.[Methods]The F.longipetiolata community in Guizhou Province was investigated by typical plot method.[Results]There were 107 species of vascular plants belonging to 79 genera and 51 families in Leigong Mountain F.longipetiolata community,including 3 species of pteridophytes belonging to 3 genera and 3 families,104 species of spermatophytes belonging to 76 genera and 48 families,including 3 species of gymnosperms belonging to 3 genera and 3 families,and 101 species of angiosperms belonging to 73 genera and 45 families.The types of Leigong Mountain F.longipetiolata community were divided into 7 formations,and the top 10 important species of each formation were Fagaceae,followed by Lauraceae and Ericaceae.The change trend of tree layer richness index was formation I>formation IV>formation VI>formation III>formation VII>formation II>formation V;the dominance index was formation I>formation IV>formation V>formation VI>formation VII>formation III>formation II;H diversity index was formation V>formation II>formation I>formation III>formation VII>formation VI>formation IV;the evenness index is formation II>formation III>formation VI>formation VII>formation IV>formation I>formation V;the total diversity index of the community,formation I(3.67)was the highest,formation V(2.74)was the lowest,manifested as formation I>formation III>formation VI>formation II>formation IV>formation VII>formation V.[Conclusions]The community stability is closely related to its species composition,and the background species is the basis for the survival of the community;the existence of rare species can further enhance the community diversity index and enhance the community stability.

Coordinated Development of Tourism Economy and Ecological Environment Coupling in Mountainous Provinces:A Case Study of Guizhou

The degree of coupling coordination can reflect the intensity of interaction between multiple-indicator system,and can characterize the harmonious and consistent degree of benign correlation between them.It is an effective measurement method for analyzing the level of coordinated development of tourism economy and ecological environment coupling.Guizhou,a mountainous province,is taken as the research object in this paper.Using entropy method and coupling coordination model,the coordinated development level of tourism economy and ecological environment coupling during 2011-2020 is measured and analyzed,and the coordinated development strategies for the tourism economy and ecological environment coupling in Guizhou,a mountainous province,are proposed.

Geological characterization and exploration potential of shale gas in the Carboniferous Jiusi Formation,northern Guizhou and Yunnan provinces,SW China

Dark mudstones and shales of the Carboniferous Jiusi Formation are widely developed in northern Guizhou and Yunnan provinces, SW China. However, the distribution, reservoir characterization, and exploration potential of organic-rich shales in this area are yet to be quantified, thus limiting the prospect of shale gas in this area. This study investigates the basic geological conditions of Jiusi shale gas, using core data, well-logs, and some other test data, obtaining the following results. The organic-rich shales are mainly composed of deltaic-to-shallow-shelf deposits, with thickness ranging from 0 to 450 m, and above 350 m around the subsidence center. The organic matter is mainly type Ⅱ kerogen with TOC content of mostly 1%–2%, indicating a moderate maturity. The argillaceous shale reservoirs are indicative of strong heterogeneity, high clay minerals content, low porosity, low permeability, high specific surface area, and relatively developed secondary porosity. The gas-log anomaly intervals obtained from the survey wells have a cumulative thickness that is apparently greater than 200 m, and a few shale intervals showing high desorbed and adsorbed gas contents. Due to complex structures in the study area, conditions responsible for shale gas occurrence and trapping are generally moderate. However, areas having wide and gentle folds with moderate depth of burial reveals relatively favorable conditions of hydrocarbon traps. In contrast with typical marine-continental transitional shales, the Jiusi shale have better geological conditions for shale gas preservation. The analysis of the geological framework and hydrocarbon potential of Carboniferous Jiusi Formation provide more insight for the exploration of Carboniferous shale gas in southern China.

贵州枇杷种质资源分布及其产业发展概述

贵州立体气候突出,野生枇杷种质资源丰富,性状差异性明显。目前已找到普通枇杷、大花枇杷、小叶枇杷3个种类,普通枇杷在全省广泛分布,大花枇杷主要分布在黔东南州雷公山一带,小叶枇杷主要分布在黔西南州兴义市一带。贵州省枇杷商品化栽培始于1958年,由黔东南州率先从江苏、浙江、福建等省引进优良品种进行试验示范。进入20世纪80年代中后期,贵阳市、黔南州、黔西南州等各地州(市)相继开展引种试验及小规模推广应用。截至2010年,在贵阳市、黔东南州、毕节市等地区拥有了万亩以上的规模化种植。特别是2015年以来,贵州各地枇杷种植生产发展速度迅猛,据2022年贵州省农业农村厅统计数据,全省枇杷种植面积已达2.3万hm^(2),年产量16.3万t,产值达17.1亿元,鲜果采摘期超过2个月。但栽培技术与管理水平仍较低,面积上升与产量增长不成正比,全省平均每666.7 m^(2)商品果产量不足500 kg,提升空间很大。存在问题主要为,一是缺乏地方规范的引、试、推制度体系,盲目性引种,造成品种混杂,良莠不齐,商品性低;二是对遗传优良性状的种质资源挖掘不足,缺乏地方特色的主导品种,市场竞争力不强;三是枇杷品牌创建与营销策略意识不强,形成行业内竞争压价销售,影响效益;四是鲜果产后冷链及深加工产品技术研发滞后,产业附加值增长有限;五是旱涝寒暑等极端天气频繁出现,山地果园设施栽培配套条件滞后,抗风险能力不强等。主要围绕贵州枇杷种质资源分布特征、引种与育种、栽培技术演变、产业发展及其制约因子等方面进行了分析,尝试提出贵州枇杷产业当前与未来的主要任务,以推动枇杷产业高质量发展。

黔北—滇东二叠纪锰矿主要成矿规律与成矿区带划分

这是一篇地球科学领域的论文。锰矿为我国十分紧缺的战略矿产之一。黔北-滇东地区是我国二叠纪锰矿最典型的分布区,在全球晚古生代也较为少见,该区锰矿资源丰富,找矿潜力巨大,称为“遵义式锰矿”。研究表明,该区锰矿产于二叠纪茅口晚期,分布严格受黔北裂谷盆地控制,锰矿在地堑盆地中心喷溢沉积成矿,在地垒区则无锰矿分布,矿体空间展布方向与盆地展布方向基本一致。其中,黔北遵义-黔西地区锰矿在空间上分布于盆地相区,并可分为中心相、过渡相、边缘相等三个锰矿相带,进一步指示了锰矿具体成矿位置,显示了锰矿受盆地中心控制非常明显的特点。在划分的遵义-宣威锰矿成矿带的基础上,详细划分出遵义-黔西锰矿成矿亚带中深溪—八里、龙坪—兴隆、团溪—尚稽、黔西4个锰矿矿集区,以及水城-宣威锰矿成矿亚带中水城—纳雍、格学2个锰矿矿集区。该研究成果对寻找黔北—滇东二叠纪隐伏锰矿床,开展成矿预测,具有重要的意义。

贵州两地野生茶树叶片解剖结构比较及抗逆性分析

为更好地开发和利用贵州省盘州市及三都县的野生茶树种质,以24份野生茶树为材料,比较两地野生茶树叶片形态特征和叶片解剖结构特征共23个叶片性状,并结合隶属函数法分析野生茶树的抗逆性。结果表明,盘州和三都两地的野生茶树,在叶片表观上存在明显区别,盘州野生茶树的叶长、叶宽和叶面积极显著大于三都野生茶树,长宽比则极显著小于三都野生茶树。盘州和三都野生茶树在叶片厚度、栅栏组织厚度、细胞数、主脉厚度、草酸钙晶体密度等16个叶片解剖结构性状上存在显著或极显著差异,相较于三都野生茶树,盘州野生茶树的叶片厚度、栅栏组织厚度、海绵组织厚度、主脉厚度更厚,栅栏组织细胞排列更紧密,草酸钙晶体密度更大,上(下)表皮细胞厚度更薄。相关性分析显示,23个叶片性状间相关性较强,有43对呈极显著正相关,23对呈显著正相关,17对呈极显著负相关,12对呈显著负相关。聚类分析结果显示,24份野生茶树可分为4类,主脉厚度和维管束短径是主要划分依据。抗性评价结果显示,盘州野生茶树在抗旱性和抗寒性上略优于三都野生茶树。根据平均隶属函数值排序,筛选出SD-20-2、SD-20-3、PZ-05和PZ-09四份综合抗性较优的野生茶树,可作为高抗野生茶树种质选育抗逆性茶树品种。

生物礁对海平面变化的响应——基于黔南晚石炭世大型珊瑚礁的海平面变化幅度估算

晚古生代冰期是地质历史时期一个重要事件,由晚古生代冰期引起的海平面变化对该时期的生物礁系统产生深远影响.主要讨论了晚古生代冰期背景下生物礁对海平面变化的响应.生物礁随海平面变化表现为三种生长模式,即“放弃”“跟随”和“追赶”.以黔南地区格舍尔期大型珊瑚礁为例对黔南地区海平面变化幅度进行计算,认为黔南地区格舍尔期海平面上升(60±5)m,主要由冰川作用引起.根据扁平村珊瑚礁对格舍尔期黔南地区海平面变化幅度计算的误差来源主要为基底沉降以及古水深估算不精确.造礁珊瑚Fomitchevella的形态以及快速生长的特点揭示了黔南地区格舍尔期气候温暖、海平面上升且海侵快速的古环境条件.扁平村珊瑚礁的发育反映了全球气候变化和相关的海平面波动与冰期有关.

贵州地方鸡种体重生长曲线的拟合分析

为探究贵州省赤水乌骨鸡、黔东南小香鸡、乌蒙乌骨鸡、威宁鸡和贵州黄鸡这5个地方鸡种生长发育规律,采用Logistic、Gompertz和von Bertalanffy 3种非线性模型对5个地方鸡种的生长曲线进行拟合,选取5个品种鸡各60只,公母各30只,测定0、2、4、6、8、10、12、14、16、18周龄时的体重。结果:5个品种鸡的生长趋势一致,3个模型均能较好地拟合5个品种鸡的生长变化情况,拟合度均在0.98以上,其中von Bertalanffy模型对5个品种鸡的生长曲线拟合效果最好;同时期的鸡体重以贵州黄鸡最重,黔东南小香鸡最轻,赤水乌骨鸡、乌蒙乌骨鸡和威宁鸡相近;5个品种鸡的拐点周龄分别为9.2、7.9、7.3、8.9和8.4,拐点体重分别为870.71、509.18、708.29、834.35和945.52 g。通过拟合的生长曲线模型对鸡体重进行评估,可为贵州省地方鸡的科学饲养、品种资源利用及选育提供依据。

黔西南雄武地区铀矿化与有机流体的成因联系

在黔西南地区,前人针对构造演化、油气流体、金矿床成矿流体和成矿模式等方面开展了大量的研究,但铀矿床研究方面还十分薄弱,尤其针对有机流体与铀成矿的关系还未开展研究。本次研究在野外地质调查基础上,对黔西南雄武地区大际山铀矿床及大梨树铀矿床中典型的矿石与蚀变围岩样品开展了显微岩相学、扫描电镜‒能谱分析、电子探针、流体包裹体、激光拉曼、稳定同位素等方面研究。宏观上,铀矿体的中心部位往往呈黑色,矿体两侧呈灰色、灰褐色,矿体中心向两侧颜色逐渐变浅。镜下研究发现,铀矿物、黄铁矿等金属矿物与黑色的有机质紧密共生。激光拉曼分析指示,这些有机质经历的最高温度为185~237℃,等效镜质体反射率指示有机质处于高成熟‒过成熟阶段,具有焦沥青的特征。铀矿体外围蚀变带中饱含显示强浅蓝色荧光的轻质油,指示富烃类有机流体与成矿物质可能为同一来源,均为含铀有机流体演化而成。铀矿石中黑色有机质的^(13)C值与其赋矿碳酸盐岩表现出明显的异源特征,且与当地古油藏的C同位素具有相似性,指示焦沥青可能来源于深部侵位的古油藏。铀矿物微区年代学与有机质Re-Os年代学的研究结果在误差范围内基本一致,均为喜山期,进一步指示铀矿物和有机质是同时代地质作用的产物。黔西南雄武地区铀的沉淀应该与油气裂解‒分异作用相关,其铀矿成矿作用既不是以往认为的沉积成岩型,也不是沉积成岩叠加淋积‒热液改造型,而应该是构造作用下、深部渗出含铀富有机质成矿流体形成的渗出碳酸盐岩型铀矿床。成矿过程中,铀钼等多金属可能以微纳米超显微结构的形式随有机流体共同迁移,在温压条件变化的情况下,含矿的富烃类有机流体发生裂解‒分异作用,致使铀、黄铁矿等金属物质与重质组分(沥青)残留于破碎带或构造裂隙中而发生铀矿化,而轻质组分(轻质油)发生逃逸,部分以包裹体或孔隙流体的形式捕获于构造带或上覆地层中。

我国西南茶叶主产省茶产业发展现状与竞争力比较分析

目的:西南地区是我国茶产业重要地区,茶产业也是西南地区重要的农业产业,对云南、贵州和四川3个茶叶主产省展开竞争力评价及分析制约因素对产业高质量发展具有重要意义。方法:从茶叶生产、产业结构、经济效益、出口贸易等方面梳理3省茶产业发展现状,运用资源禀赋系数、显示性比较优势指数和综合比较优势指数评价云贵川3省茶产业竞争力。结果:云贵川3省具有拥有较强的资源禀赋、产业规模优势及综合比较优势,云南、贵州具有较强的出口贸易竞争力,但均存在相对出口不足的问题,贵州、四川生产效率比较优势不足。结论:结合云贵川3省茶产业发展及竞争力定量分析,从持续加强茶产业的扶持发展、提升茶叶国际贸易竞争力、推动茶产业高质量发展等方面给予对策建议。

单氰胺对黔中地区甜樱桃生物学特性和果实品质的影响

为解决黔中地区甜樱桃开花不整齐和坐果率不高的问题,以4年生美早甜樱桃为试材,研究喷施不同浓度、不同品牌单氰胺以及不同喷施时间和不同添加剂对甜樱桃破芽催眠效果、物候期、开花整齐度等生物学特性及果实品质的影响。结果表明,喷施单氰胺处理对美早甜樱桃萌芽期、花期、盛花时间、开花整齐度以及坐果率均有显著影响,但对完全花数量、新梢和叶片生长无显著影响。2月1日喷施含单氰胺的处理均能有效促进甜樱桃萌芽和开花,其中喷施2.0%单氰胺+1.0%吐温处理最早萌芽和开花;除1月17日喷施处理和喷施2.0%单氰胺+10%大蒜浸提物处理外,均可提高开花整齐度,较对照提高2%~5%。此外,喷施2.0%单氰胺+10%大蒜浸提物、2.0%单氰胺+1.0%吐温2个处理均能显著提高坐果率,较对照提高6%~9%;2月1日喷施2.0%单氰胺处理株产最高,但与其他处理均无显著差异。综合分析比较,黔中地区美早甜樱桃2月初喷施2.0%单氰胺(荣芽)或2.0%单氰胺(荣芽)+1.0%吐温,可促使甜樱桃萌芽和开花,提高开花整齐度、坐果率和产量。

不同药剂与施药时期对辣椒炭疽病防治效果的影响

【目的】探明贵州辣椒炭疽病的适宜防治药剂和防治时期,为辣椒炭疽病化学防控提供依据。【方法】选取已登记的15种辣椒炭疽病防治药剂单剂(25%咪鲜胺EC、80%波尔多液WP、50%肟菌酯WG、22.7%二氰蒽醌SC、70%代森锰锌WP、40%百菌清SC、30%琥胶肥酸铜WP、80%克菌丹WG、22.5%啶氧菌酯SC、85%三氯异氰尿酸SPX、40%苯醚甲环唑SC、500 g/L氟啶胺SC、50%咪鲜胺锰盐WP、250 g/L嘧菌酯SC和25%吡唑醚菌酯SC)和1个混剂(40%苯甲•吡唑酯SC)为药剂处理,选取贵州辣椒炭疽病的3个主要致病菌菌株(C.scovillei GL 17-25、C.gloeosporioides GL 17-42和C.fructicola GL 17-147)为防治对象,采用菌丝生长抑制法和离体果实接种法对药剂进行初筛,通过田间试验进一步验证适宜的药剂和防治时期。【结果】25%咪鲜胺EC、50%咪鲜胺锰盐WP、70%代森锰锌WP对3种辣椒炭疽病菌的菌丝生长抑制率均为100.00%;离体果实接种试验表明,除70%代森锰锌WP外,各药剂的平均预防效果均高于治疗效果,25%咪鲜胺EC对3个菌株的预防和治疗效果最好,平均值分别为72.48%和60.01%,其次为25%吡唑醚菌酯SC(43.53%和30.36%)。相比发病中期用药,发病初期用药的病情指数低、防效高,25%吡唑醚菌酯SC和40%苯甲•吡唑酯SC的防效显著(P<0.05)高于25%咪鲜胺EC,前两者发病初期用药的防效分别为86.99%和88.59%,发病中期用药防效分别为50.87%和45.48%。【结论】25%吡唑醚菌酯SC和40%苯甲•吡唑酯SC能有效防治辣椒炭疽病,防治时期以发病初期为佳。

生草对贵州高海拔区苹果园土壤呼吸及水热环境的影响

【目的】探明西南冷凉高地苹果产区果园不同草种覆盖条件土壤呼吸特征及其与土壤水热的关系,为筛选苹果园适宜生草类型提供参考依据。【方法】设置鼠茅草(Vulpia myuros)、鸭茅(Dactylis glomerata)、黑麦草(Lolium perenne)、白三叶(Trifolium repens)、光叶紫花苕(Vicia villosa)、鼠茅草+鸭茅+白三叶混播、黑麦草+白三叶+鸭茅混播、鼠茅草+黑麦草+白三叶混播8个苹果园生草处理,以清耕作对照(CK),利用LI-6400XT便携式光合测定系统配套使用土壤呼吸气室(6400-09)测定果园土壤呼吸速率,采用非线性回归和指数模型,分析不同生草处理对土壤呼吸与土壤水热环境的影响。【结果】生草显著提高果园土壤呼吸速率,较清耕提高0.07%~256.39%,其中,黑麦草+白三叶+鸭茅混播处理提高幅度最高。生草覆盖显著提高土壤水分保持能力,对0~20 cm土层的影响最明显,相同月份不同生草处理间土壤水分差异明显,生草混播处理提高土壤水分能力优于生草单播处理。生草覆盖后显著降低夏季(5—7月)表层土壤(0~5 cm)温度。不同生草覆盖处理土壤水分含量与土壤呼吸以二次函数拟合效果最佳,决定系数R 2在0.242~0.989,拟合度较高。各生草处理土壤温度与土壤呼吸速率呈指数函数关系,0~5 cm和5~10 cm土层拟合模型决定系数R 2平均值高于10~15 cm和15~20 cm土层。土壤温度、水分及二者的交互作用对土壤呼吸的协同影响高于土壤单因子的影响。【结论】苹果园生草处理可显著提高土壤呼吸速率,显著增加0~20 cm土层土壤的水分保持能力,降低果园夏季表层土壤(0~5 cm)温度,有效改善苹果根系生长环境,有利于树体发育。不同生草模式中以黑麦草+白三叶+鸭茅混播处理效果最优。

优选CMIP6全球气候模式对贵州省未来气温变化的模拟

利用1986−2005年18个CMIP6气候模式及其同源的CMIP5气候模式和贵州省84个气象台站逐日平均气温、最高气温和最低气温资料,基于色度图和泰勒图,系统评估CMIP6模式对贵州省气温的模拟能力,并采用最佳模拟结果预估2023−2100年SSP1-2.6、SSP2-4.5和SSP5-8.5未来情景下贵州省气温的变化特征。结果表明:CMIP6-MME(MME,多模式集合平均)对1986−2005年贵州省霜冻日数(FD)、生长季长度(GSL)、夏日日数(SU)、最低气温的最低值(TNN)及平均气温(Tav)的总体模拟能力最优;相对于参照期(1995−2014年),2023−2100年贵州省在SSP1-2.6、SSP2-4.5和SSP5-8.5情景下FD值呈现显著下降趋势,GSL、SU、TNN和Tav值均呈现显著上升趋势。另外,21世纪各个阶段各情景下贵州省FD值(GSL、SU、TNN和Tav值)相对于参照期均表现为偏少(多)的特征,且排放越高,偏少(多)幅度越大,从空间分布来看,FD(GSL)值偏少(多)幅度自南向北增加,SU值偏多幅度自东北向西南增加,TNN和Tav值偏多幅度自西南向东北增加。