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北欧数值预报系统HIRLAM在中国的应用──长江流域暴雨的预报试验 被引量:1
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作者 俞小鼎 黄向宇 +1 位作者 L.Laursen E.Rasmussen 《应用气象学报》 CSCD 北大核心 1997年第4期498-502,共5页
将北欧有限区域模式HIRLAM应用于中国地区,以检验该模式在定量预报夏季长江流域暴雨方面的能力.3次长江流域暴雨个例的预报试验表明:0~24h的累积雨量预报是比较成功的,能够报出长江流域大部分日降水50mm以上的暴雨... 将北欧有限区域模式HIRLAM应用于中国地区,以检验该模式在定量预报夏季长江流域暴雨方面的能力.3次长江流域暴雨个例的预报试验表明:0~24h的累积雨量预报是比较成功的,能够报出长江流域大部分日降水50mm以上的暴雨区;24~48h累积雨量预报的质量各个例有较大差异,总体上比0~24h预报质量有相当大的下降,尤其是在50mm以上暴雨区的预报方面能力较差. 展开更多
关键词 高分辨率 长江流域 暴雨 降水预报 数值预报
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The Water Vapor Transport Model at the Regional Boundaryduring the Meiyu Period 被引量:11
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作者 徐祥德 苗秋菊 +1 位作者 王继志 张雪金 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2003年第3期333-342,共10页
The water vapor transport model at the regional boundary in the Meiyu period is put forward through diagnostic analysis. The numerical simulation on the water vapor transport at the boundary of China in the heavy rain... The water vapor transport model at the regional boundary in the Meiyu period is put forward through diagnostic analysis. The numerical simulation on the water vapor transport at the boundary of China in the heavy rainfall period during June–July 1998 shows that the feature of water vapor transport in June is different from that in July. The main body of the water cycle that forms the torrential rain in the Yangtze River Valley is made up of water vapor transport at the western and southern boundaries of the China region in June, whereas the water vapor flow at the western boundary in middle Tibet turns out to be the main body of water vapor sources in July. The water vapor transport at the western boundary of the Tibetan Plateau and the southern boundary of China plays an important role in the torrential rain in the Yangtze River Valley. The temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of water vapor flow at the regional boundary and their theoretical model would provide the scientific proof for the heavy rain forecasts in the Yangtze River Valley. 展开更多
关键词 water vapor flow torrential rain yangtze river valley Meiyu period
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