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供需中的Hockey-stick现象分析及对策研究 被引量:1
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作者 桂华明 马士华 《管理科学学报》 CSSCI 北大核心 2008年第4期112-124,共13页
许多公司的产品需求在连续而固定的周期会出现前低后高,即 Hockey-stick 现象,这种现象普遍存在于供应链之中并困扰着许多的企业管理者.不认为其产生的原因是公司对销售人员的周期性考评的传统观点,并以快速消费品行业为背景,通过建立模... 许多公司的产品需求在连续而固定的周期会出现前低后高,即 Hockey-stick 现象,这种现象普遍存在于供应链之中并困扰着许多的企业管理者.不认为其产生的原因是公司对销售人员的周期性考评的传统观点,并以快速消费品行业为背景,通过建立模型,得出了这种现象主要是公司普遍采用的总量折扣(Volume Discounts)价格政策导致的结论,并提出了公司可以通过多产品组合定价等方法缓和这个问题,最后通过一个实例证实了文章的观点. 展开更多
关键词 hockey—stick现象 周期性考评 总量折扣 需求扭曲
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Hockey-stick现象与企业物流绩效关联的实例分析
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作者 桂华明 马士华 《管理评论》 CSSCI 2008年第10期28-35,共8页
Hockey-stick现象普遍存在于供应链之中并对企业的生产和物流运作极为不利。通过对某国际著名食品公司在大陆某生产厂的深入调研、数据收集和分析,验证了Hockey-stick现象对需求波动以及需求波动对企业物流绩效的影响。
关键词 hockey—stick现象 物流绩效 关联分析 物流运作
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基于Hockey-stick现象的博弈模型研究
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作者 吴金莉 《中国电子商务》 2012年第5期86-86,88,共2页
在现有供应链管理研究中,Hockey—stick现象越来越受到重视,本文在现有研究的基础上,提出了由零售商支付订货成本的情况下供应链上的单阶段博弈模型与多阶段博弈模型,并对模型进行了求解,同时证明了一系列博弈双方进行战略选择的... 在现有供应链管理研究中,Hockey—stick现象越来越受到重视,本文在现有研究的基础上,提出了由零售商支付订货成本的情况下供应链上的单阶段博弈模型与多阶段博弈模型,并对模型进行了求解,同时证明了一系列博弈双方进行战略选择的命题,深化了现有研究。 展开更多
关键词 hockey—stick现象 博弈模型 战略选择
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An Analysis of Fights in the National Hockey League
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作者 Henry L. Castillo Paul M. Sommers 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2017年第4期676-688,共13页
The authors use data from fight logs during the 2016-2017 regular National Hockey League (NHL) season to test for a difference in the proportion of games with and without fights for each of the thirty NHL teams. Only ... The authors use data from fight logs during the 2016-2017 regular National Hockey League (NHL) season to test for a difference in the proportion of games with and without fights for each of the thirty NHL teams. Only one team (Toronto Maple Leafs) was more likely to be involved in a fight at a home game than at an away game. Teams that fought proportionally more often in the second half of the season made the playoffs;teams that fought significantly less often did not. And, long distance air travel (flights involving more than 1000 miles or trips that required crossing at least one time zone) resulted in disproportionately more games with fights for eight different NHL teams. 展开更多
关键词 National hockey LEAGUE VIOLENCE in SPORTS t-Tests Involving PROPORTIONS
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Impact of Virtual RealityTraining on Real-World Hockey Skill: An Intervention Trial
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作者 Matthew Buns 《Journal of Sports Science》 2020年第1期8-16,共9页
Training specificity is imperative for successful performance of the elite athlete.Virtual reality(VR)has been successfully applied to a broad range of training domains.However,to date there is little research investi... Training specificity is imperative for successful performance of the elite athlete.Virtual reality(VR)has been successfully applied to a broad range of training domains.However,to date there is little research investigating the use of VR for sport training.The purpose of this study was to address the question of whether virtual reality(VR)training can improve real world hockey shooting performance.Twenty four volunteers were recruited and randomly selected to complete the virtual training intervention or enter a control group with no training.Four primary types of data were collected:(1)participant’s experience with video games and hockey,(2)participant’s motivation toward video game use,(3)participant’s technical performance on real-world hockey,and(4)participant’s technical performance in virtual hockey.One-way multivariate analysis of variance(ANOVA)indicated that the intervention group demonstrated significantly more real-world hockey accuracy(F(1,24)=15.43,p<0.01,E.S.=0.56)while shooting on goal than their control group counterparts(intervention M accuracy=54.17%,SD=12.38,control M accuracy=46.76%,SD=13.45).One-way multivariate analysis of variance(MANOVA)repeated measures indicated significantly higher outcome scores on real-world accuracy(35.42%versus 54.17%;ES=1.52)and velocity(51.10 mph versus 65.50 mph;ES=0.86)of hockey shooting on goal.This research supports the idea that virtual training is an effective tool for increasing real-world hockey skill. 展开更多
关键词 Virtual training hockey skill video games esports
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Hockey Stick回归和SARIMA模型在细菌性痢疾疫情预测中的应用 被引量:6
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作者 关鹏 王汉宁 +3 位作者 沈铁峰 吴伟 黄德生 周宝森 《实用预防医学》 CAS 2008年第6期1671-1675,共5页
目的探讨应用Hockey Stick回归和时间序列分析中的SARI MA模型进行细菌性痢疾疫情预测的可行性。方法收集辽宁省葫芦岛市1990-2006年的逐月及逐年细菌性痢疾疫情资料和当地气象数据。首先,利用描述统计分析细菌性痢疾季节性发病规律,使... 目的探讨应用Hockey Stick回归和时间序列分析中的SARI MA模型进行细菌性痢疾疫情预测的可行性。方法收集辽宁省葫芦岛市1990-2006年的逐月及逐年细菌性痢疾疫情资料和当地气象数据。首先,利用描述统计分析细菌性痢疾季节性发病规律,使用Spearman等级相关分析疫情同气象因素的关系,根据Hockey Stick回归确定发病阈值。其次,进行扩充迪基富勒的平稳性单位根检验。再次,根据自相关函数图和偏自相关函数图识别逐月疫情间的相关性。应用Eviews3.1、Stata8.2和SPSS12.0软件对1990-2005年逐月发病率进行上述统计分析。最后,利用所得到的模型对2006年各月发病率进行预测,并与实际发病率进行比较。结果最低气温、平均气温和最高气温所确定的阈值分别为11.42℃、17.17℃和22.98℃;(1,0,0)×(0,1,1)12模型为最优SARI MA模型,此模型对2006年各月发病率的预测值符合实际发病率变动趋势。结论Hockey Stick回归和SARI MA模型可较好地模拟细菌性痢疾疫情在时间序列上的变动趋势,并对未来的发病率进行一定预测,能够为传染病防制工作提供一定决策支持。 展开更多
关键词 流行病学 预测 hockey Stick回归 SARIMA 细菌性痢疾
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Evaluation of Knees in Asymptomatic Amateur Ice Hockey Players Using 3.0-T Magnetic Resonance Imaging:A Case-Control Study 被引量:1
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作者 Xiao-Dan Chang Pei Yang +2 位作者 Xin-Yan Mu Wei-Li Ma Mo Zhou 《Chinese Medical Journal》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2018年第9期1038-1044,共7页
Background:Research on the changes to knee structures in asymptomatic amateur ice hockey players (AAIHPs) has been limited.We aimed to assess the performance of the knees in AAIHPs using 3.0-T magnetic resonance im... Background:Research on the changes to knee structures in asymptomatic amateur ice hockey players (AAIHPs) has been limited.We aimed to assess the performance of the knees in AAIHPs using 3.0-T magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).Methods:A total of 71 asymptomatic knees (32 AAIHPs and 39 age-and sex-matched controls) were imaged using a 3.0-T MRI scanner at the Affiliated Zhongshan Hospital of Dalian University in April 2017.Two experienced musculoskeletal radiologists were blinded to assess all MRI findings,including bursae around the knee,bone marrow edema (BME),meniscal signal changes,and articular cartilage and ligament damage.Any disagreements were resolved by a third professor of musculoskeletal radiology.Categorical variables were compared using the Chi-square test and continuous variables using the Student's t-test or Mann-Whitney U-test.Results:The most common finding was fluid-filled bursae surrounding the knee.In the AAIHP group,which totaled 32 knees and 416 bursae,155 (37%) fluid-filled bursae were present.In the control group,there were a total of 39 knees and 507 bursae,and 91(18%) fluid-filled bursae were present.There was a significant difference in the number of fluid-filled bursae between the two groups (P < 0.05).However,in AAIHPs,the prevalence of meniscal signal changes (16 knees,50%) was higher than in the control group (2 knees,5%;P < 0.001).Importantly,15 of the 19 were grade Ⅱ signals.Other changes were only found in AAIHPs.Articular cartilage lesions were detected in 47% of their knees,predominantly at the patellofemoral joint,and BME was found in 34% of their knees.Conclusion:The MRI findings of knees in AAIHPs mainly manifested as self-protection reaction,and proper ice hockey exercise could be advocated. 展开更多
关键词 ARTICULAR Cartilage hockey Knee Magnetic Resonance Imaging MENISCUS
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Using Sports Wagering Markets to Evaluate and Compare Team Winning Streaks in Sports
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作者 R. Alan Bowman Thomas Ashman James Lambrinos 《American Journal of Operations Research》 2015年第5期357-366,共10页
Point spreads and money lines from sports wagering markets are used to evaluate the impressiveness of team streaks. Sports wagering data have previously been useful in assessing competitive balance in sports. Our appr... Point spreads and money lines from sports wagering markets are used to evaluate the impressiveness of team streaks. Sports wagering data have previously been useful in assessing competitive balance in sports. Our approach was motivated by the amount of media scrutiny that accompanied the winning streak of the NBA’s Miami Heat and the point streak of the NHL’s Chicago Blackhawks which occurred simultaneously for the most part in 2013. The topic came to the forefront again with the 2014-2015 winning streak of the Atlanta Hawks. Three streaks are highlighted in our paper. The length of the streaks, the quality of the competition, injuries, and a variety of other factors were mentioned in the media but the discussion was limited to subjective opinions as no way of properly weighing relative influence of the factors was identified. Wagering markets provide an excellent source of information for making these judgments. Several complementary measures are described and the most impressive team streaks within and across professional baseball, basketball, football, and ice hockey are identified. 展开更多
关键词 Winning STREAKS SPORTS Wagering Markets BASEBALL BASKETBALL Football hockey
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