In related academic circles, the research on port logistics industry and regional economic development has become a hot topic in recent years, and there are already extensive studies about this topic. Taking Ningbo Po...In related academic circles, the research on port logistics industry and regional economic development has become a hot topic in recent years, and there are already extensive studies about this topic. Taking Ningbo Port as an example, this paper analyzed its logistics development status, and discussed the existing problems. Besides, taking the time series data of Ningbo Port from 2007 to 2016 as sample data, and using the quantitative analysis methods such as correlation analysis and regression analysis, it systematically studied the interaction between the port development and regional economic development. Finally, on the basis of the problems, it came up with some recommendations.展开更多
With SPSS16.0 software, this paper chooses the statistical data of 11 cities in Hebei province to empirically study the agri-food logistics capability based on the method of factor analysis, and finally obtains the ra...With SPSS16.0 software, this paper chooses the statistical data of 11 cities in Hebei province to empirically study the agri-food logistics capability based on the method of factor analysis, and finally obtains the ranking of the 11 cities. It shows that, factor-cluster analysis is an effective method to analyze the logistics capability of agri-food. It can simplify the original complicated problem and lead to an objective, reliable and convincing conclusion.展开更多
Regional logistics demand forecast is the basis for government departments to make logistics planning and logistics related policies.It has the characteristics of a small amount of data and being nonlinear,so the trad...Regional logistics demand forecast is the basis for government departments to make logistics planning and logistics related policies.It has the characteristics of a small amount of data and being nonlinear,so the traditional prediction method can not guarantee the accuracy of prediction.Taking Xiamen City as an example,this paper selects the primary industry,the secondary industry,the tertiary industry,the total amount of investment in fixed assets,total import and export volume,per capita consumption expenditure,and the total retail sales of social consumer goods as the influencing factors,and uses a combining model least square and radial basis function(LS-RBF)neural network to analyze the related data from years 2000 to 2019,so as to predict the logistics demand from years 2020 to 2024.The model can well fit the training data,and the experimental results obtained from the comparison between the predicted value and the actual value in 2019 show that the error rate is very small.Therefore,the prediction results are reasonable and reliable.This method has high prediction accuracy,and it is suitable for irregular regional logistics demand forecast.展开更多
As a middle organization between enterprise organization which gains the competition advantage and eration of industrial clusters and regional logistics refers development of modern regional logistics. On the basis an...As a middle organization between enterprise organization which gains the competition advantage and eration of industrial clusters and regional logistics refers development of modern regional logistics. On the basis and market, industrial cluster is now the space industrial innovation advantage for a nation or a region. The coop- to improvement of industrial clusters' competitiveness and of reviewing the recent years' situation of Shaanxi Prov- ince's regional logistics and its industrial clusters, this paper analyzes positively about the supporting role of the regional logistics, builds gray relational model by choosing corresponding indicators, and carries out test of signif- icance. Finally it brings out strategic recommendations to and regional logistics enhance the level of cooperation of industrial clusters展开更多
Since February 26,2014,Chinese president Xi Jinping of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China listened to the report on the coordinated development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region and delivered an impor...Since February 26,2014,Chinese president Xi Jinping of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China listened to the report on the coordinated development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region and delivered an important speech,and officially raised the coordinated development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region as a major national strategy,the integration of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region has entered the"fast lane".Guided by accelerating the construction of agricultural product supply areas,agricultural high-tech industry demonstration areas,and agricultural product logistics center areas,Tianjin seizes the opportunity of coordinated development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region,brings into full play to the advantages of Tianjin s three-dimensional transportation network,perfect market system,high-quality port services,rapid growth of cold chain and e-commerce,to promote the faster and better development of Tianjin s agriculture.In addition,focusing on comprehensively improving Tianjin s regional agricultural product logistics service capabilities,Tianjin is establishing a distribution center for agricultural products,an e-commerce center,and a high-end agricultural product distribution center serving the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region,to promote the construction of Tianjin agricultural product logistics center.展开更多
The research intends to make scientific prediction of the logistics demand of Nanping City based on mathematical model calculation so as to provide reasonable strategic guidance for the sustainable and healthy develop...The research intends to make scientific prediction of the logistics demand of Nanping City based on mathematical model calculation so as to provide reasonable strategic guidance for the sustainable and healthy development of urban logistics industry.It constructs a comprehensive index system composed of freight volume and other eight relevant economic indices to form the foundation for the model construction.Combining forecasting models of principal component regression and GM(1,1)together,it makes mathematical calculation to predict the logistics demand of Nanping City from the years 2018 to 2022.The research makes systematical analyses of the indices influencing the precise prediction of logistics demand from a new perspective,which offers an innovative and practical option for urban logistics prediction.In line with the prediction,it offers some suggestions for the improvement of demand prediction and some strategies for the better development of the logistics industry in Nanping City.展开更多
Regional Landslide Susceptibility Zonation(LSZ) is always challenged by the available amount of field data, especially in southwestern China where large mountainous areas and limited field information coincide. Statis...Regional Landslide Susceptibility Zonation(LSZ) is always challenged by the available amount of field data, especially in southwestern China where large mountainous areas and limited field information coincide. Statistical learning algorithms are believed to be superior to traditional statistical algorithms for their data adaptability. The aim of the paper is to evaluate how statistical learning algorithms perform on regional LSZ with limited field data. The focus is on three statistical learning algorithms, Logistic Regression(LR), Artificial Neural Networks(ANN) and Support Vector Machine(SVM). Hanzhong city, a landslide prone area in southwestern China is taken as a study case. Nine environmental factors are selected as inputs. The accuracies of the resulting LSZ maps are evaluated through landslide density analysis(LDA), receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curves and Kappa index statistics. The dependence of the algorithm on the size of field samples is examined by varying the sizes of the training set. The SVM has proven to be the most accurate and the most stable algorithm at small training set sizes and on all known landslide sizes. The accuracy of SVM shows a steadilyincreasing trend and reaches a high level at a small size of the training set, while accuracies of LR and ANN algorithms show distinct fluctuations. The geomorphological interpretations confirm the strength of SVM on all landslide sizes. Our results show that the strengths of SVM in generalization capability and model robustness make it an appropriate and efficient tool for regional LSZ with limited landslide field samples.展开更多
Regional economy is the foundation for the development of the regional logistics and regional logistics as the support of the regional economic development, both interdependence, coordinated development, become the im...Regional economy is the foundation for the development of the regional logistics and regional logistics as the support of the regional economic development, both interdependence, coordinated development, become the important factor of regional economic sus-tained and rapid development. This article selects relevant statistical data from 2002 to 2011 in Sichuan province were analyzed, and the quantitative mathematical model was established based on principal component analysis (pca), and through the model for comprehensive evaluation of regional logistics caoability of Sichuan orovince.展开更多
SWOT method is used to analyze strengths and weaknesses in internal environment and opportunities and threats in external environment of development of agricultural product logistics in Shaanxi Province. The research ...SWOT method is used to analyze strengths and weaknesses in internal environment and opportunities and threats in external environment of development of agricultural product logistics in Shaanxi Province. The research indicates that the logistic development strategy of agricultural products in Shaanxi Province should bring into full play strengths in traffic, production, labor force, and science and technology. Besides, it is required to overcome weaknesses in information mechanism and management mode. Furthermore, we should take full advantage of domestic and international resources to develop famous, excellent and special products, to achieve high-efficient, rapid, and convenient development of logistics for agricultural products.展开更多
Extreme flood events are becoming more frequent and intense in recent times, owing to climate change and other anthropogenic factors. Nigeria, the case-study for this research experiences recurrent flooding, with the ...Extreme flood events are becoming more frequent and intense in recent times, owing to climate change and other anthropogenic factors. Nigeria, the case-study for this research experiences recurrent flooding, with the most disastrous being the 2012 flood event that resulted in unprecedented damage to infrastructure, displacement of people, socio-economic disruption, and loss of lives. To mitigate and minimize the impact of such floods now and in the future, effective planning is required, underpinned by analytics based on reliable data and information. Such data are seldom available in many developing regions, owing to financial, technical, and organizational drawbacks that result in short-length and inadequate historical data that are prone to uncertainties if directly applied for flood frequency estimation. This study applies regional Flood Frequency Analysis (FFA) to curtail deficiencies in historical data, by agglomerating data from various sites with similar hydro-geomorphological characteristics and is governed by a similar probability distribution, differing only by an “index-flood”;as well as accounting for climate variability effect. Data from 17 gauging stations within the Ogun-Osun River Basin in Western Nigeria were analysed, resulting in the delineation of 3 sub-regions, of which 2 were homogeneous and 1 heterogeneous. The Generalized Logistic distribution was fitted to the annual maximum flood series for the 2 homogeneous regions to estimate flood magnitudes and the probability of occurrence while accounting for climate variability. The influence of climate variability on flood estimates in the region was linked to the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) climate indices and resulted in increased flood magnitude for regional and direct flood frequency estimates varying from 0% - 35% and demonstrate that multi-decadal changes in atmospheric conditions influence both small and large floods. The results reveal the value of considering climate variability for flood frequency analysis, especially when non-stationarity is established by homogeneity analysis.展开更多
In recent years, China's logistics market has developed very fast, characterized in demand and supply aspects. Such increase in logistics and other industries of China's economy, give more opportunity to the coopera...In recent years, China's logistics market has developed very fast, characterized in demand and supply aspects. Such increase in logistics and other industries of China's economy, give more opportunity to the cooperation of logistics system in Northeast Asia. This paper will give more detailed analysis on the logistics market in China with the data coming from the recent survey of the research center of logistics in Nankai University and National Development and Reform Commission.展开更多
This article focuses on the regional advantages to develop international logistics aiming at Southeast Asia in Yunnan province and intends to prove that it's of great significance to develop this kind of internationa...This article focuses on the regional advantages to develop international logistics aiming at Southeast Asia in Yunnan province and intends to prove that it's of great significance to develop this kind of international logistics. Further, it analyzes the status quo, market demand and problems existing in Yunnan's international logistics and puts forward proposals as how to develop international logistics aiming at Southeast Asia in Yunnan province.展开更多
This paper analyzes the factors that influence the development of regional industry cluster, which are location factors, accumulatable factors, and external factors. Then regarding the similarity between the developme...This paper analyzes the factors that influence the development of regional industry cluster, which are location factors, accumulatable factors, and external factors. Then regarding the similarity between the development of industry cluster and biology community, a modified logistic model is built, and a field study is made between the real instances and the model.展开更多
文摘In related academic circles, the research on port logistics industry and regional economic development has become a hot topic in recent years, and there are already extensive studies about this topic. Taking Ningbo Port as an example, this paper analyzed its logistics development status, and discussed the existing problems. Besides, taking the time series data of Ningbo Port from 2007 to 2016 as sample data, and using the quantitative analysis methods such as correlation analysis and regression analysis, it systematically studied the interaction between the port development and regional economic development. Finally, on the basis of the problems, it came up with some recommendations.
基金The author would like to thank the anonymous reviewers for their valuable comments and suggestions, which are very helpful in improving the paper. This research was supported by Social Science Foundation of Hebei Province (HB09BYJ050), Major Planning Project of Social Science of Baoding (200901009) and Youth Foundation of Hebei College of Finance (JY200910).
文摘With SPSS16.0 software, this paper chooses the statistical data of 11 cities in Hebei province to empirically study the agri-food logistics capability based on the method of factor analysis, and finally obtains the ranking of the 11 cities. It shows that, factor-cluster analysis is an effective method to analyze the logistics capability of agri-food. It can simplify the original complicated problem and lead to an objective, reliable and convincing conclusion.
基金Social Science Research Project of Education Department of Fujian Province,China(No.JAS160571)Key Project of Education and Teaching Reform of Undergraduate Universities in Fujian Province,China(No.FBJG20190130)Educational Research Project of Social Science for Young and Middle Aged Teachers in Fujian Province,China(No.JAS19371)。
文摘Regional logistics demand forecast is the basis for government departments to make logistics planning and logistics related policies.It has the characteristics of a small amount of data and being nonlinear,so the traditional prediction method can not guarantee the accuracy of prediction.Taking Xiamen City as an example,this paper selects the primary industry,the secondary industry,the tertiary industry,the total amount of investment in fixed assets,total import and export volume,per capita consumption expenditure,and the total retail sales of social consumer goods as the influencing factors,and uses a combining model least square and radial basis function(LS-RBF)neural network to analyze the related data from years 2000 to 2019,so as to predict the logistics demand from years 2020 to 2024.The model can well fit the training data,and the experimental results obtained from the comparison between the predicted value and the actual value in 2019 show that the error rate is very small.Therefore,the prediction results are reasonable and reliable.This method has high prediction accuracy,and it is suitable for irregular regional logistics demand forecast.
文摘As a middle organization between enterprise organization which gains the competition advantage and eration of industrial clusters and regional logistics refers development of modern regional logistics. On the basis and market, industrial cluster is now the space industrial innovation advantage for a nation or a region. The coop- to improvement of industrial clusters' competitiveness and of reviewing the recent years' situation of Shaanxi Prov- ince's regional logistics and its industrial clusters, this paper analyzes positively about the supporting role of the regional logistics, builds gray relational model by choosing corresponding indicators, and carries out test of signif- icance. Finally it brings out strategic recommendations to and regional logistics enhance the level of cooperation of industrial clusters
基金Project of Science and Technology Development Fund of Tianjin Higher Education Institutions"Study on Development of Agricultural Product Logistics in Tianjin in the Context of the Coordinated Development Strategy of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region"(20142410).
文摘Since February 26,2014,Chinese president Xi Jinping of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China listened to the report on the coordinated development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region and delivered an important speech,and officially raised the coordinated development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region as a major national strategy,the integration of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region has entered the"fast lane".Guided by accelerating the construction of agricultural product supply areas,agricultural high-tech industry demonstration areas,and agricultural product logistics center areas,Tianjin seizes the opportunity of coordinated development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region,brings into full play to the advantages of Tianjin s three-dimensional transportation network,perfect market system,high-quality port services,rapid growth of cold chain and e-commerce,to promote the faster and better development of Tianjin s agriculture.In addition,focusing on comprehensively improving Tianjin s regional agricultural product logistics service capabilities,Tianjin is establishing a distribution center for agricultural products,an e-commerce center,and a high-end agricultural product distribution center serving the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region,to promote the construction of Tianjin agricultural product logistics center.
基金National Social Science Foundation of China(No.17CGJ002)Major Project of Education and Teaching Reform of Undergraduate Universities in Fujian Province,China(No.FBJG20190130)
文摘The research intends to make scientific prediction of the logistics demand of Nanping City based on mathematical model calculation so as to provide reasonable strategic guidance for the sustainable and healthy development of urban logistics industry.It constructs a comprehensive index system composed of freight volume and other eight relevant economic indices to form the foundation for the model construction.Combining forecasting models of principal component regression and GM(1,1)together,it makes mathematical calculation to predict the logistics demand of Nanping City from the years 2018 to 2022.The research makes systematical analyses of the indices influencing the precise prediction of logistics demand from a new perspective,which offers an innovative and practical option for urban logistics prediction.In line with the prediction,it offers some suggestions for the improvement of demand prediction and some strategies for the better development of the logistics industry in Nanping City.
基金supported by the open fund of Key Laboratory of Geoscience Spatial Information Technology, Ministry of Land and Resource of the China (Grant No. KLGSIT2013-15)The GIS-studio (www.gis-studio.nl) of the Institute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics (IBED) is acknowledged for computational support
文摘Regional Landslide Susceptibility Zonation(LSZ) is always challenged by the available amount of field data, especially in southwestern China where large mountainous areas and limited field information coincide. Statistical learning algorithms are believed to be superior to traditional statistical algorithms for their data adaptability. The aim of the paper is to evaluate how statistical learning algorithms perform on regional LSZ with limited field data. The focus is on three statistical learning algorithms, Logistic Regression(LR), Artificial Neural Networks(ANN) and Support Vector Machine(SVM). Hanzhong city, a landslide prone area in southwestern China is taken as a study case. Nine environmental factors are selected as inputs. The accuracies of the resulting LSZ maps are evaluated through landslide density analysis(LDA), receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curves and Kappa index statistics. The dependence of the algorithm on the size of field samples is examined by varying the sizes of the training set. The SVM has proven to be the most accurate and the most stable algorithm at small training set sizes and on all known landslide sizes. The accuracy of SVM shows a steadilyincreasing trend and reaches a high level at a small size of the training set, while accuracies of LR and ANN algorithms show distinct fluctuations. The geomorphological interpretations confirm the strength of SVM on all landslide sizes. Our results show that the strengths of SVM in generalization capability and model robustness make it an appropriate and efficient tool for regional LSZ with limited landslide field samples.
文摘Regional economy is the foundation for the development of the regional logistics and regional logistics as the support of the regional economic development, both interdependence, coordinated development, become the important factor of regional economic sus-tained and rapid development. This article selects relevant statistical data from 2002 to 2011 in Sichuan province were analyzed, and the quantitative mathematical model was established based on principal component analysis (pca), and through the model for comprehensive evaluation of regional logistics caoability of Sichuan orovince.
基金Supported by the Project of Shaanxi Academy of Social Science Foundation (10E224)
文摘SWOT method is used to analyze strengths and weaknesses in internal environment and opportunities and threats in external environment of development of agricultural product logistics in Shaanxi Province. The research indicates that the logistic development strategy of agricultural products in Shaanxi Province should bring into full play strengths in traffic, production, labor force, and science and technology. Besides, it is required to overcome weaknesses in information mechanism and management mode. Furthermore, we should take full advantage of domestic and international resources to develop famous, excellent and special products, to achieve high-efficient, rapid, and convenient development of logistics for agricultural products.
文摘Extreme flood events are becoming more frequent and intense in recent times, owing to climate change and other anthropogenic factors. Nigeria, the case-study for this research experiences recurrent flooding, with the most disastrous being the 2012 flood event that resulted in unprecedented damage to infrastructure, displacement of people, socio-economic disruption, and loss of lives. To mitigate and minimize the impact of such floods now and in the future, effective planning is required, underpinned by analytics based on reliable data and information. Such data are seldom available in many developing regions, owing to financial, technical, and organizational drawbacks that result in short-length and inadequate historical data that are prone to uncertainties if directly applied for flood frequency estimation. This study applies regional Flood Frequency Analysis (FFA) to curtail deficiencies in historical data, by agglomerating data from various sites with similar hydro-geomorphological characteristics and is governed by a similar probability distribution, differing only by an “index-flood”;as well as accounting for climate variability effect. Data from 17 gauging stations within the Ogun-Osun River Basin in Western Nigeria were analysed, resulting in the delineation of 3 sub-regions, of which 2 were homogeneous and 1 heterogeneous. The Generalized Logistic distribution was fitted to the annual maximum flood series for the 2 homogeneous regions to estimate flood magnitudes and the probability of occurrence while accounting for climate variability. The influence of climate variability on flood estimates in the region was linked to the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) climate indices and resulted in increased flood magnitude for regional and direct flood frequency estimates varying from 0% - 35% and demonstrate that multi-decadal changes in atmospheric conditions influence both small and large floods. The results reveal the value of considering climate variability for flood frequency analysis, especially when non-stationarity is established by homogeneity analysis.
文摘In recent years, China's logistics market has developed very fast, characterized in demand and supply aspects. Such increase in logistics and other industries of China's economy, give more opportunity to the cooperation of logistics system in Northeast Asia. This paper will give more detailed analysis on the logistics market in China with the data coming from the recent survey of the research center of logistics in Nankai University and National Development and Reform Commission.
文摘This article focuses on the regional advantages to develop international logistics aiming at Southeast Asia in Yunnan province and intends to prove that it's of great significance to develop this kind of international logistics. Further, it analyzes the status quo, market demand and problems existing in Yunnan's international logistics and puts forward proposals as how to develop international logistics aiming at Southeast Asia in Yunnan province.
文摘This paper analyzes the factors that influence the development of regional industry cluster, which are location factors, accumulatable factors, and external factors. Then regarding the similarity between the development of industry cluster and biology community, a modified logistic model is built, and a field study is made between the real instances and the model.