Structural Characteristics and Influencing Factors of Carbon Emission Spatial Association Network:A Case Study of Yangtze River Delta City Cluster,China

City cluster is an effective platform for encouraging regionally coordinated development.Coordinated reduction of carbon emissions within city cluster via the spatial association network between cities can help coordinate the regional carbon emission management,realize sustainable development,and assist China in achieving the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals.This paper applies the improved gravity model and social network analysis(SNA)to the study of spatial correlation of carbon emissions in city clusters and analyzes the structural characteristics of the spatial correlation network of carbon emissions in the Yangtze River Delta(YRD)city cluster in China and its influencing factors.The results demonstrate that:1)the spatial association of carbon emissions in the YRD city cluster exhibits a typical and complex multi-threaded network structure.The network association number and density show an upward trend,indicating closer spatial association between cities,but their values remain generally low.Meanwhile,the network hierarchy and network efficiency show a downward trend but remain high.2)The spatial association network of carbon emissions in the YRD city cluster shows an obvious‘core-edge’distribution pattern.The network is centered around Shanghai,Suzhou and Wuxi,all of which play the role of‘bridges’,while cities such as Zhoushan,Ma'anshan,Tongling and other cities characterized by the remote location,single transportation mode or lower economic level are positioned at the edge of the network.3)Geographic proximity,varying levels of economic development,different industrial structures,degrees of urbanization,levels of technological innovation,energy intensities and environmental regulation are important influencing factors on the spatial association of within the YRD city cluster.Finally,policy implications are provided from four aspects:government macro-control and market mechanism guidance,structural characteristics of the‘core-edge’network,reconfiguration and optimization of the spatial layout of the YRD city cluster,and the application of advanced technologies.

Comprehensive Measurement for Carrying Capacity of Resources and Environment of City Clusters in Central China

Studying the carrying capacity of resources and environment of city clusters in the central China has important practical guidance significance for promoting the healthy, sustainable and stable development of this region. According to their influencing factors and reciprocity mechanism, using system dynamics approaches, this paper built a SD model for measuring the carrying capacity of resources and environment of the city clusters in the central China, and through setting different development models, the comprehensive measurement analysis on the carrying capacity was carried out. The results show that the model of promoting socio-economic development under the protection of resources and environment is the optimal model for promoting the harmony development of resources, environment, society and economy in the city clusters. According to this model, the optimum population scale of the city clusters in 2020 is 42.80×106 persons, and the moderate economic development scale is 22.055×1012 yuan (RMB). In 1996-2020, the carrying capacity of resources and environment in the city clusters took on obvious phase-change characteristics. During the studied period, it is basically at the initial development stage, and will come through the development process from slow development to speedup development.

Issues of Eco-agricultural Industrialization for Big Qinling Eco-city Cluster

Firstly,the necessities of ecological agriculture development in Big Qinling Eco-city Cluster were discussed.Then,condition endowment of eco-agricultural industrialization in Big Qinling Eco-city Cluster was analyzed from the aspects of basic conditions and differential endowment of eco-agricultural industrialization.Finally,specific forms and functional orientation of eco-agriculture were pointed out.Countermeasures for the eco-agricultural industrialization in Big Qinling Eco-city Cluster were put forward.Firstly,the government guidance and the media publicity should be strengthened.Secondly,financial support for the eco-agricultural industrialization in Big Qinling Eco-city Cluster should be enhanced.Thirdly,branding strategies of eco-agricultural products in Big Qinling Eco-city Cluster should be implemented as soon as possible.

Order Exponential Evaluation Model for Road Traffic Safety in City Clusters

This study presents an order exponential model for estimating road traffic safety in city clusters.The proposed model introduces the traffic flow intrinsic properties and uses the characteristics and regular patterns of traffic development to identify road traffic safety levels in city clusters.Additionally,an evaluation index system of city cluster road traffic safety was constructed based on the spatial and temporal distribution.Then Order Exponential Evaluation Model(OEEM),a comprehensive model using order exponent function for road traffic safety evaluation,was put forward,which considers the main characteristics and the generation process of traffic accidents.The model effectively controlled the unsafe behavior of the traffic system.It could define the levels of city cluster road traffic safety and dynamically detect road safety risk.The proposed model was verified with statistical data from three Chinese city clusters by comparing the common model for road traffic safety with an ideal model.The results indicate that the order exponent approach undertaken in this study can be extended and applied to other research topics and fields.

Evaluation of carrying capacity of city clusters in China with the example of the Blue Economic Zone of Shandong Peninsula

The conflict between city development and urban carrying capacity is getting ever prominent.In order to study and predict the restriction factors and prominent problems in the development of the Shandong Peninsula Blue Economic Zone as well as promote the transfer of economic development pattern in this region,this study starts from four single factor carrying capacity indicators of water,earth,transportation and environment in the city and its comprehensive carrying capacity indicator,evaluates and analyzes its carrying capacity and then papooses policy suggestions for improving its carrying capacity.

Research on the Joint Development of Cities of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area: A Case Study of Foshan City

Promoting the construction of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area is a major policy decision and national strategy made by the central government of China,which significantly supports the Belt and Road Initiative and maintains the long-term prosperity for the whole country.As an important part of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area,Foshan needs to find its own position and direction in order to accelerate the joint development with other cities through five measures.

Development Status and Policy Path of Cultivating Marine Bio-industry Cluster in Zhanjiang City

Cultivating the marine bio-industry cluster is a key industrial strategy for Zhanjiang to seize the manufacturing position of Guangdong's marine economy. By deconstructing the overall scale,characteristics and industrial composition of marine bio-industry cluster and the development status of the industrial parks and bases in Zhanjiang,the resource misallocation coefficient was used to analyze the problems in the marine bio-industry cluster and the resource allocation in Zhanjiang. It is found that in the cultivation of the marine bio-industry cluster in Zhanjiang,the leading effect of leading enterprises needs to be upgraded,the key technologies needs to be broken,the scientific and technological service system needs to be improved,and policy support needs to be strengthened. Moreover,there are serious resource misallocation and high efficiency losses. By optimizing resource allocation,the healthy development of cultivation of marine bio-industry cluster in Zhanjiang will be promoted. To this end,the policy paths that the government can implement are as follows: improving the market access system to appropriately guide medium and small-sized marine enterprises to enter the marine bio-industry,inspiring the marine bio-industry market demand with the industrialization of innovation results as the guide,improving the legal guarantee system to create an innovative atmosphere for the marine bio-industry,and promoting the deepening of the division of labor in the industrial parks.

城市群规划实施效果评估研究——以长株潭城市群为例

长株潭城市群经济发展对于湖南省以及中国中西部地区的发展至关重要,且该城市群规划实施的效果对其他城市群有重要借鉴意义。基于此,文章根据2000-2017年地级市面板数据,采用合成控制法,评估长株潭城市群规划实施后对城镇化和环境质量的影响。评估分析表明,长株潭城市群规划的实施推动了城市群城乡融合,在一定程度上促进了城镇化的进程,但对环境造成了一定的负面影响,其原因在于长株潭城市群内城市之间的非均衡发展。因此,城市群应着眼于制定合理规划,促进城市均衡发展,重点落实城乡融合和生态文明;各级政府应加强公共治理,强化监督和治理责任,以更好地实现城市群规划的既定目标。

金融要素集聚的绿色创新效应:空间关联特征与城市群异质性

区域绿色技术创新体系建设是经济绿色转型的重要基础,而金融要素空间集聚则充当着科技创新活动的重要加速器。现有文献围绕着金融要素集聚和绿色技术创新两条主线展开广泛讨论,也关注到金融要素集聚所内生的绿色创新效应,但较少基于城市群这一新时期区域协同发展的新型空间载体,系统考察两者的空间关联效应及其区域异质性特征。因此,选取国内十大代表性城市群,对其内部金融要素集聚和绿色技术创新的时空演变轨迹和空间关联异质性进行多维度诊断。研究发现:第一,金融要素集聚有助于通过各种空间效应加速城市群内部的绿色金融发展,进而正向驱动区域绿色技术创新水平的提升;第二,城市群范围内的金融要素集聚不仅会对区域绿色技术创新产生明显的本地促进效应,也会同时形成显著的空间溢出效果;第三,金融要素集聚对于绿色技术创新的空间效应还会受到城市群金融集聚模式、行政层级特征、经济发展状况等因素制约。有鉴于此,区域协同发展过程中,应围绕城市群发展定位构建差异化的金融要素集聚模式,因之打造契合于不同城市群现实约束的绿色金融服务体系和绿色技术创新体系;同时深度挖掘金融要素集聚对于绿色金融发展和绿色技术创新的空间传导效应及其异质性特征,推动金融改革和绿色发展的有效空间互动。

黄河流域乡村集群的空间协同发展路径——以黄河滨州段为例

立足于黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展、乡村振兴国家战略在山东的地域性实践背景,基于对黄河流域乡村集群的空间协同发展路径研究,阐释乡村集群的概念并归纳沿黄乡村集群特征,从黄河流域乡村的发展壁垒入手,将乡村集群类型划分为城乡融合型、带状集聚型、组团提升型等3种集群空间模式,提出统筹体系架构与空间优化两层面的协同路径。随后,以《滨州市黄河沿岸国土空间规划》为例,以229个村庄为样本,构建由城乡融合示范区、特色集聚段、门户提升段构成的“一区三段”乡村集群空间格局,提出“尺度嵌合、显隐结合、城乡融合”的空间协同路径,以及空间多尺度的分类传导和规划多嵌套的分级传导体系,以期为黄河流域乡村高质量发展提供可参考的路径模式。

2011—2023年大连市发热伴血小板减少综合征流行病学特征及空间分析

目的对辽宁省大连市发热伴血小板减少综合征(SFTS)流行特征和空间聚集性进行分析,为SFTS的防控提供参考依据。方法从中国疾病预防控制信息系统传染病报告信息管理系统及大连市辖区各区市县疾控对所有SFTS确诊病例的转归追踪所收集的信息,采用描述性分析、Joinpoint回归模型分析及空间自相关分析方法分析SFTS流行特征及空间聚集性。结果2011—2023年大连市累计报告SFTS本地病例701例,死亡166例,年均报告发病率为0.77/10万(0.15/10万~1.93/10万),病死率为23.68%。大连市发病率呈逐年上升趋势,平均年度变化百分比为24.00%(P<0.05),死亡率呈上升趋势,平均年度变化百分比为20.95%(P<0.05)。病例集中在4—10月,夏季为发病高峰。中老年农民为发病主要人群。发病数居前3位的区市县分别为庄河市228例、瓦房店市194例、普兰店区156例,占病例总数的82.45%。全局空间自相关分析显示,自2017—2023年,每年SFTS发病数存在空间聚集性(P<0.05)。局部空间自相关分析显示,“高-高”聚集区主要在庄河市、普兰店区和瓦房店市等大连北部山区。结论2011—2023年大连市SFTS发病呈上升、扩散趋势,具有明显空间聚集性;中老年人群发病及病死风险高:呈现明显的季节分布特征。

宜荆荆恩森林城市群建设的总体布局研究

宜昌市、荆州市、荆门市和恩施州构成的宜荆荆恩城市群是湖北省三大城市群之一,也是长江经济带上重要的生态安全屏障区,开展森林城市群建设对促进区域生态、经济、社会和文化协同发展具有重要意义。文章分析了宜荆荆恩城市群生态安全格局、森林湿地资源、生态产业发展、生物多样性保护等现状,从城市群尺度指出存在的问题和发展需求;在此基础上,提出“山区强四库,平原织两网,城乡提三景,全域筑四链”的宜荆荆恩森林城市群总体建设布局,并阐述具体的建设内容。

城市群型自创区创新共同体的建构基础与策略

创新共同体作为促进跨区域创新体系建设的有效途径,已成为城市群型自创区引领区域均衡发展和跨界协同创新的重要模式,其建构基础决定着自创区的创新路径选择与突破重点。结合城市群型自创区创新共同体的基本内涵与运行结构,设计涵盖自主创新力、协同配置力、效益贡献力和国际竞争力的“四力”评价体系,运用全局熵值法和耦合协调度模型测度我国8个城市群型自创区41个核心园区的“四力”耦合协调水平。结果表明:核心园区“四力”耦合协调水平整体呈结构稳定的偏态分布,板块间差异显著且趋势向好;自创区“四力”两极分化且优势各异。随后基于Dagum基尼系数揭示创新共同体建构基础的组内和组间差异,并对差异性溯源分析。组内差异显示:覆盖核心园区越多,协同创新难度越大;核心园区非均衡异化,差异性变动反差明显。组间差异显示:创新共同体建构基础表现出奋力争先、震荡纠缠、低速稳健、成长禁锢4种类型。基于此,从创新动力、协同配置、效益输出、国际竞争等方面提出创新共同体建构策略,以期为打造高质量紧密型创新生态圈提供参考。

宁波都市区森林城市群建设现状、发展指标与总体布局——基于中欧合作研究的城市群森林建设规划

区域是生态环境的共同体,需要协同在城市群尺度推进森林城市群建设。基于对宁波都市区森林城市群建设现状的分析,结合上位规划要求及国内外经验,构建包括7项一级指标(生态资源总量、生态网络、生态保护修复、生物多样性、生态文化、生态福利、区域协同)、24项二级指标的宁波都市区森林城市群建设指标体系;同时,立足宁波都市区现状与发展目标,形成都市区“两山三湾一岛链”,中心区“两屏一区、多廊多点”,生态建设核心区“绿心、绿隔、绿核、绿廊、绿网、绿园”的森林城市群分层布局。研究结果不仅对宁波都市区森林城市群的落地建设具有指导作用,也对我国其他地区森林城市群建设具有重要的参考价值。

宁波都市区城市群的生态环境问题与森林应对策略

2021年中欧双方联合开展了中欧绿色城镇化的城市森林应对关键技术研究项目,我国宁波都市区是长三角区域内的重要发展极核之一,其城市群建设也是该研究项目的典型案例。文章在总结宁波都市区“小城镇点状发展-大都市主导发展-城镇化高速发展”的发展历程的基础上,从区域尺度综合分析城市组团之间生态空间、森林质量与景观风貌、外来入侵植物、河流水系生态廊道、城乡居民生态福祉、平原村庄风貌等9个方面的生态环境问题,最后提出群域区生态共建共享共治、中心区生态空间查漏补缺、核心区生态服务能力提升和绿水青山变金山银山挖潜4方面的森林应对策略,以推进长三角区域生态协同、助力美丽杭州湾建设、构建宁波都市区生态安全共同体。

城市群集聚规模对城市工资水平的影响研究

城市群是城市发展的高级形态,近年来,随着我国城市发展水平的不断提高,城市群在区域经济中的地位日益突出。为了更好理解城市群的影响,以我国城市群作为研究对象,选取了相关城市2007-2021年的面板数据,对城市群集聚规模影响城市工资水平的方向和路径进行了实证分析。研究结果表明:城市群集聚规模对城市工资水平存在着显著的正向影响,且这种影响是异质的;城市群集聚规模主要通过推动城市产业升级和提升城市创新能力两种途径促进城市工资水平的提高。

影响城市交通发展的基础问题研究

中国城市的发展阶段和趋势特征与社会主义市场经济体制改革的进程息息相关,不同阶段经济社会、城乡建设、法律制度、行政管理、财税制度等各方面的变革都对城市交通发展产生深刻影响。因此,研究新时期城市交通的发展模式必须遵循国家政策和改革措施。通过梳理改革开放以来的变革进程,总结当前中国发展呈现的一系列阶段性新特征,包括社会主要矛盾转变为人民日益增长的美好生活需要和不平衡不充分的发展之间的矛盾,经济体制改革强调推动有效市场和有为政府的更好结合,法律制度规定将城市交通问题的事权和财权划分为地方事务,城市发展进入区域化、数字化、低碳化发展新阶段等。基于这些特征,要求坚持城市政府的主体地位,以改革促进城市交通发展,支撑现代化都市圈培育,面向居民需求提升城市可持续发展能力和竞争力。

中国省会航空节点城市复杂时空系统协调度变化及空间特征分析

航空运输业提升了城市系统的吸引力并激发新的交通需求,引导城市经济和空间结构快速演进。本文构建了包含经济、规模、外贸、科技、社会、环境、航空等要素在内的城市复杂时空系统指标体系,对中国省会航空节点城市及其构成的7个空管区的复杂时空系统发展的协调程度变化情况及时空聚类特征、空间溢出效应进行了分析。研究发现:2001—2019年,中国31个省会(首府、直辖市)航空节点城市在复杂时空系统发展过程中呈现了或分散、或集中的趋势特征,南方城市在研究末期的协调程度表现更好。7个空管区中,华北区协调度最高,新疆区、西北区、华东区、中南区的协调度水平发展增速较快,航空系统的平均协调度最高。各航空节点城市复杂时空系统协调度的时空聚类模式存在空间分异特征与聚类特征,航空系统在空管区的聚类优势最为突出,经济系统在空管区聚类辐射范围最大。航空、规模、科技与环境系统均表现了正向直接空间溢出效应,经济与科技系统表现了正向间接空间溢出效应。通过全面分析航空节点城市及空管区的复杂时空系统协调度变化,精准判定了航空节点城市多指标系统在区域发展过程中的影响程度及时空分布异质性,对拓展航空地理研究及促进航空节点城市高质量综合发展提供理论依据。

青藏高原城市群产业园区生态系统的界域与构建

新发展格局下,青藏高原作为“一带一路”建设的核心区,应以城市群尤其是其中的产业园区为重要载体,梳理生态系统界域,构建以产业生态、自然生态、社会生态为主要内容的高质量发展生态系统,推进生态保护与高质量发展。通过深入分析青藏高原城市群产业园区在生态系统构建过程中面临的资源集聚度较低、绿色循环基础薄弱、产城融合度不高、多元合作体制缺失等关键问题,继而从形成“三聚”递进式发展模式、提升绿色循环运营管理水平、加强园区向生态社区转型、提高飞地经济合作成效等方面提出构建青藏高原城市群产业园区生态系统的有效路径。

城市休闲产业聚类模式APM算法模型开发与校验

城市休闲相关产业的高质量发展对当前我国城市消费升级以及人居环境质量提升具有重要现实意义。但是,现有研究未能精准地捕捉海量广域分布的城市休闲产业的基本空间分布规律与结构,而已有的空间聚类算法较多适用于城市用地分析,未能很好地适用于离散分布的城市休闲产业研究。为此,文章基于空间兴趣点数据,开发距离通达值及空间集群中心点等算法,构建城市休闲旅游产业聚类模式空间算法模型(APM)。在以广州为例的研究中,APM模型捕捉出3170个以500 m步行生活圈为范围的城市休闲产业集群,校验了APM模型的科学性与应用价值。整体上,APM算法可以较好地捕捉城市休闲业态集群的空间结构,清晰识别城市休闲产业空间冷、热点分布的基本结构,由其捕捉行程的聚类边界与实际道路和建筑走向、水系边界、区域范围等重合度高,聚类集群符合实际情况,具备可信度与有效性。该研究是休闲产业集聚机制研究的一次方法创新,在算法精度、实际应用、可视化效率上均做出了创新性推进。与Fishnet方法相比,可以更科学精准地识别城市内部多个休闲消费商圈的边界,实现了高效率的城市休闲产业集群捕捉;与同位模型相比,可以呈现多类别的城市休闲业态结构,突破了现有研究只能捕捉两类业态组团的局限。