期刊文献+
共找到1,135篇文章
< 1 2 57 >
每页显示 20 50 100
Optimization of Engine Control Strategies for Low Fuel Consumption in Heavy-Duty Commercial Vehicles
1
作者 Shuilong He Yang Liu +3 位作者 Shanchao Wang Liangying Hu Fei Xiao Chao Li 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2023年第12期2693-2714,共22页
The reduction of fuel consumption in engines is always considered of vital importance.Along these lines,in this work,this goal was attained by optimizing the heavy-duty commercial vehicle engine control strategy.More ... The reduction of fuel consumption in engines is always considered of vital importance.Along these lines,in this work,this goal was attained by optimizing the heavy-duty commercial vehicle engine control strategy.More specifically,at first,a general first principles model for heavy-duty commercial vehicles and a transient fuel consumptionmodel for heavy-duty commercial vehicles were developed and the parameters were adjusted to fit the empirical data.The accuracy of the proposed modelwas demonstrated fromthe stage and the final results.Next,the control optimization problem resulting in low fuel consumption in heavy commercial vehicles was described,with minimal fuel usage as the optimization goal and throttle opening as the control variable.Then,a time-continuous engine management approach was assessed.Next,the factors that influence low fuel consumption in heavy-duty commercial vehicles were systematically examined.To reduce the computing complexity,the control strategies related to the time constraints of the engine were parametrized using three different methods.The most effective solution was obtained by applying a global optimization strategy because the constrained optimization problem was nonlinear.Finally,the effectiveness of the low-fuel consumption engine control strategy was demonstrated by comparing the simulated and field test results. 展开更多
关键词 Fuel consumption heavy-duty commercial vehicle engine control optimal control
下载PDF
Stability-Considered Lane Keeping Control of Commercial Vehicles Based on Improved APF Algorithm
2
作者 Bin Tang Zhengyi Yang +3 位作者 Haobin Jiang Ziyan Lin Zhanxiang Xu Zitian Hu 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第1期114-129,共16页
Regarding the lane keeping system,path tracking accuracy and lateral stability at high speeds need to be taken into account especially for commercial vehicles due to the characteristics of larger mass,longer wheelbase... Regarding the lane keeping system,path tracking accuracy and lateral stability at high speeds need to be taken into account especially for commercial vehicles due to the characteristics of larger mass,longer wheelbase and higher mass center.To improve the performance mentioned above comprehensively,the control strategy based on improved artificial potential field(APF)algorithm is proposed.In the paper,time to lane crossing(TLC)is introduced into the potential field function to enhance the accuracy of path tracking,meanwhile the vehicle dynamics parameters including yaw rate and lateral acceleration are chosen as the repulsive force field source.The lane keeping controller based on improved APF algorithm is designed and the stability of the control system is proved based on Lyapunov theory.In addition,adaptive inertial weight particle swarm optimization algorithm(AIWPSO)is applied to optimize the gain of each potential field function.The co-simulation results indicate that the comprehensive evaluation index respecting lane tracking accuracy and lateral stability is reduced remarkably.Finally,the proposed control strategy is verified by the HiL test.It provides a beneficial reference for dynamics control of commercial vehicles and enriches the theoretical development and practical application of artificial potential field method in the field of intelligent driving. 展开更多
关键词 Lane keeping control commercial vehicles Lateral stability Artificial potential field AIWPSO
下载PDF
A Shifting Strategy for Electric Commercial Vehicles Considering Mass and Gradient Estimation
3
作者 Weiguang Zheng Junzhu Zhang +3 位作者 Shanchao Wang Gaoshan Feng Xiaohong Xu Qiuxiang Ma 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2023年第10期489-508,共20页
The extended Kalman filter (EKF) algorithm and acceleration sensor measurements were used to identify vehiclemass and road gradient in the work. Four different states of fixed mass, variable mass, fixed slope and vari... The extended Kalman filter (EKF) algorithm and acceleration sensor measurements were used to identify vehiclemass and road gradient in the work. Four different states of fixed mass, variable mass, fixed slope and variableslope were set to simulate real-time working conditions, respectively. A comprehensive electric commercial vehicleshifting strategy was formulated according to the identification results. The co-simulation results showed that,compared with the recursive least square (RLS) algorithm, the proposed algorithm could identify the real-timevehicle mass and road gradient quickly and accurately. The comprehensive shifting strategy formulated had thefollowing advantages, e.g., avoiding frequent shifting of vehicles up the hill, making full use ofmotor braking downthe hill, and improving the overall performance of vehicles. 展开更多
关键词 EKF algorithm electric commercial vehicle vehicle mass road gradient comprehensive shifting strategy
下载PDF
Stochastic model predictive braking control for heavy-duty commercial vehicles during uncertain brake pressure and road profile conditions 被引量:1
4
作者 Ryota Nakahara Kazuma Sekiguchi +3 位作者 Kenichiro Nonaka Masahiro Takasugi Hiroki Hasebe Kenichi Matsubara 《Control Theory and Technology》 EI CSCD 2022年第2期248-262,共15页
When heavy-duty commercial vehicles(HDCVs)must engage in emergency braking,uncertain conditions such as the brake pressure and road profile variations will inevitably affect braking control.To minimize these uncertain... When heavy-duty commercial vehicles(HDCVs)must engage in emergency braking,uncertain conditions such as the brake pressure and road profile variations will inevitably affect braking control.To minimize these uncertainties,we propose a combined longitudinal and lateral controller method based on stochastic model predictive control(SMPC)that is achieved via Chebyshev–Cantelli inequality.In our method,SMPC calculates braking control inputs based on a finite time prediction that is achieved by solving stochastic programming elements,including chance constraints.To accomplish this,SMPC explicitly describes the probabilistic uncertainties to be used when designing a robust control strategy.The main contribution of this paper is the proposal of a braking control formulation that is robust against probabilistic friction circle uncertainty effects.More specifically,the use of Chebyshev–Cantelli inequality suppresses road profile influences,which have characteristics that are different from the Gaussian distribution,thereby improving both braking robustness and control performance against statistical disturbances.Additionally,since the Kalman filtering(KF)algorithm is used to obtain the expectation and covariance used for calculating deterministic transformed chance constraints,the SMPC is reformulated as a KF embedded deterministic MPC.Herein,the effectiveness of our proposed method is verified via a MATLAB/Simulink and TruckSim co-simulation. 展开更多
关键词 heavy-duty commercial vehicle Brake system Stochastic model predictive control Road profile
原文传递
Estimation of Light Commercial Vehicles Dynamics by Results of Road Tests and Simulation
5
作者 Anton Tumasov Anatoly Groshev Roman Musarsky Galina Konikova Yury Trusov Sergey Kostin 《通讯和计算机(中英文版)》 2014年第5期412-422,共11页
关键词 轻型商用车 道路试验 估计 模拟 设计参数 安全特性 仿真方法 实验数据
下载PDF
数字化、电动出行和城市物流是大趋势 德国汽车工业协会(VDA)主席马蒂亚斯-魏斯曼(Matthias Wissmann)谈第66届汉诺威国际商用车展(IAA Commercial Vehicles)
6
作者 禾页 《汽车与配件》 2016年第48期24-25,共2页
今年IAA的口号“Driven by Ideas'(创意驱动)在这场全球最重要的交通、物流和移动性行业贸易展上真正得到了贯彻落实。在汉诺威,未来正在变成看得见的现实。今年IAA的口号“Driven by Ideas”(创意驱动)在这场全球最重要的交通、物... 今年IAA的口号“Driven by Ideas'(创意驱动)在这场全球最重要的交通、物流和移动性行业贸易展上真正得到了贯彻落实。在汉诺威,未来正在变成看得见的现实。今年IAA的口号“Driven by Ideas”(创意驱动)在这场全球最重要的交通、物流和移动性行业贸易展上真正得到了贯彻落实。在汉诺威,未来正在变成看得见的现实。整个商用车行业向IAA观众展示了创新、创造力和先锋精神。这些品质表现在332款产品的全球首发和1 00多款产品的欧洲首发。此次IAA更是决策者的贸易展,并且国际化程度前所未有。 展开更多
关键词 汉诺威 国际商用车 IAA commercial vehicles Matthias Wissmann VDA 城市物流 汽车工业 机械工业 马蒂亚斯 德国
下载PDF
Obstructive sleep apnea among commercial vehicle drivers in Malaysia: Issues and initiatives
7
作者 Ameer Batcha Wahida Othman Ilhamah +3 位作者 Ahmad Mohamad Suffian Mohd Fahmi Aimi Mohamed Norlen Shaw Voon Wong 《Health》 2013年第8期80-86,共7页
Obstructive Sleep Apnea (OSA) has been identified by many studies as one of the significant contributing factors for motor vehicle accidents. However, only a small number of studies have been conducted in Malaysia. Ob... Obstructive Sleep Apnea (OSA) has been identified by many studies as one of the significant contributing factors for motor vehicle accidents. However, only a small number of studies have been conducted in Malaysia. Objective: This paper aims to highlight the prevalence of OSA among truck drivers and express bus drivers in Malaysia and efforts being undertaken to address issues related to OSA among commercial vehicle drivers. Methodology: Two separate studies were conducted: a cross sectional study among truck drivers and secondly among express bus drivers. The screening process for identifying the high risk group for OSA was done using Berlin questionnaire. Meanwhile, among express bus drivers, OSA was confirmed with sleep study using polysomnography test. Result: Screening of risk group of OSA among truck drivers revealed that 14.6% (19) of drivers were categorized as having high risk of OSA while 85.4% (111) having low risk of OSA. While, in another study, polysomnography test among express bus drivers showed that 83 (28.7%) had mild OSA, 26 (9.0%) had AHI moderate OSA, and 19 drivers (6.6%) severe OSA. Conclusion: This paper highlighted the issues of OSA among commercial vehicle drivers in Malaysia. With an alarming high prevalence, OSA should be a major road safety concern in this country. A special study focusing on sleep and fatigue related crashes may need to be conducted to complement the current studies and full implementation of existing efforts and initiatives to address OSA in road crashes should be realized by the relevant authorities. 展开更多
关键词 OSA OBSTRUCTIVE SLEEP APNEA commercial vehicle DRIVERS
下载PDF
FOTON Continues to hold its Championship as Global Largest Commercial Vehicle Manufacturer
8
《ChinAfrica》 2011年第7期53-53,共1页
Latest data from the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers(CAAM) shows that through 2010.China’s automobile sales surpassed 18 million, breaking the world record of annual auto sales previously held by the Un... Latest data from the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers(CAAM) shows that through 2010.China’s automobile sales surpassed 18 million, breaking the world record of annual auto sales previously held by the United States.Now that China has become a major global auto production player, how is Foton faring? CAAM statistics said production and sales volume of 展开更多
关键词 FOTON Continues to hold its Championship as Global Largest commercial vehicle Manufacturer In
下载PDF
Derivation of a Representative Engine Duty Cycle from On-Road Heavy-Duty Vehicle Driving Data
9
作者 Yuhui Peng Andrew C. Nix +2 位作者 Hailin Li Derek R. Johnson Robert S. Heltzel 《Journal of Transportation Technologies》 2017年第4期376-389,共14页
The heavy-duty vehicle fleet involved in delivering water and sand makes noticeable issues of exhaust emissions and fuel consumption in the process of shale gas development. To examine the possibility of converting th... The heavy-duty vehicle fleet involved in delivering water and sand makes noticeable issues of exhaust emissions and fuel consumption in the process of shale gas development. To examine the possibility of converting these heavy-duty diesel engines to run on natural gas-diesel dual-fuel, a transient engine duty cycle representing the real-world engine working conditions is necessary. In this paper, a methodology is proposed, and a target engine duty cycle comprising of 2231 seconds is developed from on-road data collected from 11 on-road sand and water hauling trucks. The similarity of inherent characteristics of the developed cycle and the base trip observed is evidenced by the 2.05% error of standard deviation and average values for normalized engine speed and engine torque. Our results show that the proposed approach is expected to produce a representative cycle of in-use heavy-duty engine behavior. 展开更多
关键词 ENGINE Duty Cycles On-Road heavy-duty vehicles Shale Gas Extraction
下载PDF
燃烧系统参数对商用车发动机燃烧和排放特性的影响研究
10
作者 雷基林 李臻卓 +3 位作者 刘懿 王伟超 宋国富 张海丰 《内燃机工程》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第2期54-63,74,共11页
为改善商用车发动机性能,采用计算流体力学(computational fluid dynamics,CFD)模拟、正交设计等方法,针对某商用车的燃烧室结构参数设计了4种新方案,并选取油束夹角、喷雾锥角、主喷正时等3个喷油参数开展多因素影响研究。结果表明:燃... 为改善商用车发动机性能,采用计算流体力学(computational fluid dynamics,CFD)模拟、正交设计等方法,针对某商用车的燃烧室结构参数设计了4种新方案,并选取油束夹角、喷雾锥角、主喷正时等3个喷油参数开展多因素影响研究。结果表明:燃烧室形状曲线向内收缩且最大半径增大的方案1燃烧室可提升缸内湍流特性,改善燃油浓度分布,使燃烧速度加快,油气混合更好,为最优方案。在喷油参数研究方案中,以碳烟(soot)排放为优化指标时,油束夹角对排放特性影响最大,最优匹配方案是油束夹角147°、喷雾锥角15°、主喷正时-1°,其缸内碳烟排放较原机下降13.91%,且NOx排放减少13.98%;以氮氧化物(nitrogen oxides,NOx)排放为优化指标时,主喷正时对排放特性影响最大,最优匹配方案是油束夹角160°、喷雾锥角25°、主喷正时-1°,其缸内NOx排放较原机降低37.79%。 展开更多
关键词 商用车 燃烧系统 燃烧室 喷油参数 燃烧特性 排放特性
下载PDF
基于UN R167法规的商用车直接视野3D虚拟测试方法研究
11
作者 丁李辉 于飞 +1 位作者 褚观耀 刘永刚 《客车技术与研究》 2024年第3期25-30,38,共7页
针对UN R167法规,构建商用车驾驶员直接视野的数字化模型。利用Blender仿真平台开发虚拟测试方法,求得商用车驾驶员直接视野体积。结果表明,所开发的虚拟测试方法的数据与实际尺寸测量法数据高度一致,而且能够提高测量效率,降低测量成本。
关键词 商用车 直接视野 R167法规 虚拟测试
下载PDF
江苏省重点营运车辆技术管理现状研究
12
作者 郝忠娜 马梅 《交通节能与环保》 2024年第2期100-103,共4页
近年来,江苏省内发生多起道路运输事故。调查表明,事故发生与涉事车辆的安全技术状况均有一定的直接关系。因此,对于交通运输管理部门来说,加强道路运输企业安全监管,督促企业认真执行道路运输车辆技术管理各项标准、规范和制度就显得... 近年来,江苏省内发生多起道路运输事故。调查表明,事故发生与涉事车辆的安全技术状况均有一定的直接关系。因此,对于交通运输管理部门来说,加强道路运输企业安全监管,督促企业认真执行道路运输车辆技术管理各项标准、规范和制度就显得尤为重要。本文从车辆技术状况抽检情况、车辆检验检测信息系统应用情况、事故发生与车辆技术状况抽检对比分析、车辆技术状况管理情况四个方面对2021年度江苏省车辆技术检测情况进行分析,归纳出车辆技术状况检测与管理中存在的主要问题,并提出相应的管理措施和发展建议。 展开更多
关键词 重点营运车辆 车辆技术 车辆检测 交通事故 安全监管
下载PDF
某商用汽车无法启动的故障分析
13
作者 闫云敬 《内燃机与配件》 2024年第6期82-84,共3页
人们生活水平提高以后,使用汽车的频率也越来越高,而汽车在经过长时间的使用也必定会出现一些故障,尤其是商用汽车由于经常运输货物和大量的人员,磨损率更大,为了可以对汽车进行有效的维修和保养,需要对汽车故障进行快速的排除。本文以... 人们生活水平提高以后,使用汽车的频率也越来越高,而汽车在经过长时间的使用也必定会出现一些故障,尤其是商用汽车由于经常运输货物和大量的人员,磨损率更大,为了可以对汽车进行有效的维修和保养,需要对汽车故障进行快速的排除。本文以某商用汽车发动机无法启动为例,对其进行了故障现象和故障分析,同时也对发动机无法启动的原因进行了分析,然后通过故障分析方法对此商用汽车无法启动的故障原因进行了判断和思考。 展开更多
关键词 商用汽车 汽车故障 无法启动 故障分析
下载PDF
一种商用车多轮胎压系统生产管控应用管理办法
14
作者 高李明 《汽车电器》 2024年第4期61-62,共2页
文章简要介绍一种新型商用车多轮胎压生产装配方式,运用信息化、数字化技术,大大提高生产效率,保障售后维修中的数据同步,杜绝人为导致的维修问题。
关键词 胎压系统 商用车 MES EOL
下载PDF
商用电动车电池模组热管理研究
15
作者 刘江文 张轩 《时代汽车》 2024年第14期120-122,共3页
文章在已有的研究成果基础上,提出搭建特定模型分析电池模组产热情况的研究思路,并结合有限元仿真计算方法,进一步探究基于不同环境温度条件,电池在不同恒流倍率工况下的热流特性。研究结果表明,根据仿真分析结果所提出的电池模块风道... 文章在已有的研究成果基础上,提出搭建特定模型分析电池模组产热情况的研究思路,并结合有限元仿真计算方法,进一步探究基于不同环境温度条件,电池在不同恒流倍率工况下的热流特性。研究结果表明,根据仿真分析结果所提出的电池模块风道改进方案,可以有效降低电池模组最高温度,同时解决内部温度分布不均匀问题,能为后续优化商用电动车电池设计提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 商用电动车 电池模组 热管理
下载PDF
钢-铝混合驾驶室材料-结构轻量化设计 被引量:1
16
作者 王超 李明 +2 位作者 成艾国 何智成 于万元 《汽车工程》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2024年第4期735-744,690,共11页
为了得到更为完善的商用车驾驶室轻量化设计,提出了钢-铝混合驾驶室材料-结构一体化轻量化方法。首先基于灵敏度分析、等刚度近似理论与等强度理论建立了性能驱动的材料选择方法,并针对钢制驾驶室初步设计了钢-铝混合材料方案。然后通... 为了得到更为完善的商用车驾驶室轻量化设计,提出了钢-铝混合驾驶室材料-结构一体化轻量化方法。首先基于灵敏度分析、等刚度近似理论与等强度理论建立了性能驱动的材料选择方法,并针对钢制驾驶室初步设计了钢-铝混合材料方案。然后通过折衷规划法的拓扑优化识别了驾驶室关键传力路径,并加强了相关结构。其次考虑驾驶室零件厚度、截面尺寸设计参数,建立了驾驶室质量、刚度及模态性能的径向基函数的代理模型,并采用多目标粒子群优化方法对驾驶室进行多目标优化设计。优化结果表明,在满足驾驶室刚度、模态和碰撞性能的要求下,驾驶室质量减轻了12.8%。该方法对钢-铝混合驾驶室轻量化有实际的工程指导价值。 展开更多
关键词 商用车驾驶室 钢-铝混合 轻量化 拓扑优化 多目标粒子群优化
下载PDF
基于生命周期的轻型商用货车轻量化碳排放研究
17
作者 汤捷 谢航 +5 位作者 吕强 梁晓静 袁琨 张庭婷 谢晓敏 黄震 《汽车工程学报》 2024年第3期502-510,共9页
以某轻型商用货车为研究对象,根据生命周期理论构建以汽车生产过程中的原材料获取、生产运输、零部件制造和车辆装配阶段为边界的碳排放量计算模型,探讨了轻量化措施中所涉及材料的生命周期碳排放差异,对比分析了该车轻量化前后的碳排... 以某轻型商用货车为研究对象,根据生命周期理论构建以汽车生产过程中的原材料获取、生产运输、零部件制造和车辆装配阶段为边界的碳排放量计算模型,探讨了轻量化措施中所涉及材料的生命周期碳排放差异,对比分析了该车轻量化前后的碳排放量。结果表明,替代材料铝合金、镁合金、碳纤维增强塑料的生命周期碳(CO_(2))排放量显著高于被替代材料钢和铸造铁,分别为6.23 kg/kg(锻造铝合金)、6.92 kg/kg(铸造铝合金)、14.76 kg/kg(车用镁合金)、20.2 kg/kg(车用碳纤维增强塑料)、2.85 kg/kg(普通钢)、0.67 kg/kg(不锈钢)和0.81 kg/kg(铸造铁);轻量化后的动力总成系统、传动系统、底盘和车身部分的碳(CO_(2))排放量分别增加了0.57%、525.51%、11.57%和33.29%,车辆生命周期碳(CO_(2))排放量增加了36.22%;钢和铝生命周期碳(CO_(2))排放量的降低对于轻量化前后车体部分的减碳效果均较明显。 展开更多
关键词 商用车 生命周期 碳排放 轻量化
下载PDF
基于Cruise的重型商用车性能匹配分析
18
作者 余明江 王曦 +2 位作者 彭鹄 吴涛 徐远志 《科技创新与应用》 2024年第8期67-70,共4页
针对重型商用车动力系统开发周期长、成本高的问题,该文首先参考法规基于MATLAB编写程序生成需要的换挡策略,再通过AVL Cruise对整车性能匹配进行建模和仿真分析,得到油耗、动力性都满足要求的最优动力方案,并与该方案对应的实测值进行... 针对重型商用车动力系统开发周期长、成本高的问题,该文首先参考法规基于MATLAB编写程序生成需要的换挡策略,再通过AVL Cruise对整车性能匹配进行建模和仿真分析,得到油耗、动力性都满足要求的最优动力方案,并与该方案对应的实测值进行对比分析。结果表明,仿真结果与实测结果基本吻合,模型仿真可以代替实测对整车性能提前评估,缩短产品开发周期和成本。 展开更多
关键词 商用车 油耗 动力性 CRUISE 换挡策略
下载PDF
商用车电控转向系统的发展现状与趋势
19
作者 董梒 季学武 +4 位作者 陶书鑫 蒋体通 何祥坤 王恒 刘亚辉 《汽车工程》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2024年第5期816-829,共14页
商用车转向系统的电控化是实现商用车节能化和智能化的必由之路,为此商用车转向系统从传统的液压助力转向系统发展到以电液耦合助力转向系统为代表的电控转向系统。本文将对商用车电控转向技术进行综述,从电控转向系统的典型构型、智能... 商用车转向系统的电控化是实现商用车节能化和智能化的必由之路,为此商用车转向系统从传统的液压助力转向系统发展到以电液耦合助力转向系统为代表的电控转向系统。本文将对商用车电控转向技术进行综述,从电控转向系统的典型构型、智能转向控制和功能安全设计3个方面对商用车电控转向技术的研究进行梳理,总结电控转向技术的重点研究领域和未来发展方向。梳理总结发现:(1)在系统构型方面,商用车电控转向系统以电液耦合转向助力技术为主,着重于实现商用车智能转向功能,同时兼顾节能化需求;商用车电动助力转向系统是未来理想的电控转向技术方案。(2)在智能控制方面,为了适应商用车智能化的发展,转向执行控制着重于解决液压系统所造成的非线性与时滞性问题以及轨迹跟随过程中的横向动力学控制难题;辅助驾驶功能着重于克服液压系统的非线性导致的转向力矩不连续以及人机控制权的分配;自动驾驶功能着重于提升安全性与燃油经济性。(3)在系统功能安全设计方面,商用车电控转向系统着重于设计符合功能安全标准的故障诊断与容错控制策略。 展开更多
关键词 商用车电控转向系统 智能转向控制 功能安全 容错控制策略
下载PDF
中国零碳商用车市场渗透率建模:以重型长途牵引货车为例
20
作者 郝旭 陆贤涛 +2 位作者 杨静 郑亚莉 王贺武 《汽车工程》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2024年第2期253-259,共7页
商用车碳减排已经成为我国道路交通减碳的关键瓶颈,新能源商用车被视作重型商用车减碳的重要途径,但是新能源商用车的市场渗透率远低于其他车辆部门;但与此同时,现阶段新能源零碳商用车的发展还存在着应用场景复杂、技术路径多样化、同... 商用车碳减排已经成为我国道路交通减碳的关键瓶颈,新能源商用车被视作重型商用车减碳的重要途径,但是新能源商用车的市场渗透率远低于其他车辆部门;但与此同时,现阶段新能源零碳商用车的发展还存在着应用场景复杂、技术路径多样化、同时成本较高的显著的瓶颈。本研究构建了基于新能源汽车总拥有成本(total cost of ownership,TCO)、使用便利性等因素的多元Logit离散选择模型——零碳商用车市场演进模型(discrete choice-based market evolution of green truck model,DC-MEGT),使用自下向上的方法计算TCO,并将车辆使用便利性使用补能时间成本进行货币化量化,构建综合效用函数对纯电动车、燃料电池汽车及零碳燃料等不同动力类型从目前到2060年的市场渗透率演进情况进行预测分析。研究以重型长途牵引场景为例进行分析,结果表明2060年主要的技术路径包括燃料电池汽车、纯电动车、天然气及柴油车,占比分别为48%、28%、12%和10%。政策推广、技术进步、商业模式等因素的不确定性会引发纯电动车和燃料电池汽车2060年市场份额17%~19%的波动。 展开更多
关键词 新能源商用车 市场渗透率 离散选择模型 总拥有成本 使用便利性
下载PDF
上一页 1 2 57 下一页 到第
使用帮助 返回顶部