The links between low temperature and the incidence of disease have been studied by many researchers. What remains still unclear is the exact nature of the relation, especially the mechanism by which the change of wea...The links between low temperature and the incidence of disease have been studied by many researchers. What remains still unclear is the exact nature of the relation, especially the mechanism by which the change of weather effects on the onset of diseases. The existence of lag period between exposure to temperature and its effect on mortality may reflect the nature of the onset of diseases. Therefore, to assess lagged effects becomes potentially important. The most of studies on lags used the method by Lag-distributed Poisson Regression, and neglected extreme case as random noise to get correlations. In order to assess the lagged effect, we proposed a new approach, i.e., Hidden Markov Model by Self Organized Map (HMM by SOM) apart from well-known regression models. HMM by SOM includes the randomness in its nature and encompasses the extreme cases which were neglected by auto-regression models. The daily data of the number of patients transported by ambulance in Nagoya, Japan, were used. SOM was carried out to classify the meteorological elements into six classes. These classes were used as “states” of HMM. HMM was used to describe a background process which might produce the time series of the incidence of diseases. The background process was considered to change randomly weather states, classified by SOM. We estimated the lagged effects of weather change on the onset of both cerebral infarction and ischemic heart disease. This fact is potentially important in that if one could trace a path in the chain of events leading from temperature change to death, one might be able to prevent it and avert the fatal outcome.展开更多
Heart murmur recognition and classification play an important role in the auscultative diagnosis. The method based on hidden markov model (HMM) was presented to recognize the heart murmur. The murmur was isolated on b...Heart murmur recognition and classification play an important role in the auscultative diagnosis. The method based on hidden markov model (HMM) was presented to recognize the heart murmur. The murmur was isolated on basis of the principle of wavelet analysis considering the time-frequency characteristics of the heart murmur. This method uses Mel frequency cepstral coefficient (MFCC) to extract representative features and develops hidden Markov model (HMM) for signal classification. The result shows that this method?is able to recognize the murmur efficiently and superior to BP?neural network (94.2% vs 82.8%). And the findings suggest that the method may have the potential to be used to assist doctors for a more objective diagnosis.展开更多
文摘The links between low temperature and the incidence of disease have been studied by many researchers. What remains still unclear is the exact nature of the relation, especially the mechanism by which the change of weather effects on the onset of diseases. The existence of lag period between exposure to temperature and its effect on mortality may reflect the nature of the onset of diseases. Therefore, to assess lagged effects becomes potentially important. The most of studies on lags used the method by Lag-distributed Poisson Regression, and neglected extreme case as random noise to get correlations. In order to assess the lagged effect, we proposed a new approach, i.e., Hidden Markov Model by Self Organized Map (HMM by SOM) apart from well-known regression models. HMM by SOM includes the randomness in its nature and encompasses the extreme cases which were neglected by auto-regression models. The daily data of the number of patients transported by ambulance in Nagoya, Japan, were used. SOM was carried out to classify the meteorological elements into six classes. These classes were used as “states” of HMM. HMM was used to describe a background process which might produce the time series of the incidence of diseases. The background process was considered to change randomly weather states, classified by SOM. We estimated the lagged effects of weather change on the onset of both cerebral infarction and ischemic heart disease. This fact is potentially important in that if one could trace a path in the chain of events leading from temperature change to death, one might be able to prevent it and avert the fatal outcome.
文摘Heart murmur recognition and classification play an important role in the auscultative diagnosis. The method based on hidden markov model (HMM) was presented to recognize the heart murmur. The murmur was isolated on basis of the principle of wavelet analysis considering the time-frequency characteristics of the heart murmur. This method uses Mel frequency cepstral coefficient (MFCC) to extract representative features and develops hidden Markov model (HMM) for signal classification. The result shows that this method?is able to recognize the murmur efficiently and superior to BP?neural network (94.2% vs 82.8%). And the findings suggest that the method may have the potential to be used to assist doctors for a more objective diagnosis.
