基于Ordered Probit模型的人车冲突安全影响因素研究

为探究和定量分析人车冲突严重程度的影响因素,通过采集3个信号交叉口的人车冲突视频数据,利用T-Analyst标定人车轨迹并计算冲突指标(PET),采用85%位累计频率曲线法划分人车冲突等级;从人、车、路及环境特征中选取10个因素作为变量,构建Ordered Probit模型,以确立人车冲突严重程度的显著影响因素,并通过边际效应定量分析不同显著因素的影响程度。研究结果表明:行人闯红灯情况、年龄、行人交通量、人行道占用情况、人行道起点终点、车辆速度变化及车流量是人车冲突严重程度的显著因素,相较于各自参考量,行人闯红灯、车辆加速通过冲突点、人行道起点及老年人造成严重冲突的概率分别增加8.2%,5.9%,5.1%,4.4%;相较于低流量的交通流,较高流量的车流和行人交通流使得严重冲突的概率分别增加3.7%,2.5%,但人行道占用使得严重冲突的概率下降6.8%。研究结果可为信号交叉口行人过街交通安全设施的设计和实施提供理论依据。

“Buckets effect”in the kinetics of electrocatalytic reactions

In this study,we systematically investigated the effect of proton concentration on the kinetics of the oxygen reduction reaction(ORR)on Pt(111)in acidic solutions.Experimental results demonstrate a rectangular hyperbolic relationship,i.e.,the ORR current excluding the effect of other variables increases with proton concentration and then tends to a constant value.We consider that this is caused by the limitation of ORR kinetics by the trace oxygen concentration in the solution,which determines the upper limit of ORR kinetics.A model of effective concentration is further proposed for rectangular hyperbolic relationships:when the reactant concentration is high enough to reach a critical saturation concentration,the effective reactant concentration will become a constant value.This could be due to the limited concentration of a certain reactant for reactions involving more than one reactant or the limited number of active sites available on the catalyst.Our study provides new insights into the kinetics of electrocatalytic reactions,and it is important for the proper evaluation of catalyst activity and the study of structureperformance relationships.

Magnetic ordering induced magnetodielectric effect in Ho_(2)Cu_(2)O_(5) and Yb_(2)Cu_(2)O_(5)

Materials with strongly coupled magnetic and electronic degrees of freedom provide new possibilities for practical applications.In this paper,we have investigated the structure,magnetic property,and magnetodielectric(MD) effect in Ho_(2)Cu_(2)O_(5) and Yb_(2)Cu_(2)O_(5) poly crystalline samples,which possess a non-centrosymmetric polar structure with space group Pna2_(1).In Ho_(2)Cu_(2)O_(5),Ho^(3+) and Cu^(2+) sublattices order simultaneously,exhibiting a typical paramagnetic to antiferromagnetic transition at 13.1 K.While for Yb_(2)Cu_(2)O_(5),two magnetic transitions which originate from the orderings of Yb^(3+)(7.8 K) and Cu^(2+)(13.5 K) sublattices are observed.A magnetic field induced metamagnetic transition is obtained in these two cuprates below Neel temperature(T_(N)).By means of dielectric measurement,distinct MD effect is demonstrated by the dielectric anomaly at T_(N.)Meanwhile,the MD effect is found to be directly related to the metamagnetic transition.Due to the specific spin configuration and different spin evolution in the magnetic field,a positive MD effect is formed in Ho_(2)Cu_(2)O_(5),and a negative one is observed in Yb_(2)Cu_(2)O_(5).The spontaneous dielectric anomaly at T_(N) is regarded as arising from the shifts in optical phonon frequencies,and the magnetoelectric coupling is used to interpret the magnetic field induced MD effect.Moreover,an H-T phase diagram is constructed for Ho_(2)Cu_(2)O_(5) and Yb_(2)Cu_(2)O_(5) based on the results of isothermal magnetic and dielectric hysteresis loops.

Higher-order effects on self-similar parabolic pulse in the microstructured fibre amplifier

By considering higher-order effects, the properties of self-similar parabolic pulses propagating in the microstructured fibre amplifier with a normal group-velocity dispersion have been investigated. The numerical results indicate that the higher-order effects can badly distort self-similar parabolic pulse shape and optical spectrum, and at the same time the peak shift and oscillation appear, while the pulse still reveals highly linear chirp but grows into asymmetry. The influence of different higher-order effects on self-similar parabolic pulse propagation has been analysed. It shows that the self-steepening plays a more important role. We can manipulate the geometrical parameters of the microstructured fibre amplifier to gain a suitable dispersion and nonlinearity coefficient which will keep high-quality self-similar parabolic pulse propagation. These results are significant for the further study of self-similar parabolic pulse propagation.

Magnetism, heat capacity, magnetocaloric effect, and magneto-transport properties of heavy fermion antiferromagnet CeGaSi

We synthesize high-quality single crystal of CeGaSi by a Ga self-flux method and investigate its physical properties through magnetic susceptibility,specific heat and electrical resistivity measurements as well as high pressure effect.Magnetic measurements reveal that an antiferromagnetic order develops below T_(m)~10.4 K with magnetic moments orientated in the ab plane.The enhanced electronic specific heat coefficient and the negative logarithmic slope in the resistivity of CeGaSi indicate that the title compound belongs to the family of Kondo system with heavy fermion ground states.The max magnetic entropy change-ΔS_(M)^(max)(μ_(0)H⊥c,μ_(0)H=7 T) around T_(m) is found to reach up to 11.85 J·kg^(-1)·K^(-1).Remarkably,both the antiferromagnetic transition temperature and-ln T behavior increase monotonically with pressure applied to 20 kbar(1 bar=10~5 Pa),indicating that much higher pressure will be needed to reach its quantum critical point.

跨境电商出口满意度的影响研究——基于ORDERED、LOGIT方法的实证分析

本文使用欧洲晴雨表(Eurobarometer)数据,运用Ordered Logit模型计量方法对跨境电商满意度的影响因素感进行了研究。实证结果表明,个体因素中年纪、收入对于跨境购物满意度没有显著影响;物流因素包邮、丢件率、物流准时送达等因素提高跨境购物满意度的概率;品牌认知度和互联网信任度与跨境购物满意度显著正相关;个体样本数据而言欧盟男性整体比女性对于跨境购买更满意,但涉及到收入、包邮等其他因素,丢包、物流准时送达等因素更能提高女性对跨境购物满意度的概率。因此,跨境电商的发展应该完善物流系统、尽快确立信任机制。便捷当地支付方式等措施提高跨境购物满意度,进而提高我国跨境电商的出口。

EFFECT OF MARTENSITE ORDERING ON SME IN A Cu-Zn-Al ALLOY

The correlation between the shape memory effect(SME)and the ordering degree in martensite formed through various heat-treatment processes,e.g.ice water quenching, step-quenching and aging etc.,has been studied in a Cu-26Zn-4Al alloy.The martensite or- dering degree is estimated by △d,the spacing difference of some pairs of diffracting planes with indices satisfying a relation of(h_1~2-h_2~2)/3=(k_2~2-k_1~2)/n(n=1 for 9R martensite,n=4 for 18R martensite).M 18R martensite is obtained from step-quenching,in which the value of △d increases with the holding duration of step-quenching,and the shape recovery rate η increases synchronouslly.9R martensite is obtained from direct water-quenching,the value of △d is quite large and SME is also good at just quenching state.But both △d and η decrease continuously with aging time at room temperature.This stabilization phe- nomenon of martensite is explained by the observation of TEM lattice fringe image,and it may be attributed to the clustering of quenched-in supersaturated vacancies at (001)_M close-packed plane in martensite and decreasing the ordering degree.A reduction in △d and η occuring in the specimens on step-quenching or aging at higher temperature, which may be related to the precipitation of the α-phase and the enrichment of solute atoms, decreases the ordering degree.

Effects of anharmonic lattice distortion on orbital and magnetic orderings in KCuF_3

Lattice, magnetic and orbital structures in KCuF3 are self-consistently determined by our cluster self-consistent field approach based on a spin-orbital-lattice Hamiltonian. Two stable structures are obtained and found to be degenerate, which confirms the presence of the coexistent phases observed experimentally. We clearly show that due to the inherent frustration, the ground state of the system only with the superexchange interaction is degenerate; while the Jahn-Teller distortion, especially the anharmonic effect, stabilizes the orbital ordered phase at about 23% in the x2-y2 orbit and at 77% in the 3z2-r2 orbit. Meanwhile the magnetic moment of Cu is considerably reduced to 0.56μB, and magnetic coupling strengths are highly anisotropic, Jx/Jxy ≈ 18. These results are in good agreement with the experiments, implying that the anharmonic Jahn-Teller effect plays an essential role in stabilising the orbital ordered ground state of KCuF3.

Analysis of Second-Order Effect in Frame

The second order effect is the interaction between the vertical load and the deformation in a vertically forced element. In order to deduce a more brief but practical method, which has considered the second order effect in a sway frame, some factors which affect the second order deformation in a sway frame should be generalized based on a more accurate method. Nonlinear finite element is adopted in this paper, and according to this theory, a program, which can calculate the inner force and the deformation of the sway frame considering the second order effects is coded.

THE ILLUSTRATION CALCULATIONS OF SECOND ORDER EFFECTS IN ELASTIC HALF-SPACE ACTED UPON BY A NON-UNIFORM SHEAR LOAD

This paper is a continuation of [1]. An example is discussed in derail to illustrate the second order effects. Numerical calculations for the second order elastic material for the z-direction displacement and the stress t(rz) are carried out. It is found that the second order effect is to reduce z-direction displacement and to decrease t(rz)inside the circle but to increase its value outside the circle.

THE GENERAL SOLUTION OF SECOND ORDER EFFECTS IN ELASTIC HALF-SPACE ACTED UPON BY A NON-UNIFORM SHEAR LOAD

This paper is a continuation of [1]. A closed form solution to the second order elasticity problem, when an isotropic compressible elastic half-space undergoes a deformation owing to a non-uniformly distributed shear load, is presented. The method of integral transform is employed to determine the solutions.

Horizontal dynamic response of a large-diameter pipe pile considering the second-order effect of axial force

The second-order effect of axial force on horizontal vibrating characteristics of a large-diameter pipe pile is theoretically investigated.Governing equations of the pile-soil system are established based on elastodynamics.Threedimensional wave equations of soil are decoupled through differential transformation and variable separation.Consequently,expressions of soil displacements and horizontal resistances can be obtained.An analytical solution of the pile is derived based on continuity conditions between the pile and soil,subsequently from which expressions of the complex impedances are deduced.Analyses are carried out to examine the second-order effect of axial force on the horizontal vibrating behavior of the pipe pile.Some conclusions can be summarized as follows： stiffness and damping factors are decreased with the application of axial force on the pile head; distributions of the pile horizontal displacement and rotation angle are regenerated due to the second-order effect of the applied axial force; and redistributions of the bending moment and shearing force occur due to the second-order effect of the applied axial force.

Disorder induced phase transition in magnetic higher-order topological insulator: A machine learning study

Previous studies presented the phase diagram induced by the disorder existing separately either in the higher-order topological states or in the topological trivial states, respectively. However, the influence of disorder on the system with the coexistence of the higher-order topological states and other traditional topological states has not been investigated. In this paper, we investigate the disorder induced phase transition in the magnetic higher-order topological insulator. By using the convolutional neural network and non-commutative geometry methods, two independent phase diagrams are calculated.With the comparison between these two diagrams, a topological transition from the normal insulator to the Chern insulator is confirmed. Furthermore, the network based on eigenstate wavefunction studies also presents a transition between the higher-order topological insulator and the Chern insulator.

Hall Effect on Peristaltic Flow of Third Order Fluid in a Porous Medium with Heat and Mass Transfer

We investigated the influence of hall, heat and mass transfer on the peristaltic flow of MHD third order fluid under long-wavelength and low Reynolds number approximation. The governing equations are solved analytically with the appropriate boundary conditions by using perturbation technique. The formula of velocity with temperature and concentration is obtained analytically as a function of the physical parameters of the problem.

Higher Order Multipole Potentials and Electrostatic Screening Effects on Cohesive Energy and Bulk Modulus of Metallic Nanoparticles

Higher order multipole potentials and electrostatic screening effects are introduced to incorporate the dangling bonds on the surface of a metallic nanopaticle and to modify the coulomb like potential energy terms,respectively. The total interaction energy function for any metallic nanoparticle is represented in terms of two- and three-body potentials. The two-body part is described by dipole-dipole interaction potential,and in the three-body part,triple-dipole (DDD) and dipole-dipole-quadrupole(DDQ) terms are included.The size-dependent cohesive energy and bulk modulus are observed to decrease with decreasing sizes,a result which is in good agreement with the experimental values of Mo and W nanoparticles.

Effects of walk-off on cross-phase modulation induced modulation instability in an optical fibre with high-order dispersion

This paper investigates the effects of walk-off among optical pulses on cross-phase modulation induced modulation instability in the normal dispersion region of an optical fibre with high-order dispersion. The results indicate that, in the case of high-order dispersion, the walk-off effect takes on new characteristics and will influence considerably the shape, position and especially the number of the spectral regions of the gain spectra of modulation instability. Not only the group-velocity mismatch, but also the difference of the third-order dispersion of two optical waves will alter the gain spectra of modulation instability but in different ways. Depending on the values of the walk-off parameters, the number of the spectral regions may increase from two to at most four, and the spectral shape and position may change too.

Effect of Quench Treatment on Fe/Mo Order and Magnetic Properties of Double Perovskite Sr_2FeMoO_6

A quench-treatment technique is used to prepare a high-quality polycrystalline sample of double perovskite Sr2FeMo06 （SFMO）. X-ray powder diffraction analysis reveals that the sample has a single phase and exhibits I4/m symmetry. The cation order η of the sample increases to 98.9（2）% from 94.2（3）%, which is prepared by the traditional sol-gel method. The initial magnetization isotherm of the sample is detected at 300 K. Unit-cell magnetization for the current sample is 1.332 #s at 300 K, and the one for the traditional sol-gel method sample is 0.946#9. Unit-cell magnetization is enhanced to 40.80% by the quench-treatment technique. Quench treatment is an effective method of enhancing the Fe/Mo order and magnetic properties of double perovskite SFMO.

An 8-Connected Chiral Lanthanide Metal-organic Framework Constructed from Naturally Camphoric Acid:Crystal Structure,Vibrational Circular Dichroism Spectroscopy and Second-order Nonlinear Optical Effect

A chiral lanthanide metal-organic framework based on enantiopure camphoric acid （D-H2cam）, [Nd3（D-cam）8（H2O）4Cl]n （1）, has been synthesized and characterized by single-crystal X-ray structural analysis, elemental analysis, IR, thermal gravimetric, and X-ray powder diffraction. Crystal data for the title compound are as follows： orthorhombic system, space group P212121 with a = 13.8287（7）, b = 14.0715（7）, c = 25.7403（12） A^°, V = 5008.8（4） A^°3, Mr = 1333.08, Z = 4, F（000） = 2644, Dc = 1.768 g/cm^3, μ（MoKα） = 3.189 mm^-1, the final R = 0.0351 and wR = 0.0814 （I 〉 2σ（I））. Compound 1 displays an 8-connected bcu topology 3D framework and hydrogen-bonding interactions stabilize the solid-state structure. The vibrational circular dichroism （VCD） spectrum and second-order nonlinear optical effect of compound 1 have been studied in the solid state.

AN ANALYSIS OF EFFECTS OF FETAL ORDER AND PARENTAL AGE ON RETINOBLASTOMA

Seventy-eight cases of retinoblastoma (Rb) diagnosed at the Eye ENT Hospital, Shanghai Medical University from 1953 to 1985 were studied. The results of multiple logistic regression analysis and conditional probability model showed that high fetal order had a moderate risk (OR=1.28, P<0.05) of developing unilateral Rb. Both unilateral and bilateral cases were independent of parental ages, and no interaction could be found between fetal order and paternal of maternal age; also, the effect of fetal order was not confounded by parental ages.

Multi-level effects in the high-order harmonic generation driven by intense frequency-comb laser fields

High harmonic generation（HHG） driven by intense frequency-comb laser fields can be dramatically enhanced via multiphoton resonance by tuning the carrier-envelope phase（CEP） shift, without increasing the driving intensity. However,the multiphoton-resonant enhancement（MRE） factor in the realistic atomic hydrogen is much smaller than that in a twolevel system. To study the deviation, we present a theoretical investigation of the multiphoton resonance dynamics of three-level systems driven by intense frequency-comb laser fields. The many-mode Floquet theorem（MMFT） is employed to provide a nonperturbative and exact treatment of the interaction between the quantum system and the laser fields. The investigations show that the dipole interaction of a two-level system with the third level affects the multiphoton resonance dynamics and enhances the HHG spectra. It is the dipole interaction of the excited level of the two-level system with other levels that results in the smaller MRE factor in the realistic atomic system.