The impact of different public service facilities is obtained by investigating the infl uence of public service facilities on distribution pattern of housing price in 25 cities.According to the survey results,public e...The impact of different public service facilities is obtained by investigating the infl uence of public service facilities on distribution pattern of housing price in 25 cities.According to the survey results,public education service facilities have the highest weight and the greatest impact,which also refl ects the root of“school district housing fever”from the side.Public sports service facilities have the lowest score when compared with other options.This is not because public sports service facilities are not important,but is determined by actual situation of social development and actual living standard of residents in China.From the improvement and enhancement of urban public service facilities,the construction of public service facilities should be convenient for people’s education,health,culture and entertainment.展开更多
Population growth has been widely regarded as an important driver of surging housing prices of urban China,while it is unclear as yet whether population shrinkage has an impact on housing prices that is symmetrical wi...Population growth has been widely regarded as an important driver of surging housing prices of urban China,while it is unclear as yet whether population shrinkage has an impact on housing prices that is symmetrical with that of population growth.This study,taking 35 sample cites in Northeast China,the typical rust belt with intensifying population shrinkage,as examples,provides an empirical assessment of the roles of population growth and shrinkage in changing housing prices by analyzing panel data,as well as a variety of other factors in related to housing price,during the period of 1999–2018.Findings indicate that although gap in housing prices was widening between population growing cities and population shrinking cities,the past two decades witnessed an obvious rise in housing prices of those sample cities to varying degree.Changes in population size did not have a statistically significant impact on housing prices volatility of sample cities,because population reduction did not lead to a decline in housing demand correspondingly and an increasing housing demand aroused by population growth was usually followed by a quicker and larger housing supply.The rising housing prices in sample cities was mainly driven by factors like changes in land cost,investment in real estate,GDP per capita and household number.However,this does not mean that the impact of population shrinkage on housing prices could be ignored.As population shrinkage intensifies,avoiding the rapid decline of house prices should be the focus of real estate regulation in some population shrinking cities of Northeast China.Our findings contribute a new form of asymmetric responses of housing price to population growth and shrinkage,and offer policy implications for real estate regulation of population shrinking cities in China’s rust belt.展开更多
This paper first summarizes China's economic growth rate fluctuations over the past 60 years since 1949 and examines the new developments in China's economic structure behind these fluctuations since reform and open...This paper first summarizes China's economic growth rate fluctuations over the past 60 years since 1949 and examines the new developments in China's economic structure behind these fluctuations since reform and opening-up in the late 1970s.In tackling the global financial crisis,China is embracing a new economic cycle and must draw upon its economic history to prolong the upward momentum in the new cycle.To do so means maintaining an appropriate growth rate in the new cycle.This paper also analyzes the importance urbanization and the housing sector will play in the new cycle and how to address rising housing prices.展开更多
文摘The impact of different public service facilities is obtained by investigating the infl uence of public service facilities on distribution pattern of housing price in 25 cities.According to the survey results,public education service facilities have the highest weight and the greatest impact,which also refl ects the root of“school district housing fever”from the side.Public sports service facilities have the lowest score when compared with other options.This is not because public sports service facilities are not important,but is determined by actual situation of social development and actual living standard of residents in China.From the improvement and enhancement of urban public service facilities,the construction of public service facilities should be convenient for people’s education,health,culture and entertainment.
基金Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42071162,41001097)Key Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(No.ZDRW-ZS-2017-4-3-4)National Science and Technology Basic Project of the Ministry of Science and Technology of China(No.2017FY101303-1)。
文摘Population growth has been widely regarded as an important driver of surging housing prices of urban China,while it is unclear as yet whether population shrinkage has an impact on housing prices that is symmetrical with that of population growth.This study,taking 35 sample cites in Northeast China,the typical rust belt with intensifying population shrinkage,as examples,provides an empirical assessment of the roles of population growth and shrinkage in changing housing prices by analyzing panel data,as well as a variety of other factors in related to housing price,during the period of 1999–2018.Findings indicate that although gap in housing prices was widening between population growing cities and population shrinking cities,the past two decades witnessed an obvious rise in housing prices of those sample cities to varying degree.Changes in population size did not have a statistically significant impact on housing prices volatility of sample cities,because population reduction did not lead to a decline in housing demand correspondingly and an increasing housing demand aroused by population growth was usually followed by a quicker and larger housing supply.The rising housing prices in sample cities was mainly driven by factors like changes in land cost,investment in real estate,GDP per capita and household number.However,this does not mean that the impact of population shrinkage on housing prices could be ignored.As population shrinkage intensifies,avoiding the rapid decline of house prices should be the focus of real estate regulation in some population shrinking cities of Northeast China.Our findings contribute a new form of asymmetric responses of housing price to population growth and shrinkage,and offer policy implications for real estate regulation of population shrinking cities in China’s rust belt.
文摘This paper first summarizes China's economic growth rate fluctuations over the past 60 years since 1949 and examines the new developments in China's economic structure behind these fluctuations since reform and opening-up in the late 1970s.In tackling the global financial crisis,China is embracing a new economic cycle and must draw upon its economic history to prolong the upward momentum in the new cycle.To do so means maintaining an appropriate growth rate in the new cycle.This paper also analyzes the importance urbanization and the housing sector will play in the new cycle and how to address rising housing prices.