A homogeneous model is proposed to study the upper layer circulation in the Indo-Pacific region,the sources of the Indonesian throughflow (TF) and the North Equatorial Countercurrent (NECC), and the relations of the t...A homogeneous model is proposed to study the upper layer circulation in the Indo-Pacific region,the sources of the Indonesian throughflow (TF) and the North Equatorial Countercurrent (NECC), and the relations of the the with the North Equatorial Current (NEC) and the South Equatorial Current (SEC). The results revealed that the upper layer circulaton, as part of the Pacific Ocean general circulation, is mainly controlled by geostrophic balance; that the NECC’s volume transport is mainly sup plied by the NEC, and its variation has closer relation to the NEC than the SEC; that the TF, whose volume transport is jointly supplied by the NEC through the Mindanao Current (MC) and the SEC, with the NEC being the first source, has significant influence on the circulation structure; and that a large Celebes Sea cyclonic circulation not mentioned elsewhere so far, exists in the calculated results.展开更多
Sustainability evaluation of regional microgrid interconnection system is conducive to a profound and comprehensive understanding of the impact of interconnection system projects.In order to realize the comprehensive ...Sustainability evaluation of regional microgrid interconnection system is conducive to a profound and comprehensive understanding of the impact of interconnection system projects.In order to realize the comprehensive and scientific intelligent evaluation of the system,this paper proposes an evaluation model based on combination entropy weight rank order-technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution(TOPSIS)and Niche Immune Lion Algorithm-Extreme Learning Machine with Kernel(NILAKELM).Firstly,the sustainability evaluation indicator system of the regional microgrid interconnection system is constructed fromfour aspects of economic,environmental,social,and technical characteristics,and the evaluation indicators are explained.Then,the classical evaluationmodel based on TOPSIS is constructed,and the entropy weight method and rank order method(RO)are coupled to obtain the indicator weight.The niche immune algorithm is used to improve the lion algorithm,and the improved lion algorithm is used to optimize the parameters of KELM,and the intelligent evaluation model based on NILA-KELM is obtained to realize fast real-time calculation.Finally,the scientificity and accuracy of themodel proposed in this paper are verified.The model proposed in this paper has the lowest RMSE,MAE and RE values,indicating that its intelligent evaluation results are the most accurate.This study is conducive to the horizontal comparison of the overall performance of regional microgrid interconnection system projects,helps investors to choose the most promising project scheme,and helps the government to find feasible project.展开更多
This paper aims to analyze the background of the emergence of＂Islamic State＂ and prevailing sectarian strife in the Middle East from the aspect of international relations, considering it as the result of the failure...This paper aims to analyze the background of the emergence of＂Islamic State＂ and prevailing sectarian strife in the Middle East from the aspect of international relations, considering it as the result of the failure and mistakes, accumulated not only since the Iraq War and the Syrian Civil War but also from the post-WWI period when the territorial-state system was introduced in this area. This paper emphasizes the importance of the norms and ideas that provide the basis of regional order, and focuses on conflicts between norm-based regional order and interest-based regional alliance. The former has been pursued by the actors that underline supra- or sub-state identity as cores for regional solidarity, while the latter has been introduced by external actors, or established by conservatives to maintain the status quo to react to revolutionary/revisionist movements. The situation became complicated when regional actors faced three different cataclysmic transformations in 1979. Although each incident necessitated a different re-arrangement of their relations, a shorthand patchwork-like formation of alliances was applied, in which the US and Saudi Arabia played key roles. In the post-1979 regime, rivalry became dominant between the interest-based pro-US regional alliances vs. the challengers that justified their own interests with norm-based regional order, manipulating supra-state identity. Once the influence of the US declined after 2011, pro-US state actors found neither interest-based regional alliance nor norm-based regional order supported their own interests. Here, sectarian identity has emerged as a kind of norm to cover their collective interest. Thus sectarianism is the result of necessity for the regional actors to legitimize their interest-based actions and to secure partners for collective action. ＂Islamic State＂ was born in this circumstance, where sectarian identity became an ostensible factor for new regional order in the Middle East in the absence of the US-led regional alliance.展开更多
为准确评价区域海事事故治理效果,通过构建动态综合评价模型,为水上交通安全规划提供决策依据。首先,从事故的绝对指标与相对指标角度出发,建立包含8个指标的区域海事事故治理效果评价指标体系。其次,使用博弈赋权法对熵权法所得权重和...为准确评价区域海事事故治理效果,通过构建动态综合评价模型,为水上交通安全规划提供决策依据。首先,从事故的绝对指标与相对指标角度出发,建立包含8个指标的区域海事事故治理效果评价指标体系。其次,使用博弈赋权法对熵权法所得权重和指标相关性权重确定法(Criteria Importance Through Intercriteria Correlation, CRITIC)所得权重进行组合,以确定各时段评价指标组合权重,并采用逼近理想解排序法(Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution, TOPSIS)对各地区海事事故治理效果进行各时段静态综合评价。再次,通过混合时序算子集结各时段静态综合评价值,求得各地区海事事故治理效果的动态综合评价值,进而判断各地区海事事故的治理效果。最后,运用所建评价模型对2017—2021年上海、浙江、广东和山东4个地区海事事故治理效果进行动态综合评价。研究结果显示:与单一赋权TOPSIS法相比,博弈赋权-TOPSIS法所得静态综合评价结果更为合理可靠;与单一时序算子相比,混合时序算子所得动态综合评价结果更为合理可靠;随着海事事故治理策略和治理强度不同,上海和广东地区海事事故治理效果呈上升趋势,而浙江和山东地区海事事故治理效果呈下降趋势;广东地区海事事故治理效果稳定性最强,而浙江地区海事事故治理效果稳定性最弱;上海地区海事事故治理效果最好,而浙江地区海事事故治理效果最差。展开更多
文摘A homogeneous model is proposed to study the upper layer circulation in the Indo-Pacific region,the sources of the Indonesian throughflow (TF) and the North Equatorial Countercurrent (NECC), and the relations of the the with the North Equatorial Current (NEC) and the South Equatorial Current (SEC). The results revealed that the upper layer circulaton, as part of the Pacific Ocean general circulation, is mainly controlled by geostrophic balance; that the NECC’s volume transport is mainly sup plied by the NEC, and its variation has closer relation to the NEC than the SEC; that the TF, whose volume transport is jointly supplied by the NEC through the Mindanao Current (MC) and the SEC, with the NEC being the first source, has significant influence on the circulation structure; and that a large Celebes Sea cyclonic circulation not mentioned elsewhere so far, exists in the calculated results.
基金This work is supported by Natural Science Foundation of Hebei Province,China(Project No.G2020403008)Humanities and Social Science Research Project of Hebei Education Department,China(Project No.SD2021044)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Universities in Hebei Province,China(Project No.QN202210).
文摘Sustainability evaluation of regional microgrid interconnection system is conducive to a profound and comprehensive understanding of the impact of interconnection system projects.In order to realize the comprehensive and scientific intelligent evaluation of the system,this paper proposes an evaluation model based on combination entropy weight rank order-technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution(TOPSIS)and Niche Immune Lion Algorithm-Extreme Learning Machine with Kernel(NILAKELM).Firstly,the sustainability evaluation indicator system of the regional microgrid interconnection system is constructed fromfour aspects of economic,environmental,social,and technical characteristics,and the evaluation indicators are explained.Then,the classical evaluationmodel based on TOPSIS is constructed,and the entropy weight method and rank order method(RO)are coupled to obtain the indicator weight.The niche immune algorithm is used to improve the lion algorithm,and the improved lion algorithm is used to optimize the parameters of KELM,and the intelligent evaluation model based on NILA-KELM is obtained to realize fast real-time calculation.Finally,the scientificity and accuracy of themodel proposed in this paper are verified.The model proposed in this paper has the lowest RMSE,MAE and RE values,indicating that its intelligent evaluation results are the most accurate.This study is conducive to the horizontal comparison of the overall performance of regional microgrid interconnection system projects,helps investors to choose the most promising project scheme,and helps the government to find feasible project.
文摘This paper aims to analyze the background of the emergence of＂Islamic State＂ and prevailing sectarian strife in the Middle East from the aspect of international relations, considering it as the result of the failure and mistakes, accumulated not only since the Iraq War and the Syrian Civil War but also from the post-WWI period when the territorial-state system was introduced in this area. This paper emphasizes the importance of the norms and ideas that provide the basis of regional order, and focuses on conflicts between norm-based regional order and interest-based regional alliance. The former has been pursued by the actors that underline supra- or sub-state identity as cores for regional solidarity, while the latter has been introduced by external actors, or established by conservatives to maintain the status quo to react to revolutionary/revisionist movements. The situation became complicated when regional actors faced three different cataclysmic transformations in 1979. Although each incident necessitated a different re-arrangement of their relations, a shorthand patchwork-like formation of alliances was applied, in which the US and Saudi Arabia played key roles. In the post-1979 regime, rivalry became dominant between the interest-based pro-US regional alliances vs. the challengers that justified their own interests with norm-based regional order, manipulating supra-state identity. Once the influence of the US declined after 2011, pro-US state actors found neither interest-based regional alliance nor norm-based regional order supported their own interests. Here, sectarian identity has emerged as a kind of norm to cover their collective interest. Thus sectarianism is the result of necessity for the regional actors to legitimize their interest-based actions and to secure partners for collective action. ＂Islamic State＂ was born in this circumstance, where sectarian identity became an ostensible factor for new regional order in the Middle East in the absence of the US-led regional alliance.
文摘为准确评价区域海事事故治理效果,通过构建动态综合评价模型,为水上交通安全规划提供决策依据。首先,从事故的绝对指标与相对指标角度出发,建立包含8个指标的区域海事事故治理效果评价指标体系。其次,使用博弈赋权法对熵权法所得权重和指标相关性权重确定法(Criteria Importance Through Intercriteria Correlation, CRITIC)所得权重进行组合,以确定各时段评价指标组合权重,并采用逼近理想解排序法(Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution, TOPSIS)对各地区海事事故治理效果进行各时段静态综合评价。再次,通过混合时序算子集结各时段静态综合评价值,求得各地区海事事故治理效果的动态综合评价值,进而判断各地区海事事故的治理效果。最后,运用所建评价模型对2017—2021年上海、浙江、广东和山东4个地区海事事故治理效果进行动态综合评价。研究结果显示:与单一赋权TOPSIS法相比,博弈赋权-TOPSIS法所得静态综合评价结果更为合理可靠;与单一时序算子相比,混合时序算子所得动态综合评价结果更为合理可靠;随着海事事故治理策略和治理强度不同,上海和广东地区海事事故治理效果呈上升趋势,而浙江和山东地区海事事故治理效果呈下降趋势;广东地区海事事故治理效果稳定性最强,而浙江地区海事事故治理效果稳定性最弱;上海地区海事事故治理效果最好,而浙江地区海事事故治理效果最差。
